296 ~ Colby Time

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss

UFC 296 ~ Colby Time​

Early Prelims
  • 3/2.97 SHAMIL GAZIEV -101
  • 2/3.20 GAZIEV vs BUDAY u1½ +160
  • 3/1.94 ANDRE FILI -155
  • 3/1.79 TAGIR ULANBEKOV -168
  • 2/4.90 TAGIR ULANBEKOV inside the distance +245
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  • 296 should start with a bang, 2 big HWs with only 1 loss between them. Not sure if Gaziev can go hard for 15 minutes or keep up pace with Buday, but I doubt he needs to. All he needs to do is keep the fight standing long enough to catch Martin with his powerful right. I'll chance the dog getting an early finish in this spot.
  • Fili/Almeida should be fun as both guys like to strike and push pace. Almeida has the power while File is more skilled and faster. Andre may also use his wrestling with surprise takedown(s) early. It would be a smart thing to do since Lucas can sleep him with a single blow.
  • Tagir Ulanbekov will step a level with the scrappy Durden. Tagir will engage right away and try and drag Cody down where he will G-n-P until a sub-option presents...but don't undersell Cody as he's an excellent wrestler and will be quite a test at least for the 1sr round maybe 2, but Tagir will wear him down and likely get a finish in the 2nd half of the fight.
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Hope Colby gets knoced the fuck out and fast

He's making UFC seem as fake as WWE and he knows how to play the crowd

Leon should destroy that actor
 
Hope Colby gets knoced the fuck out and fast

He's making UFC seem as fake as WWE and he knows how to play the crowd

Leon should destroy that actor
You and everyone else. He succeeded in that...getting bigtime heat from almost everyone :rofl:

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You and everyone else. He succeeded in that...getting bigtime heat from almost everyone :rofl:

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He's the biggest puppet in that sport. Being used worse than a two dollar whore.

What's funny is the people who think he's playing them...problem is anyone with a pulse reads through it. He trash.
 
He's the biggest puppet in that sport. Being used worse than a two dollar whore.

What's funny is the people who think he's playing them...problem is anyone with a pulse reads through it. He trash.
It’s definitely an act. But it’s also accomplishing his goal, as fucked up as it may be
 

UFC 296 ~ Colby Time​

ESPN Prelims​

  • 3/1.80 CASEY O'NEILL -167
  • 1/12.00 Casey ONeill in Round 1 by Submission +1200
  • 2.55/4 BRIAN KELLEHER +157
  • 3/3.03 KELLEHER vs GARBRANDT o2½ +101
  • 4/2.26 Irene Aldana -177
  • 4/1.48 DUSTIN JACOBY -270
  • 3/1.68 MENIFIELD vs JACOBY o1½ -179
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  • Oneill should prove too much if she can get Lipski to the ground. I think she can and will get the early sub finish.
  • Both these bantamweights seem like they've been around a very long time, even with Cody only 32...he's been on top before, but it seems like ancient history when he beat Cruz 12/30/16 for the title. Since then he's 2-5 with many setbacks. The UFC serves him up a winnable fight tonight if only he had a little more left in the tank. I think he's already aged out early and won't be able to go hard enough, and can see Kelleher getting after him by round 3 and possibly getting a finish or it's probably a close decision.
  • Aldana has the size, reach, and more top-level experience. She should be able to control the striking and cruise to an easy non-descript decision.
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  • Kind of surprised Jacoby is such a big favorite tonight, but if you look closely; even with Menifield's considerable improvement in the last couple of years it's still hard to find any area where he's prover better than Dustin. Sure he can land a big shot and get an upset, but more likely Jacoby sits back counters everything Alonzo throws, and pieces him up for a unanimous decision. He may even mix in some takedowns and wrestling as he can pretty much take the fight wherever he likes.
 
The rest will be lots of fun but mostly hard to bet because of the odds.

UFC 296 ~ Colby Time​

Early Prelims​

✅3/2.97 SHAMIL GAZIEV -101
✅2/3.20 GAZIEV vs BUDAY u1½ +160
✅3/1.94 ANDRE FILI -155
✅3/1.79 TAGIR ULANBEKOV -168
✅2/4.90 TAGIR ULANBEKOV inside the distance +245

ESPN Prelims​

❌3/1.80 CASEY O'NEILL -167
❌1/12.00 Casey ONeill in Round 1 by Submission +1200
❌2.55/4 BRIAN KELLEHER +157
❌3/3.03 KELLEHER vs GARBRANDT o2½ +101
4/2.26 Irene Aldana -177
4/1.48 DUSTIN JACOBY -270
3/1.68 MENIFIELD vs JACOBY o1½ -179

[5-4 +5.25u]

Main Card​

  • 2.13/5 Josh Emmett +235
  • 1.11/3 Tony Ferguson +270
  • 1/2.62 SHAVKAT RAKHMONOV BY DECISION +262
  • 3/1.91 THOMPSON vs RAKHMONOV o1½ -15
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  • Emmit at +220 with a full camp and some of the biggest power in the division, what am I missing here? I know Bryce is an excellent wrestler with good subs, but as durable as he is...I don't think he can take many shots from Josh,
  • Tony has a decent chance tonight I do believe. Paddy looks to be in better shape though than any of his previous UFC scraps. He's obviously not taking Tony lightly. I just can't lat -310 with "The Baddy" though so I'll play some odd prop.
  • Wonder Boy is likely overmatched tonight but I just don't see how the #6 WW is a +550 dog to anyone. I think Thompson keeps it close as long as he keeps it standing. But chances are Shavkat eventually gets it to the ground and wears on Stephen, maybe for a finish but a one-sided decision at worst but still can't lay odd like that, but I do like the over.


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This is Tony's last fight on his contract for 500k, cant imagine the UFC resigning him, so win or lose this is likely it for Tony
 
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296 ~ The Colby Show​


Early Prelims​

✅3/2.97 SHAMIL GAZIEV -101
✅2/3.20 GAZIEV vs BUDAY u1½ +160
✅3/1.94 ANDRE FILI -155
✅3/1.79 TAGIR ULANBEKOV -168
✅2/4.90 TAGIR ULANBEKOV inside the distance +245

ESPN Prelims​

❌3/1.80 CASEY O'NEILL -167
❌1/12.00 Casey ONeill in Round 1 by Submission +1200
❌2.55/4 BRIAN KELLEHER +157
❌3/3.03 KELLEHER vs GARBRANDT o2½ +101
✅4/2.26 Irene Aldana -177
❌4/1.48 DUSTIN JACOBY -270
✅3/1.68 MENIFIELD vs JACOBY o1½ -179

Main Card​

✅2.13/5 Josh Emmett +235
❌1.11/3 Tony Ferguson +270
1/2.62 SHAVKAT RAKHMONOV BY DECISION +262
3/1.91 THOMPSON vs RAKHMONOV o1½ -15

[8-6 +9.08u] :hypnosis:

Co-Main Event​

  • 4/2.00 Alexandre Pantoja -200
  • 1.68/2 ROYVAL vs PANTOJA o2½ +119
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  • Should be a great co-main with the 2 best flyweights in the world. Royval has some length and is a solid striker that will definitely land some licks before Pantoja can get it to the mat. I can see Royval bouncing back up a time or 2 but will likely wear down from Alexandre's superior grappling over 5 rounds if he's unable to land some bombs. He will try and it should be maybe the most exciting fight of the night...at least on paper. I'll roll with the champ but could definitely see it either way.
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It goes to show the fights aren't played out on paper as the co-main had the makings of fight-of-the-night but just did not deliver.

296 ~ The Colby Show

Early Prelims​

✅3/2.97 SHAMIL GAZIEV -101
✅2/3.20 GAZIEV vs BUDAY u1½ +160
✅3/1.94 ANDRE FILI -155
✅3/1.79 TAGIR ULANBEKOV -168
✅2/4.90 TAGIR ULANBEKOV inside the distance +245

ESPN Prelims​

❌3/1.80 CASEY O'NEILL -167
❌1/12.00 Casey ONeill in Round 1 by Submission +1200
❌2.55/4 BRIAN KELLEHER +157
❌3/3.03 KELLEHER vs GARBRANDT o2½ +101
✅4/2.26 Irene Aldana -177
❌4/1.48 DUSTIN JACOBY -270
✅3/1.68 MENIFIELD vs JACOBY o1½ -179

Main Card​

✅2.13/5 Josh Emmett +235
❌1.11/3 Tony Ferguson +270
❌1/2.62 SHAVKAT RAKHMONOV BY DECISION +262
✅3/1.91 THOMPSON vs RAKHMONOV o1½ -15

Co-Main Event​

✅4/2.00 Alexandre Pantoja -200
✅1.68/2 ROYVAL vs PANTOJA o2½ +119
[11-7 +13.99u] :cool:

Main Event​

  • 3/4.02 COLBY COVINGTON +134
  • 3.48/3 COVINGTON vs EDWARDS o4½ -174
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  • Edwards it as his peak and he gets Colby after a 2 year hiatus. Sounds pretty good for the champ. but after Colby got in his head at the presser it could prove the small edge he needs to go over. Honestly, they appear very close on paper with each doing something a little better. Colby will press forward using his wrestling and cardio for the full 25 minutes if allowed. Leon has to alter that plan with deft movement and accurate striking to make Colby hesitate just a bit. I think maybe these demons running around in his head may prevent that shrewd execution. This is a very close matchup IMHO and could go either way, but I'll side with the dog and the over. Let's fucking go!!
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I would have thought the bookies would need Leon, figuring most folk would fade Colby wanting to see him fucked up. But apparently money gas came in on both sides.
 
Yep. I swear I saw a limp on his walk out. Seemed like maybe left leg?
He's a celebrity now

At least Bones just went straight to hard drugs to deal with the pressure, that's why he's the GOAT

Colby needs attention that drugs can't offer
 
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