4/17 Bases

[scarf31]

1 Unit Underdogs (ML)= (13-4) +11.54 Units
1 Unit Underdogs (RL) =

1 Unit Favorites (ML) = (10-4) +5.44 Units
1 Unit Favorites (RL) = (2-4) -1.47 Units

1 Unit Totals (Over) = (13-7-1) +6.22 Units
1 Unit Totals (Under) = (1-3) -2.00 Units

2 Unit Totals (Over) = (0-2-1) -4.00 Units
2 Unit Totals (Under) = (1-0) +2.00 Units

2 Unit Underdogs (ML) = (2-0) +4.16 Units
2 Unit Favorites (ML) = (1-1) -0.16 Units

Overall = (43-25-2) +21.73 Units

4/17 Plays

Astros (-141) (4.23/3) LOSS
Padres (+157) (1/1.57) WIN
Over 9 StL/Chi (-138) (2.76/2) WIN
Over 10½ KC/Tex (+109) (1/1.09) <!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->WIN
Mariners (-115) (1.15/1) WIN
Nationals (+117) (1/1.17) LOSS
Over 9 Fla/Was (-117) (1.17/1) LOSS
Mets (-117) (1.17/1) WIN
Over 8½ Col/LA (-131) (2.62/2) LOSS

This is going to be my biggest card of the year. They will be added as I lock the best prices in.

As always, thoughts/criticism/discussion is welcome (either good or bad). Good luck everyone! :cheers:

 

[CrimsonK]

Like it, GL

 

[scarf31]

Astros (-141) (4.23/3)

As a lot of you can see from my record, most of my plays are either 1 or 2 units. However, I found the first play I will make a 3 unit wager on tomorrow in the Astros ML vs. the Reds at Citrus Stadium. I think this number is only going up and I think based upon the following numbers I don't mind laying the juice (which is high for me) on a favorite.

We all know the National League's best pitcher named Roy is one of the top hurlers in the bigs. However to say that he owns Cincinnati is the understatement of the year.

Roy is 23-1 with a 2.47 ERA in 26 games vs. Cincy. I don't think there is one pitcher more dominant in plus/minus wins vs. another team in the majors. Oswalt is 63 games over .500 for his career. But when you take a closer look at his splits, he's a good pitcher on the road, but an outstanding pitcher at home.

Oswalt Road Record = 57-43 with an ERA of 3.65

Oswalt Home Record = 72-23 with an ERA of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.089.

To go a step further with why I am hammering the 'Stros, opposing pitcher
Johnny Cueto is winless (0-3) with an 7.84 ERA in 4 games vs. Houston.

While Oswalt is staggeringly good at home, Cueto in his short career is almost as staggeringly BAD on the road. JC's numbers away from Cincy are as follows:

3 Wins/10 Losses/4.92 ERA/1.543 WHIP

And the icing on the cake (as if these numbers aren't enough) is that Houston dating back to last year has won the last 3 series from Cincy and 8 of the last 10 these 2 teams have played.

Mix in the fact that Cincinnati is at the bottom of the bigs in batting average against RHP (6th worst) and that Berkman and Lee are hitting .500 and .600 respectively vs. Cueto and I am sold on making Houston ML my largest wager of the young season. :tiphat:

 

[scarf31]

Padres (+157) (1/1.57)
Over 9 StL/Chi (-138) (2.76/2)

 

[ManchesterUk]

GL pal.

 

[scarf31]

Thanks ManUK. Gonna be an interesting day to say the least.

Over 10½ KC/Tex (+109) (1/1.09)

 

[scarf31]

Mariners (-115) (1.15/1)
Nationals (+117) (1/1.17)

 

[scarf31]

Over 9 Fla/Was (-117) (1.17/1)

 

[scarf31]

Mets (-117) (1.17/1)

 

[tunasunday]

All over that Astros play Scarf. GL bud.

 

[scarf31]

Thanks Tuna. Hope we cah that 'Stros play, Roy is dealing so far into the 6th.

Over 8½ Col/LA (-131) (2.62/2)

 

[scarf31]

Jose Valverde, when I say I hope you get hit by a bus....I really motherfucking mean it. I mean, I hope you get hit by a speeding bus, and have your heart explode in your chest. Wow, that makes me feel better.

 

[cogenman]

Tough one on the stros scarf. I was on it with you. :shake:

And yeah, fuck Valverde.

 

[scarf31]

Sorry guys, after Valverde fucking me in the ass, (and drinking all Friday night) I'm done for the night....I'll update this fuckery tomorrow......take it easy guys. Long season, one piece of dog shit won't kill me.

 

[scarf31]

1 Unit Underdogs (ML)= (14-5) +12.11 Units
1 Unit Underdogs (RL) =

1 Unit Favorites (ML) = (12-4) +7.44 Units
1 Unit Favorites (RL) = (2-4) -1.47 Units

1 Unit Totals (Over) = (14-8-1) +6.14 Units
1 Unit Totals (Under) = (1-3) -2.00 Units

2 Unit Totals (Over) = (1-3-1) -4.62 Units
2 Unit Totals (Under) = (1-0) +2.00 Units

2 Unit Underdogs (ML) = (2-0) +4.16 Units
2 Unit Favorites (ML) = (1-1) -0.16 Units

3 Unit Favorites (ML) = (0-1) -4.23 Units

4/17 Plays = (5-4) -2.36 Units

Overall = (48-29-2) +19.37 Units