Yesterday is the way you would like everyday to go.....
New Jersey Nets +105 {5units} Over 210.5 {1unit}
It seems that there is alot love for the Nuggets at the moment and I honestly ask why?? They have won 4 straight but against who exactly? They won in Sac as 3.5 pt dogs not impressive to me. Especially since if you didnt take them in Sac your now paying about 5 pts more versus a better opponent. They hosted Portland as -7.5 and won by 8 not impressive. They smoked the Lakers who were in the midst of freefall. They really dominanted after the half though(tied at half). Then they smoked the Suns which was nice but since that OT affair @ Dallas the Suns have looked off getting blown out at home vs Det and then @Den. So I am not ready to say DEN is playing well. Yes , Mr. Iverson and Sir Melo are doing quite well.
The Nets arent 100% healthy yet cause now Cliff Robinson is OUT. However they won @ Denver with Cliff doing little and RJ out. Bottomline is the Nets like playing Denver. They have won 9 of 10 and 14 of 20 in the series. Denver has not won in NJ since 2000 losing 6 straight trips.
I cant quite figure out why this line now has Denver favored they are medicore at best away. The line should be were it opened -2 so some value IMO. The Nuggets funk has been so long that they just recently won consecutive home games since the end of Jan. The Nuggets' victory on Thursday night against the Lakers was the first against a team above .500 since winning at Indiana on February 9. It also is their first win against a team that is currently over .500 since beating the Rockets in Houston on January 20. .The Nets improved to 11-5 this season with a starting lineup of Gs Jason Kidd and Vince Carter , C Mikki Moore and Fs Richard Jefferson and Jason Collins .
Iverson is averaging 34.7 points in his last seven games against the Nets, but was held to 18 on 6-of-19 shooting in Denver's 112-102 loss to New Jersey on Jan. 27. Vince Carter scored 40 points for the Nets in that matchup. Anthony is averaging 17.4 points - nearly seven below his career average - in seven games against the Nets.
For me I am not crazy about DEN's bench at the moment . JR Smith is getting back in the mix but for a guy who doesnt say NO to a shot that could be troublesome cause he is working his way back and should be off somewhat. Kleiza now has follwed up both 20+ pt games with 5 and 4 pt efforts.
Under 195.5 Cleveland {3units}
The totals previously were 193 , 191 and 186 in this series. Due to the lack ofbig men for Charlotte they went on a run where they couldnt stop anyone defensively. Now they have somewhat under control but the absence of key offensive layers also makes this a struggle since they dont have good 3pt shooting. Cle will play defense probably not try to quicken the pace with the Dal game on deck. I amnot ready to lay 7 points or even take them here but I dont think anyone scores a 100pts either...I am also thinking that snce there game with LAC snuck over that was the end of there over run and start of a under run... With alot people thinking Cavs line is BIG I wondre if this is not another Hou @ Philly type game. We have to remember who the big men for Char are Hermann and Voskhul(Sp??) . They are missing Primo , May , Emeka , and Breven...could be a great spot for a Charlotte team under as well....
In NY looking hard at the under as well as NYK. The shorthanded aspect for both lends me to the under . I do like NYK but with three key players missing I am concerned that I am fighting for a backdoor cover only. So maybe it sbest to wait till halftime and back play based on Dallas trailing Or leading big....
The game in DET would be a Philly play or pass. The Pistons really didnt seem to miss much vs Dallas. However you would like to think Philly steps it up after such an all around woeful performance. Pistons will probably sit Billups and in that case I had this game at closer to -6.5 . Det will probbaly be looking ahead to the next two games @ Hou and @ SA. If it wasnt for Webber vs Philly and there 3 game home losing streak I owuld entertain a ML play.....
Hornets +1 or better {4units}
I am FULLY aware that I COULD be walking into a sucker bet. First off I think the line is correct its the same as last meeting in Memphis so its not that fishy. Second I dont think the effects of the 4 in 5 spot are that great here. The had the 18th off and everyone played less then 30 minutes last nite. So the past few days havent been that intense for them. Third is they lost the last meeting on the 4th quarter and I dont expect 57% FT shooting for a team in the 72-75% range all season . That lost the game when the margin was 4 pts and they got outscored by 10 in the 4th. Memphis has 17 wins and ZERO consecutive wins! They have not won B2B games all SEASON!! The question becomes can a 10-24 road team be counted to win on the road?? They pulled one out at NY this weekend so why not here?
LA Clippers +8 {4units} ML +330 or better {1unit}
Just like in NJN vs DEN the Clipppers have won 8 of 10 in the series. We all know elton Brand is returning "home". Bulls have some sort of issue playing on 2 days rest going 5-11 SU and 4-12 ATS so this could even be a good ML longshot play. Suddenly LAC is playing well on the road and I will ride it. They are 1 pt away from being 4-0 ATS on the trip. I know CHI is nt a good road team but they looked worse then expected in Philly and Memphis IMO. Now Hinrich is hurting with a foot problem and I just dont see the value in Chi here...
No real opinion on Houston and Indy at the moment....will post the late games later but on both favs though played Wash last nite -2...:cheers:
New Jersey Nets +105 {5units} Over 210.5 {1unit}
It seems that there is alot love for the Nuggets at the moment and I honestly ask why?? They have won 4 straight but against who exactly? They won in Sac as 3.5 pt dogs not impressive to me. Especially since if you didnt take them in Sac your now paying about 5 pts more versus a better opponent. They hosted Portland as -7.5 and won by 8 not impressive. They smoked the Lakers who were in the midst of freefall. They really dominanted after the half though(tied at half). Then they smoked the Suns which was nice but since that OT affair @ Dallas the Suns have looked off getting blown out at home vs Det and then @Den. So I am not ready to say DEN is playing well. Yes , Mr. Iverson and Sir Melo are doing quite well.
The Nets arent 100% healthy yet cause now Cliff Robinson is OUT. However they won @ Denver with Cliff doing little and RJ out. Bottomline is the Nets like playing Denver. They have won 9 of 10 and 14 of 20 in the series. Denver has not won in NJ since 2000 losing 6 straight trips.
I cant quite figure out why this line now has Denver favored they are medicore at best away. The line should be were it opened -2 so some value IMO. The Nuggets funk has been so long that they just recently won consecutive home games since the end of Jan. The Nuggets' victory on Thursday night against the Lakers was the first against a team above .500 since winning at Indiana on February 9. It also is their first win against a team that is currently over .500 since beating the Rockets in Houston on January 20. .The Nets improved to 11-5 this season with a starting lineup of Gs Jason Kidd and Vince Carter , C Mikki Moore and Fs Richard Jefferson and Jason Collins .
Iverson is averaging 34.7 points in his last seven games against the Nets, but was held to 18 on 6-of-19 shooting in Denver's 112-102 loss to New Jersey on Jan. 27. Vince Carter scored 40 points for the Nets in that matchup. Anthony is averaging 17.4 points - nearly seven below his career average - in seven games against the Nets.
For me I am not crazy about DEN's bench at the moment . JR Smith is getting back in the mix but for a guy who doesnt say NO to a shot that could be troublesome cause he is working his way back and should be off somewhat. Kleiza now has follwed up both 20+ pt games with 5 and 4 pt efforts.
Under 195.5 Cleveland {3units}
The totals previously were 193 , 191 and 186 in this series. Due to the lack ofbig men for Charlotte they went on a run where they couldnt stop anyone defensively. Now they have somewhat under control but the absence of key offensive layers also makes this a struggle since they dont have good 3pt shooting. Cle will play defense probably not try to quicken the pace with the Dal game on deck. I amnot ready to lay 7 points or even take them here but I dont think anyone scores a 100pts either...I am also thinking that snce there game with LAC snuck over that was the end of there over run and start of a under run... With alot people thinking Cavs line is BIG I wondre if this is not another Hou @ Philly type game. We have to remember who the big men for Char are Hermann and Voskhul(Sp??) . They are missing Primo , May , Emeka , and Breven...could be a great spot for a Charlotte team under as well....
In NY looking hard at the under as well as NYK. The shorthanded aspect for both lends me to the under . I do like NYK but with three key players missing I am concerned that I am fighting for a backdoor cover only. So maybe it sbest to wait till halftime and back play based on Dallas trailing Or leading big....
The game in DET would be a Philly play or pass. The Pistons really didnt seem to miss much vs Dallas. However you would like to think Philly steps it up after such an all around woeful performance. Pistons will probably sit Billups and in that case I had this game at closer to -6.5 . Det will probbaly be looking ahead to the next two games @ Hou and @ SA. If it wasnt for Webber vs Philly and there 3 game home losing streak I owuld entertain a ML play.....
Hornets +1 or better {4units}
I am FULLY aware that I COULD be walking into a sucker bet. First off I think the line is correct its the same as last meeting in Memphis so its not that fishy. Second I dont think the effects of the 4 in 5 spot are that great here. The had the 18th off and everyone played less then 30 minutes last nite. So the past few days havent been that intense for them. Third is they lost the last meeting on the 4th quarter and I dont expect 57% FT shooting for a team in the 72-75% range all season . That lost the game when the margin was 4 pts and they got outscored by 10 in the 4th. Memphis has 17 wins and ZERO consecutive wins! They have not won B2B games all SEASON!! The question becomes can a 10-24 road team be counted to win on the road?? They pulled one out at NY this weekend so why not here?
LA Clippers +8 {4units} ML +330 or better {1unit}
Just like in NJN vs DEN the Clipppers have won 8 of 10 in the series. We all know elton Brand is returning "home". Bulls have some sort of issue playing on 2 days rest going 5-11 SU and 4-12 ATS so this could even be a good ML longshot play. Suddenly LAC is playing well on the road and I will ride it. They are 1 pt away from being 4-0 ATS on the trip. I know CHI is nt a good road team but they looked worse then expected in Philly and Memphis IMO. Now Hinrich is hurting with a foot problem and I just dont see the value in Chi here...
No real opinion on Houston and Indy at the moment....will post the late games later but on both favs though played Wash last nite -2...:cheers:
Do you really think they'll shoot that crappy again? It would be possible but I don't think Denver has been more confident this season than now. It's about the whole team clicking on another level, you know as well as I do that you don't just beat Phoenix by chance. The Suns might have had a bad day at the office but Denver imposed their game, they're on a roll right now and even though as I said, I'm not a fan of playing them as favs here, I just like the situation both teams are in.
