BetCrimes1984
CTG Big Brother
Chicago currently has a 7 game 5-goals-or-less streak going . To put this into context, the following stats (of completed streaks) are from the 05-06 season onwards (since the rule changes) -
5 goals or less game streaks
Streak length ... No. of streaks
5 games ........... 168
6 games ........... 104
7 games ............ 60
8 games ............ 27
9 games ............ 19
10 games .......... 10
11 games ............ 2
12 games ............ 5
13 games ............ 1
14 games ............ 2
15 games ............ 0
16 games ............ 1
5 games ........... 168
6 games ........... 104
7 games ............ 60
8 games ............ 27
9 games ............ 19
10 games .......... 10
11 games ............ 2
12 games ............ 5
13 games ............ 1
14 games ............ 2
15 games ............ 0
16 games ............ 1
From these stats it's found that 89.97% of the streaks that reached 5 games in length ended before reaching 9 games in length: just 1 in 10. It's these historical stats which set the scene for my chasing the Over through the Hawks next 2 games, but they're hardly the only pointer to this Hawks run of low scoring games coming to an end -
(1) Nashville (streak's 8th game) has scored at least 3 regulation goals in 9 of their last 11 games in Chicago (avg. 3.27 reg. goals for). Of Chicago's 7 wins in these games, 5 (71.4%) totaled at least 6 goals. Nashville more generally is 7-2-2 to Over their L11 away (avg. 3.18 reg. goals against).
(2) Dallas (streak's 9th game) & Chicago have managed to total at least 6 goals in 8 of their last 9 meetings in Chicago (the exceptional result saw Chicago total only 1 goal in losing), with Dallas scoring a minimum of 2 regulation goals in every one of those games. Dallas more generally is 4-1 to Over their L5 away (avg. 4.40 reg. goals against).
(3) Chicago's longest streak of home games totalling 5 goals or less this season sits at 5: their current streak of 7 games includes 4 home games, so for them to play out their next 2 games without at least one totalling at least 6 goals would be to manage something they haven't been able to do over 32 previous home games. You have to go back to the 09-10 season to find a Chicago 5-goal or less streak longer than 5 home games.
(4) Chicago has played 13 straight games without a losing team scoring 3+ goals. In their previous 58 games, they averaged one 3+ goal loser every 3.6 games played, with their previous longest streak of no 3+ goal loser being just 8 games. In short, the Hawks are "due" (by their own season long standards) to play in a shoot-out type of game.
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The usual & obvious standard for my playing an Over is the expectation that both teams will contribute to the scoring, and both Chicago's coming opponents provide stats which emphatically speak to their likely doing so on Chicago's home ice.
Game #1: Chc/Nas Over 5.5 (+100)
(1) Nashville (streak's 8th game) has scored at least 3 regulation goals in 9 of their last 11 games in Chicago (avg. 3.27 reg. goals for). Of Chicago's 7 wins in these games, 5 (71.4%) totaled at least 6 goals. Nashville more generally is 7-2-2 to Over their L11 away (avg. 3.18 reg. goals against).
(2) Dallas (streak's 9th game) & Chicago have managed to total at least 6 goals in 8 of their last 9 meetings in Chicago (the exceptional result saw Chicago total only 1 goal in losing), with Dallas scoring a minimum of 2 regulation goals in every one of those games. Dallas more generally is 4-1 to Over their L5 away (avg. 4.40 reg. goals against).
(3) Chicago's longest streak of home games totalling 5 goals or less this season sits at 5: their current streak of 7 games includes 4 home games, so for them to play out their next 2 games without at least one totalling at least 6 goals would be to manage something they haven't been able to do over 32 previous home games. You have to go back to the 09-10 season to find a Chicago 5-goal or less streak longer than 5 home games.
(4) Chicago has played 13 straight games without a losing team scoring 3+ goals. In their previous 58 games, they averaged one 3+ goal loser every 3.6 games played, with their previous longest streak of no 3+ goal loser being just 8 games. In short, the Hawks are "due" (by their own season long standards) to play in a shoot-out type of game.
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The usual & obvious standard for my playing an Over is the expectation that both teams will contribute to the scoring, and both Chicago's coming opponents provide stats which emphatically speak to their likely doing so on Chicago's home ice.
Game #1: Chc/Nas Over 5.5 (+100)
