2015 NFL Playoffs

tazz

blankets refugee
hey guys...love this time of the year with nfl playoffs...didn't post after the first few weeks this year, started badly and with work, and a family including an amazing 2 year old, don't have the inclination to post like i used to....last year i had the broncos and seahawks in the championship games with seattle in the super bowl..lets hope we can have a good playoffs

will start with zona...they have lindley starting which is scary but i think they can keep it within a touchdown...statistically carolina is now better than arizona after the cards talspin but carolina is no seattle (who finished first 3 years in a row in the dvoa ratings)
.
tough game to cap later game with no bell for pittsburgh..if i make a pre game play i will put it here...will be trading


have a great playoffs everybody


Arizona +6
 
dvoa ratings below from football outsiders

[TABLE="class: stats"]
<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline: 0px; font-size: 11px; vertical-align: baseline;">[TR]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]TEAM[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]TOTAL
DVOA
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]LAST
WEEK
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]LAST
YEAR
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]W-L[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC, align: center"]WEI
DVOA
[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC, align: center"]RANK[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]OFFENSE
DVOA
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]OFF.
RANK
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]DEFENSE
DVOA
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]DEF.
RANK
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]S.T.
DVOA
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]S.T.
RANK
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]SEA[/TD]
[TD]31.3%[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12-4[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]32.8%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]1[/TD]
[TD]16.7%[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]-16.3%[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]-1.7%[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]DEN[/TD]
[TD]29.5%[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12-4[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]23.9%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]4[/TD]
[TD]19.9%[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]-13.3%[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]-3.7%[/TD]
[TD]27[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]GB[/TD]
[TD]23.3%[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12-4[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]24.0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]3[/TD]
[TD]24.6%[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]-1.0%[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD]-2.3%[/TD]
[TD]22[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]NE[/TD]
[TD]22.4%[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12-4[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]31.4%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]2[/TD]
[TD]13.6%[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]-3.4%[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]5.5%[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]BAL[/TD]
[TD]22.2%[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]23[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10-6[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]23.0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]5[/TD]
[TD]9.7%[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]-4.6%[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]8.0%[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]DAL[/TD]
[TD]13.8%[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]17[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12-4[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]21.0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]6[/TD]
[TD]17.0%[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]4.1%[/TD]
[TD]22[/TD]
[TD]0.9%[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]PHI[/TD]
[TD]12.8%[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10-6[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]16.8%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]7[/TD]
[TD]1.0%[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]-3.5%[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]8.3%[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]PIT[/TD]
[TD]12.1%[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11-5[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]14.8%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]8[/TD]
[TD]22.5%[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]11.3%[/TD]
[TD]30[/TD]
[TD]0.9%[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]BUF[/TD]
[TD]10.6%[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9-7[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]14.5%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]9[/TD]
[TD]-11.1%[/TD]
[TD]26[/TD]
[TD]-15.6%[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]6.2%[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]KC[/TD]
[TD]9.9%[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9-7[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]11.9%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]10[/TD]
[TD]4.6%[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]1.4%[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD]6.7%[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]SF[/TD]
[TD]6.6%[/TD]
[TD]14[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8-8[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]8.4%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]11[/TD]
[TD]-0.4%[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD]-10.0%[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]-3.0%[/TD]
[TD]24[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]IND[/TD]
[TD]4.7%[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11-5[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]1.8%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]13[/TD]
[TD]-0.9%[/TD]
[TD]17[/TD]
[TD]-2.3%[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]3.3%[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]CIN[/TD]
[TD]4.6%[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10-5-1[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]0.5%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]17[/TD]
[TD]-1.8%[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[TD]-2.2%[/TD]
[TD]14[/TD]
[TD]4.2%[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]14[/TD]
[TD]DET[/TD]
[TD]4.4%[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11-5[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]0.9%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]15[/TD]
[TD]-3.7%[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD]-13.8%[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]-5.7%[/TD]
[TD]31[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]MIA[/TD]
[TD]3.4%[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]22[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8-8[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]0.7%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]16[/TD]
[TD]10.2%[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]0.6%[/TD]
[TD]17[/TD]
[TD]-6.2%[/TD]
[TD]32[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD]SD[/TD]
[TD]0.0%[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9-7[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-3.0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]20[/TD]
[TD]7.6%[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]4.9%[/TD]
[TD]24[/TD]
[TD]-2.7%[/TD]
[TD]23[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]TEAM[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]TOTAL
DVOA
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]LAST
WEEK
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]LAST
YEAR
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]W-L[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC, align: center"]WEI
DVOA
[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC, align: center"]RANK[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]OFFENSE
DVOA
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]OFF.
RANK
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]DEFENSE
DVOA
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]DEF.
RANK
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]S.T.
DVOA
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]S.T.
RANK
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17[/TD]
[TD]NO[/TD]
[TD]-1.4%[/TD]
[TD]17[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]7-9[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-2.4%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]19[/TD]
[TD]10.0%[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]13.1%[/TD]
[TD]31[/TD]
[TD]1.6%[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18[/TD]
[TD]STL[/TD]
[TD]-4.4%[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD]14[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]6-10[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]2.6%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]12[/TD]
[TD]-11.6%[/TD]
[TD]27[/TD]
[TD]-3.7%[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]3.5%[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD]HOU[/TD]
[TD]-4.5%[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]30[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9-7[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]1.7%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]14[/TD]
[TD]-6.7%[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]-6.1%[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]-3.9%[/TD]
[TD]28[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]ATL[/TD]
[TD]-5.0%[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]6-10[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-9.3%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]24[/TD]
[TD]7.2%[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]15.2%[/TD]
[TD]32[/TD]
[TD]3.0%[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]NYG[/TD]
[TD]-5.9%[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]27[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]6-10[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-6.8%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]22[/TD]
[TD]-0.3%[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]5.0%[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD]-0.6%[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]22[/TD]
[TD]ARI[/TD]
[TD]-6.0%[/TD]
[TD]22[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11-5[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-8.1%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]23[/TD]
[TD]-9.3%[/TD]
[TD]23[/TD]
[TD]-5.5%[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]-2.2%[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23[/TD]
[TD]CLE[/TD]
[TD]-6.9%[/TD]
[TD]23[/TD]
[TD]28[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]7-9[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-10.0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]25[/TD]
[TD]-10.0%[/TD]
[TD]24[/TD]
[TD]-2.6%[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]0.6%[/TD]
[TD]14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]24[/TD]
[TD]MIN[/TD]
[TD]-8.8%[/TD]
[TD]24[/TD]
[TD]26[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]7-9[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-2.0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]18[/TD]
[TD]-7.4%[/TD]
[TD]22[/TD]
[TD]4.4%[/TD]
[TD]23[/TD]
[TD]3.0%[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD]CAR[/TD]
[TD]-8.9%[/TD]
[TD]26[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]7-8-1[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-6.7%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]21[/TD]
[TD]-5.0%[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]-1.6%[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]-5.5%[/TD]
[TD]30[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]26[/TD]
[TD]CHI[/TD]
[TD]-14.0%[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]5-11[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-23.6%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]29[/TD]
[TD]0.0%[/TD]
[TD]14[/TD]
[TD]10.9%[/TD]
[TD]28[/TD]
[TD]-3.1%[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]27[/TD]
[TD]NYJ[/TD]
[TD]-14.9%[/TD]
[TD]27[/TD]
[TD]24[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]4-12[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-10.9%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]26[/TD]
[TD]-10.7%[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD]3.6%[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]-0.7%[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]28[/TD]
[TD]WAS[/TD]
[TD]-26.7%[/TD]
[TD]29[/TD]
[TD]29[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]4-12[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-39.0%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]32[/TD]
[TD]-11.7%[/TD]
[TD]28[/TD]
[TD]9.6%[/TD]
[TD]27[/TD]
[TD]-5.4%[/TD]
[TD]29[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]29[/TD]
[TD]OAK[/TD]
[TD]-27.0%[/TD]
[TD]28[/TD]
[TD]31[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]3-13[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-28.2%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]30[/TD]
[TD]-19.5%[/TD]
[TD]30[/TD]
[TD]5.8%[/TD]
[TD]26[/TD]
[TD]-1.7%[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]30[/TD]
[TD]TB[/TD]
[TD]-28.4%[/TD]
[TD]32[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]2-14[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-23.1%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]28[/TD]
[TD]-26.4%[/TD]
[TD]32[/TD]
[TD]1.2%[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[TD]-0.8%[/TD]
[TD]17[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]31[/TD]
[TD]TEN[/TD]
[TD]-29.3%[/TD]
[TD]30[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]2-14[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-35.2%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]31[/TD]
[TD]-16.3%[/TD]
[TD]29[/TD]
[TD]11.2%[/TD]
[TD]29[/TD]
[TD]-1.8%[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]32[/TD]
[TD]JAC[/TD]
[TD]-29.5%[/TD]
[TD]31[/TD]
[TD]32[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]3-13[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-22.1%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]27[/TD]
[TD]-24.4%[/TD]
[TD]31[/TD]
[TD]1.5%[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]-3.6%[/TD]
[TD]26[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
2-0 last Sunday and 2-2 for the playoffs...i'm a dog player by nature but divisional weekend the home faves usually cover...betting the home faves blindly at worst will go 2-2 imo, probably better....i may take indi in the late game tomorrow



Seattle -11

Patriots -7

3 team 7 point tease of Seattle -4, Patriot PK, GB +1.5 (+140)


i like seattle more than the patriots...may give a writeup if i get back in time before the games start...enjoy the weekend...7 games and 4 days to go before another season comes to a close
 
thx TreyDawg

1-1 yesterday, have GB+1.5 to close out the teaser

GB -5.5


dallas will try to run the ball because it is very tough to pass vs gb as they only give up 6.4 yards per attempt..however dallas will have success running the ball on the pack.green bay will be able to do whatever they want on offense vs a bad dallas defense..as per barnwell on espn


No defense in the league needed takeaways more than the Cowboys, as they led the NFL by ending 17.2 percent of their defensive drives this year with turnovers. The problem is that the Packers simply don’t turn the ball over, coughing the ball up on 7.4 percent of their own possessions
 
2-2 last week, 4-4 for the playoffs...if rodgers was healthy this line would be 4.5 to 6 imo...both packers and hawks will run the ball...hawks play close to the vest and are missing some speed from last year and earlier in the season, i don't see kearse getting 60 yard plays like he did last week....took the under at 47 earlier this week, (opened at 48 at greek last sunday, value is gone at 44 but i would still be on the under)

colts/patriots is tough...i will put a little on colts winning this outright but my main bet will be on the pats -7...pats couldn't get a pass rush on baltimore last week and that will hurt vs luck..no center storks hurts too but i cannot ignore the patriots crushing indi by 3 touchdowns in the 3 games they've played...pats at home win by a touchdown plus is my bet...like the under here too but won't bet it pregame...watching at home so may be able to post half bets if i play them

enjoy the games everybody


Packers +8 even

Pats -7 even

GB/Sea U 47
 
1 more game left, should be a great game, but it's sad another season is coming to a close

won both sides in the conference championships, lost the total somehow...6-5 for the playoffs..going with the pats for the super bowl...took the under when it came out at the greek at 49 2 sunday's ago


had the hawks in the sb last year but this is not the same hawks team..of course they very well may run over the pats and the pats weakness is their o line and if the hawks front 4 get pressure like the giants did in their sb's and like kc did this year on monday night, it will be lights out


however, brady should be able to throw some quick slants (slant-flat combo) and will open up for some rubs..seattle will have trouble with that with the defense they play...barnwell has some good articles...i think seattle is hurting more than they are letting on with some of their d guys....would really help if c stork plays


with the total, both these teams are in the top 5 defensively in yards after contact...that is, after the receiver or rusher is touched, he usually goes down quickly...these teams know how to tackle, thus i doubt we are going to see 50 yard touchdown plays...seattle will run and pats will want to play a possession type game, thus i like the under




Pats +1

Pats U 49


took both these when they came out after the cc...would still take the total at 47.5..pats are my bigger play
 
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