We have two more day starts to worry about ...
+8.33units
-0.57units
-24.80units
+17.00units
+15.90units(-0.75u)
-6.63units
+16.35units (-1.50u)
-3.75 units
+16.90units
Houston @ Chi
Not that much interest here for me. There seems to be alot of angles that wash eachother out. Marquis does his best work over his career in day starts and we saw how well he pitched last week. The problem I have with him is how some of the STROS own him: Berkman 16/28 8 BBs. , Ensberg 15/32 3hrs , Lee 5/15 2Hrs and Lane 6/18. Thats alot to ignore. Sampson is still an unknown. How long can he go here?? Do you actually weigh the start vs CHI last year....honestly I dont cause that was the Derrick Lee growing pains time period.
There are numbers that make me think this could be low scoring and go under . Then there are equal things which make me feel there will be alot of offense today especially if the SP are gone by the 6th inning. Yesterday I know I was paying 20 cents to much for Lilly and I deserve to lose...here I cant say that I feel Marquis should be -145 for certain..low 130's...maybe not here....and fat FAVS always lose....that was so evident with Oakland last nite..
Marquis has pitched some really solid games vs Hou in the past but again inconsistency.( 5 high quality starts , 4 low quality and one neutral in the past 10). Hosuton doesnt hit much on the road or in day starts BUT this season they have faced quiet strong SP. The Pitt series Duke , Snell and Gorzelanny the weak link( who I have as a high upside guy). The cards they faced Reyes , Wainright and Wells.....Well I said before the Met start Wells could be pretty solid this year and he is exceeding my higher expectations and Wainright is gigantic stud sleeper while Reyes we all know is a young top and up and comer..So as much as HOU Offense sticks maybe its the quality of pitching they have faced...??
So at the end of the day I am done spinning my wheels on this game there is no value unless the wind is blowing out...
Seattle @ Bos
Again how do you measure a team who hasnt played in a week? Sea last game was 4/4. Is it a big deal ...?? I think more for the hitters then anything..pitchers can get there throwing in but nothing is really like facing live pitching in real situations....as Hargrove said its a game to be played NOT praticed....
I think Beckett is throwing his best since his FLA days and Weaver is the UNKNOWN of UNKNOWNS....he had more success in his recent AL days on the road which may benefit him here....he is awful in his career vs LHB and that made his work vs NYM suprising in the postseason...
There is no value for me in Bos at 2 to 1...since the lineup is slumping...its shown improvement but not enough..
If a 10 total popped up maybe I would take a look at the UNDER...though I had wanted to play team total over 5 only saw 5.5 +110 or so....
Props:{ 1unit unless noted}
Berkman -120 TB vs Lee
:cheers: And Cakeoff looking for that Prop havent seen one yet!
+8.33units
-0.57units
-24.80units
+17.00units
+15.90units(-0.75u)
-6.63units
+16.35units (-1.50u)
-3.75 units
+16.90units
Houston @ Chi
Not that much interest here for me. There seems to be alot of angles that wash eachother out. Marquis does his best work over his career in day starts and we saw how well he pitched last week. The problem I have with him is how some of the STROS own him: Berkman 16/28 8 BBs. , Ensberg 15/32 3hrs , Lee 5/15 2Hrs and Lane 6/18. Thats alot to ignore. Sampson is still an unknown. How long can he go here?? Do you actually weigh the start vs CHI last year....honestly I dont cause that was the Derrick Lee growing pains time period.
There are numbers that make me think this could be low scoring and go under . Then there are equal things which make me feel there will be alot of offense today especially if the SP are gone by the 6th inning. Yesterday I know I was paying 20 cents to much for Lilly and I deserve to lose...here I cant say that I feel Marquis should be -145 for certain..low 130's...maybe not here....and fat FAVS always lose....that was so evident with Oakland last nite..
Marquis has pitched some really solid games vs Hou in the past but again inconsistency.( 5 high quality starts , 4 low quality and one neutral in the past 10). Hosuton doesnt hit much on the road or in day starts BUT this season they have faced quiet strong SP. The Pitt series Duke , Snell and Gorzelanny the weak link( who I have as a high upside guy). The cards they faced Reyes , Wainright and Wells.....Well I said before the Met start Wells could be pretty solid this year and he is exceeding my higher expectations and Wainright is gigantic stud sleeper while Reyes we all know is a young top and up and comer..So as much as HOU Offense sticks maybe its the quality of pitching they have faced...??
So at the end of the day I am done spinning my wheels on this game there is no value unless the wind is blowing out...
Seattle @ Bos
Again how do you measure a team who hasnt played in a week? Sea last game was 4/4. Is it a big deal ...?? I think more for the hitters then anything..pitchers can get there throwing in but nothing is really like facing live pitching in real situations....as Hargrove said its a game to be played NOT praticed....
I think Beckett is throwing his best since his FLA days and Weaver is the UNKNOWN of UNKNOWNS....he had more success in his recent AL days on the road which may benefit him here....he is awful in his career vs LHB and that made his work vs NYM suprising in the postseason...
There is no value for me in Bos at 2 to 1...since the lineup is slumping...its shown improvement but not enough..
If a 10 total popped up maybe I would take a look at the UNDER...though I had wanted to play team total over 5 only saw 5.5 +110 or so....
Props:{ 1unit unless noted}
Berkman -120 TB vs Lee
:cheers: And Cakeoff looking for that Prop havent seen one yet!
