BetCrimes1984
CTG Big Brother
(1) - this game between New York and Denver is their first meeting since the rumble in the jungle at MSG last season, you know, the game that carried this headline -
Nuggets, Knicks in wild free-for-all; 10 players tossed
- the one New York got humiliated in by 23 points and tempers boiled over because they felt Denver was runnin up the score.
Can anyone spell p-a-y-b-a-c-k? Why involve yourself in this game? Denver has a rested Boston in Boston on their B2B. Just let this game suck the emotion out of them, then hit the electrified Celts.
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(2) - where did the 207 opener for the Lakers/Hornets game come from?
Recapping the Hornets defensive performances: 90, 93 & 88. OK 2 came vs Sac & Por, but the lowest came on the road in Denver vs a team that'd scored 99 & 120 in it's previous 2 games (hardly starting the season out of their own run'n gun form).
The Lakers defensively held Phx to below 100 in Phx, Hou to their lowest road total (out of their 3 road games to date - 95, vs 105 & 98), and while they allowed 109 to Utah, that simply reflects the case of they allowed that many because they themselves scored 119. Nor isnt conceding 119 in this game. Plus Utah was on a B2B off a huge effort (133 pts) the night before. Their defensive effort at Staples didnt exist, they were content to play an open contest. I'd expect this game to be a lot tighter, scrappy affair. Nor has their run around tomorrow night @Por, where they know they shouldnt need to expend as much defensive energy in order to compete.
these 2 teams totals the last 2 seasons:
194 (89)
196 (90)
216 (103)
199 (105)
216 (111)
220 (113)
210 (115)*
*played on the last day of the season
- the scores in brackets? what the Lakers totaled.
- the bolded totals were played in LA.
3 of the 4 best Nor defensive performances resulted in the lowest scores recorded between these 2 teams - where Nor's defense goes, so have gone these 2 teams totals, and now that defense is conceding 90.3/game. And the only game over 200 in LA came on the last day of the 05-06 season, which Nor brought a 1-5 last 6 record to, a 3rd in 4 nights for them. They bring a 3-0 record into Tuesday's contest, on 1 days rest.
So why 207? in part this line I would guess is a compensation for the fact all 7 totals I related above were Over results, with stupid lines like 187.5 & 189.5 invovled (most low 190s, and one 200.5). The inevitable compensation for having set too low a lines in recent seasons has come to bare, plus both teams bring scoring into this contest (LA off 2 x 119 totals, Nor a 104 & 113 prior to their latest 93). Its murphy's law as that as soon as they do that, we're dealing with a diff/better Nor team whose competitiveness is likely to now swing those total results the other way.
I don't see LA as the kind of team to keep reeling off those (119) types of scores: they averaged 94.4 points last season after scoring 110+ over their previous 2 games. They simply dont have the consistency outside Kobe.
I first noted the 207 line about 25 mins ago, between then and now its already dropped half a point. This line is only going one way.
Nuggets, Knicks in wild free-for-all; 10 players tossed
- the one New York got humiliated in by 23 points and tempers boiled over because they felt Denver was runnin up the score.
Can anyone spell p-a-y-b-a-c-k? Why involve yourself in this game? Denver has a rested Boston in Boston on their B2B. Just let this game suck the emotion out of them, then hit the electrified Celts.
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(2) - where did the 207 opener for the Lakers/Hornets game come from?
Recapping the Hornets defensive performances: 90, 93 & 88. OK 2 came vs Sac & Por, but the lowest came on the road in Denver vs a team that'd scored 99 & 120 in it's previous 2 games (hardly starting the season out of their own run'n gun form).
The Lakers defensively held Phx to below 100 in Phx, Hou to their lowest road total (out of their 3 road games to date - 95, vs 105 & 98), and while they allowed 109 to Utah, that simply reflects the case of they allowed that many because they themselves scored 119. Nor isnt conceding 119 in this game. Plus Utah was on a B2B off a huge effort (133 pts) the night before. Their defensive effort at Staples didnt exist, they were content to play an open contest. I'd expect this game to be a lot tighter, scrappy affair. Nor has their run around tomorrow night @Por, where they know they shouldnt need to expend as much defensive energy in order to compete.
these 2 teams totals the last 2 seasons:
194 (89)
196 (90)
216 (103)
199 (105)
216 (111)
220 (113)
210 (115)*
*played on the last day of the season
- the scores in brackets? what the Lakers totaled.
- the bolded totals were played in LA.
3 of the 4 best Nor defensive performances resulted in the lowest scores recorded between these 2 teams - where Nor's defense goes, so have gone these 2 teams totals, and now that defense is conceding 90.3/game. And the only game over 200 in LA came on the last day of the 05-06 season, which Nor brought a 1-5 last 6 record to, a 3rd in 4 nights for them. They bring a 3-0 record into Tuesday's contest, on 1 days rest.
So why 207? in part this line I would guess is a compensation for the fact all 7 totals I related above were Over results, with stupid lines like 187.5 & 189.5 invovled (most low 190s, and one 200.5). The inevitable compensation for having set too low a lines in recent seasons has come to bare, plus both teams bring scoring into this contest (LA off 2 x 119 totals, Nor a 104 & 113 prior to their latest 93). Its murphy's law as that as soon as they do that, we're dealing with a diff/better Nor team whose competitiveness is likely to now swing those total results the other way.
I don't see LA as the kind of team to keep reeling off those (119) types of scores: they averaged 94.4 points last season after scoring 110+ over their previous 2 games. They simply dont have the consistency outside Kobe.
I first noted the 207 line about 25 mins ago, between then and now its already dropped half a point. This line is only going one way.
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