6.15 discussion
- Thread starter Big_Degenerate
- Start date
Big_Degenerate
sharp as a butter knife
Astros are a must bet
Big daddy naught
Pretty much a regular
Reds/pirates over
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
I would be a little conservative with Morton right now. Playing him is probably right but his night ERA is climbing. Toronto is a possibility. Sanchez is playing on best rest and Washington has 12 men out. It is tough not to play the Astros on the road but until he shows a good game keep it down
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Big_Degenerate
sharp as a butter knife
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Giants are going to get get smashed.
Im looking at a parlay with Dodgers FF and another parlay with Tribe FF
Took under in Balty
Im looking at a parlay with Dodgers FF and another parlay with Tribe FF
Took under in Balty
Dodgers strong vs southpaws tho right
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
you tell me
he has given up 9 runs (7 earned) in 8 innings to them this year so far, thats pretty good
he has given up 9 runs (7 earned) in 8 innings to them this year so far, thats pretty good
Your welcome
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Thanks VC. That is some good info, going to check out the site. Im not sure Cody or Joc can hit anybody but clowns. GL tonight snarky one 
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
That site looks pretty awesome, never saw it before as part of MLB, I owe you a coffee VC
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Check out fangraphs brooksbaseball and that site statcastsavant. If you like my articles they are golden resources
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Gotta think another under is in store here in stl. Hot as balls today and not cooling off much tonight. Lester pretty much owns us. Lot of cubs w strong numbers vs wacha but he pitching so well this year I trust him to go 6 and hold them to 3 runs or less.
Assuming it got bet up because both pitchers outperforming their peripherals but I went pretty in depth into why I think wacha been doing so before his last start and fairly confident it will continue while his shoulder feeling good. Havnt watched Lester much but he just knows how to pitch and suspect he will outpitch his metrics most the year. Even if he not on he has the ability to navagate his way thru cards lineup 5-6 innings and hold them to 3 or less. My only real concern would be it getting tied 4-4 but more times than not I think 4 wins this game..
Assuming it got bet up because both pitchers outperforming their peripherals but I went pretty in depth into why I think wacha been doing so before his last start and fairly confident it will continue while his shoulder feeling good. Havnt watched Lester much but he just knows how to pitch and suspect he will outpitch his metrics most the year. Even if he not on he has the ability to navagate his way thru cards lineup 5-6 innings and hold them to 3 or less. My only real concern would be it getting tied 4-4 but more times than not I think 4 wins this game..
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
I listened to Lester's last start I think, after 1st few batters he was unhittable. He is feeling it
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Opened a parlay, prolly close it with World cup something or other, Tribe FF -230,
2daBank
Voice of Reason
And our offense is not. It would take one of starters really being off or a pen meltdown I think to beat us on under. Or like I said my only real concern is them scratching to a 4-4 tie which obviously wouldn’t be good. Feel like odds definitely on our side this doesn’t get there. Seems to be getting bet up a little, doesn’t really bother me just trying to decide whether I should pull trigger selling the hook to u8 +110 or wait and possibly get u9 for relatively cheap?
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Thing is, and I know you dont care about it, a 1 run line move is usually something, something that wins and the peeps are on the under, I wonder if somebody got a tap about the ump cause I dont see them yet and to me that weather lends itself to getting lathered up and runs but thats just me, you know the situ better than I
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Mr pickem posted a great stat about the cards going under when it got hot here earlier this week. Normally I’m with you In thinking hotter temps generally yeild more runs, just hasn’t been the case here w this team. I don’t mind it moving up and percentages of bets being towards under cause I know it the die hard metric guys moving that line cause both pitchers outperforming metrics, by a lot in Lester’s case but im really not worried about that. I felt pretty good when I dug deeper into wacha and while havnt seen Lester as much o know him and what he more than capable vs our struggling bats, his hr per 9 nice and low and cards offense really doesn’t do jack without bombs., I totally understand the trepidation one can have when it moves opposite of majority of bets but when I think I know the reason and disagree w it I’m good with being against the stronger money.
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Flat betting saves this fool again. Kluber down 4-0
Big_Degenerate
sharp as a butter knife
Astros -1.5 -125
all I could dig out of this card. Maybe a late play later
all I could dig out of this card. Maybe a late play later
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
i like over there too BigDegen
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Going full on big degenerate this evening. Over in AZ
Jesus Cards
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Wacha getting got. Hindsight and all I suppose scrubbies were the better play. Had very little doubt about Lester being good. This under in real trouble as now almost a certainty we see 3-4 innings of the bad cards pen (which pretty much anyone not named hicks or Norris unfortunately, lol).
Wacha makes me wanna get a name-change lol
