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2025 NFL FUTURES /WEEK 1 ACTION.+ FANTASY FOOTBALL

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Proud Member of Bills Mafia
What's up CTG FAMILY???

Hope you're all having a great summer in fantastic health !!!

While not trying to wish the short Buffalo summer away I'm anxiously looking forward to the start of minicamp and the first regular season kickoff.

Would appreciate seeing others futures and week 1 bets/leans ...Many thanks in advance for your time ..


May this be your most profitable season to date












GO BILLS 💙♥️🤍
 
Week 1

While I don't like betting week 1 too early as injuries can obviously happen during the preseason , however I strongly believe these are 2 clubs going in opposite directions ..Don't trust JJ McCarthy in his first road start on MNF. Meanwhile the Bears had an excellent off-season on paper, give them an solif chance at a playoff spot this season ..

2 units

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Week 1 leans


PATRIOTS -3
For what it's worth my numbers have this spread at -7.02;.... Son and I have been loading up on Drake Maye rookies since last October. Predicting the Patriots to win 9-11 games , while I don't think the Raiders win more than 6 or 7 ...




RAVENS. Team total over
Much bigger game for the Ravens IMO. Lamar has been talking all off-season about vengeance for the post season loss. Baltimore.
BALTIMORE TEAM TOTAL OVER might be the best bet on the whole week 1 slate ..Win or lose I think the Ravens score 30+ ..
Bills secondary has almost zero chemistry with rookie Strong likely CB2 , Safety Bishop limited time in preseason.
Can't wait to see the player props 😍




BRONCOS -7.5
Might not be a worse place right now to start your first game as a rookie QB than Denver.
Ward could be running for his life .Broncos ML ATS and team total look like insta bets for staggered amounts .
 
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Projected Minimum and Maximum wins

RAVENS. 8.1 14
BENGALS. 6.4. 11.3
STEELERS. 6.1. 11
BROWNS. 2.1. 8.3

BILLS. 8.3 14.2
PATRIOTS 5.8. 11.1
DOLPHINS 4.4 9.5
JETS. 4.2. 9.4

TEXANS. 6.6 11.3
JAGUARS. 4.9 10.6
COLTS 4.4 10.2
TITANS. 2.1. 8.1

CHIEFS. 7.9 13.4
BRONCOS. 7.5 13
CHARGERS. 6.2. 11.4
RAIDERS. 3.9 9.7
 
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EAGLES. 8.4. 13.7
RED WOLVES . 6.4. 11.5
COWBOYS. 6.4. 11.3
GIANTS. 3.9 9.3

PACKERS. 7. 12.2
LIONS. 7.3. 12.4
BEARS. 6. 11.4
VIKINGS. 5.8 11.3

PANTHERS 5.4. 10.9
BUCCS. 6.3 11.6
FALCONS. 5.7 11.2
AINTS. 1.8. 6.7

RAMS. 6.7 12.1
49ERS. 6.5 11.8
SKYRATS. 5.7. 11.1
CARDINALS. 4.4 9.9
 
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Point Spread Ratings ( For week 1 only, NOT for hypothetical matchups )

RAVENS. 103.02
BENGALS. 95.39
STEELERS. 95.38
BROWNS. 87.46. HF +2.23

BILLS. 96.98 HF+2.62 ( injuries to secondary and Shakir ?)
PATRIOTS. 94.09. HF+2.97
DOLPHINS. 90.63
JETS. 90.53. HF+2.01

TEXANS 95.37
JAGUARS 90.20. HF+2.47
COLTS. 89.71 HF +2.43
TITANS. 84.92

CHIEFS. 98.09
BRONCOS. 95.78. HF+3.09
CHARGERS. 95.05
RAIDERS. 90.38
 
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NFC

EAGLES. 99.62 HF+2.33
RED WOLVES . 96.03. HF +2.10
COWBOYS. 94.93
GIANTS 91.95

PACKERS. 97.41. HF+2.86
LIONS. 97.40
BEARS. 95.63. HF+2.64
VIKINGS. 93.58

PANTHERS 94.29
FALCONS 93.84. HF+2.71
BUCCANEERS 93.11
AINTS 83.18. HF+2.03

RAMS. 97.97. HF+2.51
49ERS. 95.18
SEAHAWKS. 94.33 HF+2.93
CARDINALS. 90.73
 
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Power Rankings

SUPERBOWL Contenders ?

1. EAGLES Have to put them here for now. Imo they would have beat the BILLS by 12-20+ points in the SB ....I might be fading them early when they're laying 5+ points ..
Roster is loaded...


2 . RAVENS Think they have the best team in the league entering the season....Might have been a coin flip in the Super Bowl if they played the Eagles. Eventually the wheels have to fall off Henry , don't they ? Probably not as he seems like some sort of Marvel Super hero.


3 . BILLS
For the 3rd straight season the LACK of defensive depth doomed the Bills in the Playoffs. Losing by only 3 points to the Chiefs despite a battered defense that was forced to play Kair Elam who might not be able to make my daughter's high school flag football team. ..
Couldn't be happier that the BILLS went ALL IN on defense in the draft. Young Fresh contributors /depth with potential on the cheap is key for trying to find the necessary free agents pieces over the next few years. ( Also resign upcoming fa)
Probably a good thing both the versatile Hoecht and large Ogunjobi are suspended for 6 weeks lol. ( Bye is conveniently week 7 ) .. Opening up early playing time at positions with heavy competitions..(CB/S/DT/DE)

Excited to see an offense that could be even better that last season when they led the league in points..The everyone eats mantra set franchise records..Not having to force balls to Diggs was a revelation ....Shakir has elite hands ( catch rate ) and ability after the catch in traffic..
Coleman was ascending before he got hurt, looks in much better shape now, expecting big things... Kincaid was banged up most of ly , still had some nice metrics. Elijah Moore and Josh Palmer are interesting new pieces ( huge if both caught 35-50+ balls ..Palmer instantly has the best speration rate % on the roster ..Moore has never been a part of consistent passing attack , seems like the perfect fit .)
O line is the best the Bills have had since the SB years imo as they all return ...
Ray Davis and Ty Johnson are key players behind James Cook. ..

* But hard at Safety during training camp .




4 CHIEFS. Could face a real challenge down the stretch for the division crown .
. Have some questions about the O Line and some of the new holes on defense.
Of course they're live for another Superbowl appearance thou.



5. LIONS Stepping back, but still very good ?? Losing both coordinators has to seriously sting , right ?
Will always wonder if the injury big didn't bite so many key players if they would have went to the Super Bowl ( and won ?) ???



6. . BRONCOS
Serious threat for the division ....LOVE the off-season additions bringing in Hufanga, Greenlaw ( IF they can stay healthy ) and draft pick Baron to the defense ..Sean Payton will find all kinds of ways to Use Engram effectively, Harvey and Dobbins should be a major upgrade to the running game ....
.If Nix is the real deal they'll be a contender for the next 6+ seasons ..


7. . PACKERS.
Division is a buzzsaw ...O Line is fantastic as well as the Safeties ( often play 3 ). Seems smart that they drafted 2 WR'S in the first 3 rounds.( Golden was high on my list ) . Savion Williams might be the next DEEBO or Cordarrelle Paterson. Okay maybe those are way too lofty expectations, but he seems like the perfect fit for this offense ..
Cornerback is a major concern , although it's possible addition by substraction shipping Zaire Alexander out)


8. RAMS
Almost came all the way back and beat the Eagles in the snow. Front 7 should dominate all the average O Lines around the league. Adams is going to open it up for everyone around him.
* Do have some major concerns about Stafford's back ..


9 . Washington RED WOLVES
I'm down on them to start the season , but they might be as good as any team on the list ..Regression seems likely but is far from certain .









GUESS you could call these teams SUPER BOWL CONTENDERS ???


10 CHARGERS
Hope they beat the Chiefs week 1 ..
Impressed with Harbaugh. Gut feeling they're in a 3 way battle for the division title ( that likely falls short)


11 49ERS Slipping ?? Wanted to bet the season wins under but the schedule is charmin soft on paper.

12. TEXANS Division looks fairly easy ..Do have major concerns about the O Line!!!






Could be dangerous IF?? they get in the playoffs

13. BEARS
Might cakewalk to a division crown if they were in either the AFC or NFC SOUTH ..Big Step forward ? Excited to see what the new staff can do. Wouldn't be surprised if they either won the division by 2+ games , or lost 10+ games ...
My favorite week 1 bet on the board right now ..

14 COWBOYS
Don't sleep on them this season. Could be live right out of the gate catching 7...


15. PATRIOTS
To make playoffs at +150 or better is enticing. Waiting on Kyle Williams receiving props.



16. BENGALS
Surprised they kept Higgins ...Might have hamstrung the team for a few seasons. Defense could be Swiss cheese .

17. PANTHERS
Believe there is plenty of value on them across the board right now 🤑💲...Maybe they only win 7-8 games outright , but I wouldn't be surprised if they're one of the best teams ATS ..


18. FALCONS

19 . VIKINGS
Can we really trust JJ MCCARTHY ??
The schedule is absolutely brutal.
Will the adjusted O line hold up ??
Have concerns about the 2nd CB and the 3rd safety ( which DC Flores likes to play in his schemes ) .
That being said the roster seems loaded for success.
Don't laugh but Sam Howell might be one of the top 5 backups in the league

20 . STEELERS

21 BUCCANEERS







Alive for the playoffs with 4 games left ?


22 SEAHAWKS
Could be in much better hands with Darnold , or will he being seeing ghosts again ?

23. GIANTS
One of my *sleeper teams this season.
Think the defense will ascend into the top 10 if they're not left on the field too long ..
Im a big of "Brain" Daboll being able to develop a young QB with potential. Dart might be a steal where he was drafted.

24. JAGUARS.
Bullish on Trevor Lawrence this fall.
They've massively upgraded the WR position over the last 2 off seasons. Like the improvements on the O line and secondary as well . Appear to have a punchers chance at winning the division..

25. DOLPHINS
Can Tua stay healthy ? O line looks like a mess , defense appears to have gaping holes especially at in the secondary














With some luck, health and improvement they might make the playoffs. Or they could draft in the first 8 picks ..


26. CARDINALS



27 . COLTS
Are either of these QBs any good ? Probably not .

28. . JETS







Fighting for the #1 pick ??

29. RAIDERS Might play spoiler

30. BROWNS
Schedule is brutal , Flacco might pull an upset or two early on .

31. TITANS
Rooting for Cam Ward

32. AINTS
Historically bad ??
 
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PPR Fantasy football rankings

No matter how much they try to change the NFL my strategy for winning fantasy leagues has remained the same = HAMMER the RUNNING BACKS EARLY and OFTEN.
RB is, and always will be the most shallow position ( even if the NFL expands to 40+ teams LOL) ..

In a 1 QB fantasy league with 12 or less owners I strongly recommend waiting until rounds 10-13 to draft your first and possibly only QB on your roster ...

Don't get me wrong I like the top tier WR , but with 32 teams there are at least 60+ of them I wouldn't mind drafting including sleepers ( maybe more ...
 
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Switching gears

These are some of my favorite low risk , possibly high reward degenerate futures every season. Probably end up spending around 1 unit on these ($200)

DIVISION WINNER PARLAY
$2.45 to win over $10k

BILLS/RAVENS/JAGS/BRONCOS
RED WOLVES/PACKERS/FALCONS/RAMS

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One my favorite WR futures on the board.

Matthew GOLDEN OVER 675.5 YARDS
10 units
Highly doubt the Packers drafted Golden so early to keep him under wraps ..Believe they got an absolute steal at 23..First WR the Pack haven drafted in the 1st round in 23 years..Went through living in dumpy motels/sleeping overnight outside Walmarts with his mom to the NFL..This league loves feel good soap operas( or any other super drama lol)

He might instantly be the top target, or at the very least if healthy all season = 750+ yards
..It's not like this WR core has stayed healthy and/or been consistent...GOLDEN should take the top off the defense..My numbers have 54-750 5td floor to 82-1122 , 10td ceiling

.
Wanted to hammer this at it's opening of 625.5 but was limited to $25.🤣🤣.Came back and bet it at 650.5 for $214/200, but that doesn't count here 🎻


Finally able to get 10 units ( to win $2k) 💲🤑






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My favorite week 1 bet/parlay on the board.
Point spread ratings have BRONCOS -13.10 & PATRIOTS -7.02

+104 to win 4 units

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My favorite to make playoffs bet on the board..
Broncos are as high as -150 in some spots ...The price just dropped here to +100 at our sportsbook ( was -120) ...

To Win 7.5 units

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Probably the most expensive division parlay I put in. Which isn't saying much as it's still low risk .lol


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Back to week 1.
Not sure the Chargers should be the dog week 1.
Wonder if the Chiefs have a Super Bowl hangover ? Parlaying LA with my favorite week 1 bet Broncos ML for a little odds boost..

1 unit ($200) to win $376

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PPR Fantasy football rankings

No matter how much they try to change the NFL my strategy for winning fantasy leagues has remained the same = HAMMER the RUNNING BACKS EARLY and OFTEN.
RB is, and always will be the most shallow position ( even if the NFL expands to 40+ teams LOL) ..

In a 1 QB fantasy league with 12 or less owners I strongly recommend waiting until rounds 10-13 to draft your first and possibly only QB on your roster ...

Don't get me wrong I like the top tier WR , but with 32 teams there are at least 60+ of them I wouldn't mind drafting including sleepers ( maybe more ...

1. CHASE. WR Should be the #1 pick in every draft .

2. BIJAN RB I pick 2nd in my "big" $1k entry league ( with weekly betting encouraged lol) , more than happy with any of the top 3 on this list ..

3. BARKLEY RB Some might pick him 1st or 2nd but there should be some concerns after 400 touches last season. Historically backs with that many touches more often than not regress, and or get injured the following season .

4. GIBBS RB

5. LAMB WR

6. ACHANE RB Numbers with Tua in the lineup put him firmly inside the top 8 imo .

7. JEFFERSON. WR Do have some concerns about JJ ..

8. MCCAFFREY. RB ( Must handcuff with Guerrendo) ..Honestly not sure if id risk drafting him off his latest injury..

9. ST. BROWN. WR Extremely happy to not be picking in the bottom of the first round. While these WR deserve to be here I have an a tough time not taking RB

10. NACUA. WR

11. NABERS. WR. Probably better for NABERS if Winston was the starter.

12. COLLINS. WR.


Round 2

13. JACOBS. RB . Probably 5+ picks earlier than most fantasy nerds have him ..

14. HENRY. RB

15. B THOMAS. WR

16. . JEANTY. RB. Most mocks have him inside the top 10 , not a player I'll be taking ..

17. J TAYLOR RB

18 LONDON WR

19. K WILLIAMS RB

20. AJ BROWN WR

21 C BROWN RB Probably way higher than anyone on him ..

22 J COOK. RB. Due for a major TD regression , but he's playing for a contract ..( Don't think the BILLS pay him )

23 IRVING. RB.

24 D ADAMS. WR Rams offense might be top 5 ...Adams seems like the perfect fit here even if he is supposedly on the decline .



3rd round
The Running Backs below will likely go a round+ later in most drafts , but I have no problem starting off the draft with 3 straight backs if the right ones are there. They usually provide massive trade bait throughout the season.

25. HUBBARD. RB. Another player im super high on ..Most Rankings have him 15+ picks later than this

26. JSN. WR. The Hawks passing game should be in better hands this season with Darnold

27. JOSH. . QB Off the MVP season ... Probably haven't taken a QB in the 3rd round or earlier since the early 90's .

28. BOWERS. TE 1. He'll likely go in the 2nd round of most drafts ..

29. T HILL. WR. Wow the mighty have fallen, was a mid 1st round pick for years .

30. MCLAURIN WR.

31. LAMAR. QB Outscored Josh by 65+ points last season in most formats

32. K. WALKER. RB

33. KAMARA. RB
PPR puts him in the late 3rd or early 4th round


34. WILSON. WR. Do have some concerns that Fields can't get him enough balls

35. MCCONKEY. WR Most have him on almost 10 slots sooner

36. .



4th round I wouldn't draft one of these QBs here or the ones above but they must be included here bc they will go in the 4th or earlier ..

37. DANIELS. QB

38. HURTS. QB

39. MCBRIDE. TE. He could go almost 20 picks earlier ...The lack of TD'S last season was likely a fluke ..Id rather rate at least another 2 rounds before taking a TE ..

40 . HIGGINS. WR Like McBride he'll go much earlier ..In several of my best ball drafts I've gone out of way NOT to take Higgins ..

41. KITTLE. TE Not taking him here , but someone will

42. METCALF. WR. He's steadily climbing my boards

43 . WORTHY. WR. Could be higher depending on possible Rice suspension

44 EVANS. WR. Mr. Consistency

45 BURROW QB.

46 . B HALL. RB. I'm leary on most of the Jets but Hall could outperform this ranking

47. CONNER. RB. Must handcuff with steadily rising Benson

48 . HAMPTON. RB. Could have a fantastic rookie season , also a chance he splits carries with the Mr.fireworks







*TBC



Not updating this list until after the work draft 🤣🤣🤣🤣

Last year you clowns kept stealing players I wanted 🙃🙃🙃🙃
 
Adding

Won some decent coin last night playing poker ( first time playing over the border since Valentine's Day ) ...Might as well drop almost half of it on my favorite win total on the board. Can't believe this is still plus money !!!

If you're ever in the Niagara Falls area I strongly recommend playing poker at the Falls View Casino right over the border. The players at 2/5, and 5/10 have way too much money and pride to play *wisely/mathematically. They can't lay it down even when they know they're trailing/crushed ...

BRONCOS OVER 9.5 +100
10.5 UNITS
This should be my largest NFL future this season

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I'm all in on Chase Brown this season. He's currently on over 80% of my best ball teams , also just took him with pick 23 in a $1k entry league ...

Predicted he has somewhere between 440 and 600 yards receiving this season


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