2016 Team-by-team Niffel schedule observations...

CollegeKingRex

CTG Regular
This thread was pretty popular during the offseason last year, so I figured I'd fire it up again.

As always, feel free to add whatever you see fit and discuss anything regarding the schedules in here. Will get around to the AFC sometime this weekend, if not tonight.

:shake:


NFC East





Dallas - Like last year, the Cowboys open with two division foes. But they also play a division opponent in every month of the season, so their chances to get "up" are spread out well. The bye comes in Week 7. The "America's Team" motto still holds. You would think Dallas was in California if you saw the TV schedule. The trip to DC in Week 2 is the only scheduled "early" game until November. All in all, Dallas is not scheduled to play in the most popular 1 p.m Eastern time slot in 11 of the first 14 games. They do play back-to-back roadies twice and get three AFC North teams in a row in November.





Philly - The Eagles get a dreaded Week 4 bye. They don't play a division game until October 16 (at Redskins), which starts a span of three divison games in four weeks. The process repeats itself starting with Week 14. They do get the Giants in the last Thursday game of the year (Dec. 22, Week 16) at home. Last year, Philly's trip to Dallas was the only time they left the Eastern time zone. This year, they play at Seattle but nowhere else west of Dallas. They do have four of five on the road after the bye, including all three division foes. They should know after the Nov. 6 trip to New Jersey just exactly where they stand. The bye in general is just a rotten deal for the Eagles in 2016. They'll face three teams the week after their byes (Dallas, Minnesota, Giants) with two on the road. That's more than any other team, and nine teams don't face any teams coming off a bye.





Giants - The G-Men get a London "road" game against the Rams and then are slated to play 3 times at night in seven weeks in November and December. There are three instances of back-to-back road games but they don't play a true road game for seven weeks (Week 5 at Green Bay until Week 12 at Cleveland) so there is certainly hay to be made there. Four of the last six are on the road and the last two are at Philly, at DC.





Washington - The Skins will play four of their first six at home, so they'll get a fair shake at a fast start in defending their NFC East crown. They also get a London "road" game against Cincinnati before the bye. They do get some payback at the end, though. Four of the last six are on the road and Weeks 12-14 are all road trips to Dallas, Phoenix and Philly. That will likely define the season. All 3 of the games Washington is slated to play in prime time are at home. They are also done with the four AFC North teams before Halloween, leaving them with only NFC sides after the bye. And the Redskins are never at home for more than two games.







NFC West





Seattle - Seattle has just two games slated to start at 10 am Pacific time - at the Jets in the week before their bye and the other is in week 8 at New Orleans. The other potential early games (at New England, at Tampa, at Green Bay) are all slated to start late or in prime time. No other major anomalies here. Five of the last 11 are slated to be night games for now. If they head into December with control of their fate, the Bags have nothing to worry about. They get Carolina coming in again before a trip to Green Bay and meetings with all three division foes to close out the campaign.





Arizona - The Cardinals got a high hard one last year from the schedule makers; this year is much more tenable - at least early on. There is a stretch of 3 road games (all 1 pm EST kicks) in four weeks and five of the last seven are true road games after five of the first seven are at home. At Seattle and at LA to end the season could have a big say in the playoff picture for the NFC. An interesting note - each of the other three division teams play FOUR road games where they travel at least 2,000 miles (a noted detriment, as CBS Sports reported about in May; here's the link http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2...ll-travel-the-most-miles-steelers-the-fewest/ ). Meanwhile, Arizona has just one road trip of 2,000 miles or more. They also are the only division team who plays New England during the Tom Brady suspension.





LA Rams - The Rams agreed to play an international game in each of the next three seasons as part of their move out of STL and back to LAX. This year, they sacrifice a home game in London to play the Giants. That only pads a stat that the Rams were always going to lead - most miles flown in 2016. The Rams are slated to fly more than 32,000 miles this season. The franchise moved almost 2,000 miles since the last game was played so that move cannot be taken lightly, either. In Week 10, the Rammers go to the Jets, New Orleans and New England in a span of four weeks. All three of those games are set for a 10 a.m. PST start. Three of the first four are division games, and all of the last three are as well. The Rams travel at least 2,000 miles to play a game four times this season; in 2015 those teams went 8-16.





San Fran - Nothing stands out here; the 49ers did the most travelling (28k miles) last year. They do play four times at 10 am PST, but this seems a more tenable slate - but only in terms of travel. There is a stretch of four-out-of-five on the road from Weeks 12-16. The Niners also face teams with the highest Pythagorean win percentage from Week 10 to the finish - in addition to facing the toughest over the entire season. It's the same schedule that the Rams face, but the Rams get SF twice and the Niners are not allowed to play themselves.




NFC North






Green Bay - The Packers play an astounding five of their first 12 games at night, with three Sunday Night appearances scheduled for now. After opening with two road games, the Packers then play four straight at home and go six full weeks between road games. They also play all three division foes in the last three weeks. The Packers also play three in a row on the road (at Tennessee, at Washington, at Philly) with the last two being night games.





Detroit - The Leos play three of their first four on the road and are only scheduled to play at night once (at Dallas, Week 16). The opener at Indy is a 4:25 start; otherwise, Detroit fans can plan their Sundays around 1 p.m. kickoffs - 13 of their games are slated to go at that time. They draw the Vikings twice in a span of 19 days in November and after that they play three of four on the road again. They do have a three-game homestand in October and face the second-easiest Pythagorean schedule behind Chicago.





Minnesota - No excuses for these guys. The Vikings are scheduled for four night games this year, which would have to be a record for them. They have one difficult stretch of four of six on the road coming out of their Week 6 bye. Included in that stretch are two division games. They play only one division foe in the first six games. Starting with Week 9, they alternate home and road games the rest of the year. They never travel west of Minneapolis.





Chicago - The Bears can't complain, either. They play four of their first eight games at night and the only stretch where they play three of four on the road is broken by the Week 9 bye. The Bears fly fewer miles than any other NFC team and that includes two trips to Texas in the first three weeks. In addition, Chicago faces the easiest Pythag schedule in the league this season. The last-place finish in 2015 gives them games against Tampa and San Francisco.







NFC South





Carolina - The Panthers will play four of their last six on the road, so it would be wise to beat the Saints on Thursday night in Week 11. They should be amped for it - they play AFC West teams (the least important games) in Weeks 10 and 12, the "anti-sandwich", if you will. Last year's success means the Panthers are slated for five night games. With two on Thursday, two on Monday, time off before the season and the bye included, Carolina will play a ridiculous SEVEN TIMES with eight days or more between games, including four of the first seven games. The Week 8 game against Arizona in the NFC championship rematch comes when the Cardinals have played three straight night games and the Panthers are off the bye.





Atlanta - The league did Atlanta no favors last year, and despite sprinting to the fast start, Atlanta wilted in the middle and did nothing outside of handing Carolina its only regular season loss after it was too late to matter. Three of the first four in 2016 are in the division, in addition to the last two. Atlanta is out of the division for stretches of 31 (weeks 4-8) and 51 days (weeks 10-15). There is a stretch of four of five on the road from weeks 2-6 and both night games are division roadies. The bye isn't until Week 11 and before that they play on the road back-to-back three times before getting four of the last six at home.





New Orleans - The Week 5 bye is no fun, but there is little fanfare to this thing. They play alternating home and road games all the way until Week 13 and then go to Tampa and Arizona in Week 14 and 15 before getting the Bucs at home and going to Atlanta to end the season. There are just two night games on the schedule and the only late afternoon starts are the games in western locales. They are done with Carolina by Week 11 but play just one division game before the Oct. 16 trip to Charlotte.





Tampa Bay - The Bucs should fire whoever does their website; they are the only team not in uniformity with the rest of the NFL in terms of what the shit looks like on the schedule homepage. The Bucs do not play a division home game until Nov. 3 but do enjoy a stretch where they play just two road games in two months between September and November. Thanks to the back-to-back roadies to start the season, they don't get it in spades later on. I'm sure I'm missing something here so blame it on the idiotic web designer for this team.
 
AFC East




New England - The Pats play three in a row at home in Weeks 2-4 to wrap up the Brady suspension, with Miami, Houston and Buffalo visiting Gillette. They play four out of five on the road from Weeks 7-12, with the bye coming in Week 9. This means the Pats will play just once at home in 7 weeks. They will be done with Buffalo before November but close with the other two division teams.


Miami - The Dolphins start the season with three of four on the road in September, including a Thursday night trip to Cincinnati out of the division where they will be in a real bad spot in Week 4. They get paid back in spades after that, with no road trips between Sept. 29 and Nov. 13. The bye comes after three straight home games and before a fourth. No one gets away with staying at home for 45 days without paying again at some point, and the Fins play another stretch of three/four (and five of seven) on the road before closing with NE at home. The bye comes between division games against Buffalo and the Jets, and they close with all three division foes.


Buffalo - The Bills play six of nine on the road from Weeks 4-13, with the bye coming in Week 10. Four of the first eight games are in the division, with a home game against Miami and a trip to the Jets to close out the season. The bye does come after a Monday night trip to Seattle so it would seem the Bills have it good - no short rest games the rest of the way. A closer look tells that to be a lie. The Week 4 trip to NE comes with the Pats off a TNF Week 3 game, though it will come without Tom Brady, a tradeoff I am sure the Bills will take. Frisco also has 9 days rest before going to Buffalo in Week 6. The Dolphins play Saturday in Week 15 at the Jets so will have an extra day before their Christmas Eve game at Buffalo.


Jets - The Jets play on short weeks four times this season, tying Houston for that dubious distinction. It starts in Week 2 with a Thursday night trip to Buffalo. They get the Ravens in Week 7 after a Monday night game and then have back-to-back six day weeks at the end of the year. The brutality continues. Six of eight are on the road from Weeks 2-9, with three back-to-back road trips, and the bye isn't until Week 11. The Jets only leave the Meadowlands two times after Nov. 6, but by that point, the damage might already be done. The Jets are scheduled to play in five night games, including three of four out of the bye - though NBC could flex that Pats game out if one or both teams are floundering. Four of the last six games after the bye are in the division, so if they survive the first 10 weeks, they will control their own destiny. They do draw Tom Brady twice if he stays healthy; the only team in football that will happen to this regular season. On paper, it looks as tough as any schedule in the league.




AFC West


Denver - The defending champions drew the dreaded Week 11 bye. They also play back-to-back road games three times and play four of five on the road sandwiched around their bye. This means that they play just one home game from Oct. 30 until Dec. 18. They get the Chiefs twice in a five-week stretch after the bye and the Chargers twice in 18 days with the short-prep game at San Diego in Week 6. Not ideal.


San Diego - Another Week 11 bye victim, Diego plays each of its last three road games after the bye at 10 am Pacific time. The Chargers are only on the road back-to-back one time, in Weeks 7 and 8. After that trip to Denver on Oct. 30, the Chargers play five of the last eight at home. Four of the first eight are division games.


Kansas City - The Chiefs must have some friends in the schedule maker's office. They are the only team in the league that doesn't play two or more short weeks this season, with the Week 14 game at home against Oakland being their only non-Sunday assignment of the season. The bye comes early, four of the last six games are in the division and they get three in a row at home in Weeks 14-16. There are no excuses here if this team does not succeed.


Oakland - I am holding "to win the division" ticket on these guys at 40-to-1 and while I got the best of the number, the black-and-silver are going to have to overcome some stiff obstacles, including the schedule. The Raiders better make hay early. They play the second-easiest schedule (in terms of last year's win percentage) in the first half of the season. In the second half they have four matchups against playoff teams - including both Super Bowl sides. The 49ers are the only team that faces a tougher schedule from Week 10 on according to Pythagorean win percentage. More importantly, the Raiders play by far more games that start at 10 am Pacific time (five) than anyone. Three trips out east to start the season in the first month and all five 10 am starts in the first eight weeks are the lowlights. Oakland should consider staying somewhere between Nashville and Baltimore (week 3 and 4 foes) and/or Jacksonville and Tampa (week 7 and 8) when going east to cut down on the travel a bit. The Raiders do stay in Oakland for six straight weeks, with four home games and a bye between weeks 8-14. For one last kick in the junk, three of the last four are on the road and against all three division teams.





AFC North


Baltimore - This thing is seriously backloaded. The bye comes in Week 8 and the Ravens play all 3 division teams in Weeks 9, 10 and 12 at home with a trip to Dallas as an awful sammich in that mess, the only road game that Balty plays from Week 7 until Week 14. Three of the last four are road games, the last two are division games and five of the last nine are in the division. If Baltimore is as good as it thinks it is and stays healthy into November, then everything will be right in front of the Ravens. As the schedule reads, the only late afternoon start is penciled in for Christmas Day at Pittsburgh in week 16. They play once on Thursday night and once on Monday night. Aside from the trip to Dallas, they don't go west of Cincinnati the entire season.


Cincinnati - Whoever is in charge of Bengals.com should go sit in the corner with the Tampa Bay clown. With that off my chest, it seems like Cincy's schedule is tolerable for a playoff team outside of two glaring issues. One, they lose a home game to London. Secondly, the London trip is 7,900 miles round trip. The eight road games are 8,966 miles, which would still be last in the division but ahead of everyone else except for the Bears in the league. The London game against Washington is in Week 8 so the bye comes right in the middle of the season. The first half of the season - away, away, home, home, away, away, home, London. Second half? Away, home, away, home, away, home, away, home. Four of the last six are in the division. The trip to Dallas in Week 5 represents the only slated late afternoon start of the season as of now - there are 3 night games on tap with only Pitt's visit to Paul Brown Stadium in Week 15 being flexible.


Pittsburgh - Lots to go through here. Firstly, the Steelers travel just 5,138 miles all season. That is the fewest by a staggering amount - 26 teams travel at least 10,600 miles in 2016. Staying with the good, after the Week 8 bye, Pittsburgh also plays five games against teams that had top-6 draft slots this year. The other games are against Buffalo, the Giants and Indy. They have the easiest Pythag schedule in the league after Week 10. The bad news? The first seven weeks are brutal. There are four playoff teams, the Jets (10 wins in 2015), the Eagles and Miami. The Steelers also play six of nine on the road from Weeks 6-15 and four of five on the road from weeks 11-15 - though those are against most of the so-called "beatable" team on the slate. Each of the last three are in the division and the last two are at home. The week 2 game against the Bengals is the only division game until November. They never go west of Indianapolis and the trip to Miami is the longest of the year.


Cleveland - The Browns travel fewer miles than anyone except Pittsburgh and are not scheduled to play any games in the late afternoon and only one night game (everyone plays on Thursdays now; their trip is to Baltimore in Week 10). The bye doesn't come until Week 13, which I am not sure I have ever heard of. There is a stretch of four of five on the road from weeks 3-7, which is immediately followed by a stretch where they play just one road game from Oct. 24 through Dec. 17. The Browns only play division foes back to back once - at Baltimore and then with extra rest in Week 11 at home against Pittsburgh. They never go west of Nashville.





AFC South


Indianapolis - Several oddities on the Colts schedule this season. They play all three of the road games in a four-week stretch from Weeks 4-7. The Week 5 home game against the Bears is the ultimate sammich, especially considering the Jacksonville game the week before is an early start in London. The division home games are spread out, in weeks 11, 14 and 17. The Colts play 3 of 4 true road games twice (weeks 6, 7, 9 and weeks 13, 15, 16) but do draw Pittsburgh at home on Thanksgiving night in their only Thursday game. For one of the few times since 2000 or so, the Colts do NOT play New England this season.


Houston - The Texans are set to play five night games. The first half is home-heavy, so they pay for that in the second half by starting Week 10 out of the bye with four out of five on the road, with the first and last of those games in the division. All three division roadies come after the bye and three of the last four games are in the division. There are currently no late afternoon starts on the schedule, with the other 11 kickoffs coming early Sunday. Houston also gets the Pats during the Brady suspension. But they also draw four short weeks, tied for the Jets with the most.


Jacksonville - The Jags will be playing a home game in London for the fourth consecutive year and have more appearances there than anyone else. They are committed to losing a home game every year through 2020. Unlike the Colts, they will take a bye in Week 5. Coming out of it, they play five of seven on the road including a Thursday trip to Nashville. The Jags close with three straight against all the division foes. The trip to San Diego is the only late afternoon start time; all other starts are early Sunday afternoon except for the London and Tennessee trips.


Tennessee - Like Jacksonville, the Titans play their only late Sunday start at San Diego and the game against the Jags is their only night game. Tennessee does play three back-to-back road games and there is a stretch around the usually late week 13 bye where they play just one home game in Weeks 10-17, with four of five on the road sammiched around the bye. There is a three-game homestand to close out October. There is only one division game in the first six weeks and none for a month straight before the last two at Jacksonville and at home against the Texas to end the season.
 
Jeff Fisher did not hesitate to let everyone know immediately that they will be the most travel. That's because just in case his team flounders again, we know why. This team CAN NOT start the season with Goff or they will be 0-4.
 
Jeff Fisher did not hesitate to let everyone know immediately that they will be the most travel. That's because just in case his team flounders again, we know why. This team CAN NOT start the season with Goff or they will be 0-4.
I read they were looking to extend fisher's contract lol
 
wanted to bump this one time to have it near the top of the page; will not sticky it though unless one of the other mods wanted to. But I do find it quite useful to have as a reminder of some spots.
 
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