2016 Masters...

CollegeKingRex

CTG Regular
Two plays stood out for me, though the price got away from one in the prop department.

Weather forecast calls for rain tonight, cool temps all weekend and wind each of the first three days. While Augusta is not known to be a place where the wind usually troubles players, I also know that it won't help.

Spieth has been great in his two years playing here, but he's made all of his hay on the par-5s, just as he did at Kapalua back in January. I have to dodge that, but I really don't see anyone shooting 10-under par over four days in this mess. OVER 278.5 even money for 2.5u winning score.

Also, I bet the FIELD against Rory/Spiether and Day at -240 for 2u. Spieth scares me, but Rory does not, and Day has won two in a row - it's very hard to win three in row if your name doesn't rhyme with Kiger Hoods. Also, the only top-ranked player to win a major since 2008 was Rory at 2014 at Valhalla.

Now, to the individual matchups and odds to win:

All odds to win are from CRIS, Jazz, or an agent who uses a Pinnacle line with a bit higher hold than Pinny.

To win the tournament: Spieth +1015 for 1u - call it a saver on my FIELD bet. Day, Rory; neither winning.

Oosthuizen +3327 for 0.5u
Matsuyama +3500 for 0.4u
Walker +7730 for 0.2u
Thomas +9247 for 0.3u
Holmes +14456 for 0.2u
Els +19261 for 0.1u
Fowler +1500 for 0.7u


Matchups:

7004 Spieth +120 for 1.5u
7008 Spieth +105 for 2u
7016 D. Johnson even for 1.5u
7030 Oosthuizen +155 for 1.5u
7032 Oosthuizen +165 for 1.5u
7037 Matsuyama -130 for 1.5u
7045 Snedeker -125 for 2u
7060 Walker even for 1.5u
7064 Thomas -110 for 2u
7088 Berger even for 1.5u


The last five winners have all had a late tee time Thursday, but I think this changes tomorrow (maybe), as the conditions in the afternoon should be more breezy and difficult than for those who play in the morning. Some of the so-called contenders will play themselves right out of the tournament by nightfall.


Will look for Round 2 matchups tomorrow night. GL to all this week!

:shake:
 
BOL Casey looked good in practice had a hole-in one on tues and was throwing darts to the green. Hope he holds up took for 1/2 u at +3500. also have Z Johnson
 
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