Did well on futures last year so lets go again. All plays for 1 unit unless otherwise noted
Auburn Under 9.5 wins -110 - Couldn't pass up the value here as a local was late to drop it to 9 wins which is where it sits now so I do apologize as this isn't widely available. I see games against LSU, South Carolina, at Ole Miss and at UGA as being tossups and I think they go 2-2 here which means I win with a loss at Bama which is certainly happening barring some significant injuries. I also wouldn't be shocked to see a loss in the Little Apple and will likely be all over KSU there.
Clemson Over 8.5 Wins +100 - I'm sure it will be seen as a homer play and I won't try to convince you guys that it's not one. I don't feel like it is as I couldn't pass up the +100 value. I see UGA game as closer to a tossup than Vegas does and this could be where I'm wrong. If Clemson loses to UGA and SoCar then they have zero room for error but fortunately Dabo has been winning the games he's supposed to win. If they can beat either UGA or SoCar then they can still win the bet with 1 slip up. I see an 8-4 floor this year with a 10-2 ceiling and given the fact that my perceived ceiling is 1.5 games over the number and floor is 0.5 games below it I made the play
Miami Under 7.5 Wins +130 - I'll pay to see them get to 8 wins. With my week 1 bet on Ville I certainly think they lose that game and this may make it basically a 2 unit wager on Ville week 1. I can't imagine they get to 8 wins with a week 1 loss and I think that getting +130 on this under is phenomenal value. I don't wanna go into too long of a write-up here but they have a ton of toss up games, a very sketchy QB situation and a terrible DL.
Notre Dame Under 7.5 +135 - Had to snag this in light of today's allegations. I had one shop still offering significantly positive juice so I jumped on it. I think it'll offer solid value but who's to say they don't rally together and win 8 games...I'll pay to see it happen if they lose some starters from an already shaky defense
TAMU Under 7.5 Wins +100
Vanderbilt Under 6 Wins -155
Wake Forest Under 3.5 Wins +145
VT to win Coastal +400 - they draw BC and Wake from the Atlantic division. They get Miami at home. Toughest game is at UNC and they could still win the division even if they lose that game
Northwestern to win B10 West +1200 0.5 units risked don't have them ranked much lower than the perceived top teams in the West. They draw Wisky and Nebraska at home while avoiding Ohio St and Michigan St
Houston +275 to win AAC (0.5 units risked) - just too much value to pass up as they have UCF at home and Cinci on the road in the last game of the season. I think they're undefeated in conference heading to Cinci. Wouldn't be shocked if they have it wrapped up by then. Also wouldn't be totally surprised if they were out of contention but good value at 275
PROP FUTURES - ALL FOR HALF UNIT b/c of injury possibility
Melvin Gordon O1554 total yards - they lose the carries of White and he will be an absolute workhorse in this offense. Barring injury this should sail over
Auburn Under 9.5 wins -110 - Couldn't pass up the value here as a local was late to drop it to 9 wins which is where it sits now so I do apologize as this isn't widely available. I see games against LSU, South Carolina, at Ole Miss and at UGA as being tossups and I think they go 2-2 here which means I win with a loss at Bama which is certainly happening barring some significant injuries. I also wouldn't be shocked to see a loss in the Little Apple and will likely be all over KSU there.
Clemson Over 8.5 Wins +100 - I'm sure it will be seen as a homer play and I won't try to convince you guys that it's not one. I don't feel like it is as I couldn't pass up the +100 value. I see UGA game as closer to a tossup than Vegas does and this could be where I'm wrong. If Clemson loses to UGA and SoCar then they have zero room for error but fortunately Dabo has been winning the games he's supposed to win. If they can beat either UGA or SoCar then they can still win the bet with 1 slip up. I see an 8-4 floor this year with a 10-2 ceiling and given the fact that my perceived ceiling is 1.5 games over the number and floor is 0.5 games below it I made the play
Miami Under 7.5 Wins +130 - I'll pay to see them get to 8 wins. With my week 1 bet on Ville I certainly think they lose that game and this may make it basically a 2 unit wager on Ville week 1. I can't imagine they get to 8 wins with a week 1 loss and I think that getting +130 on this under is phenomenal value. I don't wanna go into too long of a write-up here but they have a ton of toss up games, a very sketchy QB situation and a terrible DL.
Notre Dame Under 7.5 +135 - Had to snag this in light of today's allegations. I had one shop still offering significantly positive juice so I jumped on it. I think it'll offer solid value but who's to say they don't rally together and win 8 games...I'll pay to see it happen if they lose some starters from an already shaky defense
TAMU Under 7.5 Wins +100
Vanderbilt Under 6 Wins -155
Wake Forest Under 3.5 Wins +145
VT to win Coastal +400 - they draw BC and Wake from the Atlantic division. They get Miami at home. Toughest game is at UNC and they could still win the division even if they lose that game
Northwestern to win B10 West +1200 0.5 units risked don't have them ranked much lower than the perceived top teams in the West. They draw Wisky and Nebraska at home while avoiding Ohio St and Michigan St
Houston +275 to win AAC (0.5 units risked) - just too much value to pass up as they have UCF at home and Cinci on the road in the last game of the season. I think they're undefeated in conference heading to Cinci. Wouldn't be shocked if they have it wrapped up by then. Also wouldn't be totally surprised if they were out of contention but good value at 275
PROP FUTURES - ALL FOR HALF UNIT b/c of injury possibility
Melvin Gordon O1554 total yards - they lose the carries of White and he will be an absolute workhorse in this offense. Barring injury this should sail over
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