E.T.G.
One of trus baby mommas
87-64-3 +$4,283.77
5/22: 77-58-3 + $2,647.65 (2-3)
5/23: 79-59-3 + $3,171.46 (2-1)
5/24: 80-61-3 + $2,529.79 (1-2)
5/25: 81-62-3 + $2,529.79 (1-1)
5/26: 84-63-3 +$3,431.00 (3-1)
5/29: 87-64-3 +$4,283.77 (3-1)
Updated Record is above.
Didn't go out tonight because I am still recovering from the wkend. Had more time than usual and looked at this card a few times while watching most of the baseball games Tuesday night on MLBTV...After a few glances it seems like a pretty tough card because of the pitching matchups so I will try to narrow this down to 3 games. Going to try to get something going here and build a few winning days in a row, we'll see what happens.
Some thoughts from Tuesday's games.
The Yankees suck, theeeee Yankeeessss Suck... BoSox continue to roll. Royals are in a fadeable funk, Houston just won the title for "Worst team in baseball", Mets stole a game from the Giants, Gorzelanny is a legit stud but Pitt is one of the worst fundamental baseball teams I have ever watched, Whats going on in Chi-Town?, Ervin Santana can only pitch at home (15-3 at home at night), don't go against really hot teams with a shitty team (Rockies/Cards), and I never saw that type of game being played with Smoltz/Sheets on the mound.
Dodgers -1.5 +110 / -146
The Fade the Nats train might be departing again. I had the RL as a lean Tuesday but thought that I should get +money on it..Before Tuesday Nights game the Nats were winners of 6 of their last 8 games, def not the norm for a bad team. Now that run has ended and these AAA pitchers / relievers are going to start getting hit. You don't lose 4 of your top 5 pitchers and play better baseball on a consistent basis, exactly what the Nationals have been doing. In terms of Wins and losses, Lowe is having a bad yr at 4-5 but his numbers are not that bad. He sports a 3.64era over 71ip, 73h, 47k, 27bb and batters hitting .264 off him. On the road he has been pretty much the same with 2-4, 3.97era, 7g, 45.1ip, 45h, 30k, 17bb and batters hitting .260. His numbers do not reflect a pitcher who is 4-5. Now the Nationals are throwing Bacsik who I am sure many have not seen yet this yr. He has faced some terrible offenses that were playing bad baseball at the time (Balt and Cinci).
"Mike Bacsik got his first win in almost three years and the Washington Nationals beat the reeling Cincinnati Reds 4-3 on Thursday night. Bacsik (1-0), in his second start since being recalled from Triple-A Columbus on May 19, scattered four hits over his first seven innings before giving up Alex Gonzalez's two-run homer with two outs in the eighth. He left after 7 2/3 innings, allowing seven hits and four earned runs. The left-hander earned his sixth career win and first since Aug. 4, 2004, when he pitched seven shutout innings in Texas's 8-0 win at Detroit. He allowed one walk and struck out four." - cbssportsline.com
His stats are def nice but I am far from sold on him.
vs. Bal: ND, 6ip, 5h, 0er, 1bb, 1k
@ Cinci: W, 7.2ip, 7h, 3er, 1bb, 4k
Dodgers hit LHP better than RHP and over the last 10 games are hitting LHP at .337. Overall on the yr they are hitting LHP at .262. The Nationals are hitting RHP at .293 in their last 10 games but just .235 on the yr.
Mets -145 / -1.5 +140
I just want to note something. Are the books telling us something here. Look at the two ML's I listed. Mets -145 and Dodgers -146. The difference in RL's though is +110 for the LAD and +140 for the Mets. I take this as it is more likely the LAD win by 2 than it is the Mets win by 2. Anyway, if anyone has watched the $126 million dollar Zito pitch lately you would think he was worth $126 dollars. Yes, Zito went 7ip, 4h, 1er last start but at this point in the season, I think I could do that vs. the Astros. Zito is a 4-5 pitcher who has looked like a 4-5 pitcher unlike Lowe as I said before.. On the road this yr he is 1-3, w/ 6.26era, 4g, 23ip, 21h, 16bb, 10k. On the yr he has a 1:1 K/BB ratio. The Mets love LHP. On the yr they hit LHP at .333 and over their last 10 games at .307. The Mets usually win when Glavine takes the mound (8-3) and he is pretty consistent in what he does. Giants offense is nothing to fear and doesnt hit LHP all that well (.245 overall)... Glavine has pitched better on the road than at home. Although Glavine is 2-0 at home he sports a 4.88era vs. a 2.55 on the road and batters are hitting him at .283 at home vs. .232 on the road. Overall though Glavine needs to stay far away from Bonds (.329 in 82ab, 27h and 4HR).
Reds -102 / Astros -108 / Under 9 -120:
Betting on these two teams should be illegal but the rules of baseball state that one of them has to win the game. The Reds are 7-4 when Harang pitches and he is 5-2 on the yr with a 4.50era. On the road he is 2-1 w/ 4.81era, 5g, 33.2ip, 35h, 27k, 9bb and batters hitting .265 off him. The Astros have now lost 9 games in a row and 11 of their last 12 games. They are hitting RHP at .227 over the 10 game span and .237 overall..They are a very miserable team right now and this is a pretty cheap price to fade them.
Harang and Wandy have each faced their opponents twice this yr.
Harang: 1-0, 4.26era, 2g, 12.2ip, 12h, 6er, 3bb, 10k
Wandy: 0-0, 4.97era, 2g, 12.2ip, 14h, 7er, 2bb, 13k
Wandy is a better pitcher at home and this is what might keep me off the game, that and how bad Reds hit LHP. Wandy is 2-1 w/ 2.32era, 5g, 31ip, 23h, 28k, 7bb and batters are hitting just .211 off him.
Really having re-read what I wrote I had changed my lean from the Reds to prob a no play but left this writeup here for anyone interested in the game. I like Harang but he hasn't exactly lit the world on fire this yr and I am prob late to the Astro fade train. The Astros have to win a game sooner or later and I would hate for it to be when I have my money on the Reds. Lets not forget the Reds are still losers of 7 of their last 10 games while the Astros have lost 9 games in a row. Maybe an under play? Although it is prob just smart to keep 10 feet from this game.
Other games I am going through now:
Marlins +136
WSox +108
Orioles -126
Seattle +102
DRays -105
Still havent looked through the totals really either.
5/22: 77-58-3 + $2,647.65 (2-3)
5/23: 79-59-3 + $3,171.46 (2-1)
5/24: 80-61-3 + $2,529.79 (1-2)
5/25: 81-62-3 + $2,529.79 (1-1)
5/26: 84-63-3 +$3,431.00 (3-1)
5/29: 87-64-3 +$4,283.77 (3-1)
Updated Record is above.
Didn't go out tonight because I am still recovering from the wkend. Had more time than usual and looked at this card a few times while watching most of the baseball games Tuesday night on MLBTV...After a few glances it seems like a pretty tough card because of the pitching matchups so I will try to narrow this down to 3 games. Going to try to get something going here and build a few winning days in a row, we'll see what happens.
Some thoughts from Tuesday's games.
The Yankees suck, theeeee Yankeeessss Suck... BoSox continue to roll. Royals are in a fadeable funk, Houston just won the title for "Worst team in baseball", Mets stole a game from the Giants, Gorzelanny is a legit stud but Pitt is one of the worst fundamental baseball teams I have ever watched, Whats going on in Chi-Town?, Ervin Santana can only pitch at home (15-3 at home at night), don't go against really hot teams with a shitty team (Rockies/Cards), and I never saw that type of game being played with Smoltz/Sheets on the mound.
Dodgers -1.5 +110 / -146
The Fade the Nats train might be departing again. I had the RL as a lean Tuesday but thought that I should get +money on it..Before Tuesday Nights game the Nats were winners of 6 of their last 8 games, def not the norm for a bad team. Now that run has ended and these AAA pitchers / relievers are going to start getting hit. You don't lose 4 of your top 5 pitchers and play better baseball on a consistent basis, exactly what the Nationals have been doing. In terms of Wins and losses, Lowe is having a bad yr at 4-5 but his numbers are not that bad. He sports a 3.64era over 71ip, 73h, 47k, 27bb and batters hitting .264 off him. On the road he has been pretty much the same with 2-4, 3.97era, 7g, 45.1ip, 45h, 30k, 17bb and batters hitting .260. His numbers do not reflect a pitcher who is 4-5. Now the Nationals are throwing Bacsik who I am sure many have not seen yet this yr. He has faced some terrible offenses that were playing bad baseball at the time (Balt and Cinci).
"Mike Bacsik got his first win in almost three years and the Washington Nationals beat the reeling Cincinnati Reds 4-3 on Thursday night. Bacsik (1-0), in his second start since being recalled from Triple-A Columbus on May 19, scattered four hits over his first seven innings before giving up Alex Gonzalez's two-run homer with two outs in the eighth. He left after 7 2/3 innings, allowing seven hits and four earned runs. The left-hander earned his sixth career win and first since Aug. 4, 2004, when he pitched seven shutout innings in Texas's 8-0 win at Detroit. He allowed one walk and struck out four." - cbssportsline.com
His stats are def nice but I am far from sold on him.
vs. Bal: ND, 6ip, 5h, 0er, 1bb, 1k
@ Cinci: W, 7.2ip, 7h, 3er, 1bb, 4k
Dodgers hit LHP better than RHP and over the last 10 games are hitting LHP at .337. Overall on the yr they are hitting LHP at .262. The Nationals are hitting RHP at .293 in their last 10 games but just .235 on the yr.
Mets -145 / -1.5 +140
I just want to note something. Are the books telling us something here. Look at the two ML's I listed. Mets -145 and Dodgers -146. The difference in RL's though is +110 for the LAD and +140 for the Mets. I take this as it is more likely the LAD win by 2 than it is the Mets win by 2. Anyway, if anyone has watched the $126 million dollar Zito pitch lately you would think he was worth $126 dollars. Yes, Zito went 7ip, 4h, 1er last start but at this point in the season, I think I could do that vs. the Astros. Zito is a 4-5 pitcher who has looked like a 4-5 pitcher unlike Lowe as I said before.. On the road this yr he is 1-3, w/ 6.26era, 4g, 23ip, 21h, 16bb, 10k. On the yr he has a 1:1 K/BB ratio. The Mets love LHP. On the yr they hit LHP at .333 and over their last 10 games at .307. The Mets usually win when Glavine takes the mound (8-3) and he is pretty consistent in what he does. Giants offense is nothing to fear and doesnt hit LHP all that well (.245 overall)... Glavine has pitched better on the road than at home. Although Glavine is 2-0 at home he sports a 4.88era vs. a 2.55 on the road and batters are hitting him at .283 at home vs. .232 on the road. Overall though Glavine needs to stay far away from Bonds (.329 in 82ab, 27h and 4HR).
Reds -102 / Astros -108 / Under 9 -120:
Betting on these two teams should be illegal but the rules of baseball state that one of them has to win the game. The Reds are 7-4 when Harang pitches and he is 5-2 on the yr with a 4.50era. On the road he is 2-1 w/ 4.81era, 5g, 33.2ip, 35h, 27k, 9bb and batters hitting .265 off him. The Astros have now lost 9 games in a row and 11 of their last 12 games. They are hitting RHP at .227 over the 10 game span and .237 overall..They are a very miserable team right now and this is a pretty cheap price to fade them.
Harang and Wandy have each faced their opponents twice this yr.
Harang: 1-0, 4.26era, 2g, 12.2ip, 12h, 6er, 3bb, 10k
Wandy: 0-0, 4.97era, 2g, 12.2ip, 14h, 7er, 2bb, 13k
Wandy is a better pitcher at home and this is what might keep me off the game, that and how bad Reds hit LHP. Wandy is 2-1 w/ 2.32era, 5g, 31ip, 23h, 28k, 7bb and batters are hitting just .211 off him.
Really having re-read what I wrote I had changed my lean from the Reds to prob a no play but left this writeup here for anyone interested in the game. I like Harang but he hasn't exactly lit the world on fire this yr and I am prob late to the Astro fade train. The Astros have to win a game sooner or later and I would hate for it to be when I have my money on the Reds. Lets not forget the Reds are still losers of 7 of their last 10 games while the Astros have lost 9 games in a row. Maybe an under play? Although it is prob just smart to keep 10 feet from this game.
Other games I am going through now:
Marlins +136
WSox +108
Orioles -126
Seattle +102
DRays -105
Still havent looked through the totals really either.
.
