May as well be burning my money with Tigres ffs. First half red destroyed me here
4-6-2 (-3.92 ytd)
Not much going on today except the Europe games so I had plenty of opportunity to read into these.
Porto/Liverpool
Home teams in game one in the two-leg tie really need to hold ground. Almost impossible to lose at home and advance. Ties are not disasters, and scoreless draws better. So, what we have here are one of the most dominant European teams in their league in Porto at home. How good is Porto at home this year? Well, they haven't lost in 12 games and have allowed just 4 goals in those games, while putting up 26 themselves. Now, I was burned bad last year by Feyenoord against Man City as there was a similar situation. Dutch side was at home, running away with their league and I was getting what I felt were outrageous +650 or so odds for the home side to win and great odds on the DNB line (can't recall off the top of my head). And what happened? Well, game was over before 25', City just ran the fuck over them. But, a few things here. I rate Portugal league a bit better than eredivise and they have 4-5 capable teams whereas dutchies really just a 2-3 team league. And Liverpool aint Man City. Porto been very respectable at home in CL play with 17 wins, and 7 draws in their past 30 home games so they have plenty of experience. They do have a doubt with Danilio, but I'm fairly sure Aboubakar will be playing so that's definitely a plus, although Porto is a fairly deep team.
Liverpool on the other hand, well let's face it, when they are playing cohesively, they play free flowing, nice looking, attacking soccer. Salah, Firmino and Sane are always threates. But.....Can is suspended for this game and I like him tons more than Henderson who seemingly stifles a bit of their creativity. Further, in the past 7 years, Liverpool only managed 4 road wins in European play. And if what I'm seeing is accurate, Maribor, Rubin Kazan, Udinese and Young Boys - not exactly world beaters that group there. Needles to say, I really really really favor the home side to get a positive result here today - but I'm often wrong.
Porto +0.25 (-105) 2.10 to make 2.00
Real Madrid/PSG
I could make a long write up with all the stars in this one, but the long and the short of it is Real Madrid not near as good as they been in the past, and PSG I think feel they need to win the CL. Real is not going to win La Liga this year so Zidane really needs to make a statement in CL play. Both teams going for it, should equate to goals.
I played o3 here at (-140) for a single unit play. Honestly think PSG gonna do them here, but I rarely go against Madrid at home