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NFL 2022

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Hi guys, thanks for sharing thoughts, that gave me some winners last season. Appreciate it. Have a nice season.

Week 1:
Panthers ML -110 to win 1u
ML parlay Titans / Bengals @-110 to win 1u

The Browns haven't won a road game in week 1 since 1994. Had to count the number of games, but I think, it must be at least 10 in 27 years, so 0-10 or worse SU. Baker should be motivated.

Titans and Bengals with the home opener against a far inferior opponent. laying 5,5 / 7. It's week 1, so only for 1 u.

Other leans: Texans, Saints Jags, Cardinals, Pats, Ravens


Overall:
NFL 2021: 80-78 +73,70u
NFL 2020: 76-91-2 -11,38u
NFL 2019: 78-89-6 +2,75 units
NFL 2018: 102-113-1 +5,52 units
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 1:
Panthers ML -110 to win 1u
ML parlay Titans / Bengals @-110 to win 1u


0-2 -2,2

All bets could have / should have won, but Giants went for 2, McPherson missed multiple kicks and the Panthers took the lead with 1:17 left and allowed the Browns to make the winning field goal. Would play it again.

Week 2:
Colts -3 @-110 to win 1u
Rams -10 @-110 to win 1u
Packers -10 @-110 to win 1u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 2:
Colts -3 @-110 to win 1u
Rams -10 @-110 to win 1u

Packers -10 @-110 to win 1u

1-2 -1,2
Overall 1-4 -3,4 bad start. Try totals this week, as I can't get a feeling for the ATS lines.

Week 3
Commanders - Eagles over 47 @-110 to win 1u
Vikings - Lions over 52,5
@-110 to win 1u
ML parlay Ravens / Jets @134 to win 1,34u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 4
Bengals -3.5 @-110 to win 1u
Bengals TT oder 26,5 @-120 to win 1u
ML parlay Bengals/ Packers @-120 to win 1u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 3
Commanders - Eagles over 47 @-110 to win 1u
Vikings - Lions over 52,5 @-110 to win 1u

ML parlay Ravens / Jets @134 to win 1,34u

My mistake. Parlay should obviously be Ravens / Bengals @134.

1-2 -0,86u
Overall 2-6 -4,26u


Week 4
Bengals -3.5 @-110 to win 1u
Bengals TT oder 26,5 @-120 to win 1u

ML parlay Bengals/ Packers @-120 to win 1u
Titans +3,5 @-110 to win 1u
Texans +5,5 @-110 to win 1u
Saints +3 @-110 to win 1u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 4
Bengals -3.5 @-110 to win 1u
Bengals TT oder 26,5 @-120 to win 1u
ML parlay Bengals/ Packers @-120 to win 1u
Titans +3,5 @-110 to win 1u

Texans +5,5 @-110 to win 1u
Saints +3 @-110 to win 1u
Raiders -2,5 @-120 to win 1u

5-1-1 +3,9u
Overall 7-7-1 -0,36u

Week 5
Texans +7 @-110 to win 1u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 5
Texans +7 @-110 to win 1u
ML parlay Packers / Bucs / Vikings @-110 to win 2u
ML parlay Eagles / Rams @104 to win 1.04

Bengals+3 @-105 to win 1u
Ravens - Bengals over 47.5 @-105 to win

2-3 -2,25u
Overall 9-10-1 -2,61u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 6
Giants +5,5 @-105 to win 1u
Pats +2,5 @-105 to win 1u
Seahawks @-105 to win 1u
Seahawks - Cardinals over 50,5 @-110 to win 1u
Chargers -4,5 @-110 to win 1u
ML parlay Packers / Vikings @107 to win 1.07u

A little bit worried about the London hangover, but I expect the Giants to stay in the game. Take the Pats plus the points because of the coaching mismatch and the Seahawks because I can't see any reason why the Cardinals are favoured on the road. Maybe the bad Seahwks defense but the Cardinals offense not concincing yet.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 6u
Giants +5,5 @-105 to win 1u
Pats +2,5 @-105 to win 1u
Seahawks +2,5@-105 to win 1u

Seahawks - Cardinals over 50,5 @-110 to win 1u
Chargers -4,5 @-110 to win 1u
ML parlay Packers / Vikings @107 to win 1.07u
Bills - Chiefs over 54.5 @-110 to win 1u


3-4 -1,2u
Overall 12-14-1 -3,81u

Week 7
Jags -3 @-115 to win 1u
Ravens -6,5 @-110 to win 1u
Henry over 90.5 rushing yards @-110 to win 1u
Raiders -7 @-105 to win 1u
System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay: Ravens over 45,5 / Bengals over 46,5 / Titans -2,5 / Chargers over 49,5 for 1.25u -> all 4 correct: +7.8u; 3 correct: +0,33u (Bengals wrong) or +0,29u (other wrong)
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 7
Jags -3 @-115 to win 1u
Ravens -6,5 @-110 to win 1u

Henry over 90.5 rushing yards @-110 to win 1u
Raiders -7 @-105 to win 1u
System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay: Ravens over 45,5 / Bengals over 46,5 / Titans -2,5 / Chargers over 49,5 for 1.25u -> all 4 correct: +7.8u; 3 correct: +0,33u (Bengals wrong) or +0,29u (other wrong)
Bengals -6,5 @-110 to win 3u

Broncos +2.5 @-110 to win 1u

4-3 +1,94u
Overall 16-17-1 -1,87u

Week 8
I can't see any scenario, which keep the Packers in the game and lean to take the Bills, which probably means the Packers will upset the Bills with a 28-20 win. Don't have a feeling this season. Like the Pats to bounce back, the Bengals even without Chase (did the line move from -2.5 to -3 before or after him being out?), Bears in letdown spot after upset win in Boston? Are the Cardinals good? Don't think so and would play the Vikings at -3, but hesitate because of the hook. Lean Titans under a field goal.



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caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 8

Etienne (Jaguars) over 69.5 rushing yards @-110 to win 1u
Etienne (Jaguars) over 19.5 receiving yards @-110 to win 1u
Broncos +2.5 @-120 to win 1u
 
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caboto13

Well-Known Member
System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay: St. Brown over 60.5 receiving yards; Henry over 103.5 rushing yards; Jacobs over 89.5 rushing yards; Jefferson over 89.5 receiving yards for 1u to win max. 6.9u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay:
Lions over 52; Vikings over 48.5; Cowboys -10; Eagles -11.5 for 1u to win max. 7.15u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 8
Etienne (Jaguars) over 69.5 rushing yards @-110 to win 1u
Etienne (Jaguars) over 19.5 receiving yards @-110 to win 1u
Broncos +2.5 @-120 to win 1u

System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay: St. Brown over 60.5 receiving yards; Henry over 103.5 rushing yards;
Jacobs over 89.5 rushing yards; Jefferson over 89.5 receiving yards for 1u to win max. 6.9u -> won 0.33u


Falcons -4 @-110 to win 1u
Pats -3 @-110 to win 1u

System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay:
Lions over 52; Vikings over 48.5; Cowboys -10; Eagles -11.5 for 1u to win max. 7.15u


Saints - Raiders over 48.5 @-110 to win 1u
Commanders +3 @-110 to win 1u
Seahawks over 44.5 @-110 to win 1u
Bills -10.5 @-105 to win 1u
Bills TT over 30.5 @-110 to win 1u


6-6 +4.93u
Overall 22-23-1 +3.06u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 9
Falcons -Chargers over49.5 @-110 to win 1u
ML parlay Bengals, Patriots, Bills @111 to win 1.11u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay:
Chargers -2,5 / Bengals -6,5 / Patriots -5,5 / Commanders +3,5 for 1u to win max. 6,1u

Chargers -2,5 @-115 to win 1u
Patriots -5 @-110 to win 1u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Odds boost: Chargers ML / Herbert 2+ passing td / Ekeler td @275 (instead of @225) to win 2,75u
 
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caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 9
Falcons -Chargers over49.5 @-110 to win 1u
ML parlay Bengals, Patriots, Bills @111 to win 1.11u
System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay:
Chargers -2,5 / Bengals -6,5 / Patriots -5,5 / Commanders +3,5 for 1u to win max. 6,1u

Chargers -2,5 @-115 to win 1u
Patriots -5 @-110 to win 1u

Odds boost: Chargers ML / Herbert 2+ passing td / Ekeler td @275 (instead of @225) to win 2,75u
ML parlay Chargers / Raiders / Bengals @258 to win 1.29u
Rams ML @125 to win 0.63u

3-5 +4u
Overall 25-28-1 +7.06u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 10
Bills - Vikings over 44.5 @-110 to win 3u
Titans -2.5 @-110 to win 1u
Seahawks +2.5 @100 to win 1u

Riskfree bet: Parlay Steelers ML / Bears ML / Titans ML / Raiders ML / Chiefs -9,5 / Dolphins - Browns over 47.5 / Bills - Vikings over 44.5 @4376 to win 54.7u
 
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caboto13

Well-Known Member
System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay:
Bears - Lions over 47.5 / Dolphins - Browns over 48.5 / Bucs - Seahawks over 44.5 / Bills - Vikings over 44.5 for 1u to win max. 6,08u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay:
Bears -3.5 / Raiders -4,5 / Texans +5,5 / Vikings +6.5 for 1u to win 7.6u max
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 10
Bills - Vikings over 44.5 @-110 to win 3u
Titans -2.5 @-110 to win 1u

Seahawks +2.5 @100 to win 1u

Riskfree bet: Parlay Steelers ML / Bears ML / Titans ML / Raiders ML / Chiefs -9,5 / Dolphins - Browns over 47.5 / Bills - Vikings over 44.5 @4376 to win 54.7u

System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay:
Bears - Lions over 47.5 / Dolphins - Browns over 48.5 / Bucs - Seahawks over 44.5 / Bills - Vikings over 44.5 for 1u to win max. 6,08u
System bet 3 of 4 and 4-leg-parlay:
Bears -3.5 / Raiders -4,5 / Texans +5,5 / Vikings +6.5 for 1u to win 7.6u max
49ers - Chargers over 45.5 @-110 to win 1u



3-4 +1,1u
Overall 28-32-1 +8.16u

Week 11

Henry over 101.5 rushing yards @-110 to win 1u
Bengals -4 @-110 to win 1u
Pats -3 @-120 to win 1.5u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
0-1 -1,1 so far.

Got a freebet placed on Wednesday:
Parlay: Pats -3 / Ravens -11 / Commanders -3 / Bengals -4.5 to win 25,95u

Eagles -6,5 @-115 to win 1u
ML parlay Eagles / Giants / Ravens @136 to win 1.36u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 11
Henry over 101.5 rushing yards @-110 to win 1u
Bengals -4 @-110 to win 1u
Pats -3 @-120 to win 1.5u

Got a freebet placed on Wednesday:
Parlay: Pats -3 / Ravens -11 / Commanders -3 / Bengals -4.5 to win 25,95u

Eagles -6,5 @-115 to win 1u
ML parlay Eagles / Giants / Ravens @136 to win 1.36u

Bengals -3.5 @-105 to win 1u
Cardinals +9.5 @-110 to win 1u

3-5 -0,85u
Overall 31-37-1 +7,31u

Week 12

Parlay with odds boost: Bills win / Diggs over 99,5 receiving yards / Allen 3+ td passes @550 to win 2.75u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Dont'like any of the spreads or totals, so just for fun the half-unit parlay above and a teaser:
Bills -3,5 / Giants +17,5 @-104 to win 0,5u

Like the Vikings to bounce back both on offense and defense, but coaching advantage and prime time game for Cousins let me hesitate. Maybe a small play, if both other bets win before kickoff.

Happy Thanksgiving for all. It's a normal working day here in Europe, except watching football in the early evening ;-)
 
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