11/1/08

JPicks

Pretty much a regular
11/1/08 NBA

7-5 +1.70 Units
2-2 ML's +1.00 Units


Good day yesterday. Completely wrong with the Warriors total but was saved by OT. Baron injury cost me some money for sure. Halloween was the shit.


Hawks -3' Liked this one a bit more before the Sixers waxed the Knicks and played limited minutes. Still surprised that Iggy played 37 minutes and I imagine it's to try to get him into sync. He hasn't played well in either of the first two games. Hawks were awesome last year as home favorites. Unfortunately this is a road dominated series. Hope it doesn't bite me in the ass.

Dallas/Minny O200 Simply put Carlisle looks like he gave Dallas the green light to do what they want and they love running. It was almost as if they went straight back to the Don Nelson days vs. Houston. See this one easily clearing 200.

Dallas -3' Minny held on to beat a bad Sacramento team at home, but they'll need a much stronger effort against Dallas. Dallas has beaten Minny by 16 or more 4 of the last 5 games and with Cle and a WC road trip on deck I expect the same here. This will be the #1 square play, but I'm just not impressed with Minnesota here.

Lakers -6' These teams are in a different league and it was on display last year for the playoffs. A bit worried about this being the first game outside of the Staples Center for the Lakers, but I'll deal with it.

Cavs +5 No Peja and a doubtful Chandler have me pulling the trigger here. CP3 and West aren't enough to cover a 5 point spread IMO. Thinking about it further I think the 1st half is the strongest play as Paul will get some rest in the 1st quarter and the road team seems to be doing better out of the gate in home openers.

Magic -9 I think the Kings suck. End of story. Once they get Miller back they will become more formidable, but the Magic own their home crowd a blowout after the Hawks debacle and I think they deliver.

Adding three totals and I'm done for the day:

GSW/NJN Under 206'
OKC/HOU U192'
LAC/UTA U192
 
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I'm already on both the Dallas side and total.

Orlando at a big number is kinda of scary. The queens are bad, but their bench is probably better than Orlando's. Thompson will manhandle Orlando's second unit.

lakers -6 will probably be on that too. It'll take a game or 2 for melo to get in sync.
 
Good luck J-picks. I like them all except the Magic. But like you said, the Kings do suck and this might be what the doctor ordered to get the Magic out of their funk.
 
hey jpicks, who do you book with? i got some garbage lines that just came out about 10 minutes ago. I got Dal -4, over 204, ATL -3.5, and Cavs +4. I still like them but every point counts in the nba.
 
fuck Baron out in 1st Q just fucked my night up. Still like Orlando off the heartbreaker? 2 ways to come out off a beat like that: 1) come out pissed off and cover your -9, come out flat and disheartened and lose SU..
 
I'm already on both the Dallas side and total.

Orlando at a big number is kinda of scary. The queens are bad, but their bench is probably better than Orlando's. Thompson will manhandle Orlando's second unit.

lakers -6 will probably be on that too. It'll take a game or 2 for melo to get in sync.

That Thompson guy is pretty impressive. When Miller comes back and Hawes is sent to the bench the Kings will have a formidable bench. With the Magic losing SU to the Grizz I couldn't be happier. I just don't like the Kings team at all right now and with Miller gone I expect Hawes and Thompson to get in early foul trouble trying to contain Howard.

Nuggets win last night sealed the Lakers play up today nicely.

GL tonight T.
 
hey jpicks, who do you book with? i got some garbage lines that just came out about 10 minutes ago. I got Dal -4, over 204, ATL -3.5, and Cavs +4. I still like them but every point counts in the nba.

Bookmaker 90% of the time. Also have accounts at Matchbook, The Greek, and Sportsbook.com but I always pull money out of them at the end of seasons. I love BM mainly as they release both CFB and NBA lines first.
 
fuck Baron out in 1st Q just fucked my night up. Still like Orlando off the heartbreaker? 2 ways to come out off a beat like that: 1) come out pissed off and cover your -9, come out flat and disheartened and lose SU..

Damn baron cost us some money. Guy is fragile frankie and with the new contract I can see him getting hurt more often.

Love Orlando tonight. I had a feeling Memphis was going to cause some problems last night, but I didn't want to play against the forum. Think the spot is still perfect for them to win by 20 tonight against the Kings. Lucky for them they have a 5 game home stand to work out some of their problems. Just remember to mark down your schedule for when they seem Memphis and ATL again when/if they figure out their problems.
 
Clippers Utah does look a lot like 85-100. Killed me to see you lose the Clippers. Major future bet there and Baron seems unable to play for any length of time. BOL
 
Do you guys have any input in the over 191 in milwauke?

T-Dot might be a good person to ask about this as well, but I lean under. Probably a product of my impressions from Toronto's effort last night, but I think it'll take a great shooting night by both teams to get this one. Don't see either team hitting 100 personally.
 
Clippers Utah does look a lot like 85-100. Killed me to see you lose the Clippers. Major future bet there and Baron seems unable to play for any length of time. BOL

Glad I wasn't around to witness the events. Assumed it was in the bag when I saw they were up 20. Guess I owed the gambling gods that one after my OT over play earlier in the evening.
 
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