SN - While I agree Boise State is probably the right side, their offense hasn't exactly lit it up against decent competition this year. Yardage wise, they've been good offensively...but aside from their games against Idaho State and Louisiana Tech (combined records of 2-9), they haven't converted drives into points (more importantly TDs) as often as they should. The Oregon game might be an exception.
Hawaii isn't that good this season, but they've been competitive, despite giving up a lot of yardage on defense. If Hawaii even comes close to sniffing 13-14 points, it will be tough for Boise to cover, IMO. Look at the numbers...Hawaii's offense isn't too shabby...so it's quite possible they hit 14 points.
If the Broncos were averaging 40+ points a game, it would be a different story. But they're only averaging 33, and giving up an average of 11. IMO, those stats are skewed quite a bit by their blowout win over a winless Idaho State team, when they won 49-7. Toss that game out, and they're averaging just over 29 points per game.
I know I'm just throwing out stats and numbers, and it's only a small part of the equation...but even if Boise State plays a solid (not great) game, they'll probably need to hold Hawaii under 10 points to cover.
I would just be way too nervous laying 24 with a team that hasn't really proven itself yet...at least not IMO.
Now, having said all that...they're at the smurf turf, on a nationally televised Friday Nighter. Unless HawaiiGuy is on the Rainbow Warriors, no frickin way do I take Hawaii.
Just my $0.02, for what little it's worth. Personally, I think there are far better sides to wager on this Saturday.
Regardless of what you decide, GL SN! And good luck to everybody else!
:cheers: