The pain of that Yankee loss as a fan and bettor will have long lasting effects. Just the absolute worst beat I could possible take...5 units each on NY and Under when I called it a 4-3 Yankee win and it was 1 pitch away from a 4-2 win. The loss IMO is on Posada's shoulders. Mo didnt have IT yesterday and should have used his head with Mo's movement just setup over the middle and watch the ball drift left or right. Instead he sets up IN against Scutaro and the ball drifts over the middle of the plate and he jerks it out off the foul pole..must be nice to be lucky....so yeah I am sour thanks to a 21 unit swing that I will never get back
+8.33units
-0.57units
-24.80units
+17.00units
+15.90units(-0.75u)
-6.63units
+16.35units (-1.50u)
-3.75 units
+16.90units
+2.93 units (-1.00 u)
-2.92 units
+3.05 units
-4.65 units (-1.00u)
+35.55 units
-8.48 units (-1.00 u)
Anyway interesting card....
LAA @ Boston : Must have my head in my ass cause earlier in the series I remarked LAA would be tired ending the trip on the East Coast when actually they play two in OAK afer this. The key here is the weather coupled with the Marathon listing this as a 10:05 start....for a West Coast team!! The best part is both teams should be flat facing two guys who throw real hard. We all know about Ervin Santana 's split issues...awesome at home and awful on the road. Well after the CLE start he has said he will be better so lets see if he can folow through. Beckett was solid twice vs LAA last year and Santana was good at home and awful away.....shocking right. Really like how Beckett finished the Spring and started the season . Think he is on right now. LAA has dropped 15 of 19 @ Fenway. Grab the under now and ask questions later..Rick reed behind the dish aids the UNDER....NO PLAYS
KC @ DET: Honestly the NUMBERS do tell the truth here. The Tigers really arent hitting much as evidenced by the Josh Towers gem today. So you have two SP who have exceled early in there starts and have excellent track records in past starts. Well Grienke 's is watered down cause it wasnt against Leyland's tigers. I will lean strong on the under here just dont want to see it move to 7.5 hope it holds 8 runs. Curious as to who the ump is and while I said DET isnt hitting while neither is KC
BALT @ TB: Loewen has walked the danger line in both starts and has struggled vs RHB which is a strength of TBs. He has succcess against NYY cause of the LH heavy lineup and I think the opposite will be true here vs TB. He lasted just 5 innings in both starts so that leaves alot work to do for the pen. TB is off a good series split in Minny. Shields pitched very well late last year @ Camden and Loewen had issues on the road minus all Yankee starts. Loewen was decent in both starts vs TB last year and expect the 6 inning 4 run varietry here. Shields has been real solid vs two good lineups already and did extremely well last AUG @ camden. Like all young SP he has greater success at home. Loewen ERA was 7 on the road last year...with a 10.5 total again thinking under..
Orioles are 22-52 in their last 74 games as a road underdog.
<LI class=more>Devil Rays are 21-8 in their last 29 games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Devil Rays are 41-19 in their last 60 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Mets @ Phils: Maine wasnt sharp last meeting vs philly and there bats started to wakeup this weekend. I dont put much stock in Maines 3 starts in a short span vs Philly last year. He had there number and that was that. Garcia is a question mark. He had his rehab start rained out but made his 1st one in A ball and was strong. Still A ball and ML hitters are a different animal. Waiting on weather and ump info but thinking about an over....cant back Philly with garcia on a short leash...
ATL @ Wash : Sorry fellas but if your looking to hear how aful wash or Chico is skip this. The way I see it james has been solid but both SP stats are misleading. For James he walked away unscathed in some situations that he probably shouldnt have. Where as Chico pitched pretty well in ATL. Forget his 1st start it was his ML debut after never pitching above A ball. Like I said today be cautious of ATL vs LHSP. They just dont hit enough. Chipper hit a big fly today but I imagine with Olsen command issues he locked in on a pitch and hit a meatball. Chico in ATL allowed a solo Hr to Androw Junes in the 4th and got screwed in the 5th . Leadoff batter made out then next man reached on an error. After a hit the next batter was retired inning should have been over. A couple doubles and a few runs socred Chico is pulled the pen adds to the damage and his appearance looks alot WORSE then it was. He should mehe could get these guys out. Its up to the offense though still they cant strand runners. I am not running out to play the Nats ML but probably take a shot +1.5 at home. Wash has hit more the past few games and they have some RH bats in the middle...no opinion yet on the 8.5
Milw @ Cincy: Cappy is much better then Milton. However MILW road chalk again..?? The Brewers just arent that gifted offensively especially with Hall not chipping in . Neither team hits LHP very well as evidenced by the 1 run Cincy scored past 2 games..I have confidence in Milton to get the MILW LH out ist the RH that worry me...Cappy has been shaky at home this year but lead Milw to two wins....Dunn has back issues and Gonzo is still away. Cappy struggled last year and throughout his career with a 4.69 ERA. I still think runs will be at a premium here but have to think Cincy has the edge...Milw 1-9 last 10 starts away for Cappy...5-13 last season....lineups please
SD @ Chi : I simply dont think hensley is right . he had an issue with a blister and while trival in sound it could take away his breaking stuff and make him much more hittable. Cubbies are hittin though and ramirez is probably still out and hensley did throw a CG 2 hitter last may @ Wrigley. Marquis will face the thin SD lineup which will be arriving late from LAD probably... Waiting on more info here but SD swept the series last seaosn and that could lead to a payback angle here
Fla @ Hous: real neutral here. Obviously I like Sanchez vs a very RH lineup . Other then that I really see this as so vanilla...plain and simple...do you think Sanchez reboundsthough?? He hasnt been sharp and Wandy was ion start 1 ...
Pitt @ STL : Expect a solid pitching matchup. With Pirates still not hitting and STL finally notching a win why wouldnt I take the cheap price. Snell is coming of age but still has been a little shaky @ STL though solid on the road. You have to wonder about Reyes long layoff...
SFG @ COL : Zito vs Francis ...Expect a solid outing from both here so UNDER 9.5looks enticing....think Sf bats finally wokeup and versus a LH Duke...so gimme Zito as a dog he spun a gem @ Coors last season and Francis has struggled some with SFG indivually.....
LAD@ Zona : Penny looks sharp right now and while Gonzo has been solid he hasnt been spectular. This play I willmake more heavily based on SP cause I see a wide edge with how Penny is throwing right now....
last few games short and sweet just starting getting tired but have the foundation for tnrw in place and on paper.BOL:cheers:
+8.33units
-0.57units
-24.80units
+17.00units
+15.90units(-0.75u)
-6.63units
+16.35units (-1.50u)
-3.75 units
+16.90units
+2.93 units (-1.00 u)
-2.92 units
+3.05 units
-4.65 units (-1.00u)
+35.55 units
-8.48 units (-1.00 u)
Anyway interesting card....
LAA @ Boston : Must have my head in my ass cause earlier in the series I remarked LAA would be tired ending the trip on the East Coast when actually they play two in OAK afer this. The key here is the weather coupled with the Marathon listing this as a 10:05 start....for a West Coast team!! The best part is both teams should be flat facing two guys who throw real hard. We all know about Ervin Santana 's split issues...awesome at home and awful on the road. Well after the CLE start he has said he will be better so lets see if he can folow through. Beckett was solid twice vs LAA last year and Santana was good at home and awful away.....shocking right. Really like how Beckett finished the Spring and started the season . Think he is on right now. LAA has dropped 15 of 19 @ Fenway. Grab the under now and ask questions later..Rick reed behind the dish aids the UNDER....NO PLAYS
KC @ DET: Honestly the NUMBERS do tell the truth here. The Tigers really arent hitting much as evidenced by the Josh Towers gem today. So you have two SP who have exceled early in there starts and have excellent track records in past starts. Well Grienke 's is watered down cause it wasnt against Leyland's tigers. I will lean strong on the under here just dont want to see it move to 7.5 hope it holds 8 runs. Curious as to who the ump is and while I said DET isnt hitting while neither is KC
BALT @ TB: Loewen has walked the danger line in both starts and has struggled vs RHB which is a strength of TBs. He has succcess against NYY cause of the LH heavy lineup and I think the opposite will be true here vs TB. He lasted just 5 innings in both starts so that leaves alot work to do for the pen. TB is off a good series split in Minny. Shields pitched very well late last year @ Camden and Loewen had issues on the road minus all Yankee starts. Loewen was decent in both starts vs TB last year and expect the 6 inning 4 run varietry here. Shields has been real solid vs two good lineups already and did extremely well last AUG @ camden. Like all young SP he has greater success at home. Loewen ERA was 7 on the road last year...with a 10.5 total again thinking under..
Orioles are 22-52 in their last 74 games as a road underdog.
<LI class=more>Devil Rays are 21-8 in their last 29 games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Devil Rays are 41-19 in their last 60 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Mets @ Phils: Maine wasnt sharp last meeting vs philly and there bats started to wakeup this weekend. I dont put much stock in Maines 3 starts in a short span vs Philly last year. He had there number and that was that. Garcia is a question mark. He had his rehab start rained out but made his 1st one in A ball and was strong. Still A ball and ML hitters are a different animal. Waiting on weather and ump info but thinking about an over....cant back Philly with garcia on a short leash...
ATL @ Wash : Sorry fellas but if your looking to hear how aful wash or Chico is skip this. The way I see it james has been solid but both SP stats are misleading. For James he walked away unscathed in some situations that he probably shouldnt have. Where as Chico pitched pretty well in ATL. Forget his 1st start it was his ML debut after never pitching above A ball. Like I said today be cautious of ATL vs LHSP. They just dont hit enough. Chipper hit a big fly today but I imagine with Olsen command issues he locked in on a pitch and hit a meatball. Chico in ATL allowed a solo Hr to Androw Junes in the 4th and got screwed in the 5th . Leadoff batter made out then next man reached on an error. After a hit the next batter was retired inning should have been over. A couple doubles and a few runs socred Chico is pulled the pen adds to the damage and his appearance looks alot WORSE then it was. He should mehe could get these guys out. Its up to the offense though still they cant strand runners. I am not running out to play the Nats ML but probably take a shot +1.5 at home. Wash has hit more the past few games and they have some RH bats in the middle...no opinion yet on the 8.5
Milw @ Cincy: Cappy is much better then Milton. However MILW road chalk again..?? The Brewers just arent that gifted offensively especially with Hall not chipping in . Neither team hits LHP very well as evidenced by the 1 run Cincy scored past 2 games..I have confidence in Milton to get the MILW LH out ist the RH that worry me...Cappy has been shaky at home this year but lead Milw to two wins....Dunn has back issues and Gonzo is still away. Cappy struggled last year and throughout his career with a 4.69 ERA. I still think runs will be at a premium here but have to think Cincy has the edge...Milw 1-9 last 10 starts away for Cappy...5-13 last season....lineups please
SD @ Chi : I simply dont think hensley is right . he had an issue with a blister and while trival in sound it could take away his breaking stuff and make him much more hittable. Cubbies are hittin though and ramirez is probably still out and hensley did throw a CG 2 hitter last may @ Wrigley. Marquis will face the thin SD lineup which will be arriving late from LAD probably... Waiting on more info here but SD swept the series last seaosn and that could lead to a payback angle here
Fla @ Hous: real neutral here. Obviously I like Sanchez vs a very RH lineup . Other then that I really see this as so vanilla...plain and simple...do you think Sanchez reboundsthough?? He hasnt been sharp and Wandy was ion start 1 ...
Pitt @ STL : Expect a solid pitching matchup. With Pirates still not hitting and STL finally notching a win why wouldnt I take the cheap price. Snell is coming of age but still has been a little shaky @ STL though solid on the road. You have to wonder about Reyes long layoff...
SFG @ COL : Zito vs Francis ...Expect a solid outing from both here so UNDER 9.5looks enticing....think Sf bats finally wokeup and versus a LH Duke...so gimme Zito as a dog he spun a gem @ Coors last season and Francis has struggled some with SFG indivually.....
LAD@ Zona : Penny looks sharp right now and while Gonzo has been solid he hasnt been spectular. This play I willmake more heavily based on SP cause I see a wide edge with how Penny is throwing right now....
last few games short and sweet just starting getting tired but have the foundation for tnrw in place and on paper.BOL:cheers:
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