Bailey81
Pretty much a regular
Gonna give posting/discussing in the NFL forum a shot this year. I've said it before and tell almost everyone I talk to that this is by far one of the best sports websites I've ever come across. The resources this site provides and the great information that is shared by the cappers here I'm sure is appreciated by all. I'm hoping to in some way to contribute to that, and certainly to take what I can from everyone here. I've been in and out of the college bb and MLB forums this year. Things didn't go great there but I've really been looking forward to the NFL since last year. Hopefully this will be a great season for all involved here and we'll all be making some money and having a great time doing it.
With the NFL this year, the first 2-3 weeks will generally feature plays between 1-2 units. I'm looking to make 3-5 plays per week. A fault of mine, like many I think has been making too many plays. Hopefully I can maintain a bit more discipline this year. Will mix in some totals, but prefer the sides for the most part. Weeks 4-10ish seem to have been the most profitable for me the past two years. I guess maybe I get a feel for things...I don't really know, but at that point you may see some bigger plays, but I will usually max out with 5 units. I always appreciate feedback and hope to have a great next couple months here.
Washington @ New York
The Washington Redskins come up to NY looking to build on a decent 2007 season that saw them get to the playoffs and to ruin the ring ceremony and title defense for the Giants. I think the Redskins will have a very similar year in 2008 to what we saw out of them in 2007. 3-5 on the road last year, although one of those was at the Meadowlands. These teams certainly aren't strangers to one another. Last year Washington ranked 30th against the pass, allowing 225 ypg, and 28th overall, giving up 341 ypg. I don't think that bodes well for the Skins on Thursday. Add in the fact that there will certainly be an adjustment period working under the new coaching staff. I like the changes that the Skins have made, but there's usually a transition period for those changes to take effect and prove effective.
On the Giants side, the Super Bowl champs open up at home with a huge divisional rivalry game. We're all aware of the losses for the Giants (Strahan, Shockey, Osi) plus a few other defensive starters from last year's team. However, I think they plug those holes rather effectively. Certainly can't replace Strahan and Osi, but Mathias moving back to DE, Tuck, etc want to show that last year wasn't a fluke and that they can play that great D even without their missing stars. Plaxico looks like he's finally healthy. And although most in NY are still not comfortable with Eli, I'm a believer. I think last year was exactly what Eli needed for his confidence. The offense looked pretty sharp in the preseason, and I expect the same on Thursday. I think Eli learned a lot last year about how to "manage" the game and understands the importance of minimizing the turnovers.
I think the Giants will move the ball pretty well against the Skins and I think that the D will step up and be able to contain Portis and the running game. As I said above I recognize this is in no way the same Giants D from last year, but last year NY was 2nd in rushing allowed at 74 ypg. That may have been due to a generally weak secondary, but Campbell doesn't strike me as a guy that frightens secondaries. I don't see him picking apart the NY secondary. I don't see the Giants shutting down Moss all game, but if they contain him, and the passing game, I think Eli gets the Giants ahead and then they just pound Jacobs and Bradshaw. I think that NY will be better than expected this year and challenge for the NFC East title. Expected this line to be closer to 6 or 7. I just don't think the personnel losses the Giants have experienced will be as big as most are making them out to be. Maybe I'm an idiot, but that's just my thought with this team. Giants win their home opener 24-13.
Play: NY Giants -4 (1 unit)
Added Plays for Sunday:
Eagles -7 bought down from 7.5 (2 units)
Jets -3 even (2 units)
Bengals -1.5 (2 units)
Chiefs +15.5 (1 unit)
SEE BELOW FOR THE WRITEUPS
GLA. Here's to a great season for all.:cheers:
With the NFL this year, the first 2-3 weeks will generally feature plays between 1-2 units. I'm looking to make 3-5 plays per week. A fault of mine, like many I think has been making too many plays. Hopefully I can maintain a bit more discipline this year. Will mix in some totals, but prefer the sides for the most part. Weeks 4-10ish seem to have been the most profitable for me the past two years. I guess maybe I get a feel for things...I don't really know, but at that point you may see some bigger plays, but I will usually max out with 5 units. I always appreciate feedback and hope to have a great next couple months here.
Washington @ New York
The Washington Redskins come up to NY looking to build on a decent 2007 season that saw them get to the playoffs and to ruin the ring ceremony and title defense for the Giants. I think the Redskins will have a very similar year in 2008 to what we saw out of them in 2007. 3-5 on the road last year, although one of those was at the Meadowlands. These teams certainly aren't strangers to one another. Last year Washington ranked 30th against the pass, allowing 225 ypg, and 28th overall, giving up 341 ypg. I don't think that bodes well for the Skins on Thursday. Add in the fact that there will certainly be an adjustment period working under the new coaching staff. I like the changes that the Skins have made, but there's usually a transition period for those changes to take effect and prove effective.
On the Giants side, the Super Bowl champs open up at home with a huge divisional rivalry game. We're all aware of the losses for the Giants (Strahan, Shockey, Osi) plus a few other defensive starters from last year's team. However, I think they plug those holes rather effectively. Certainly can't replace Strahan and Osi, but Mathias moving back to DE, Tuck, etc want to show that last year wasn't a fluke and that they can play that great D even without their missing stars. Plaxico looks like he's finally healthy. And although most in NY are still not comfortable with Eli, I'm a believer. I think last year was exactly what Eli needed for his confidence. The offense looked pretty sharp in the preseason, and I expect the same on Thursday. I think Eli learned a lot last year about how to "manage" the game and understands the importance of minimizing the turnovers.
I think the Giants will move the ball pretty well against the Skins and I think that the D will step up and be able to contain Portis and the running game. As I said above I recognize this is in no way the same Giants D from last year, but last year NY was 2nd in rushing allowed at 74 ypg. That may have been due to a generally weak secondary, but Campbell doesn't strike me as a guy that frightens secondaries. I don't see him picking apart the NY secondary. I don't see the Giants shutting down Moss all game, but if they contain him, and the passing game, I think Eli gets the Giants ahead and then they just pound Jacobs and Bradshaw. I think that NY will be better than expected this year and challenge for the NFC East title. Expected this line to be closer to 6 or 7. I just don't think the personnel losses the Giants have experienced will be as big as most are making them out to be. Maybe I'm an idiot, but that's just my thought with this team. Giants win their home opener 24-13.
Play: NY Giants -4 (1 unit)
Added Plays for Sunday:
Eagles -7 bought down from 7.5 (2 units)
Jets -3 even (2 units)
Bengals -1.5 (2 units)
Chiefs +15.5 (1 unit)
SEE BELOW FOR THE WRITEUPS
GLA. Here's to a great season for all.:cheers:
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