312: DUPLESSIS VS STRICKLAND 2

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
We have a PPV. Maybe not the best but there are some good matchups with career making matches for several.

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UFC 312: DUPLESSIS VS STRICKLAND 2​

@ QUDOS BANK ARENA - SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA​


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Lost last week but still up on the year...barely 😁

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UFC 312: DUPLESSIS VS STRICKLAND 2​

@ QUDOS BANK ARENA - SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA

Early Prelims:​

  • 2.06/2 Jubli/Salkilld Under 2½ -103
  • 2/2.00 Quillan Salkilld wins inside distance +100
  • 1/6.00 Jonathan Micallef wins inside distance +600
  • 3/1.28 Kody Steele points handicap -3½ -235
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UFC 312: DUPLESSIS VS STRICKLAND 2​



Early Prelims:
✅2.06/2 Jubli/Salkilld Under 2½ -103
✅2/2.00 Quillan Salkilld wins inside distance +100
❌1/6.00 Jonathan Micallef wins inside distance +600
❌3/1.28 Kody Steele points handicap -3½ -235
[2-2 0.0u]

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ESPN Prelims:​

  • 4/1.43 Cong Wang -280
  • 2/1.46 Brasil/Wang Over 2½ -137
  • 3/3.00 Tom Nolan +100
  • 3/5.64 Jack Jenkins +188
  • 3/1.97 Santos/Jenkins Over 2½ -152
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Forgot the comments lol

ESPN Prelims:
  • Brasil has a 61% striking accuracy w/recent wins over Molly McCann & Shauna Bannon, but Cong’s a different beast with very disciplined footwork and UFC-level-big-power. Cong's cardio may empty Brasil's gas tank too as she unleashed her technical power striking from range with a relentless pace.
  • Nolans advantage in length may be negated as these two are likely to stand in a tight pocket and trade shots. But Nolan will try to slow Borshchev entry with hard straight rights and lateral movement. He also has a good knee up the middle in his arsenal to slow "Slava's" entry.
  • Jenkins will be sky high like all these Aussies tonight. The grappling advantage will be with Santos and he should be a step ahead w/rolling w/Jenkins. I like this one going the distance and the home cooking advantage may pay off.
Main Card:
  • Mathews probably wins but should not be -200 so I'll take a flyer on Prado. He has enough power to threaten if he keeps the fight standing. Jake likes to wrestle and most likely tries to get the fight to the ground where he will have the advantage...likely the reason for the odds.
  • Bellato is a tough customer that throws alot( 6.47 per min) accurately (61% land rate) but I would expect Crute's elite level grappling to neutralize that striking edge by threatening takedowns, clinch battles & BJJ Black Belt. I do expect the Brazilian comes hard early, trying to overwhelm Crute with power strikes by Jimmy has shown good durability and is still rather young.
  • Tafa has real KO power and veteran composure to boot. Even with Teixeira’s 9-inch reach advantage and undefeated record, Tafa’s ability to close distance vs taller opponents(see 62-second KO of Austen Lane)neutralizes Tallison’s physical edge. Teixeira’s 14.87 significant strikes per minute may overwhelm early, but a weak defense (absorbing 9.74 strikes/minute) will leave him vulnerable to Tafa’s power. Justin’s 7 career KOs along with Teixeira’s untested durability vs UFC-level strikers, makes Tafa’s the easy play, so long as he survives the opening barrage.
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UFC 312: DUPLESSIS VS STRICKLAND 2​


Early Prelims:
✅2.06/2 Jubli/Salkilld Under 2½ -103
✅2/2.00 Quillan Salkilld wins inside distance +100
❌1/6.00 Jonathan Micallef wins inside distance +600
❌3/1.28 Kody Steele points handicap -3½ -235

ESPN Prelims:
✅4/1.43 Cong Wang -280
✅2/1.46 Brasil/Wang Over 2½ -137
✅3/3.00 Tom Nolan +100
❌3/5.64 Jack Jenkins +188
❌3/1.97 Santos/Jenkins Over 2½ -152
[5-4 -0.11u]

Main Card:​

  • 2/2.30 Francisco Prado +215
  • 3/3.60 Jimmy Crute +120
  • 3/4.20 Justin Tafa +140
  • 3/1.58 Teixeira/Tafa under 1½ -190

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UFC 312 Bonus Winners:​

Fight of the Night: Rongzhu vs. Kody Steele

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Performance of the Night: Quillan Salkilld

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Performance of the Night: Tallison Teixeira


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Losing night but it was fun. I took every dog on Main and only one ML fav on the night. 🤔

UFC 312: DUPLESSIS VS STRICKLAND 2​

Early Prelims:
✅2.06/2 Jubli/Salkilld Under 2½ -103
✅2/2.00 Quillan Salkilld wins inside distance +100
❌1/6.00 Jonathan Micallef wins inside distance +600
❌3/1.28 Kody Steele points handicap -3½ -235
ESPN Prelims:
✅4/1.43 Cong Wang -280
✅2/1.46 Brasil/Wang Over 2½ -137
✅3/3.00 Tom Nolan +100
❌3/5.64 Jack Jenkins +188
❌3/1.97 Santos/Jenkins Over 2½ -152
Main Card:
❌2/2.30 Francisco Prado +215
⛅3/3.60 Jimmy Crute +120
❌3/4.20 Justin Tafa +140
✅3/1.58 Teixeira/Tafa under 1½ -190
✅3/3.90 Weili Zhang +130
❌3/5.55 Sean Strickland +185
[7-7 -2.63u]
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