As impressive as Allen has been, the Bills looked green on Saturday vs a game Colts squad with a run game and solid D. I hope the Bills win the SB, but hope is just a wish. BAL is Indy on roids so I’ll probably grab the points or tease. Should be fun game and one I’m most interested in.
I was sure hoping to get +3.5 or 4 with ravens. Books continue to give them ton of respect. I think that was the case with them laying that number in Tennessee today as well. Not titans disrespect but books respecting the fact ravens were considered one of if not the best team not very long ago (like last year at this time!).
As much I been loving riding the bills mafia bandwagon i don’t think anyone wants to get in ravens way right now. Defense played great today, the pressure off Lamar now who got the mojo working after a skittish start today, ravens just dangerous. So despite saying I liked bills to represent afc in SB a week ago im now thinking I like ravens. Just initial thoughts tho. Sure woulda liked +4!!
Chalk Bills 4 me. The Ravens and Lamar scored 20 points against one of the worst defensive teams, 20 points won with a total that was 55 points.
Lamar again was the leading rusher and it wasnt close!. Complete one dimensional team that can be had. The Bills can lay points down being one of the best offenses and if they can with lots of fire power can put a lot of pressure on this Ravens offense. The Ravens offense that lost last year as huge chalk and up against it again. -2.5 or 3 is a nice line on what a lot of people think is a capable dog. Not me still like the Bills here.
certainly both of these teams are full of questions. Bills played a good D last week and scored 27. Balty played a bad D last week and scored 20. I am not sure if the Bills can duplicate shutting down Balty but as it look last week it was a one man show with Lamar. Lamar is excellent but Buffalo at home is what I prefer.im big fan of bills but they got handled in the trenches vs colts. Pretty sure every colts possession got into bills territory, I just dunno if Allen can beat ravens playing Superman ball and carrying them? If Balty wins at Los it gonna be really tough for him. I’m not sure what titans defense able to do to ravens means much since they seem to be one the few teams who has a really good handle on how to defend that run game, I don’t think bills will take the called runs away as effectively.
certainly both of these teams are full of questions. Bills played a good D last week and scored 27. Balty played a bad D last week and scored 20. I am not sure if the Bills can duplicate shutting down Balty but as it look last week it was a one man show with Lamar. Lamar is excellent but Buffalo at home is what I prefer.
Moss loss is a tough one.... he's good in pass protection which could come into play here... Antonio Williams could be a nice story after ripping the Fins, but his pass protection abilities remain to be seen. All in all the Buffalo run game isn't going to decide whether not not the Bills win.
A couple takeaways from the Colts game- The Bills didn't cover, but let's all stop with the Bills d is terrible narrative. They held Taylor to 3.7 ypc. T.Y had 2 catches. The Colts came with a great gameplan and nearly executed it perfectly. Rivers missing Pittman in the endzone was a huge blunder, but neither team turned the ball over. If Beasley doesn't go the Bills probably lose that game. Dude is so clutch.
Punting game for the Colts was great- they pinned the Bills the whole first half- despite this Buffalo still scored 2 tds 1sth. One td drive from the 15 and one from the 4 yard line (1:32 minute drive). A 96 yard drive to go up before the half and they never trailed again. They punted 1x in the second half and that was because of the 1 bad play Allen made (for all the great plays Allen makes, that sack was maddening).
Everyone is so focused on whether or not the Bills can stop the run. Can the Ravens stop the Bills passing game? Allen was the highest rated passer of the weekend and was straight up throwing dimes. Are the Ravens really going to try and blitz him because he will torch them. Another game in which I think you'd have to be insane to bet the under. Looking like there's a chance this goes to a pick em game. Already banged the o24.5 for Buffalo
Thank you for all your words and efforts. I am working through all these games and just like you finding this game not quite as easy as i first thought.Im certainly not trying to knock bills, I been thinking the second half the season they the one team who might knock kc off so I have a ton of respect for them. I know titans d sucks but I really don’t think how titans took away ravens running backs something bills can duplicate. I think a huge part of trying to stop the ravens rushing attack is 2 fold, you gotta match their physicality at point of attack, and you gotta have linebackers and safeties that are totally on point when it comes to reading their keys. Similar to containing a option attack but one that is on steroids and has much better ability to throw!
As much I don’t think titans defense taking ravens backs away and holding them to 20 means much, I also don’t think there much of anything to take away from the fact bills allowed titans to hang 40+!!! And bills only scored 16 vs them! So oddly enough that crappy titans d did a fantastic job vs both these offenses! Freaking strange!
ultimately just think ravens in the trenches will win the physicality battle which will again put a tremendous amount of pressure on Allen to be fantastic. Certainly something he has proven capable of but this a really good secondary too, one I think light years more talented than colts secondary. All that said as I mentioned at beginning of thread I was really hoping to get +3.5 or +4 with ravens, Not thrilled with the idea they now have to win to cash the bet! This easily the game I’m most looking forward to this weekend!! From a watching perspective, not betting!! lol
Thank you for all your words and efforts. I am working through all these games and just like you finding this game not quite as easy as i first thought.
I missed the Ravens D performance last week and this could pose troubles ahead for the Bills.
I already have a better line so jumping off the bills wont hurt me.
Another thing to consider-
Tre White on Hollywood Brown. Ravens will have to find another explosive player. Andrews scares me the most in this matchup.
Dfs I think Beasley might be a better option as it's likely he gets double the targets. McKenzie might get more motion plays this week to try and get the Ravens overpursuing.andrews the tight end i find myself using in majority the dfs lineups I filled out. What you think about John brown in this matchup? His goose egg last week really hurt few of my pretty good lineups! I want to go back to the well with him tho, gotta imagine at least one of him or Davis will have to pop along with Beasley moving the chains, gotta figure they gonna key on diggs!
Dfs I think Beasley might be a better option as it's likely he gets double the targets. McKenzie might get more motion plays this week to try and get the Ravens overpursuing.
I swear. Kinda just forgot
You really do love Brown hahaha. He's likely gone next year so they can free up space to pay Milano.yea, im for sure gonna have Beasley in several. Just trying to figure out the best cheap option who might pop. I always been partial to Brown when he healthy, I think he a underrated 2.
Line just dipped to 49.5 & tt aren't budging. Payed a juiced 24.5 for Buffalo early in the week but hoping the number drops so I can play 1sth over. Currently o10.5-155 which I hate that much juice.I think some TT overs are a play and sit back and root for points. Should be the game of the weekend easily. (Cue up final of 17-3)
Also hats off to the Ravens for silencing Henry, but previous to that they played 3 games vs teams with no pulse on offense. The Browns put up 42 on them.