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NFL 21

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 10: 5-4 -1u

After eleven weeks: Total 41-32 +10,32u

Dogs ATS 16-7 +9,03u
Favs ATS 11-13 -2,1u
Favs ML 1-0 +2,0u
Parlays 4-6 -0,5u
Totals 9-5 +2,34
Props: 0-1 -0,25u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
2-0 start

Cowboys -7 @-110 to win 0,5u
Cowboys - Raiders under 50,5 @-110 to win 0,5u
Elliot over 67,5 rushing yards @-110 to win 0,5u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 122-3 -0,65u so far.

Sunday:
Panthers -2 @-110 to win 2u
Pats -7 @-108 to win 1u
Pats - Titans under 43 to win 1u
Colts +3 @-110 to win 1u
Bengals - Steelers under 44 @-110 to win 1u
Monday: WFT ML @-102 to win 1u

Fade the Dolphins after three wins in a row. They played the Jets and Texans and upset the Ravens. Can't imagine they put together a 4-game-winning streak.

Pats are rolling. Would play the 7-point dog with the better record but the injuries will cath up and think the Pats make a statement win with Belichick being 0-2 against the Vrabel-coached Titans.

The Bucs won against the Giants on Monday night. But their road games this season:
@Rams L 24-34 (PK)
@Pats W 19-17 (as 6.5-pt fav)
@Eagles W 28-22 (as 7-pt fav)
@Saints L 27-36 (as 4.5-pt fav)
@WFT L 29-39 (as 9.5-pt fav and cominc off the bye)

So on the road the Bucs are 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS and are favored on the road against a Colts team that just demolished the Bills and had a day more to prepare. I take the Colts.

Bengals - Steelers could be a typical AFC North slugfest in a 16-13 type of game either way.

Fade Wilson and the Seahawks as long as Russ can't throw.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
After eleven weeks: Total 41-32 +10,32u

Dogs ATS 16-7 +9,03u
Favs ATS 11-13 -2,1u
Favs ML 1-0 +2,0u
Parlays 4-6 -0,5u
Totals 9-5 +2,34
Props: 0-1 -0,25u

Week 12 - 4-7 -4,15u
Lions +3 @-110 to win 0,5u
Lions - Bears under 41,5 @-110 to win 0,5u

Cowboys -7 @-110 to win 0,5u
Cowboys - Raiders under 50,5 @-110 to win 0,5u
Elliot over 67,5 rushing yards @-110 to win 0,5u
Panthers -2 @-110 to win 2u

Pats -7 @-108 to win 1u
Pats - Titans under 43 to win 1u
Colts +3 @-110 to win 1u
Bengals - Steelers under 44 @-110 to win 1u

Monday: WFT ML @-102 to win 1u

Week 13 - 5-0 +7,11u
Saints-Cowboys under 46 @-110 to win 2u
Rams -12,5 @-110 to win 1,5u
Steelers +4,5 @-110 to win 1,5u
Bengals - Chargers over 49,5 @-110 to win 1u
ML parlay Eagles / Colts / Rams @111 to win 1,11u


After thirteen weeks: Total 50-39 +13,28u
Favs ATS 13-15 -2,35u
Totals 12-8 +3,09u
Dogs ATS 18-8 +9,93u
Favs ML 1-0 +2,0u
Dogs ML 1-0 +1,0u
Parlays 5-6 +0,61u
Props: 0-2 -0,80u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 13: 6-0 +8.2u
Overall 51-39 +14.37

Week 14
ML parlay Titans / Chargers / Packers @-125 to win 1.5u
WFT +4.5 @-110to win 1.5u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 14 2-3 -0,65u

After fourteen weeks: Total 52-42 +12,63u
Favs ATS 14-17 -2,95u
Totals 12-8 +3,09u
Dogs ATS 18-9 +8,28u
Favs ML 1-0 +2,0u
Dogs ML 1-0 +1,0u
Parlays 6-6 +2,11u
Props: 0-2 -0,80u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 15 4-2 +2,58u

After fourteen weeks: Total 56-44 +15,21u
Favs ATS 15-17 -1,37u
Totals 13-8 +4,09u
Dogs ATS 20-9 +10,28u
Favs ML 1-0 +2,0u
Dogs ML 1-1 +0,0u
Parlays 6-7 +1,11u
Props: 0-2 -0,80u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Merry Christmas!

ML parlay: Packers / Chargers / Eagles @-105 to win 1u
Packers TT over 27,5 @104 to win 1,04u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 16: 3-6 -3,39u

After sixteen weeks: Total 59-50 +11,82u
Favs ATS 15-18 -2,47u
Totals 15-10 +4,03u
Dogs ATS 20-10 +9,16u
Favs ML 2-0 +3,0u
Dogs ML 1-2 -1,06u
Parlays 7-7 +0,06u
Props: 0-2 -0,80u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 17
Titans -3 @-110 to win 2u

Dolphins beat Jets (2x), Texans, Saints (without qb), Giants, Ravens and Panthers. The Titans are still in the hunt for thy bye week, if KC loses today.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Bears -6,5 @-110 to win 1u

Fade the Giants and whoever plays qb. Bears defense should get turnovers and maybe 14 pts are enough to cover.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Chargers-Broncos over 45 @-113 to win 1u
Herbert over 265.5 @-113 to win 1u
Saints -6.5 @-114 to win 1u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 17 5-1 +4,87u
Titans -3 @-110 to win 2u
Bears -6,5 @-110 to win 1u
Raiders +8,5 @-110 to win 1u
Chargers-Broncos over 45 @-113 to win 1u

Herbert over 265.5 @-113 to win 1u
Saints -6.5 @-114 to win 1u

After seventeen weeks: Total 64-51 +16,69u
Favs ATS 18-18 +1,53u
Totals 16-10 +5,03u
Dogs ATS 10-10 +10,16u
Favs ML 2-0 +3,0u
Dogs ML 1-2 -1,06u
Parlays 7-7 +0,06u
Props: 0-3 -1,93u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 18
If the Colts loses to the Jags, a tie would give both the Chargers and the Raiders a playoff berth. Colts has not won in Jacksonville since 2014. So for fun:

Parlay: Jags ML / Raiders - Chargers OT yes @12650 to win 63,25u with 0,5u stake.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Do not really believe in this scenario, but stranger things happened. Jagd beat Bills, Jets beat Titans, Texans beat Chargers. So really for fun.

Vikings -4 @-103 to win 2u
WFT -6 @-110 to win 1,5u
Packers to win 1H @-142 to win 1u

Free bet for 1u:
Parlay Vikings -4.5 / WFT -6 / Ravens -3 / Falcons +4,5 / Bucs -9,5 @2535 to win 25.35u

Obviously lean Bucs, Falcons and maybe Cardinals in the late Games.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
2-2 +1,03 so far
Fun parlay Jax ML / Chargers - Raiders OT
and freebet parlay still alive depending on the outcome of the Ravens game.

Falcons +4,5 @-110 to win 1u
Dolphins +6,5 @-110 to win 1u
Cardinals -5,5 @-110 to win 1u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 18: 4-5 +63,08u

Falcons +4,5 @-110 to win 1u
Dolphins +6,5 @-110 to win 1u
Cardinals -5,5 @-110 to win 1u
Texans -Titans under 42,5 @-105 to win 1u

Vikings -4 @-103 to win 2u
WFT -6 @-110 to win 1,5u

Packers to win 1H @-142 to win 1u
Free bet for 1u: Parlay Vikings -4.5 / WFT -6 / Ravens -3 / Falcons +4,5 / Bucs -9,5 @2535 to win 25.35u
Parlay: Jags ML / Raiders - Chargers OT yes @12650 to win 63,25u with 0,5u stake.

Nothing better than winning bets while you're sleeping. SNF is 2.30 a.m here in Europe. Biggest win ever.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Regular season: Total 68-56 +79,77u
Favs ATS 20-19 +3,93u
Totals 16-11 +3,98u
Dogs ATS 11-11 +10,06u
Favs ML 2-0 +3,0u
Dogs ML 1-2 -1,06u
Parlays 8-8 +63,19u
Props: 0-3 -1,93u

Could be misleading, so without winning last week parlay Total 67-56 +16,86u. I'm fine with that and hopefully can carry over into playoffs.

Playoffs:
Bengals -5,5 @-105 to win 2.5u
ML parlay Bills / Bengals @102 to win 2.04u
Eagles +8,5 @-110 to win 1.5u
49ers +3 @-105 to win 2u
Cardinals +4 @-110 to win 2u


Bengals thoughts: I see advantages Bengals regarding weather, qb, wr and rb. Don't know how the Raiders will take off the running game and the passing game. Burrow is simply balling out, Chase nearly cathing and running everything and Mixon might have a field day as well. Won't be surprised to see Bengals putting up 400+ yards and generating at least one turnover. Might be on the Bengals TT as well and rooting for a 31 - 20 win. Carr not good in cold weather as I read in the discussion thread (0-5 below 40?).
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Super Wild Card Weekend: 5-7 +1,08u
Bengals -5,5 @-105 to win 2.5u
ML parlay Bills / Bengals @102 to win 2.04u

Eagles +8,5 @-110 to win 1.5u
49ers +3 @-105 to win 2u
Cardinals +4 @-110 to win 2u - pending
Bengals TT over 27,5 @100 to win 1u
Eagles TT over 18,5 @-125 to win 1u
Cowboys - 49ers over 51 @-108 to win 2u
ML parlay Eagles / 49ers / Cardinals @2324 to win 11,62u

Samuel TD yes @110 to win 1.1u
Kittle TD yes @140 to win 1.4u
Pollard TD yes @170 to win 1.7u

Chiefs -12.5 @-108 to win 2u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Playoffs: 5-8 -1,12u

Saturday:
Titans - Bengals over 47,5 @-110 to win 2,5u


Don't about the side, can make arguments for both sides (weak pass defense Titans, weak run defense Bengals - so both teams offensive strengths seems to have weaker defensive counterparts). Hope Titans run for 200+ yards and 3 td as well rooting for Burrow to throw for 300+ yards and 3 td so over is my play.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Packers -5 @-108 to win 3u

Advantage Packers

Qb
Rest
Injuries / Health
User to weather / cold
Schedule
Davonte Adams

Advantage 9ers

Running game
3-0 against Rodgers in playoffs
Head coach

Completely agree with Coverdatspread and his analyse.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Saturday: 0-2 -5,99u
Packers to win it all lost for -5u

Playoffs: 5-10 -7,11u
Regular season: Total 68-57 +74,77u (Packers SB bet included)


Try to get back on track.
 

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