1.31

SportsNut

Breaking it down briefly
Wed Thoughts:
7PM:

Wash +5 {4units} +180 {1/4u} -4.90
Under 208.5 {2units} -2.20
Over 30 -120 Arenas {2units} -2.40

With Jamison out the line has exploded here, in combination with Fords return. Well Wash already lost @ Tor in the Sunday afternoon special this season. He claims to want revenge. The return of Ford doesn’t bother me since he looked rusty in practice. What does concern me is the no rest , travel to Toronto against team off 3 days. With everything though I had this +3.5 so to fat IMO…

Wash playing slightly better Defense lately .On offense they have only topped 105 twice in the past 10 in regulation games. They have kept teams around the century mark. Since the past Wash meeting the Raps are 10-0-1 UNDER. They have gone Under past 8 when favored. They have only scored 100+ twice in that span and allowed three times. At home four of 5 failed to crack 90 pts…..

GSW ML +110 {2units}-2.00
Over 205.5 Atlanta {6units} +6.00
Over 103 Atlanta -120{2units} +2.00
Over 102.5 GSW -120 {2units} -2.40
Over Joe Johnson 25.5 pts -130 {2units} +2.00

The Hawks are playing better but favored ??? Baron Davis called out his team after last nites embarrassment so lets see if that works. Truthfully the Warriors are 1-10 on back ends this season souse caution since Atl is playing well.. Ellis is out here but GSW can pick up the slack with Stephen Jackson on board. Just look at any recent GSW game or road tilt and the over is easily explained.

Lean heavily to NYK+3.5 (4units)-5.40 (+140ML for 1 unit) and Over 200(pass till half) except Q and Starbury are questionable. Will return with that game.

Bucks +8.5 {4units}+360{1/4unit}-4.90
team overs 93.5 and 101(2units each} -4.80
Over 30.5 -120 Points + rebounds Dwight Howard{2units} -2.40


The Underdog in ORL games is 29-15 -1 ATS. The Magic are struggling and Milw was embarrassed probably undervaluing them here. The Magic known for defense have not stopped anyone of late and Mil is allowing anywhere from 99 -115 pts lately. The Heat shot 60% and posted 110 pts w/o trying in the fourth quarter.

Pistons -110 {10units}+10.
Over 188.5 {4units}+4.00
Over 94.5 Det -120 {4units}+4.00

Its simple I have faded NJ for about week and I cant stopp. In all seriousness the Pistons are 9-3 SU on back ends and NJ coming home after that long road trip……Look at NJ 8-2 over last 10 and most DET creeping into the 190’s. NJ could not stop anyone on that trip….

Lakers -6 {4units} +4.00
Over 101.5 -120 LAL {2units} +2.00
Over 9 rebounds Odom -120 {2units}PUSH

LAL has certainly had issues on the road. We all know about Boston’s plight. Did you Delonte West did not play the 2<SUP>nd</SUP> H yesterday? That he is battling the FLU and Wally is still in limited mode.
Not liking much of the late schedule but sure that will change…..

Not liking much of the late schedule but sure that will change…..BOL
 
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Kinda split on that game Brewers. I really dont think losing AI is a big deal with Melo back. Blazers are playing much better to me its a coin flip. With DEN in a need of a win they have to place some importance on walking away winners. Now backing Port is they have lost 7 straight in the series and 9 of 10.

Now Melo seems to playing through a sore wrist and Jack will play here unlike last game. Not crazy about this but it I had to probably roll with Blazers but I dont think I will be involved...

Satyr that game scares me. Dallas has been incredibly low scoring on back ends. Now Memphis we know the deal with them. I think if Dallas goes over so probably does the game. 9 games of data on back ends and with alot of low scoring opponents the have allowed hardly any points...I honestly have no idea what to make of most the games starting at 8 or later....Dallas seems cheap in some ways but I think Memphis is starting to play better.

Just cant be real helpful...
 
1/31: Monta Ellis sprained his right ankle late in Tuesday night's game and was on crutches and in a boot after the game, according to the Contra Costa Times. X-rays were negative, and Ellis is day-to-day.
 
<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="BORDER-BOTTOM: #000 1px solid" width="40%"><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD>Wally Szczerbiak, F, Boston Celtics</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 10px" vAlign=bottom align=right ;>Wednesday 1/31, 9:24 AM CT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD class=statline2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px">Wally Szczerbiak is not at 100 percent, but Celtics head coach Doc Rivers is still willing to play him because of the threat he poses to the defense, according to the Boston Globe. Rivers said "He's probably not in great shape. His ankle is playable, but I know if he's playing as well as he can, he's still a threat on the floor." Szczerbiak said that he still has swelling in the ankle.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width=698 align=center><TBODY><TR><TD class=statline1 style="PADDING-BOTTOM: 10px" vAlign=top></TD></TR><TR><TD class=statline2 style="PADDING-BOTTOM: 10px" vAlign=top><TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="BORDER-BOTTOM: #000 1px solid" width="40%"><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD>Delonte West, G, Boston Celtics</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 10px" vAlign=bottom align=right ;>Tuesday 1/30, 9:14 PM CT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD class=statline2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px">Delonte West started Tuesday night, but played just 12 minutes due to flu-like symptoms, according to the AP. West averaged 20.5 points in the four games before Tuesday.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
I know you're a multi-play player. 10u on the Pistons...Is this one of your larger wagers this season in NBA?

No . I am small time this is not a dime or 10K play...once in awhile I get crazy....20 units on Indy last week. I have lost 2 boat loads on fading NJ past 2 games. With another good situational fade for NJ I will try one more time..then step away from Nets games IF I am wrong
 
Well, I played the BUCKS with ya....but I'm on the C's....it's a fade play.

Boston sat Delonte last night to have him tonight.
 
Not sure about Delonte cause if he has the flu and is too weak last nite then how is tonite better? Its a good fade play though...big half lead and I am hedging...
 
So happy I coulnt get the NYK over in time! Have the team total Ov 98.5 -120 for 2units but thats it.....

Not touching the Dallas game till halftime.

Over 187.5 Philly {4units}-4.80
Over 97 NO {2units}-120-2.40

Expecting a competitive game here and might get involved with Philly but hate those public dogs...like da Wiz! Sixers cannot defend anyone....

Under 196 Minny {4units} FUCKED -4.40
Kings +5 {2units} +190 {1/2unit}+2.95

Both of 23o total pt + games and have 5 straight unders in the series

Over 100 -120 Rockets team {4units} +4.00

Seattle cannot defend and Houstons O is clicking

Jazz +5 {3units} +190 {1/2unit}+3.95
Over 188.5 {3units} +3.00

Boozer is huge but overreaction in a sandwich spot. The Jazz have not defended anyone in a long , long time

Over 31 P+R Duncan {2units}-120 +2.00
Over 15.5 pts manu {2units} -120 -2.40
 
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Just disgusted at myself for some things...one day soon my head will be firmly out of my ass. I keep doing the same shit every damn day.....Dumb mistake after dumb mistake..its comical at this point there is so much money to be made and for 9 days I have basically dropped the ball....

Now I am pissed so it really doesnt matter

Sixers +6.5 2nd H {4units} +4.00
Grizzlies +1.5 {5units} +5.00
Over 94 Sixers {3units} -3.30
Under 98.5 Kings {3units} -3.30

BOL
 
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Blazers +3 {4units} +4.00
Under 202.5 Port {5units} +5.00

Prop :
Over Deng 17 pts -120 {2units} Pending

BOL
 
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Sorry Spider....late but my only thought was to stay away. If I could only do that with the marginal games I would be a wise , wise man.
 
It would have been a great nite Had I stayed awy from stupid games like Wash , Milw and so on....still solid....
 
Sides: 5-4 +8.20

Wash +5 {4units} -4.40 ML+180 {1/4u} -0.25
GSW ML +110 {2units} -2.00
NYK+3.5 (4units) -4.40 +140 ML (1 unit) -1.00
Bucks +8.5 {4units} -4.40 +360 ML {1/4unit} -0.25
Pistons -110 {10units} +10.
Lakers -6 {4units} +4.00
Kings +5 {2units} +2.00 ML+190 {1/2unit} +0.95
Jazz +5 {3units} +3.00 ML+190 {1/2unit} +0.95
Blazers +3 {4units} +4.00

Totals : 4-3 +7.00
Under 208.5 Tor {2units} -2.20
Over 205.5 Atlanta {6units} +6.00
Over 188.5 Pistons{4units} +4.00
Over 187.5 Philly {4units} -4.40
Under 196 Minny {4units} FUCKED -4.40
Over 188.5 Utah {3units} +3.00
Under 202.5 Port {5units} +5.00

PlayerProps: 2-3-2 -3.20
Over 30 -120 Arenas {2units} -2.40
Over Joe Johnson 25.5 pts -130 {2units} +2.00
Over 30.5 -120 Points + rebounds Dwight Howard{2units} -2.40
Over 9 rebounds Odom -120 {2units}PUSH
Over Deng 17 pts -120 {2units} PUSH
Over 31 P+R Duncan {2units}-120 +2.00
Over 15.5 pts manu {2units} -120 -2.40

Team Totals : 4-5 EVEN
Over 103 Atlanta -120{2units} +2.00
Over 102.5 GSW -120 {2units} -2.40
team overs 93.5 MIlw and 101 Orl (2units each} -4.80
Over 94.5LA {4units} +4.00
Over 101.5 -120 LAL {2units} +2.00
Over 97 NO {2units}-120 -2.40
Over 100 -120 Rockets team {4units} +4.00
Over 98.5 -120 NYK team {2units} -2.40


2nd H:3-3 Even

Sixers +6.5 2nd H {4units} +4.00
Grizzlies +1.5 {5units} +5.00
Over 94 Sixers {3units} -3.30
Under 98.5 Kings {3units} -3.30
Over 98.5 2nd H NYK {4units}-4.40
Over 97 -120 Bulls {2units} +2.00




 
Fondy would be envious of that card tonight..

Looks like you made out with some profit..congrats..Detroit just gets it done on B2B's
 
Thanks Bar. Fondy and I take ridiculous to a new level. Lately though my play criteria has sucked. Tonite I should have made 3 times what I did....but what can I do complain?

Excellent spot for Det. They were gonna be focused here and well NJ had no legs after that West Coast trip...which they cashed all 5 times....
 
Bingo man. Had same bet last year for Det @ NJ..although that one involved NJ playing on road day after which involves a "super situation"..i.e Denver @ Atlanta this year and Charlotte @ New Jersey
 
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