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May Bases

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [7-4 +6.77u]
SEASON [176-192 -74.8u]​
  • 954 Cincinnati Reds -150 vs Chicago Cubs
    5/3.33
  • 955 New York Mets +103 vs Philadelphia Phillies
    5/5.15
  • 962 Arizona Diamondbacks -174 vs Colorado Rockies
    5/2.87
  • 961 Colorado Rockies/Arizona Diamondbacks Under 8 +100
    5/5
  • 963 San Francisco Giants +155 vs San Diego Padres
    4/6.2
  • 963 San Francisco Giants/San Diego Padres Under 7 +108
    4/4.32
  • 965 Detroit Tigers +200 vs New York Yankees
    2.5/5
  • 967 Kansas City Royals +113 vs Minnesota Twins
    5/5.65
  • 970 Chicago White Sox -169 vs Cleveland Indians
    5/2.96
  • 972 Oakland Athletics -185 vs Baltimore Orioles
    5/2.7
  • 975 Boston Red Sox -1½ -115 vs Texas Rangers
    5/4.35
  • 975 Boston Red Sox/Texas Rangers Under 8½ -105
    3.96/3.77
  • 977 Los Angeles Angels -129 vs Seattle Mariners
    5/3.88
Managed to put together 2 straight good days but still down considerably on the year. Work to be done... :cowboy:
randoms...
  • Red Sox -1½ -115 ...E-Rod on the mound today and is 4-0 already this season. He had 19 wins in 2019 which was third in the majors behind Verlander and Cole and was also top 10 in terms of ERA. After taking 2020 off he is back to old form, and the Red Sox bats are consistently backing him up. They average nearly 6 runs a game and are 4-0 on the runline in E-Rod starts. The Sox also facing Jordan Lyles who has an ERA that is pushing 7 and is coming off a rough start against LAA where he only lasted 2.2 inn and gave up 7 runs / 10 hits. It'll be tough for him vs a BOS team that leads the majors in hits and has the third highest average (Rangers are 18th). They are also second in OPS while Texas is all the way down at 22nd in the MLB. Boston has the 4th most runs scored while the rangers are 20th. Not only is E-Rod on fire, but the Red Sox pitching staff as a whole has been on fire as of late as well with a 1.04 ERA over the last 3 games which is second in the majors over that span. The TEX staff meanwhile has given up the most hits in the majors (239) and been responcible for 16 losses...3rd worse
  • Mets +105 ...Walker has owned this Phillies lineup in his career, with a .136 batting average against and 17 strikeouts in 49 career at bats. It has been the opposite for the Phillies Zack Wheeler, who has allowed a .319 average in 100 at bats against the Mets lineup. NYM bullpen has also gotten better as the year has gone on, and have a 2.25 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and .194 batting average against over the last 7 days. Despite a 3-6 record on the road to start the season, I like the Mets in this one.

  • 1619869527757.png
    DA6rOlp.jpg
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adding...​
  • 951 Miami Marlins +130 vs Washington Nationals
    4/5.2
  • 951 Miami Marlins/Washington Nationals Under 8½ +100
    5/5
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Saturday 4-11 :angrymob:
  • 901 Miami Marlins/Washington Nationals Under 7 +105
    5/5.25
  • 906 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +130 vs Chicago Cubs
    5/6.50
  • 906 Cincinnati Reds -138 vs Chicago Cubs
    4.14/3
  • 909 Colorado Rockies +132 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    5/6.6
  • 909 Colorado Rockies/Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 -110
    5.1/4.64
  • 916 New York Yankees -1½ -120 vs Detroit Tigers
    4.86/4.05
  • 916 New York Yankees -246 vs Detroit Tigers
    5.41/2.2
  • 919 Cleveland Indians +147 vs Chicago White Sox
    5/7.35
  • 919 Cleveland Indians/Chicago White Sox Under 8 -105
    5/4.78
  • 919 Cleveland Indians/Chicago White Sox Under 8 -105
    5/4.78
  • 922 Minnesota Twins -170 vs Kansas City Royals
    5/2.94
  • 921 Kansas City Royals/Minnesota Twins Under 8½ -112
    5/4.46
  • 928 Seattle Mariners +131 vs Los Angeles Angels
    5/6.55

TRENDS​

DETROIT @ NY YANKEES
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 15 games
  • NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
MIAMI @ WASHINGTON
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
  • Washington is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Miami
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
ST. LOUIS @ PITTSBURGH
  • St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
  • St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
ATLANTA @ TORONTO
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
  • Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
CHI CUBS @ CINCINNATI
  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY
  • Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
CLEVELAND @ CHI WHITE SOX
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
  • Chi White Sox is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
LA DODGERS @ MILWAUKEE
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
  • Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing LA Dodgers
KANSAS CITY @ MINNESOTA
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 14 games on the road
  • Kansas City is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
  • Minnesota is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Kansas City
BOSTON @ TEXAS
  • Boston is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
  • Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home
BALTIMORE @ OAKLAND
  • Baltimore is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
  • Oakland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
COLORADO @ ARIZONA
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
  • Arizona is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
SAN FRANCISCO @ SAN DIEGO
  • San Francisco is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games at home
  • San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA ANGELS @ SEATTLE
  • LA Angels is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • LA Angels is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
  • Seattle is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games
NY METS @ PHILADELPHIA
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Mets
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games at home
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
  • 907 Los Angeles Dodgers -195 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    5.17 /2.65
  • 907 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ -120 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    6/5
  • 907 Los Angeles Dodgers/Milwaukee Brewers Over 8½ -115
    5.06/4.4
[TR]
[TH]
[/TH]

[TH]adding...[/TH]
[/TR]​

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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Chasin suffered another disappointing go yesterday at 1-4 but no shortage of picks today

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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [12-4 +33.47u]​
  • 952 Philadelphia Phillies -113 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    5/4.42
  • 957 San Francisco Giants +107 vs Colorado Rockies
    5/5.35
  • 961 Texas Rangers/Minnesota Twins Over 8½ +105
    5/5.25
  • 965 Tampa Bay Rays/Los Angeles Angels Under 7½ -102
    5/4.9

Best day of the season yesterday, so maybe that's a sign :popcorn:

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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Chasin finally a good day yesterday at 6-1 :D (None today)

1620041377948.png


Chasin Unders went 1-1 yesterday but still +13.5% ROI on year. (Angels game under indicated today)

1620041502811.png

Chasin Overs has won 7 straight and 10-1-1 over L12 to go positive on the year for the first time. (None today)

1620041613242.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Could really use that daily Best Bets / Fades chart please!
Sorry but unfortunately I will not be posting that today. Matter of fact it will probably be a week or so before I post again as I have encountered some unexpected health issues that have to be addressed starting tomorrow.

Best of luck guys!

:cheers3:
 

chipnotized

Well-Known Member
Sorry but unfortunately I will not be posting that today. Matter of fact it will probably be a week or so before I post again as I have encountered some unexpected health issues that have to be addressed starting tomorrow.

Best of luck guys!

:cheers3:
Sorry to hear that buddy. Good luck.
 

inZane

Well-Known Member
Sorry but unfortunately I will not be posting that today. Matter of fact it will probably be a week or so before I post again as I have encountered some unexpected health issues that have to be addressed starting tomorrow.

Best of luck guys!

:cheers3:
Good luck with your health Mr. P, you're gonna be missed.
 

BenchCoach

Well-Known Member
Sorry but unfortunately I will not be posting that today. Matter of fact it will probably be a week or so before I post again as I have encountered some unexpected health issues that have to be addressed starting tomorrow.

Best of luck guys!

:cheers3:
sorry to hear that man. Take care, look forward to your return.
 

CPA-hole

Well-Known Member
Sorry but unfortunately I will not be posting that today. Matter of fact it will probably be a week or so before I post again as I have encountered some unexpected health issues that have to be addressed starting tomorrow.

Best of luck guys!

:cheers3:
Get better. Best wishes to you.
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Saturday action:​
  • 901 Colorado Rockies +166 vs St. Louis Cardinals
    4/6.64
  • 901 Colorado Rockies/St. Louis Cardinals Over 8½ +105
    4/4.2
  • 904 Chicago Cubs -171 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    4.1/2.4
  • 905 San Diego Padres/San Francisco Giants Under 7 +105
    4/4.2
  • 912 Atlanta Braves -165 vs Philadelphia Phillies
    4.29/2.6
  • 914 Oakland Athletics +1½ -135 vs Tampa Bay Rays
    4.05/3
  • 915 Minnesota Twins -182 vs Detroit Tigers
    4.1/2.25
  • 915 Minnesota Twins/Detroit Tigers Under 8 -109
    4/3.67
  • 925 Washington Nationals +1½ -175 vs New York Yankees
    4.2/2.4
  • 925 Washington Nationals +112 vs New York Yankees
    4/4.48
  • 925 Washington Nationals/New York Yankees Under 8 +104
    4/4.16
  • 927 Cincinnati Reds +1½ -195 vs Cleveland Indians
    4.1/2.1
  • 927 Cincinnati Reds +101 vs Cleveland Indians
    4/4.04

Thanks for the well wishes guys, it really means a lot. I had a procedure this past TUE and will be starting a miserable treatment problem in about 10 days. I love playing the line as it's a great distraction from life challenges...as well as giving more meaning to the games. I will share when I'm up to it, but it's not likely I will be anywhere near as regular as I have been​
.​
Best of luck to all, let's pound the book!​
:cheers3:
1620471048334.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [7-9 -14.2u]
102508.jpg

  • Brewers/Marlins Under 7 -115
    5/4.35
  • Mets -280
    5.04/1.8
  • D-backs/Mets Under 6½ -110
    5/4.55
  • Rockies +141
    5/7.05
  • Rockies/Cards Under 7½ -110
    5/4.55
  • Braves +100
    5/5
  • Phils/Braves Under 7½ +100
    5/5
  • Red Sox -129
    5/3.88
  • Tigers +137
    5/6.85
  • Twins/Tigers Under 7½ -107
    5/4.68
  • Royos +140
    5/7
  • White Sox/Royos Under 7½ +100
    5/5
  • M's +116
    5/5.8
  • M's/Rangers Under 8½ -112
    5/4.46
  • Rays +107
    5/5.35
  • Nats/Yanks Over 9½ -105
    5/4.77
  • Yanks -152
    5/3.29
  • Dodgers -170
    5/2.94
:hide:
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Chasin was 2-4 yesterday...

Still hitting near 60% for +8.5% ROI over last 7+ years (+3% ROI this season)

Today: LAD, HOU, COL, DET, NYY

1620562458425.png


Chasin Unders was 1-1 and now at 59% for +12.9% ROI over 7+ years (+13.1% ROI this season)

Today: ATL, SL, TEX, KC

1620563073237.png


Chasin Overs were 1-0 last night and now +3.4% ROI on the year after horrid start. Over 7+ season it's hitting 56.3% winners for +7.8% ROI (12-3-1 last 16)

Today: NYY

1620562762160.png

:clapping2:
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [9-7-2 +2.76u]​
  • 907 Boston Red Sox -1½ +110 vs Baltimore Orioles
    4/4.4
  • 907 Boston Red Sox -143 vs Baltimore Orioles
    5/3.5
  • 912 San Francisco Giants -1½ +160 vs Texas Rangers
    4/6.4
  • 912 San Francisco Giants -139 vs Texas Rangers
    5/3.6
randoms...

Chasin 3-2 Sunday(+2.4% ROI for 2021), none today
Chasin unders 1-2 Sunday(+10.3% ROI for 2021), none today
Chasin overs 1-1 Sunday(+3% ROI for 2021), none todqy

1620640769266.png

leans
  • Red Sox / Orioles OVER 9 -105 ...With the Red Sox's Martin Perez and the Orioles' Jorge Lopez on the mound, this game screams over. I do not trust either starter and expect both teams' offenses to be alive and well on Monday evening.
  • Rangers / Giants UNDER 7 +100 ...Both starters( Kyle Gibson and Alex Wood) have pitched particularly well in 2021. Runs will likely be hard to come by, especially at pitcher friendly Oracle Park. I like the under in this one.
1620642047216.png

TRENDS​

CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH
  • Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
BOSTON @ BALTIMORE
udXfZwO.jpg

  • Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
  • Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
LA ANGELS @ HOUSTON
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Angels's last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Angels's last 14 games when playing Houston
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of Houston's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Angels
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
SAN DIEGO @ COLORADO
  • San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of Colorado's last 15 games when playing at home against San Diego
MIAMI @ ARIZONA
  • Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
  • Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
  • Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
TEXAS @ SAN FRANCISCO
  • Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
 
Last edited:

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
List of top starters right now looks pretty solid although I'm not convinced on Reid-Foley. Burnes at #2 probably a little high even though he's been amazing.

1620649392539.png

Sagarin sees it a little differently , although he uses only stats

American League

1620649692579.png

National League

1620649747027.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adding...​
  • 903 San Diego Padres -1½ -115 vs Colorado Rockies
    5/4.35
  • 907 Boston Red Sox/Baltimore Orioles Over 9 -105
    3/2.86
  • 911 Texas Rangers/San Francisco Giants Under 7 +112
    3/3.36

1620664141518.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adds...​
  • 901 Cincinnati Reds -½ -120 vs Pittsburgh Pirates for 1st 5 Innings
    2.4/2
  • 901 Cincinnati Reds -175 vs Pittsburgh Pirates for 1st 5 Innings
    2.8/1.6

Reds FF ...I was leaning Reds ML, but their bullpen scares me. 2nd worst in MLB. If the Pirates win I think it’s after Mahle comes out. Mahle has looked mostly good this year and he can most likely handle the Pirates. Looking at Mahle’s starts this year, the F5 ML was 4-1-1, with the only loss going against Cueto when he held them to 3 hits over 5 2/3. Keller wont do that to this lineup. Reds F5ML feels pretty safe to me, but I did see Red F5 -1.5 at +195 and I kind of like that value. Reds covered that in 4 of his 6 outings this year and the two that didn’t were the aforementioned loss to Cueto and the recent Cubs loss, which felt like wind aided home run derby. Settled for the ML and standard FF RL, but that alt line still intrigues me a bit

z26duu4v5by61.jpg
 
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