🏈WEEK 17

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
5/4.76 PACKERS u42½ -105

SEASON [175-189 -78.47u]
WEEK 16 [11-11 -0.01u]
LAST [1-0 +4.76u]

WEEK 17​

WEDNESDAY ​

• 4/3.29 STEELERS +3 -122
• 6/6.00 STEELERS u44 +100
• 4/3.64 TEXANS +6 -110
• 4/3.81 TEXANS u47 -105

randoms...

DOGS OVER 6 ARE 36-30-2 54.5% ATS IN 2024​

DOGS OVER 6 WERE 1-5 ATS WEEK 16 REGRESSING TOWARD MEAN​

ROAD TEAMS 121-110-4 52.4% ATS IN 2024​

ROAD TEAMS 4-12 ATS WEEK 16 FOR MOAR REGRESSION​

ROAD FAVS 50-39-3 56.2% ATS IN 2024​

ROAD FAVS UNDER 6 ARE 41-27-2 60.3% ATS IN 2024​

PIT 14-8-1 63.6% ATS @HOME 2022-24​

PIT 10-3 ATS L13 ON GRASS​

KC 2-7 ATS L9 OVERALL​

QB RATING 2024: MAHOMES 91.2 / WILSON 101.7​

BAL 17-8 68% ATS AWAY 2022-24 (TOTALS 15-10 60%)​

​

KC 8-0 SU & 4-4 ATS IN PRIME TIME THIS YEAR​

PIT 2-3 SU & ATS IN PRIME TIME THIS SEASON​

BAL 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS IN PRIME TIME THIS SEASON​

HOU 2-3 SU & ATS IN PRIME TIME THIS SEASON​

 

[mrpickem]

GET NO RESPECT FROM MODEL

 

[mrpickem]

INTERESTING LOOK AT QB RATINGS,,,PURDY & DARNOLD BOTH TOP 10? AND AHEAD OF LAMAR??

I THINK I WOULD LEAN MORE TO THIS ANALYSYS (PURDY/DARNOLD STILL TOP 10, SO MAYBE THEY ARE THAT GOOD)

 

[B.A.R.]

Interesting info on the QBS!

Thanks for posting that.

Merry Christmas!

 

[mrpickem]

WEDNESDAY
4/3.29 STEELERS +3 -122
6/6.00 STEELERS u44 +100
4/3.64 TEXANS +6 -110
4/3.81 TEXANS u47 -105

SEASON [177-191 -76.66u]
WEEK 17 [2-2 +1.81u]
LAST [2-2 +1.81u]

THURSDAY​

• 6/5.53 Seahawks -4 -108
• 5/4.76 Bears u42½ -105

randoms...

​

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
6/5.53 Seahawks -4 -108
5/4.76 Bears u42½ -105

SEASON [178-192 -77.90u]
WEEK 17 [3-3 +0.57u]
LAST [1-1 -1.24u]

SATURDAY​

• 3.24/3 PATRIOTS +6 -108
• 5/4.63 PATRIOTS u42½ -108
• 4/3.70 BENGALS u50½ -108
• 5/4.00 Cardinals +6½ +100
• 5/4.65 RAMS u47½ -108

randoms...

• FAVS 23-129 65.7% ATS LAST 2+ WEEKS (WK 15-17)

 

[mrpickem]

NFL Week 17 Betting Spots​

Let Down Spots:

• The Commanders could be soft hosting the Falcons after the big Eagles win.
• The Dolphins could let down at the Browns after the 49ers win.

Get Up Spots:

• The Eagles need to get back up hosting the Cowboys.
• The Broncos need to get back up after the Chargers loss at the Bengals.
• The Seahawks need to emerge after the bad loss to the Vikings.

Look Ahead Spots:

• The Chargers could look past new England some to the Raiders.

Short Rest:

• The Packers after Monday night at the Vikings.
• The Saints after Monday night hosting the Raiders.

Long Rest:

• The Broncos after Thursday night at the Bengals.
• The Chargers after Thursday night at the Patriots

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
3.24/3 PATRIOTS +6 -108
5/4.63 PATRIOTS u42½ -108
4/3.70 BENGALS u50½ -108
5/5.00 Cardinals +6½ +100
5/4.65 RAMS u47½ -108

SEASON [180-195 -80.49u]
WEEK 17 [5-6 -2.02u]
LAST [2-3 -2.59u]

SUNDAY​

early...

• 4/3.81 COLTS -7½ -105
• 5/4.61 GIANTS u40½ -108
• 4/3.81 Saints +2 -105
• 5/4.61 Saints u37½ -108
• 4/3.70 JAGUARS u39 -108
• 4/4.00 JETS +10 +100
• 4/3.81 BUCCANEERS u48 -105
• 4/3.64 COWBOYS +7½ -110

​

​

randoms...

FAVS 25-13 65.8% ATS LAST 2+ WEEKS (WK 15-17)​

ROAD FAVS 41-24 63.1% ATS w/LINED -2 TO -6 THIS SEASON​

ALL ROAD FAVS 53-40-3 57.0% ATS THIS SEASON​

ROAD TEAMS 125-112-4 52.7% ATS THIS SEASON​

​

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​

 

[mrpickem]

 

[HUNT]

Good luck today pick em

 

[mrpickem]

Like a dumbass, I posted my plays for late afternoon and night in my hoops thread yesterday.

https://cappingthegame.com/threads/december-🏀.171098/post-4632751

https://cappingthegame.com/threads/december-🏀.171098/post-4632877

SUNDAY
4/3.81 COLTS -7½ -105
5/4.61 GIANTS u40½ -108
4/3.81 Saints +2 -105
5/4.61 Saints u37½ -108
4/3.70 JAGUARS u39 -108
4/4.00 JETS +10 +100
4/3.81 BUCCANEERS u48 -105
4/3.64 COWBOYS +7½ -110
5/3.13 Dolphins -160
5/4.76 Browns u32½ -105
4/3.81 VIKINGS -105
3.60/3 Commanders -3 -120
6/5.71 Commanders u46 -105

SEASON [186-202 -88.48u]
WEEK 17 [11-13 -10.01u]
LAST [6-7 -7.99u]

MONDAY​

• 3.15/3 LIONS -3½ -105
• 4/3.81 49ers u50 -105

randoms...

FAVS 32-15 68.1% ATS LAST 3 WEEKS (WK 15-17)​

ROAD FAVS 43-24 64.2% ATS w/LINED -2 TO -6 THIS SEASON​

ALL ROAD FAVS 55-42-3 56.7% ATS THIS SEASON​

ROAD TEAMS 127-119-4 51.6% ATS THIS SEASON​

 

[B.A.R.]

Good luck bud!

Happy new year