eggman
Well-Known Member
For those of you that know me, not a big researcher. I have 2 trends I bet blindly and the rest of my wagers are gut feelings and/or homer bets on my Bears. I do think their number is low on season wins so I’m pounding it but beyond that I haven’t even started looking.
Trends I follow:
1. Home dogs of 7 or more: this hit at 13-4 last year and somewhere in my computer I have about 10 years of research showing this hits at a 65%+ rate.
2. Games with a line of 9.5 or more, bet the under. This was 17-12 last year for a 58% clip which is plenty enough to the good for me to follow. Got this from someone but can’t remember who.
Will follow these all year and then of course my gut plays and hopefully less parlays than last year…
Season wagers:
Bears O7.5 wins 8/6*
Bears win the NFC North 2/6.6*
NFL
22-23: 144-179 +26*
21-22: 150-210 +27.8*
20-21: 81-86 (9.6*)
19-20: 124-197 (23.4*)
18-19: 183-170 +26.2*
17-18: 158-154 +6.5*
2017-2023 (6 seasons): 840-996 +53.5*
Trends I follow:
1. Home dogs of 7 or more: this hit at 13-4 last year and somewhere in my computer I have about 10 years of research showing this hits at a 65%+ rate.
2. Games with a line of 9.5 or more, bet the under. This was 17-12 last year for a 58% clip which is plenty enough to the good for me to follow. Got this from someone but can’t remember who.
Will follow these all year and then of course my gut plays and hopefully less parlays than last year…
Season wagers:
Bears O7.5 wins 8/6*
Bears win the NFC North 2/6.6*
NFL
22-23: 144-179 +26*
21-22: 150-210 +27.8*
20-21: 81-86 (9.6*)
19-20: 124-197 (23.4*)
18-19: 183-170 +26.2*
17-18: 158-154 +6.5*
2017-2023 (6 seasons): 840-996 +53.5*
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