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UFC Vegas 59 ~ Aug 6

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Early Action
  • 2.65/3 MAYRA BUENO SILVA +113
  • 3/1.56 CORY MCKENNA -192
  • 2.72/2 SATO vs BATTLE o2½ -136

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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
UFC Vegas 59: Prelims

  • Silva Decision ...Egger’s game relies too heavily on opponents walking themselves onto the mat. Even with Silva’s poor decision-making, her strong scrambles will ensure she doesn’t meet a fate similar to Jessica-Rose Clark.
  • McKenna ...Granger is a larger opponent, although she struggles to utilize her size to her advantage. Although Granger has a list of submission victories in the amateurs, she will face a sizeable disadvantage on the mat against McKenna. The Welshwoman appeared gun-shy against Elise Reed in her last outing, yet it had the hallmarks of a learning bump in the career of a young prospect.
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  • Battle ...Battle's a plucky craftsman that can pick holes in an opponent’s defense with probing combinations. Sato is a clean enough counter-puncher to rough up Battle, but he lacks the power to prevent Battle from settling into his preferred fight. Battle could be close to hitting an athletic wall, however, as he climbs the rankings.
  • McKinney Early KO ...T-Wrecks can time opponents from the opening bell which spells danger for Gonzalez’s propensity to sit at striking distance. Miller’s hands were enough to break Gonzalez by the second round; McKinney’s full-blooded kicking game is a far more potent threat. Gonzalez is scrappy enough that he is a live dog in the later rounds against a flailing McKinney, yet it is difficult to see McKinney not ending it very early.
  • Oleksiejczuk Decision ...Even though Alvey hasn't won since 2018, he remains a tricky fighter to pressure due to his powerful left hand, solid TDD, and a canny knack for keeping opponents somewhat quiet on the outside. Oleksiejczuk is hardly blessed with technical talent, but his attention to the body is a solid game plan for handling Smilin’ Sam in his retirement fight.
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss

UFC Vegas 59: Main Card​


  • McKinney Early KO ...T-Wrecks can time opponents from the opening bell which spells danger for Gonzalez’s propensity to sit at striking distance. Miller’s hands were enough to break Gonzalez by the second round; McKinney’s full-blooded kicking game is a far more potent threat. Gonzalez is scrappy enough that he is a live dog in the later rounds against a flailing McKinney, yet it is difficult to see McKinney not ending it very early.
AUGUSTO SAKAI(15-4-1) VS SERGEY SPIVAK(14-3) ~ Heavyweight (265)
  • Spivak KO ...Sakai’s durability has been waning since a 5-round brutalization courtesy of Alistair Overeem. When you operate with a volume-pocket punching style, you cannot afford to have your chin checked three fights in a row. Sakai lacks the defensive wrestling to consistently stop Spivak’s chain-wrestling. Also noticeable is adjustments made by Spivak to better utilize his length and strike from distance. A few years back I was quite high on Sakai, but not so much anymore. Seriously doubt he can last 3 rounds tonight.
JULIANA MILLER VS BROGAN WALKER ~ Women’s Flyweight (125)
Ultimate Fighter Women’s Flyweight Championship

  • Walker ...The more consummate striker and proven athlete, Walker won’t struggle to land clean work on a very hittable Miller. Miller is a ball of aggression that will chase the fight in any area, yet it’s often a coinflip whether Miller gets the upper hand. But, at this lower level of MMA, Miller’s relentless pressure may just be enough to bridge the gap.
ZAC PAUGA VS MOHAMMAD USMAN ~ Heavyweight (265)
Ultimate Fighter Heavyweight Championship

  • Pauga ...Despite Usman's impressive physique, he lacks the urgency or initiative to gameplan a heavy-clinching affair against Pauga. The Ripper is a surprisingly technical boxer – one of the few HWs who can hook off the jab. At this level, even Usman’s straightforward plodding could force Pauga against the cage, but I’ll stick with the better technical fighter.

Nice finish by Battle ~ Link

Fuck, hated that they canceled the Lipski fight as my biggest play was fading her ass. :angrymob:

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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Tough way for the smiling one to go out... link

[2-2 -1.16u]
  • 8/1.68 TERRANCE MCKINNEY KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -475
  • 5/4.00 SERGEY SPIVAK KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -125

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KJ

Mayor of Nap
Haha her only chance was a ko so she goes for the clench. This is not well thought out.
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss

UFC Vegas 59: Co-Main Event​

VICENTE LUQUE(21-8-1) VS GEOFF NEAL(14-4) ~ Welterweight (170)
  • Luque ITD ...Luque is the more varied striker and the fact that Neal’s power is unlikely to leave a mark on Luque’s granite chin...this one seems like a foregone conclusion. Still, Neal is a pressure fighter who can string together extended combos that will entice the judges. If it weren’t for Neal’s tendency to head-hunt, instead opting to target often Luque’s static body, this may end in a razor-close affair.
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POW, Usman landed link


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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss

UFC Vegas 59: Main Event​

THIAGO SANTOS(22-10) VS JAMAHAL HILL(10-1) ~ Light Heavyweight (205)
  • Hill KO ...Santos is a tricky counter-puncher, certainly capable enough to lay traps that a green Hill falls for. His power hasn’t exactly left either, it's just his taste for a lethal finish seems missing. Having a bit of spring to his step after blowing out both knees against Jon Jones, has seemingly relegated him to a dull, conservative approach. Red flags still shade Hill...despite being athletically gifted, most of his highlight reel wins have come from foes tailor-made to lose wild 50/50 exchanges. Hill tends to plod forward upright with his chin up, yet Santos has regularly backed himself onto the fence in his most recent outings. With free reign over position and pace, Hill’s offense is too potent to overlook.

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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
the main

  • 5/2.22 JAMAHAL HILL KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -225
  • 3/2.00 SANTOS/HILL- NO - ROUND 3 STARTS -150

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