African Cup of Nations 2024 with Marsski

Marsski

MAC Marvel
Africa Cup of Nations 2024

I made money betting this tournament last time...usually unders are the way to go early...I am by no means an expert just playing this for mostly half unit bets. Please chime in with any thoughts. Good luck to all....

YTD: 18-30-2 +2.81 units

All bets to win half unit unless otherwise indicated

Championship Futures

Egypt +900 1 unit bet
Ivory Coast +600 .5 unit
Guinea +6600 .2 units
Cape Verde +7000 .3 units
Eq. Guinea +10000 .1 units

DR Congo +3300 .3 units

Group winners
Morocco/Algeria -109
Algeria has no one in their group and Morocco is the highest ranked team by FIFA.
Morocco/Algeria/Ivory Coast +212
Ivory Coast already won 2-0 in their first game and Nigeria who is also in the group has been shaky defensively in qualifying.

To score most goals:
Youssef En-Nesyri, Morocco +1200
Best scorer on a team that should make a deep run

Serhou Guirassy, Guinea +3500
He has 17 goals in the German league playing for Stuttgart

Game bets
1.14.24
Egypt over 1.5 goals TT/Senegal ML/Guinea +0.5 goals +324 (DK boosted bet .25 unit)
Egypt/Senegal ML -125
Equatorial Guinea +1 -120
Egypt over 1.5 goals -130

Cape Verde/Ghana under 2.5 goals and Both Teams to score NO -120
Equatorial Guinea to score +128
1.15.24
Cameroon/Guinea over 2 -110...Cameroon EPL goalie out this game push
Guinea to score/Under 2.5 in Algeria/Angola game +126
Guinea +0.5 goals/Algeria ML +142
Algeria to win to nil +106
Cameroon 2H/Algeria ml +146

1.16.24
Both teams to score NO Tunisia/Nambia & Both teams to score NO Mali/SAfrica +124
2H Burkino Faso ML +155

1.17.24
Morocco ML/Eq. Guinea to score in 1.18.24 game -123
1.18.24
Nigeria/Ivory Coast Over 2 +100
Eq. Guinea TT over 1 -109
Egypt ML -101
Nigeria/Ivory Coast BOTH score second half +350

1.19.24
Senegal PK/Guinea ML +191
Senegal to keep clean sheet +105
Cape Verde ML +120
Cape Verde to score/Senegal ML +176
Cape Verde to score/Senegal ML/Guinea ML/Eq. Guinea ML (on Monday) +5770 (.1 unit lotto ticket)

1.20.24
Angola/Mauritania NO goals +500
Burkino Faso to score -109
Mali Pk/Morocco ML/Nigeria over 1.5 goals +360 boosted .25 unit bet
1.21.24
Morocco ML/Both teams score NO Tanzania game
1.23.24
Cameroon ML/Algeria -1 +158
1.24.24
Namibia +1 -130
South Africa +0.5 goals -120

Tanzania ML +705 (.25 unit bet)
Round of 16
1.27.24
Nigeria TT over 1 -130
1.28.24
EQ Guinea PK/+0.5 goal +100 (Asian line)
Egypt PK -132
1.29.24
Senegal ML +138
Cape Verde ML +275 1.5 unit bet
1.30.24
B Faso/Mali 1H draw -126

QF
2.2.24
Guinea PK +118
2.2.24 & 2.3.24
Guinea to advance/Nigeria to advance +190 (1 unit bet)
NIgeria to advance/Cape Verde to advance +152 (1 unit bet)
Guinea to advance/Cape Verde to advance +320
Guinea/Nigeria/Cape Verde all to advance +455 (1 unit bet)
 
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Get em Mars. Intended to start this and Asia up yesterday but didn't get around to it. Love unders in most matches in both comps, this go round Africa probably has a lot more interest than in the past now that several of the names are becoming more household with so much coverage of PL in the US and that recent success of Morocco in the last WC
 
3-2 start I’ll take it….been a lot of goal scoring actually so far.
Angola will be parking the bus against the Algerians….they can’t score so playing a nil bet…

1.15.24 Parlay: Guinea +0.5 goals/Algeria ML +142

1.15.24 Algeria to win to nil +106
 
Get em Mars. Intended to start this and Asia up yesterday but didn't get around to it. Love unders in most matches in both comps, this go round Africa probably has a lot more interest than in the past now that several of the names are becoming more household with so much coverage of PL in the US and that recent success of Morocco in the last WC
Yeah I wanted to take Morocco to make a deep run but not sure they can get play great offensive soccer vs just sitting back and trying to counter like they did in the later rounds of the WC.
Seems like a wide open tournament too and didn’t want to take the co-chalk….
 
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Guinea playing a man down at half but holding a 1-0 lead....1-1 seems real logical here....

Cameroon 2H moneyline/Algeria ML +146
 
Welp Salah was subbed off with a hammy, doubt he plays again this tournament.

Been more goals than I remember, keep up the good fight mars. Think I've resigned to waiting til knockouts.
 
Welp Salah was subbed off with a hammy, doubt he plays again this tournament.

Been more goals than I remember, keep up the good fight mars. Think I've resigned to waiting til knockouts.
It wrecks my future bet....might add a long shot now like Guinea or Mali. The goals have been up....some bad defense out there like G Bisseau, Mozambique
 
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1.19.24
Cape Verde to score/Senegal ML +176

Lotto ticket .1 unit parlay:
Cape Verde to score/Senegal ML/Guinea ML/Eq. Guinea ML (on Monday) +5770
 
With my Egypt bet dead in the water, gonna dial up some prices and hope someone can make a run to the semis...

Future adds:
Guinea 66/1 .2 units
Cape Verde 70/1 .3 units
Eq. Guinea 100/1 .1 units
 
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1.20.24
Mali PK/Morocco ML/Nigeria over 1.5 goals +360 .25 unit bet (boosted on DK)
 
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Rode the long shot parlay with you for fun- holy shit what a pick….
Don't say I never did anything for you...I added some unposted so gonna clear 20 units. Now, I need to figure out where to buy an Equatorial Guinea goalie jersey...
 
Taking some dogs in the Noon window today as group E is still up for grabs with all four teams having a chance to advance.

1.24.24
Namibia +1 -130
South Africa +0.5 goals -120
 
Taking a small futures position on DR Congo @ +3300 .3 unit bet

Also caught a rogue line on Cape Verde's Monday match at one of my scummy offshore books...I would bet this normal size if the line wasn't wayyyyyyy off so I do like it. We'll see if they let me keep it.

1.29.24
Cape Verde ML +275 1.5 unit bet
 
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2.2.24 & 2.3.24
Guinea to advance/Nigeria to advance +190 (1 unit bet)
NIgeria to advance/Cape Verde to advance +152 (1 unit bet)
Guinea to advance/Cape Verde to advance +320
Guinea/Nigeria/Cape Verde all to advance +455 (1 unit bet)
 
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