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WORLD CUP FUTURES /DAILY INVESTMEMTS/FIFA 23 SIMULATIONS/ Random DEGEN ramblings

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
What's up Family ??

Loving my new home over here at CAPPING THE GAME !!!
First time checking out the futbol forum , impressive ....


Don't laugh but the FIFA video game Simulations were amazing in 2018 ( as posted somewhere else) ...15-1 in the knockout round and correctly predicted France before the tournament....Of course that means nothing this time around as they could be atrocious, which would be good as well for FADE material ....




Anyways

that's enough RAMBLING

Let's get to GAMBLING




BEST of HEALTH, HAPPINESS, WEALTH, BLESSINGS, AND LUCK TO ALL
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
FIFA 23 PREDICTIONS for the WORLD CUP

GROUP A


Simulated the tournament 50 times and here is what the results were for this Group

Winner
NETHERLANDS 38. (76%) -317
SENEGAL. 7 (14%) +614
ECUADOR 5. (10%) +900
QATAR. 0. (0)

ADVANCE
NETHERLANDS 47. (94%)
SENEGAL. 28. (56%)
ECUADOR. 22. (44%)
QATAR. 3. (6%)




My own personal thoughts

The Sadio Mane injury for Senegal is a massive blow...Before his injury I was very close to hammering them to advance , and some smaller money on them to win the group ....Now both bets are a pass ...

Be very careful with this group there is already news of some shady dealings were ECUADOR'S players would be paid to throw the game vs host QATAR ...

I'll pass on all GROUP A futures other than all 8 group winner long shot parlays...At the current price of -215 I'll be Wheeling Netherlands in most of those parlays .
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
WORLD CUP



GROUP B

FIFA 23 SIMULATIONS (50)


Winner

ENGLAND 39. 78%

USA. 8. 16%

WALES 3. 6%

IRAN. 0.



ADVANCE

ENGLAND 47. . 94%
USA. 28. 56%
WALES. 22. 44%
IRAN. 3. 6%


Thought IRAN might qualify







My personal thoughts:

Trying my hardest not be a blind homer that hammers the USA to advance ...Betting with your heart can be a painful way to lose money ..Going with some discipline wheeling them in long shot parlays for low risk..

USA , WALES and IRAN could all be very close on the pitch...My personal numbers have draws between the 3 possible 30-36% of the time... insta betting draws in this group could be profitable...

Also wouldn't be a shock if England poops the bed in at least one match.....

..
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
WORLD CUP

GROUP C

MADDEN 23 SIMULATIONS (50)


Group Winner

ARGENTINA 42 84%

MEXICO. 5. 10%

POLAND 3 6%

SAUDI ARABIA 0.



ADVANCE

ARGENTINA. 47. 94%
MEXICO. 26 54%
POLAND 24. 48%
SAUDI ARABIA 3. 6%








My Personal thoughts:

Would love to see Mexico make a run but final 16 might be EL TRI ceiling ( if they get there ?)


Both of my kids predict Argentina wins the WC ...
I'm not sold on them getting past the final 8 ...
My personal predictions has them losing to France in the semifinals or the round of 16 ..
 

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Unless Mexico somehow win the group their best case is probably playing the French in r16...very low ceiling for them
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Investment key

1 Unit = $200

1-2. Units standard wager

3-4. Units. Large wager

5-6+ units. Mortgage wager


Small wagers under 1 unit do NOT count in overall record but do count in world cup to date bankroll ..
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Unless Mexico somehow win the group their best case is probably playing the French in r16...very low ceiling for them
Agree Brother , that's exactly where my personal predictions have them losing to likely group D winner France in the R 16 ...Should Denmark win D , maybe Mexico could squeeze through and possibly meet England in final 8 ..
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Get 'em brudda!

Full day of work ahead for us degens all the way into MNF!
Never thought I'd say this 10+ years ago , but futbol has over taken our house over the last 6 years...Both my kids are playing soccer 11 months out of the year...

Despite being a BILLS fanatic I'm disgusted at the level of play and game flow in the NFL ...

Difficult to match the continous commercial free play of futbol ...


Best of luck Brother
Sweep your world cup slate $$$
 
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DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
USA to qualify for round of 16 +100

2.1 units $420

Originally wanted to put close to 6 units on this one but discipline is the key ( I guess )
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Don't like this game much so it will.NOT be a standard wager ( 1 unit )


England to win either 2-1/3-1/4-1 +425 ( Bet MGM)

0.125 units / $25 to win $106.25

Tempted to bet the draw as well but the +425 sucked me in small for cheap action.. Probably a donation though
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Long shot Group Winner Parlays ....

The plan here is to get a ton of the Degen action I crave without much risk...
Every Parlay will pay at least $10K...
Less than 1 unit spent all 11 parlays

These are my HOMER USA parlay wheels ...Likely donations with England being a deserving chalk ..

Will have more tickets with England / and or NO GROUP B Winner selected to follow
..

All bets placed at Seneca Buffalo sportsbook /Bet Rivers


Ticket 1
+24397.
A NETHERLANDS / B USA / C ARGENTINA / D FRANCE / E GERMANY / F BELGIUM / G BRASIL / H URUGUAY


TICKET 2
+48152
A NETHERLANDS / B USA / C ARGENTINA / D FRANCE / E GERMANY/ F CROATIA / G BRASIL / H URUGUAY


TICKET 3
+65139
A NETHERLANDS / B USA / C MEXICO / D FRANCE / E SPAIN / F BELGIUM / G BRASIL / H PORTUGAL


TICKET. 4.
+62071
A NETHERLANDS / B USA / C ARGENTINA / D DENMARK / E GERMANY / F CROATIA / G BRASIL / H PORTUGAL.



TICKET 5.
+ 73589
A NETHERLANDS / B USA / C POLAND / D FRANCE / E GERMANY / F BELGIUM / G BRASIL / H PORTUGAL



TICKET 6
+95722.
SENEGAL / USA / ARGENTINA/ FRANCE / GERMANY / BELGIUM / BRASIL / URUGUAY



TICKET 7.
+106756
NETHERLANDS/ USA/ MEXICO/ FRANCE/ SPAIN / BELGIUM/ BRASIL/ URUGUAY


TICKET 8
+120598
NETHERLANDS/ USA/ MEXICO/ FRANCE/ GERMANY / BELGIUM/ BRASIL/ URUGUAY




TICKET 9. ( 7 selections)
+147508.
SENEGAL/ USA/ DENMARK/ GERMANY / BELGIUM/ BRASIL/ URUGUAY


Ticket 10
+33096
NETHERLANDS/ USA / ARGENTINA/FRANCE/SPAIN/CROATIA/BRASIL/PORTUGAL


TICKET 11
+40738
NETHERLANDS/ ARGENTINA/DENMARK/GERMANY/BELGIUM/BRASIL/PORTUGAL
 
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DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Group Winner Parlays with England wheeled

England wheels

Ticket 12
+152163
NETHERLANDS/MEXICO/FRANCE/GERMANY/BELGIUM/SWITZERLAND/URUGUAY


TICKET 13
+152163
NETHERLANDS/POLAND/FRANCE/GERMANY/BELGIUM/SWITZERLAND/URUGUAY


TICKET 14
+284383
NETHERLANDS/MEXICO/DENMARK/SPAIN/BELGIUM/SWITZERLAND/URUGUAY


Ticket 15
+58676
NETHERLANDS/ENGLAND/ARGENTINA/DENMARK/GERMANY/CROATIA/SERBIA/PORTUGAL



NO GROUP B WINNER PARLAYS TO FOLLOW
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Netherlands vs Senegal investments

Another match where I'm just looking for action...No reason to force a standard wager ..Always root for thr athletic Senegal..


DRAW. +270.
$50 to win $135



Parlays ( Likely all canceled with Depay missing out)

Memphis Depay goal + NETHERLANDS +260.
$60 to win $156

Memphis Depay goal +
DRAW. +1700
$13/$221


Memphis scored in 25 of the 50 Sims , 29 goals in total .
 
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DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Don't like this game much so it will.NOT be a standard wager ( 1 unit )


England to win either 2-1/3-1/4-1 +425 ( Bet MGM)

0.125 units / $25 to win $106.25

Tempted to bet the draw as well but the +425 sucked me in small for cheap action.. Probably a donation though
Geez guess I should have bet 5-1 or 6-1 ...
 

KJ

Mayor of Nap
I was hoping he'd be a last minute start
..Not happening ...At least my bets involving him are canceled ...
I like the Draw even more with him out...Will not force a standard wager though....
Highly doubt either scores more than one

Every WC the world gravitates to Oranje and they love to underdeliver. I think this is their worst team in a long time
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
USA vs WALES Investments

Can't believe the prices have swayed so much here at Seneca Sportsbook to the USA now +135 ( they were +160 just 3 days ago ) ....If I wasn't such a homer I'd probably bet Wales draw no bet on value alone ..



I'll be tailing the FIFA 23 Sims that had both teams scoring in 33 of the 50 results....



First standard wager

Both teams to score +100
1 unit $200
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Highly doubt either scores more than one

Every WC the world gravitates to Oranje and they love to underdeliver. I think this is their worst team in a long time
They sure do fail to deliver...


I'd love to see Senegal and Ecudor advance ....
Adding some parlays right now lol ....
 
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DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Group Winner Parlays ( probably the last of them until later in the week )

Ticket 16
+21976
$22.76 to win $5001
Senegal
Argentina
France
Germany
Belgium
Brazil
URUGUAY


Ticket 17
+16930
$29.54 to win $5001
Ecuador
England
Argentina
France
Germany
Belgium
Brazil
URUGUAY


Ticket 18
+25065
$19.95 to win 5000
Senegal
Argentina
Denmark
Germany
Belgium
Brazil
Portugal
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
CLASS AA PLAYOFF
BUFFALO AT ROCHESTER
( SECTION 6 AT 5)

BENNETT 10 at MCQUAID

Excellent spot for my BENN HIGH TIGERS who stayed Sunday in Rochester hotel preparing for tonight's 6pm kickoff ...Perfect planning getting out of Snow crushed Buffalo a day early ....

BENNETT -10 --110
$4620 to win $4,200. 21 Units


Always dreamed as a kid that the Buffalo city schools would be competing for a state title in football ...Up until 6 years ago city schools were NOT permitted to play suburban schools in football
..

Expecting Bennett to win by 22+ tonight
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
USA vs WALES Investments

Can't believe the prices have swayed so much here at Seneca Sportsbook to the USA now +135 ( they were +160 just 3 days ago ) ....If I wasn't such a homer I'd probably bet Wales draw no bet on value alone ..



I'll be tailing the FIFA 23 Sims that had both teams scoring in 33 of the 50 results....



First standard wager

Both teams to score +100
1 unit $200


Winner FIFA 23 1-0 World Cup to date .. Standard suggested wagers +$200

However I would have gladly lost this bet if USA HELD ON FOR A 1-0 WIN ..

Other wagers ( small -$75)


+$125 WORLD CUP to date
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
FIFA 23 SIMS



GROUP D

WINNER

FRANCE 32 64%

DENMARK 18. 36%

TUNSIA 0

AUSTRALIA 0


The FIFA Sims want France wheeled in every Parlay tomorrow $$$



QULAIFY FOR FINAL 16

FRANCE 50. 100%

DENMARK 48 96%

TUNISIA 2 4%

AUSTRALIA 0



My personal thoughts:

Uggg ..The top 2 should roll but I don't want to lay too much juice ...
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
MEXICO VS POLAND

FIFA 23 SUGGESTED STANDARD INVESTMENT #2

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE +100
1.38. UNITS ( $276)

EL TRI and POLAND BOTH score in 32 of the 50 SIMULATIONS
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
CLASS AA PLAYOFF
BUFFALO AT ROCHESTER
( SECTION 6 AT 5)

BENNETT 10 at MCQUAID

Excellent spot for my BENN HIGH TIGERS who stayed Sunday in Rochester hotel preparing for tonight's 6pm kickoff ...Perfect planning getting out of Snow crushed Buffalo a day early ....

BENNETT -10 --110
$4620 to win $4,200. 21 Units


Always dreamed as a kid that the Buffalo city schools would be competing for a state title in football ...Up until 6 years ago city schools were NOT permitted to play suburban schools in football
..

Expecting Bennett to win by 22+ tonight
Best $4620 I've ever lost ...lol
BENNETT was down 0-14 at half and clawed back to escape with a 20-14 WIN over an extremely solid fundamental McQuaid squad .....

The non cover stings, but I'm still up over $26k on the HS football season ( my bread in butter when it comes to sports wagering ) ...
Good news is Bennett moves on to play the Syracuse winner in the state Semi finals ...Hopefully the narrow victory drops their line next game ...
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Group F
WINNER
BELGIUM 32
CROATIA 10
MOROCCO 6
CANADA 2



ADVANCE
BELGIUM 45
CROATIA 28
MOROCCO 17
CANADA 10

These matches were much closer than the previous groups results....



My personal thoughts:
Tempted to just bet draw or the underdog with no draw in every match ..I'll probably stay away until the 2nd string of matches unless it's small wagers
 
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DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Group G

Winner
BRASIL. 40
SWITZERLAND 6
SERBIA 4
CAMEROON 0



ADVANCE
BRASIL 48
SWITZERLAND 28
SERBIA 23
CAMEROON 1


Both Serbia and Switzerland has a fair share of draws vs each other and to a lesser extent BRASIL....


My personal thoughts :
Why not fade BRASIL on the cheap with some draw and dog bets ....
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
GROUP E

WINNER
GERMANY 25
SPAIN. 25
JAPAN 0
COSTA RICA 0


ADVANCE
GERMANY 48
SPAIN. 46
JAPAN 6
COSTA RICA. 0


JAPAN only qualified 6 times despite playing a slew of close games vs the top 2 ...



My Personal thoughts :
Betting Germany to win the group for a unit and a unit to win the whole thing ( not my #1 squad though) ...Might be donations but I think the value is there ...
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Group H

Winner
Portugal 24
URUGUAY 21
South Korea 4
GHANA 1

ADVANCE
PORTUGAL 46
URUGUAY 39
SOUTH KOREA 11
GHANA 4



My personal thoughts:
Gut feeling PORTUGAL choke and URUGUAY win the group ...That being said I'm tempted to bet the Underdog small every match without draws no bet ....
Very little chance the World Cup winner comes from this group IMO
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
NO FIFA 23 suggested wagers today so I'll just back the underdogs for low risk degen action


GHANA DRAW NO BET +575
$30/$172.50

SERBIA DRAW NO BET +420
$40/$164
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
World Cup to date

Suggested FIFA 23 standard wager 1-1. -$76

Small wagers -$416

-$492 overall /-2.46 units

Tough start , but if I remember correctly it's almost exactly how my results started in the world cup 4 years ago....
Based on the current prices there should be at least 6 standard wagers on match day 2
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
ECUADOR DRAW NO BET +250
$40/$100
Betting from my gut here , don't think this is a solid Netherlands squad ...Small action
 
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DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
Fifa suggested standard wager #3

Asian line

ENGLAND -1.25. +110
$300
Never bet with your heart lol..Have to imagine England will give maximum effort today in the hopes of resting many of their starters vs Wales ...The Sims had England by 2 as the most common score..
 

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Asian line

ENGLAND -1.25. +110
$250
Never bet with your heart lol..Have to imagine England will give maximum effort today in the hopes of resting many of their starters vs Wales ...The Sims had England by 2 as the most common score..
My heart honestly 50/50 as a City fan and 5 guys on the squad

But England have plenty of resume to be completely awful too

I seriously don't have a clue how this goes after the Iran match
 

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Well-Known Member
My heart honestly 50/50 as a City fan and 5 guys on the squad

But England have plenty of resume to be completely awful too

I seriously don't have a clue how this goes after the Iran match
My buddy just said the same thing about having no clue how this goes after the Iran match..( Weird that's he's also a City fan , who ribs on me all the time for being a " Loserpool" homer ) ...

Guessing England lays an egg in the knockout stage ...They're definitely capable of a sh*t show

I'm thinking the USA gets too aggressive and gets burned in the 2nd half ..
 
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