AFC First Playoff Round Discussion Thread

Already bet chargers+3.5.. think this about the best matchup they could get, pats don’t have the pass rush to expose the oline. Think this easily the best defense maye will have seen all year. I think chargers pull the upset but thrilled I could get 3.5..

Think I like jags but no hurry on that number, gonna see where it goes.
 
2daBank said:
Already bet chargers+3.5.. think this about the best matchup they could get, pats don’t have the pass rush to expose the oline. Think this easily the best defense maye will have seen all year. I think chargers pull the upset but thrilled I could get 3.5..

Think I like jags but no hurry on that number, gonna see where it goes.
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The line is strong for the Chargers but this time of year you let the line guide you. Value is worthless. Be sharp.
 
Inspekdah said:
The line is strong for the Chargers but this time of year you let the line guide you. Value is worthless. Be sharp.
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I had my heart set on this matchup and playing chargers for weeks. Honestly was thinking it be under a fg and I be playing the ml, I was super pumped to get 3.5. Had chargers not lost their tackles think we be talking bout them as one the favs, lucky for them pats probably have the worst pass rush in the afc playoffs.
 
2daBank said:
I had my heart set on this matchup and playing chargers for weeks. Honestly was thinking it be under a fg and I be playing the ml, I was super pumped to get 3.5. Had chargers not lost their tackles think we be talking bout them as one the favs, lucky for them pats probably have the worst pass rush in the afc playoffs.
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Schedule out yet? A late start would benefit LAC. They been one of the worst coming East for years I feel like.
 
assume it be a lower spread if ravens win this game so hopefully that sticks. Houston vs either and I don’t even care what the number is.
 
aplous said:
I think Jags are legit, I bet them +1/ML. Lawrence has passed all the tests for me this year.
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I agree. I just didn’t think it matter much to wait. Had I been able to get some plus money I woulda took it. Hoping bills get love tho. Jags defense matches up great I think. Bills defense strength matches up also but I think jags will be able to throw more so than bills run.
 
super tempted to hit the under 51.5 for bills/jags. Opened 50.5 and 27-24 scared me but I really don’t think it going over 51
 
2daBank said:
super tempted to hit the under 51.5 for bills/jags. Opened 50.5 and 27-24 scared me but I really don’t think it going over 51
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All about how Jags start out

Offense is firing on all cylinders right now, I wouldn't want to get in front of them unless Trevor massively regresses in the postseason
 
KJ said:
All about how Jags start out

Offense is firing on all cylinders right now, I wouldn't want to get in front of them unless Trevor massively regresses in the postseason
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I don’t think that gonna happen it just a high number considering both teams defensive strengths are stopping what the offenses do best. Certainly don’t think it be low scoring by any stretch, 51 kinda the magic number for me. I don’t do many teasers anymore but jags +7.5/under 57.5 has I really nice ring to it.
 
Jags had one impressive victory all season - @DEN. This is what happens when you play a last place schedule. I don't trust their defense but I'd need to know more about the Bills defense before placing a wager. The Ed Oliver set back is a disaster for their pass rush.
 
Inspekdah said:
Jags had one impressive victory all season - @DEN. This is what happens when you play a last place schedule. I don't trust their defense but I'd need to know more about the Bills defense before placing a wager. The Ed Oliver set back is a disaster for their pass rush.
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What about beating KC? Carolina by 16? Chargers by 29?
 
Inspekdah said:
Jags had one impressive victory all season - @DEN. This is what happens when you play a last place schedule. I don't trust their defense but I'd need to know more about the Bills defense before placing a wager. The Ed Oliver set back is a disaster for their pass rush.
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You ever seen the list of teams that had like the 8 easiest schedules in history? Damn near all of them made the conf champ at least. I saw it in regard to pats as they have had one the easiest schedules this century but I wouldn’t worry much bout the “who they played game”, Jags beat lot of good teams tho, @niners, Houston (damn near twice), panthers who beat plenty of good teams, destroyed chargers, @denver. Show me 5 better wins by bills?
 
2daBank said:
You ever seen the list of teams that had like the 8 easiest schedules in history? Damn near all of them made the conf champ at least. I saw it in regard to pats as they have had one the easiest schedules this century but I wouldn’t worry much bout the “who they played game”, Jags beat lot of good teams tho, @niners, Houston (damn near twice), panthers who beat plenty of good teams, destroyed chargers, @denver. Show me 5 better wins by bills?
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To be fair that was Houston before it got hot and 49ers without Purdy, but still valid. Blew out Chargers and won at Denver by two touchdowns
 
Bills beat 3 playoff teams, 2 of which were the dumpster fire winners of afc north and nfc south who shouldn’t even get spots! I don’t think it matters much but certainly don’t think ya can talk bout jags schedule after looking at the garbage bills got most their wins against.
 
Is it the Chargers or Houston or both that seem to get knocked out in the 1st round every year?

Lean Pitt getting 3 at home.

Everyone loves Jax because Buffalo looked out of sorts this season and Jax have been playing very well...
 
Hou -3 seems right to me. The Steelers offense is going to struggle mightily against this defense. AR8 cannot handle the pressure like he used to. I’d be shocked if they get to 17 points. On the flip side, it’s hard to trust CJ Stroud, especially outdoors in a hostile environment, and Houston’s run game is below average. Huge advantage for Pittsburgh to get this game at home on Monday night (I believe they are undefeated at home on MNF under Tomlin). Hou a much better team, but I expect a close, low scoring game in this scenario. Something like 18-15 seems about right. FG props may be in play.
 
C-MAN said:
Hou -3 seems right to me. The Steelers offense is going to struggle mightily against this defense. AR8 cannot handle the pressure like he used to. I’d be shocked if they get to 17 points. On the flip side, it’s hard to trust CJ Stroud, especially outdoors in a hostile environment, and Houston’s run game is below average. Huge advantage for Pittsburgh to get this game at home on Monday night (I believe they are undefeated at home on MNF under Tomlin). Hou a much better team, but I expect a close, low scoring game in this scenario. Something like 18-15 seems about right. FG props may be in play.
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I’ve never had any problem trusting stroud: it his protection I don’t trust. Def agree low scoring and fg props, I’d be kinda shocked if Steelers got to 17. So which wins out, Steelers mnf record or their playoff record the last decade?
 
Inspekdah said:
I don't think it is all that square. I would consider Pitt to be a "public dog".
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Really? That would make me feel little better but I just don’t feel like I was alone in thinking Houston was gonna bury whoever won that gm last night, I was actually hoping it was ravens cause figured they would get way more respect than Steelers. I just can’t imagine with Houston not losing for a long time and anyone watching Steelers the past decade could be excited to bet pit.
 
Inspekdah said:
Ryans should be able to confuse Rodgers again.

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Think it safe to say packers offense was probably better than this Steelers version also. I dunno what the flying fuck the ravens were doing on d last night? Like why the hell were they playing zone that seemed to open up middle the field? Steelers get DK back but pretty confident Houston corners can handle him without having to get picked apart in middle.
 
Dome team, cold weather. Don't underestimate it. Collectively we NEVER do, yet somehow this Houston team is so spectacular they don't get mention of that and this Steelers team is so shitty they don't deserve that respect? Cool!

Just goes against everything we've ever brought up on this site. Apparently Houston are immune to this.
 
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