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Eggman Lives!

eggman

Well-Known Member
What up fellas!?!? Been a hot minute since I’ve been around but going to do my best to get back into the mix here at CTG and looking to contribute!

Going to post plays weekly, but my style has certainly changed from the years ago when I first came on (all chalk), best of luck and hope to see some friendly faces around here for sure!
 

eggman

Well-Known Member
Week 1
Giants +5.5
- over 50% of bets placed on the Titans but over 90% of the $ laid is on NYG. Following the $
Bears +7
Texans +7
Jets +7
- all 3 are 7+ dogs at home. Did a study a while back that showed dogs of 7 or more at home have covered close to 60%
Rams8.5/U57.5
- defending champs at home plus a tuddy and rusty week 1 should be a good play right here.
Chi17/Hou17/NYJ
- home dogs +7 on roids.
Eagles/Bengals 0.5*

*all plays for 1 unit unless otherwise noted.
 
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Vap'sBack

Chubby Chaser
Week 1
Giants +5.5
- over 50% of bets placed on the Titans but over 90% of the $ laid is on NYG. Following the $
Bears +7
Texans +7
Jets +7
- all 3 are 7+ dogs at home. Did a study a while back that showed dogs of 7 or more at home have covered close to 60%
Rams8.5/U57.5
- defending champs at home plus a tuddy and rusty week 1 should be a good play right here.
Chi17/Hou17/NYJ
- home dogs +7 on roids.

*all plays for 1 unit unless otherwise noted.
Good To See Ya eggman!

My Dad Is Also Big On Home Teams Getting 7 Plus At Home. (Got To Ask Him Again 2 B Sure, Bot O Think He Also Likes Away Teams Getting 10+ On The Road)

:shake:
 

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
but my style has certainly changed from the years ago


giphy-downsized-large.gif
 

eggman

Well-Known Member
Yeah, you got me there @B.A.R. and I ALMOST called myself out on that one! I will continue to fight my inner demons of homerism! You know I love my Bears but this is more of a “system play” I was looking for @ScottSharp to see if he had seen +10.5 anywhere but couldn’t get ahold of him
 

eggman

Well-Known Member
Good To See Ya eggman!

My Dad Is Also Big On Home Teams Getting 7 Plus At Home. (Got To Ask Him Again 2 B Sure, Bot O Think He Also Likes Away Teams Getting 10+ On The Road)

:shake:
Another one I read about was any game with a spread of 9.5 or more, taking the under. Hitting at 58% for 11 years or some shit.
 

eggman

Well-Known Member
Sprinkling some long shots….

Phi/Cin 0.5*
Car/Jax3.5/LAC-3 0.38*
ChiU49.5/Bal3.5/GBo40.5/LVo41.5 0.38*
 

eggman

Well-Known Member
Raining like a mofo out there today already with projected rain through 5pm. Looks like line adjustments have been made for the Chi/SF game but Soldiers is going to be a soupy mess. Rushing attempts should be way up… I’m still looking forward to the game though this is old school Bears’ football weather and I’m going to be rocking full rain gear!

Chi14.5/U49.5/Montg.O49.5RuYd 0.5/.8

BEAR DOWN!
 

eggman

Well-Known Member
Week 1: 4-3 +1.25*

Week 2
Hou/Den U44
Chi/GB U44
Ten/Buf U49.5
Atl/LAR U48
*all four games have lines of 9.5+ so I’m betting the under trend on these games that has hit at a good clip the last few years.
Cowboys +7
*home dog of 7+
LAR/Buf/Chi20
*essentially free money outside of the Bears homer play but they are coming in high off a big win and while I don’t expect them to win I think they might fuck around and cover 3 tuddies and another missed EP

Home Dogs of 7+: 2-1
Big Line (9.5+) Unders: 0-0
Follow the $ (>60%Bets/<20%$): 1-0
 
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eggman

Well-Known Member
Updated card:
NFL: 9-12 +2.6*

Bucs -2.5 0.5*
Steelers +3 0.5*
Lions -1 0.5*
Hou/Den U44 1*
Chi/GB U44 1*
Ten/Buf U49.5 1*
Atl/LAR U48 1*
Cowboys +7 1*
LAR/Buf/Chi20 1*
LAR/Buf/Den 2*
Chi14.5/U49.5 0.5*
Jax10/Sea14.5/AZ11.5/Chi16/Min8 0.2*
SF/LAR/Den/Cin/Buf 0.5*
 
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eggman

Well-Known Member
NFL: 17-18-1 +7.9*

Straight: 4-2-1
9.5+Under: 3-1
7+Homedogs: 3-1
Parlays: 7-14

Week 3
* no 7+ Homedogs
* no 9.5+ spreads for an under play
* Vegas is begging for Eggman to play the Bears despite the fact that they might not have a passing plan at all
* Bengals due for a route?
 

eggman

Well-Known Member
NFL: 17-21-1 +7.2*

Straight: 4-3-1
9.5+Under: 3-1
7+Homedogs: 3-1
Parlays: 7-16

Ravens -2.5 1*
Bears -3 1*
Bengals -6.5 1*
Bucs -1.5 1*
Cin/Buf/Phi/KC 1.2/4*
Cin/Buf/Phi/KC/LAC 0.1/0.5*
Cin/Buf/Phi/KC/Bal/Chi 0.2/1.8*
Cin/Phi/LAC 0.4/0.6*
Cin/Buf/Phi/KC/Bal/Chi/Det11.5/LARo41.5/Den7.5
0.1/2.8*
McM/Cook/Mixon O60 RuYd 0.2/0.5*
Chi-2.5/ttO16.5/Fieldso174.5/MontO74.5 0.1/0.8*
 

eggman

Well-Known Member
NFL: 22-34-2 +5.2*

Straight: 8-4-2
Bengals -3 1*
-love this short week letdown spot for Miami after maybe the “win of the year”
Chiefs -2.5 1*
-feels like a juicy worm at the end of a big hook and I’m a fat bass
Bears ML 0.5/0.7*
-homer alert
Ten/Ind U42.5 0.5*
-money/bets play, following money versus tickets
Det/Sea O50 0.5*
-money/bets play, following money versus tickets

9.5+Under: 3-1
GB/NE U42 1*

7+Homedogs: 3-1
Texans +7 1*

Parlays: 8-28
*starting to look like I need to tail all these TikTok cappers that hit 60% of parlays…
Cin-3/O45 0.5/0.8*
Phi/Det/GB 1/1.2*
Phi/LAC/GB 0.4/0.65*
Ten13.5/Bal13/GB 1*
LAR/GB/Den10.5/Ten11.5 0.4/0.6*
Cin/LAC/Chi7.5/Phi/GB/KC 0.06/.6*
 
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