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KJ CL Groups MD5 + Europa

KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
-4.40 MD1
-.55 MD2
+22.55 MD3
-5.15 MD4

+12.45 groups

Futures

Group A: Ajax to qualify +100 3*
Group C: InterMilan to qualify +110
Group C: Bayern to win -140 8*
Group G: Seville to qualify +160 2*
Napoli to win CL +1800


10/25

RB Salzburg/Chelsea u2.5 -110 3*
RB Salzburg pk +255
Sevilla ML/u2.5 +225 2*
RB Leipzig tt o1.5 +100 1.5*
PSG/Maccabi o3.5 -145 2*
PSG tt o3.5 +110 2*
Celtic/Shakhtar 2nd half highest scoring half -110 2*
Man City ML/o2.5 +110 3*
Dortmund/Man City o3.25 -105 2*
Dortmund/Man City o3.5 +120
HT Dinamo Zagreb tt o.5 +130

10/26

Porto pk -160 3*
Club Brugge/Porto draw +245
Inter Milan tt o2.5 -145 4*
Inter Milan tt o3.5 +175 2*
Inter Milan tt o4.5 +400
2h Inter Milan -1.25 +100
Atletico Madrid -1 -105 2*
HT Atletico Madrid ML +160
Ajax pk +175
Ajax tt o1.5 +110
Napoli -1.75 -110 4*
Napoli -2 +120 2*
Napoli tt o2.5 -105 2*
Napoli tt o3.5 +245
Napoli tt o4.5 +600 .25*
Napoli tt o5.5 +1200 .25*

10/27 Europa

PSV/Arsenal BTTS -140 3*
PSV tt o1.5 +160 1.5*
Live Lazio tt o1.5 +100 4*
Lazio tt o2.5 +150 2*
Lazio tt o3.5 +425
Lazio tt o4.5 +950 .5*
Ludogorets/Betis BTTS -125 3*
Ludogorets/Betis BTTS and no draw +185
Fenerbahce/Rennes o2.5 -110 2*
Royale Union Saint Gilloise -1 +130
2h Real Sociedad ML -120 2*
Freiburg to score both halves +110 2*
Boving (Sturm Graz) anytime goal +280 .5*
HT Freiburg/Olympiacos BTTS -330 3*
HT Freiburg tt o1.5 +150 1.5*
 
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KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
10/25

RB Salzburg/Chelsea u2.5 -110 3*
RB Salzburg pk +255
Sevilla ML/u2.5 +225 2*

Should be a couple ugly first two matches.

Between the 8 matches that Salzburg and Chelsea have played in groups, only one had more than two goals when Chelsea beat Milan 3-0 in London. Winner of this one is through, draw keeps the entire group alive for now.

Sevilla have scored 2 goals in the group stage-2 more than Copenhagen have. In Seville, winner of this one keeps hopes of advancing alive for now. draw eliminates both. Really thought about playing Copenhagen tt under .5 but at +105 it's simply not worth 90 minutes of needing flawless defense from Sevilla so will hope for 1-0 or 2-0 Sevilla victory.
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
RB Leipzig tt o1.5 +100 1.5*
PSG/Maccabi o3.5 -145 2*
PSG tt o3.5 +110 2*
Celtic/Shakhtar 2nd half highest scoring half -110 2*
Man City ML/o2.5 +110 3*
Dortmund/Man City o3.25 -105 2*
Dortmund/Man City o3.5 +120

Benfica/Juve...who knows? Lean BTTS but not at -135. Ditto Dinamo/Milan, BTTS lean but not at -130.
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Ain't that just grand, goals in 88' and 92' in Seville to destroy that racket, hope this isn't a trend for the week.
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Day to forget yesterday, at least PSG vs a much lesser opponent at home is predictable

Lots to digest in the Brugge/Porto/Atletico/Leverkusen group. Anything can happen outside of Brugge already qualifying. Really no clue how good they are but they haven't allowed a goal yet through 4 group matches. Porto victory doesn't even assure they move on but would let them control their fate. Draw...and Brugge wins the group. Fascinating match.

10/26

Porto pk -160 3*
Club Brugge/Porto draw +245

Other early match is simple. Inter beat Plzen and they're through while also kicking Barcelona to Europa next year. At home against a team that's given up 16 goals in 4 matches, let's see some fireworks

Inter Milan tt o2.5 -145 4*
Inter Milan tt o3.5 +175 2*
Inter Milan tt o4.5 +400
2h Inter Milan -1.25 +100
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Atletico Madrid -1 -105 2*

Pretty sure they win, can't find value in ML -170 or -.75 -145 so might bet them live when it's 0-0 at 20 minutes
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Barca v Bayern should be one of the most glorified group stage matches in years

Instead Bayern are winning the group and Barca are stuck in Europa next year which is hilarious

Exhibition game between two world powers, no way to play that
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Ajax pk +175
Ajax tt o1.5 +110
Napoli -1.75 -110 4*
Napoli -2 +120 2*
Napoli tt o2.5 -105 2*
Napoli tt o3.5 +245
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
That's a wrap

Two matches in Group D would simply be gambling, group is so wide open

At this point I feel like Napoli could score 4 v Rangers with their eyes closed and Rangers have no reason to give a shit about this match. They're finishing 4th so no Europa motivation even....and they're in need of staying sharp to chase Celtic domestically. Probably should treat Napoli like PSG should have been treated yesterday.
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Fuck it, good early games means fun late games

Napoli tt o4.5 +600 .25*
Napoli tt o5.5 +1200 .25*
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
B.A.R. said:
Napoli!!!


This guy fuchs!
Click to expand...
Crazy with all the red, I had a day

Probably won't put much into Europa tomorrow, it ate me up last week but not afraid to at least look at a couple matches. MD5 should be the most lucrative for a bunch of these programs. Cinch your path forward or regroup. MD6 will be where desperation sets in.

Best round for Europa types imo because for some it's as good as it gets
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
10/27 Europa

PSV/Arsenal BTTS -140 3*
PSV tt o1.5 +160 1.5*
Lazio tt o2.5 +150 2*
Lazio tt o3.5 +425
Lazio tt o4.5 +950 .5*
Ludogorets/Betis BTTS -125 3*
Ludogorets/Betis BTTS and no draw +185
Fenerbahce/Rennes o2.5 -110 2*
Royale Union Saint Gilloise -1 +130
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Never fails, try to limit the early 8 matches to 3 (first 3 listed) but find something in a couple other matches too. Back later with hopefully 2-3 late matches.
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Current at DK, don't feel like laying it for 1.5 but will live if the match dictates a play

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KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Late games

2h Real Sociedad ML -120 2*
Freiburg to score both halves +110 2*
Boving (Sturm Graz) anytime goal +280 .5*
 
KJ

KJ

Mayor of Nap
Freiburg score in the 2nd half, it's what they do. Tried to get cute and play them to score in both halves, that one bit me in the ass.

Trying to find a way to best gamble them to score in the 2h and this was the best I could muster up

HT Freiburg/Olympiacos BTTS -330 3*
HT Freiburg tt o1.5 +150 1.5*
 
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