AL & NL Championship Discussion thread

We needed this thread started, thnx G-Man.:shake:

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Playoff count after 22 games (incl. Tex/Tby)

Overall
Favs SU: 17-5
Favs RL: 12-10
O/U .. -: 14-8

AL
Favs SU: 8-3
Favs RL: 6-5
O/U .. -: 5-6

NL
Favs SU: 9-2
Favs RL: 6-5
O/U .. -: 9-2
 
Last edited:
UOTE=BetCrimes1984;1826595]We needed this thread started, thnx G-Man.:shake:

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Playoff count after 22 games (incl. Tex/Tby)

Overall
Favs SU: 17-5
Favs RL: 12-10
O/U .. -: 14-8

AL
Favs SU: 8-3
Favs RL: 6-5
O/U .. -: 5-6

NL
Favs SU: 9-2
Favs RL: 6-5
O/U .. -: 9-2[/QUOTE]



great stuff, wonder when we see regression towards underdogs. Hopefully not today, as i am already on BoSox
 
Saint Louis has split the opening games of their last 6 playoff series dating back to 2010 -

View attachment 33055

Of course a number of those series didn't start in St. Lou, so here's how the Cards have performed in their first 2 home games of those 6 playoff series -

View attachment 33056


Fwiw - Going back 28 series, LA has only once lost both the first 2 games played: on the road vs an NL Central opponent (Cincy), losing Game 1 by a 3-2 scoreline, & Game 2 by a 4-3 scoreline.
 
Playoff count after 24 games (incl. Tex/Tby)

Overall
Favs SU: 17-7
Favs RL: 12-12
O/U .. -: 14-10

AL
Favs SU: 8-4
Favs RL: 6-6
O/U .. -: 5-7

NL
Favs SU: 9-3
Favs RL: 6-6
O/U .. -: 9-3

Championship Phase (AL+NL)
Favs SU: 0-3
Favs RL: 0-3
O/U .. -: 0-3
 
Ryu this season playing at home after giving up 4 or more runs
3-0 never giving up more than 1 run
Away in this spot he is 2-0 but gave up 4 runs at Toronto
Wainwright playing on 4 days rest 3.61 ERA
Wainwright away ERA 3.36 this year
Wainwright away at Dodgers lifetime 5.16 ERA
I am seeing at Covers 3-2 at site.
Curiously enough Days of the week favor Dodgers today
 
With Everitt Wainwright has a .40 ERA which is godlike. Really hard to go against that. Seems like cheating. May play Wainwright. Honestly this thing stinks. Why is the spread so low with that ump? Just watch this one.
 
what do you mean why is it so low? im kind of shocked that st louis is favored tbh

more people are on the dodgers
 
Now what
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Posted: 10/14/2013 6:58:33 PM
2013 Playoffs : 18-10-3 +479.63 units

I'm a big numbers guy and often times I base my plays around the stats I uncover. Now sometimes regular season stas don't translate to the playoffs and many times the numbers just result in a loss. Case in point. Wainwright s last start against Pittsburgh. Took the Pirates and I lost. It happens. Wainwright back on the bump and I'm going back to the numbers well that didnt quench my thirst the last time out

Los Angeles Dodgers Even (93 units to win 93)
Team to score first - Dodgers +120 (50 units to win 60)
Over 1.5 HRs +120 (30 units to win 36)


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[TD="class: forumpost-post"]#2
Posted: 10/14/2013 7:01:30 PM
Interesting prop on the over 1.5 HRs. I hope it hits as I have the over F5 and probably FG as well. GL man. [/TD]
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Posted: 10/14/2013 7:03:30 PM
Over his last two seasons, Wainwright had only had three straight starts of 1 ER or less one time.. And tonight he is going for four in a row. As mentioned I played this last time and lost. Anyway, the numbers go like this.

Over the last two seasons Wainwright is 3-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in starts following ones where he allowed 1 ER or less in two straight. In these starts he is allowing on average one HR per game. Why going back? It's a roadie where Wainwright is obviously not as stellar as he is at home. In his last three road games vs playoff teams, Wainwright is 0-2 with a 5.85 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

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Posted: 10/14/2013 7:07:02 PM
And this isn't just a Wainwright fade. Ryu in a good situation as well as he is 4-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.16 WHIP following a start where he allowed 4 ERs or more. It's the playoffs so can't put too much stock in any of these, but I think Wainwright is due for some regression and Ryu has been extremely effective at home and all season especially off a rough outing.

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Posted: 10/14/2013 7:09:12 PM
Yeah. Man. Hard to rely on past stats to play out in any of these games. Its all about clutch hitting.

The only sure thing is to chase the Under in the series as pitching dominates.

Why would anyone want to bet against Wainwright?

Answer: the same reason why no one should bet against Greinke or Kershaw in game #1 and #2.

Good pitching doesn't necessarily equate to a win. The boxscores defy logic.

Thats a nice trend there, Spaz. Hope it works to where the not-so-good Wainwright shows up... as i'm on the Dodgers tonight.
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Posted: 10/14/2013 7:11:21 PM
Just noticed the Ryu angle myself. Problem is the ump LOVES Wainwright. thinking
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Some of that was new to me. Probably flip a coin and decide science in action since I am very unsure.
 
Thought LAD would take this series in 5, but had this one circled as a pitcher's duel. Can't hurt that the home team needs a W in a 2-0 hole
 
Playoff count after 26 games (incl. Tex/Tby)

Overall
Favs SU: 18-8
Favs RL: 12-14
O/U .. -: 15-11

AL
Favs SU: 9-4
Favs RL: 6-7
O/U .. -: 6-7

NL
Favs SU: 9-4
Favs RL: 6-7
O/U .. -: 9-4

Championship Phase (AL+NL)
Favs SU: 1-4
Favs RL: 0-5
O/U .. -: 1-4
 
really surprised the game 3 total opened at 7.5 with the way verlander has pitched recently and the cold bats for boston the past two games
 
Did they spew some more bullshit today or are you referring to their bitterness last night
 
Last night with.puig..they always bitching about something..

Apparently don gave serious consideration to starting greinke good decision that he didnt imo
 
MLB network just played wainwrights full quote, wasn't actually that bad.

Agree on Greinke. If they lost last night then sure but now we'll have Greinke and Kershaw on full rest so there's still a chance to come back with a loss tonight.


Altho waino in game 7 would be tough as shit. Need to avoid that.
 
Played Tigers TT over 3-1/2 -125 today.

Verlander been pretty much unhittable L4. Lackey not as good on the road and for some reason, I think the Tigers bats wake up a bit today. Guessing Verlander won't come out of anything under a 5-run lead, regardless of how many pitches he throws. Zero trust in the Tigers pen.
 
Verlander has been dominant of late, but all on the road. He has pitched better on the road all year. He is barely a .500 pitcher at home this season. Both teams hit RHP very well. I played F5 ov 3.5 and Bos TT ov 3.
 
Playoff count after 28 games (incl. Tex/Tby)

Overall
Favs SU: 18-10
Favs RL: 12-16
O/U .. -: 15-13

AL
Favs SU: 9-5
Favs RL: 6-8
O/U .. -: 6-8

NL
Favs SU: 9-5
Favs RL: 6-8
O/U .. -: 9-5

Championship Phase (AL+NL)
Favs SU: 1-6
Favs RL: 0-7
O/U .. -: 1-6

A Dog/Under correction was statistically way way wayyy overdue after the end of the divisional section. I guess you could say, there's something to the "due" theory after all.
 
31 baserunners stranded last night by Stl/LA - never seen so many double plays in one game in my life.
 
i'm thinking at least -140 on bos, but if you look right now, the field vs stl is -165 before the games today
 
Last game Greinke faced Davis 4.24 ERA with Greinke. This time its Ted Barnett. 3.20 ERA. 2 of the 3 games were from long ago. One game was from 2012. He lost at KC after going 8.1 innings giving up 1 run. Barnett favors the home team. Small bet on Cards under 3 minus 20 cents.
Chalks too big to pay with the Dodgers uncertain bats but will hope Greinke pitches great today.
 
Just passing the late game. Ump over time has been great for Peavy and on 1 game great for Fister but looking at their histories---I think my guessing might cost me money.
 
Playoff count after 30 games (incl. Tex/Tby)

Overall
Favs SU: 20-10
Favs RL: 14-16
O/U .. -: 17-13

AL
Favs SU: 10-5
Favs RL: 7-8
O/U .. -: 7-8

NL
Favs SU: 10-5
Favs RL: 7-8
O/U .. -: 10-5

Championship Phase (AL+NL)
Favs SU: 3-6
Favs RL: 2-7
O/U .. -: 3-6

 
i dont think anibal is going to have as easy of a time the second time vs this redsox lineup... especially with dale scott behind the plate
 
nbafan88 said:
i dont think anibal is going to have as easy of a time the second time vs this redsox lineup... especially with dale scott behind the plate
Click to expand...

'Not having an easy time' is a relative phrase. Boston has gone 4 games without scoring a run in the 1st 5 innings. If they end up getting all of 1 or 2 runs off Sanchez in the 1st 5, he won't have had an easy time.
 
yep but those were against guys they hadnt seen yet... not taking the sox though

Over 7 -115 for me, gl guys
 
Playoff count after 31 games (incl. Tex/Tby)

Overall
Favs SU: 20-11
Favs RL: 14-17
O/U .. -: 17-13-1

AL
Favs SU: 10-6
Favs RL: 7-9
O/U .. -: 7-8-1

NL
Favs SU: 10-5
Favs RL: 7-8
O/U .. -: 10-5

Championship Phase (AL+NL)
Favs SU: 3-7
Favs RL: 2-8
O/U .. -: 3-6-1
 
We've had 10 championship games, and not one 1st inning run. That's gotta be another record, along with all the other offensive futility records being set by these 4 teams (3 in particular) currently.
 
Playoff count after 32 games (incl. Tex/Tby)

Overall
Favs SU: 20-12
Favs RL: 14-18
O/U .. -: 18-13-1

AL
Favs SU: 10-6
Favs RL: 7-9
O/U .. -: 7-8-1

NL
Favs SU: 10-6
Favs RL: 7-9
O/U .. -: 11-5

Championship Phase (AL+NL)
Favs SU: 3-8
Favs RL: 2-9
O/U .. -: 4-6-1

Dogs continue to dominate the CS phase, but the early Under surge has given way to the return of runs. Still not a single run has been scored in the 1st inning.
 
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