295

[mrpickem]

MSG baby even without Jones should be a good night at the fights

• Fight 1 - Emmers makes far too many mental mistakes to be laying 250. Buzukja(11-3) will be in front of home crowd and needs to show well to further his career. I would expect he presses forward without much caution. His striking is at least as good as Emmers so if he's the one pressing it'll look good to judges. This bout should easily sail over 2.5 rounds.
• Fight 2 - Two solid flyweight strikers up next with Van(8-1) a little better so long as he's able to maintain range. Borjas(9-1) will try to get close to use his inside boxing but may eat too many kicks and looping punches from the younger fighter while trying to reach his preferred range. Over 1.5 rounds should be good although an anytime finish would not surprise.
• Fight 3 - There were some weight issues as the fight was changed to 138lb catchweight late, not sure which fighter needed extra couple pounds but both weighed in 138/137.6 respectively. Castaneda probably cuts more weight but Kang is 36 so I'm sure they were both happy with the extra leeway. Kangs grappling could get him the win if he can neutralise Castaneda's heavy-handed forward pressure. this will be a coin-flip call.
• Fight 4 - Madsen (12-1) has exceptional wrestling and if he's able to secure his takedowns it'll be a long night for Gordon. It's been 1 year since Mark suffered his first loss in his last fight(sub-loss to Grant Dawson) while Gordon has only 1 win in his last 4 fights, inc a somewhat controversial loss to Paddy Pimlett and a NC off the head butt last time out ve Bobby Green. If Gordon keeps the fight standing, no doubt he will be able to control the action. Another very close call, but I'll take the dog.

UFC 295​

Early Prelims

• 2/4.30 Dennis Buzukja +215
• 3/1.30 BUZUKJA vs EMMERS o2½ -230
• 3/1.35 JOSHUA VAN -223
• 3/1.41 BORJAS vs VAN) o1½ -213
• 3/3.39 KYUNG HO KANG +113
• 2.30/4 MARK MADSEN +174
• 3/1.17 MADSEN vs GORDON o2½ -256

 

[mrpickem]

Tough start, coming back now


[2-5 -10.54u]

UFC 295​

ESPN Prelims

• 4/2.68 NAZIM SADYKHOV -149
• 4/1.82 Mateusz Rebecki Inside Distance -220
• 4/3.39 LOOPY GODINEZ BY 3 RD DECISION -118
• 4/6.76 Alessandro Costa +169

• Fight 5 - Both guys can bang in this 155 contest. However, Sadykhov's excellent ground game should prove the difference. Through 2 fights the "Black Wolf" has secured 100% of his takedown attempts.
• Fight 6 - Roberts(12-3) got a short-notice chance to return to the UFC after being away for over 2 years, he did secure 2 wins outside the UFC and was 4-3-1 in his first run. He has a big length advantage and solid jiu-jitsu with an uncanny ability to strike in the pocket. However, he's a huge underdog to "Rebeasti". We can expect Rebecki(18-1) to secure takedowns as needed and control from the top with plenty on G-n-P. So far no one has been able to slow the Pole. Of note: Roberts missed weight at 138 but somewhat forgivable on such short notice. Hard to play but FAV dominates.
• Fight 7 - Two young strawweights battle next with the winner moving into a true contender role. Ricci(9-1) is well-rounded with power in her strikes and is an excellent wrestler but Loopy(11-3) probably delivers a little more pop in her strikes and has shown better movement afoot. She could have trouble on the ground but has shown great TDD by way of a very active offense, I like Loopy and the over.
• Fight 8 - Erceg(10-1) looked great in his debut fight but will meet much tougher opposition tonight. Costa(13-3) can win this fight anywhere it goes and he will dish out a punishing array of leg and body kicks before the fighters even fully engage. Do not understand the odds here as I see "NoNo" battering Erceg on the feet and ground before eventually getting the finish.

 

[pb278817]

2 29-28 for loopy and a 30-27 for ricci. Refs are back at it

 

[pb278817]

Did I hear that right? Same ref had on
A couple fights ago had 10-9 and the other 2 had 10-8 for opposite guy?

 

[mrpickem]

UFC 295
Early Prelims
2/4.30 Dennis Buzukja +215
3/1.30 BUZUKJA vs EMMERS o2½ -230
3/1.35 JOSHUA VAN -223
3/1.41 BORJAS vs VAN o1½ -213
3/3.39 KYUNG HO KANG +113
2.30/4 MARK MADSEN +174
3/1.17 MADSEN vs GORDON o2½ -256

[2-5 -10.54u]

ESPN Prelims
4/2.68 NAZIM SADYKHOV -149
4/1.82 Mateusz Rebecki Inside Distance -220
4/3.39 LOOPY GODINEZ BY 3 RD DECISION -118
4/6.76 Alessandro Costa +169

[4-5-1 -5.33u]

UFC 295​

Main Card

• 4/4.20 DIEGO LOPES +105
• 2/2.26 DIEGO LOPES INSIDE DISTANCE +113
• 3/2.61 LOPES vs SABATINI u2½ -115
• 3/1.37 BENOIT SAINT-DENIS -219

she does have a nice ass

• Fight 9 - Should be a fun fight to kick off the main card. Both guys still have work to do in their striking while they are both very experienced on the ground. Sabatini is more established(5-1 in UFC) but has never faced someone with the length and elite jiu-jitsu that Lopes brings. Lopes is super dangerous off his back and will likely find himself there at some point. Yet another razor-thin call for me, but I'll back Lopes to find the sub.
• Fight 10 - Both guys come in on a nice streak with Frovola(11-3-1) winning the last 3 and Saint Denis(12-1) winning the last 4. Both guys come forward throwing big shots, and they will both land some. I think Saint Denis' chin will hold up better/longer and he can get the finish eventually although both fighters will come out damaged.
• Fight 11 - Not a fan of Dern(13-3) or Andrade, would usually back Jessica but she's shown some definite decline so it's probably Dern's fight to win, still I will root for Andrade, just no bet for me.
• Co-Main Event - coming soon :/
• Main Event - not just yet ...
  

 

[mrpickem]

The prez is in the house, lets fucking fo!

 

[pb278817]

That was sick

 

[mrpickem]

• Co-Main Event - This would be the true main event if both fighters would have got a full camp, still it should prove to be a real banger for as long as it last. Pavlovich(18-1) has the power advantage while Aspinall has the speed and grappling advantages. We won't know for sure until Sergie lands a big shot, if Aspinall(13-3) takes it well he will be ready to roll. I expect there will be some big punches thrown early before Aspinall goes for the takedown. He would probably be better off shooting sooner than later as I see the Russian power too much on this night with an early KO for Pavlovich and I am a huge Aspinall fan...just don't see it coming on the couch in 2 weeks, not against this guy.

Main Card
4/4.20 DIEGO LOPES +105
2/2.26 DIEGO LOPES INSIDE DISTANCE +113
3/2.61 LOPES vs SABATINI u2½ -115
3/1.37 BENOIT SAINT-DENIS -219

[8-6-1 +1.11u]

UFC 295​

Co-main event:

• 4/3.74 SERGEI PAVLOVICH -107
• 1.84/3 ASPINALL vs PAVLOVICH o1½ +163

 

[mrpickem]

Fuck dern, I love it even if I didn;'t have the balls to bet it

https://dubz.link/c/4b362b

 

[mrpickem]

UFC 295​

Main Event
[8-8-1 -4.73u]

• 6.10/5 ALEX PEREIRA -122

• Main Event - Two of the best strikers in the UFC, both with very different styles. Prochazka(29-3-1) will throw anything and everything with his unorthodox attacks. Maybe his chin will prove fresh after his injury layoff, as well as ring rust and the strength and durability of his repaired shoulder. Pereira(8-2) is more technical and was very cautious in his matchup with power striker Blachowicz, so maybe we will see him a bit subdued tonight as well, at least for a couple of rounds. His long history in Glory makes him a bit more chinny, but I still look for "Poatan" to get it done with his power now that he's at a more natural weight.

Congrats to Tom, he's my favorite HW. To do this on 2 weeks' notice pushes his star much higher IMHO.