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caboto NFL 2020

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 9
Bills - Seahawks over 54,5 @-108 to win 1u
Raiders +1,5 @-110 to win 1u
Washington -2,5 @-110 to win 1u
Cardinals -4 @-110 to win 1u
Parlay Bears +14 / Chiefs -3 / Texans ML @123 to win 1,23u
 
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caboto13

Well-Known Member
Add
Parlay Ravens +1 / Chiefs / Cardinals @226 to win 2.26u - tailing Lexington 125

Wanted to add Cardinals but at -6 still waitingt. Maybe it comes back to 5 till kickoff. Dolphins with a strong defensive effort against the Rams, but did nothing on offense. First play on the road for a rookie, a spot I like to fade.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 9
Bills - Seahawks over 54,5 @-108 to win 1u
Raiders +1,5 @-110 to win 1u

Washington -2,5 @-110 to win 1u
Cardinals -4 @-110 to win 1u
Parlay Bears +14 / Chiefs -3 / Texans ML @123 to win 1,23u
Parlay Ravens +1 / Chiefs / Cardinals @226 to win 2.26
u
Bucs -3 @-106 to win 2u

2-5 -4,32u
Overall: 36-33-1 +9,31u (only single bets: 29-22-1 overall 12-6 last three weeks)
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 10
Packers -13,5 @-108 to win 3u
ML parlay Bucs / Browns @113 to win 1.7u
Ravens -7 @-109 to win 1.5u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Missed the better numbers at the Browns & Bucs games, so stick with the ML parlay. Windy in Cleveland, better run game favours Cle imo. Would have played at -3 but stay away from 4,5. Bucs with given circumstances also not worth laying 6 points. Far better team, with last weeks embarassing loss should be motivated.

Luton first game on the road at GB with cold weather against a superior team esp. qb. Fade him and an atrocious Jags defense. Think Packers can score at will, Jones healthy again. Blowout win 35 - 10.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
NFL 2018/19: 102-113-1 +5,52 units
NFL 2019/20: 78-89-6 +2,75 units

Hi guys,

finally Football. Though it will be weird and strange, I'm looking forward to the season.

Cautious as always first three weeks, especially with no preseason.

Chiefs - Texans under 54,5 @-110 to win 1u

I think having no offseason helps defenses more than offenses. Texans without Hopkins won't go into a shootout and no fans maybe helps Watson to control the clock and make it a low scoring game. Would like the Texans with +10 because of revenge but can't get the number. Does this game counts as a "Andy Reid off the bye"-game?

Good luck.
Bears +3 @108 to win 1.08u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 11
Parlay: Cardinals +10 / Titans +10 / Chargers ML @126 to win 1,26u
TT Cardinals over 27,5 @-110 to win 1u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 10
Packers -13,5 @-108 to win 3u
ML parlay Bucs / Browns @113 to win 1.7u
Ravens -7 @-109 to win 1.5u
Rams -2.5 @-110 to win 2u
Bears +3 @108 to win 1.08u

2-3 -2,19u
Overall: 38-36-1 +7,12u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 12
Pats -2 @-110 to win 2u
Bengals +1,5 @-110 to win 1u
Packers +1,5 @-110 to win 1u
Vikings -7 @-110 to win 2u
Chiefs -7 @-115 to win 2u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 11
Parlay: Cardinals +10 / Titans +10 / Chargers ML @126 to win 1,26u
TT Cardinals over 27,5 @-110 to win 1u
Pats -2 @-110 to win 2u
Bengals +1,5 @-110 to win 1u
Packers +1,5 @-110 to win 1u
Vikings -7 @-110 to win 2u
Chiefs -7 @-115 to win 3u

Broncos +4 @-110 to win 1u
Rams +4,5 @-110 to win 1u

Bucs - Rams under 48,5 @-110 to win 2u

3-7 -10,09u
Overall: 41-43-1 -2,97u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 12
Lions - Texans
I can't play the Texans as a road favourite. Played a good game (maybe above their true quality level) against the Pats, who are also a bad team. Lions were humiliated by a Panthers team without their starting quarterback and their star running back. Played a bad game definitely below their true quality level. So I tend to think the line and the line move is an overreaction to the games last sunday. Not confident, but expect the Lions to play better, the Texans to be worse and if Golladay doesn't play lots of runs, because you can run over the Texans.

Conclusion:
Lions +3 @-105 to win 1u
Lions-Texans under 51,5 @-110 to win 1u
So the Texans probably win a shoutout 42 - 31 :(

Late game tend to the WFT for the same reason. Cowboy favoured after they somehow won at the Vikings? It's still Dalton in prime time.
 

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
Week 12
Lions - Texans
I can't play the Texans as a road favourite. Played a good game (maybe above their true quality level) against the Pats, who are also a bad team. Lions were humiliated by a Panthers team without their starting quarterback and their star running back. Played a bad game definitely below their true quality level. So I tend to think the line and the line move is an overreaction to the games last sunday. Not confident, but expect the Lions to play better, the Texans to be worse and if Golladay doesn't play lots of runs, because you can run over the Texans.

Conclusion:
Lions +3 @-105 to win 1u
Lions-Texans under 51,5 @-110 to win 1u
So the Texans probably win a shoutout 42 - 31 :(

Late game tend to the WFT for the same reason. Cowboy favoured after they somehow won at the Vikings? It's still Dalton in prime time.
Agree that the line is a bit off after last week in Motown. This should be closer to pk/-1 the more I think about it.

GL on your action.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
2-2 -0,15 Thanksgiving. Texans scored 21 points on turnovers, so be it.

Cardinals -1,5 @-110 to win 2u
Jets +7 @-110 to win 1u
Raiders -3 @-110 to win 1u
Bills TT over 27,5 @-106 to win 2u

I have locked in Broncos +6, which I obviously wouldn't have played knowing the qb situation. Try to buy off, if possible, but won't count for the record, no matter if it wins or loses.

Tend to the Bills - Chargers game over and hope to get a +7 with the 49ers.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 12
Lions +3 @-105 to win 1u
Lions-Texans under 51,5 @-110 to win 1u

WFT +3 @-115 to win 1u
Cowboys - WFT over 45,5 @-115 to win 1u

Cardinals -1,5 @-110 to win 2u
Jets +7 @-110 to win 1u
Raiders -3 @-110 to win 1u
Bills TT over 27,5 @-106 to win 2u

ML parlay: Giants / Bills / Chiefs / Packers @261 to win 3,9u
Titans +7,5 / 49ers +11,5 @-103 to win 1u

Eagles - Seahawks over 48.5 @-110 to win 1u
4-7 -2,87u
Overall: 45-50-1 -5,84u

Week 13
Rams -3 @-102 to win 2u
Titans -6 @-110 to win 2u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Lines moved against me. Don't know the reason. Browns with a bad ATS record on the road, think 1-10 last eleven and I can see the arguments for a letdown spot and the Browns running all over a mediocre Titans defense with Chubb and Hunt, but still think the Titans are the far better team with an unstoppable Henry last games and hope this will carry over.

McVay 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS against the Cardinals and Murray shoulder seems not to be ok, so I won't go against the trend.

Add:
Packers -7,5 @-110 to win 1u
Seahawks - Giants under 47 @-106 to win 1u
ML parlay Colts / Dolphins @105 to win 1.05u
Falcons - Saints under 46 @-106 to win 1u
 
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caboto13

Well-Known Member
NFL 2018/19: 102-113-1 +5,52 units
NFL 2019/20: 78-89-6 +2,75 units

Hi guys,

finally Football. Though it will be weird and strange, I'm looking forward to the season.

Cautious as always first three weeks, especially with no preseason.

Chiefs - Texans under 54,5 @-110 to win 1u

I think having no offseason helps defenses more than offenses. Texans without Hopkins won't go into a shootout and no fans maybe helps Watson to control the clock and make it a low scoring game. Would like the Texans with +10 because of revenge but can't get the number. Does this game counts as a "Andy Reid off the bye"-game?

Good luck.
Add
Pats +2
Pats / Chargers over 47
Giants +10.5
each @-106 to win 1u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 13
Rams -3 @-102 to win 2u
Titans -6 @-110 to win 2u
Packers -7,5 @-110 to win 1u
Seahawks - Giants under 47 @-106 to win 1u
ML parlay Colts / Dolphins @105 to win 1.05u
Falcons - Saints under 46 @-106 to win 1u
Pats +2 @-106 to win 1u

Pats / Chargers over 47 @-106 to win 1u
Giants +10.5 @-106 to win 1u

7-2 +4,79
Overall: 52-52-1 -1,05u

Week 14 so far 0-2 -2.05u

Like some overs in Cincy, Jacksonville and maybe in Detroit, under in Philly, and try to lay the points with Seahawks and the Saints. Let's see. Love 49ers.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Eagles - Saints under 43 @-115 to win 1u
49ers -3 @-102 to win 2u
Chargers +1,5 @-109 to win 2u
Chiefs -6,5 @-111 to win 2u
ML parlay Titans / Chiefs / Bucs @121 to win 2,42u

MVP Aaron Rodgers @400 to win 10u (2,5u stake)
 
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caboto13

Well-Known Member
Add:
ML parlay Packers / Colts @119 to win 1.19u
ML parlay Saints / 49ers @118 to win 1.18u
Lions - Packers over 54.5 @-110 to win 1u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 14
Pats +4.5 @-105 to win 1u
Pats +10 / Giants +10 / Packers ML @134 to win 1.34u
Eagles - Saints under 43 @-115 to win 1u
49ers -3 @-102 to win 2u

Chargers +1,5 @-109 to win 2u
Chiefs -6,5 @-111 to win 2u
ML parlay Titans / Chiefs / Bucs @121 to win 2,42u
ML parlay Packers / Colts @119 to win 1.19u

ML parlay Saints / 49ers @118 to win 1.18u
Lions - Packers over 54.5 @-110 to win 1u
Bills -2@-110 to win 2u


5-6 +0,15u
Overall: 58-59-1 -0,90u

Dead wrong on the Pats and the Eagles - Saints under and Chiefs -6,5 were bad beats for a 6u swing into the negative.

Week 15
Missed the -3 and don't like the hook or zhe -4 as I obviously think the Raiders will win this game. Of course the Raiders had luck against the Jets and were bad on defense against the Colts but the coaching mismatch is obvious. Chargers should have lost against any other opponent last week except the Jets and maybe Jaguars and Bengals. Liked Herbert at the start of the season but he seems to regress month for month. Someone here posted stats about him.

I remembered a weird field goal attempt of the Chargers with time running out and it seems like all were confused about the call last week?? End of half?

As i don't want to lay more than a field goal with the Raiders I'll take the ML along with the Packers ML.

ML parlay: Raiders / Packers @-110 to win 2u
TT Raiders over 27,5 @-108 to win 1u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Thx B.A.R.

0-2 -3,28u - shouldn't bet TNF

WFT-Seahawks under 44,5 @-110 to win 1u
Dolphins - Pats under 41,5 @-110 to win 1u
Packers -7,5 @-110 to win 1u
Packers -3,5 & over 45 @100 to win 2u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Bears ML @130 to win 1.3u
ML parlay Titans / Seahawks / Browns @126 to win 1.26u
 
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caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 15
ML parlay: Raiders / Packers @-110 to win 2u
TT Raiders over 27,5 @-108 to win 1u

WFT-Seahawks under 44,5 @-110 to win 1u
Dolphins - Pats under 41,5 @-110 to win 1u
Packers -7,5 @-110 to win 1u

Packers -3,5 & over 45 @100 to win 2u
Bills -5 @-109 to win 2u
ML parlay Bills / Packers / Ravens / Colts @155 to win 2.33u
Broncos - Bills over 47.5 @-108 to win 1u

Chiefs -3 @-110 to win 1u
Live Rams -12,5 @105 to win 1.05u
Bears ML @130 to win 1.3u
ML parlay Titans / Seahawks / Browns @126 to win 1.26u

Rams -17 @-110 to win 1u

8-5-1 +2,56u
Overall: 66-64-2 +1,66u
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Week 16
Locked in, as I think the lines will move:
Cardinals -3 @-115 to win 2,5u
Rams +2,5 @-110 to win 2u

Recent games between Seahawks and Rams 5-1 SU for the Rams and after being embarassed by the Jets the Rams will show up for this one. Division title on the line and I expect the Rams to bounce back. The Seahawks barely won against WFT.

Cardinals back on track. They beat two NFC east teams with the Eagles and the Giants but the 49ers couln't beat the weakest of the NFC east teams. Cardinals fighting for a playoff spot and the 49ers don't and they have some injuries that matter. Some -4 already seen.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
0-2 -2,15u
Cook rushed 15 times for 73 yards and didn't get the ball on multiple short & goal plays.

ML parlay Bucs / Dolphins @110 to win 2,2u

Already on Cardinals -3, line moved as expected. Some 5,5 available and if it gets to 6, I'll try to middle.
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
Hedging: 49ers +6,5 @-110 to win 2u
Cardinals win by 7+ => +0,3u
Cardinals win by 4-6 => +4,5u
Cardinals win by 3 => +2u
Cardinals win by less than 3 or lose => -0,875u

Never had a situation like this, so try to win both bets with a 27-23 win by the Cardinals. Didn't factor in the motivation angle mentioned by Lexington 125 regarding division rivalries and I think this could be effect the game .
 

caboto13

Well-Known Member
2-3 -0,775u so far.

Texans -7 @-110 to win 2,5u
Browns -6,5 @-109 to win 2u

Fade the Bengals and the Jets off an unexpected win as double-digit dogs.
 
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