Locked this in today. Will do write up soon but this has some good middle potential as well.
ASG will determine what to do with this bet.
As mentioned elsewhere...if they are firmly entrenched in the race...then they most likely will not see... if they are around 7-9 seed...then they might as the 2nd half is brutal...
14 of last 25 are on road...
I'd say 19-20 of those are versus playoff teams or ones that will be in the race...
7 of first 10 after the break on road...
5 of last 6 on the road...
So, you are like...why take the over???
I think they have a solid team that should eclipse 40 wins...UNLESS THEY SELL...
But even a middling first half will result in 27-33 wins in the first half...I'd lean more towards 30 or so...
And if they are as solid as I expect then I can see around 32-35 wins...which means we will win the bet.
The key is, when we can bet this again around the break...we will have options to buy-off, middle or keep...I think there is very little chance that they just belly-flop before mid-feb.
Soft number.
3.5 units risked.