2019 Shield

[Alan Tongue]

2.5 Units
WAS (+9.5) -107
CIN (+10) -130

2 Units
IND (+6.5) -130
CAR (+2) -108
TB (+1) -108

1.5 Units
WAS +347
CIN +345
IND +242
NYG (+7) +100
CAR +119
ARI (+2.5) +103
TB -103
.PIT (+5.5) -109
TEN (+5) -102

1 Unit
TEN +203
NYG +267
PIT +205
ARI +130

0.5 Unit
CHI (-3) -110
CHI -165
IND 14+ +1500
CAR 14+ +800
TB 14+ +525
MIA 1-13 +320
DEN -112

Quiet start to the season. Units are units outlayed, not units to win. More to come when the lazy bums turn on their Sporting Solutions feed

 

[B.A.R.]

Good luck A.T.

 

[Alan Tongue]

tri-bets are out, so.

0.5 Unit
CAR 4+ +160
MIA 4+ +300
WAS 4+ +500
IND 4+ +300
CIN 4+ +400
TB 4+ +130
PIT 4+ +260
WAS 8+ +900
Either team 1-7 (PHI/WAS) +150
IND 8+ +550
TB 8+ +240

The first 7 are in the 3.5 Tri Bet market. This is a 3-way market where the home wins by 4+, the away team wins 4+ or either team wins by 1-3 points. The last 4 are in the 7.5 TriBet market

 

[Alan Tongue]

Adding

2 Units
MIA (+6.5) +100

1.5 Units
MIA +257

 

[Alan Tongue]

0.5 Unit
NO -273
MIA 8+ +600
ARI 4+ +180
IND 1-13 +325

 

[guaranteeed]

Bol today and this season alan

 

[ProV1Colt]

GL AT

 

[Alan Tongue]

Shit start to the season. Vinateri loses a leg, Skins blow a 17 point lead, bengals lose by a point. Cards tie. Swings and roundabouts

H2H 2-10 -9.79
Line 5-6 -0.33
Margin 0-5 -2.5
Tri-Bet 1-11 -4.75

2.5 Units
WAS (+4.5) -103
WAS +200

2 Units
IND (+3) +106
DEN (+2.5) -102
DET (+2.5) -107
JAX (+8.5) -105
NYJ (+2.5) -103

1.5 Units
NO (+2.5) +101
DEN +124
IND +159
DET +119
JAX +357
MIA +964
NYJ +123

1 Unit
TB (+7) -105
CIN -125
NO +122

0.5 Unit
OAK (+7.5) -107
MIN (+3) -107
CIN (-1.5) -108
OAK +340

 

[Alan Tongue]

1 Unit
Either Team 1-7 (MIA/NE) +300
WAS 4+ +250

0.5 Unit
NYG (+1.5) -103
WAS 14+ +1100
WAS 8+ +400
WAS 1-3 +245
MIA 1-13 +920
MIA 4+ +1200
NE 1-13 +232
Either Team 1-3 (MIA/NE) +750
IND 14+ +800
IND 4+ +200
DET 14+ +650
DET 8+ +275
DET 4+ +150
JAX 4+ +400
DEN 4+ 163
Either Team 1-7 (BAL/ARI) +180
BAL 1-13 +163
NYJ 14+ +650

 

[B.A.R.]

Good luck this weekend.

 

[Alan Tongue]

1 Unit
NYJ 4+ +300
NYJ 8+ +550

0.5 Unit
NYJ 1-13 +290
ATL (+2) -102

 

[Alan Tongue]

Shit start contiunes. Can't buy a H2H win, which affects the more volatile Tris and margins. 10 teams arent going winless.

Overall 18-67 -33.19
H2H 4-18 -16.62
Line 11-13 +0.97
Margin 1-13 -5.69
Tri-Bet 2-23 -11.85

3 Units
PIT (+6.5) -108

2.5 Units
NO +180
IND -128
NO (+4.5) -112

2 Units
PIT +231
IND (-2) -103
DEN (+8) -108

1.5 Units
JAX (+1.5) -101
MIA +1293
DEN +306
DET (+6.5) -105
NYG (+6.5) -104
BAL (+7) -118
WAS +172
WAS (+4) -107

1 Unit
JAX +111
NYJ +1476
DET +245
BAL +249
NYG +240
CIN +218
CIN (+6) -109
CLE (+3) -109
NE 1-13 +330
Either team 1-7 (NE/NYJ) +450
Either team 1-7 (DAL/MIA) +400
NO 4+ +220
IND 4+ 120

0.5 Unit
JAX 4+ +150
CLE +139
LAC (-3.5) +104
DEN 14+ +2000
PIT 14+ +1500
MIA 1-13 +1200
NO 14+ +1000
NYJ 1-13 +1325
IND 14+ +425
DAL 1-13 +294
PIT 1-13 +290
WAS 1-13+236
MIA 8+ +3500
MIA 4+ 1800
Either team 1-3 (NE/NYJ) +1100
Either team 1-3 (DAL/MIA) +1000
NO 8++350
IND 8+ +210
DEN 4+ +350

 

[B.A.R.]

If you have time, and I know you did a bit earlier... Can you explain the TriBet market a bit more?

 

[Alan Tongue]

If you have time, and I know you did a bit earlier... Can you explain the TriBet market a bit more?

A 3-way market. In one of them the market is the home team to win by 4 or more points, the away team to win by 4 or more points, or either team to win by 1-3 points (ties are refunds). So no matter the line the market revolves around these lines. Think of it as home team -3.5, away team -3.5 and either team 1-3

Dallas this week are -2000 to win 4+

Using the Lions game this week these are the current prices in the winning score range



I play in the 4+/1-3 markets and 8+/1-7 markets.

 

[Alan Tongue]

start the week with a rare win. Adding

1 Unit
PIT 4+ +300

0.5 Unit
PIT 8+ +500
WAS 4+ +210

 

[B.A.R.]

Thx man

 

[Alan Tongue]

0.5 Unit
WAS 8+ +400

 

[Alan Tongue]

Flat week. Got a collect on PIT when I shouldn't have.

Overall 33-103 -33.84
H2H 9-26 -14.2
Line 19-17 9.45
Margin 1-23 -11.19
Tri-Bet 4-37 -17.9

3 Units
NO (+2.5) -104

2.5 Units
NO +124
DET (+6.5) -106

1.5 Units
MIA +671
DET +240
CAR +186
IND -305
CAR (+4) -105
IND (-7) +101
ARI (+5) -102
TB (+10) -110
BU (+7) -107

1 Unit
ARI +196
BUF +264
JAX (+3) +106
WAS (+3) -112
Either team 1-7 (LAC/MIA) +230
NO 4+ +160
PIT -204
PIT (-4.5) -103

0.5 Unit
JAX +151
WAS +132
DET 14+ +1400
MIA 1-13 +680
NO 14+ +650
CAR 14+ +1000
ARI 1-13 +254
MIA 8+ +1700
MIA 4+ +850
Either team 1-3 (LAC/MIA) +600
DET 8++550
DET 4+ +300
N0 8+ +275
ARI 4+ +260
CAR 8+ +400
CAR 4+ +230
IND 4+ -189

 

[Alan Tongue]

0.5 Unit
ARI 8+ +500
DET 1-13 +290
BUF 1-13 +320
ND 14+ +200

 

[NOLA]

I like that 3U but even more the 2.5U play :cheers3:

WHO DAT!

 

[B.A.R.]

Good luck AT

 

[Alan Tongue]

Overall 45-132 -36.03

H2H 13-32 -14.07
Line 26-20 +16.98
Margin 1-31 -15.19
Tri-Bet 5-49 -23.75

Lines are flying, but can't get a straight up winner. Line dogs in the league are hitting at about 62%, so I expect the line results to flatten a bit. Home dogs are something like 5-16, and normally hit around 35%. This means the Margins and tri's aren't cashing. H2H's will turn, which will bring the higher leverage markets with them.

2.5 Units
PIT +3.5 -112

2 Units
PIT +159
CHI -202

1.5 Units
CHI (-4) -106

1 Unit
NO -175

 

[B.A.R.]

It is coming....Sunday was that whitewash NFL day finally....

Chi play looks great.

 

[Alan Tongue]

It is coming....Sunday was that whitewash NFL day finally....

Chi play looks great.

In a parity league there are some wil numbers out there. It will even out, thats for sure, but whether it does with a 16 window is a different matter

 

[Alan Tongue]

1 Unit
PIT 4+ +188

0.5 Unit
Either team 1-7 (NE/WAS) +230

 

[Alan Tongue]

1.5 Units
NO (-3) -108

1 Unit
NYG (+5.5) -104