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Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race Preview Article (x2)

VirginiaCavs

CTG Junior Moderator
Bass Pro Shops Night Race Preview and Best Bet

NASCAR Cup Series: Bass Pro Shops Night Race
Saturday, September 18, 2021 at 7:30 p.m. ET (NBCSN) at Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, Tennessee

Playoff Update

As you may recall, each round in the current NASCAR Cup Series playoffs consists in three races.

Right now, we are in the third and final race of the Round of 16.

This means that, after Saturday's events, four drivers will be eliminated from playoff contention as we proceed into the Round of 12.

So far, Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. have for sure secured their places in the next round. They clinched their Round of 12 spots by winning a race: Hamlin won two weeks ago while Truex Jr. won last week.

For betting purposes, we will automatically discard those two drivers as candidates to invest in simply because they have less to race for. There are a ton of drivers who will be more motivated on Saturday and are therefore more worth investing in.

Race Info

For Saturday's racing event, drivers must complete a total of 500 laps.

As has been the case for nearly every race this season, there will be three stages for this event.

Stage 1 consists in 125 laps. Stage 2 finishes upon completion of lap 250. Stage 3 consists in the remaining 250 laps.

An entry list is reliably posted early in the week for the upcoming racing competition.

For this upcoming race, 38 drivers/teams are listed on the published entry list. So, barring any unforeseen circumstances, we already know which drivers will compete in the race.

As for the starting lineup, that gets published on Wednesday morning.

Because drivers are already quite familiar with the track at Bristol, there is no need for practice or qualifying to take place.

Instead, the starting lineup will be set by a predetermined formula. This has typically been the case.

Track Info

Bristol Motor Speedway is a fan favorite for several reasons.

This track is just over one half-mile long: 0.533 to be exact. So in completing 500 laps, drivers will have accumulated 266.5 miles.

Because of its length and its strong reputation as a fast track, Bristol's track is known as "The World's Fastest Half-Mile."

Also, because it is known for being very loud, it also has the nickname "Thunder Valley."

One significant reason why this track is fast is the uniquely high banking. High banking correlates with higher speeds because drivers use higher banking to corral momentum for their cars.

At this track, turns are banked at 22 to 24 degrees. The straights are banked at nine degrees.

Driver To Avoid

Be sure to avoid trusting Brad Keselowski in any form on Saturday.

In his last race at Bristol, he finished 34th after starting in pole position.

This type of catastrophe is nothing new for him when he races at this track.

Keselowski has finished outside the top 15 in eight of his last 10 races here.

Several of those races include finishes outside the top 20 and a couple outside the top 30.

My Guy

I like Kyle Busch the most for Saturday's race.

I value consistency because consistency equates to reliability and I want to invest in drivers who I can trust.

At this track, calling Busch consistent is approximately an understatement. He has earned a top top-five finish in six of his last seven races here.

Among those seven races, three were wins and one culminated in a second-place finish.

He currently ranks 10th in the NASCAR playoff standings. So, he is very much in need of a good performance.

Best Bet: Kyle Busch Top 3 Finish at +115 with Bovada
 

VirginiaCavs

CTG Junior Moderator
Bass Pro Shops Night Race Preview and Best Bet

NASCAR Cup Series: Bass Pro Shops Night Race
Saturday, September 18, 2021 at 7:30 p.m. ET (NBCSN) at Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, Tennessee

Playoff Update


Each round in NASCAR's Cup Series playoffs consists in three races.

Right now, we are in the Round of 16. Saturday's race will be the final race in this round.

Therefore, after Saturday's race, four drivers will be eliminated from playoff contention as the Round of 16 turns into the Round of 12.

So far, Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. have secured their places in the next round. They clinched their spots in the next round by winning one of the two playoff races.

For betting purposes, we will exclude those two drivers from consideration of which drivers to invest in.

My reasoning has to do with psychology because they have less to race for.
There are plenty of drivers who are more worth looking at to invest in because they will be more motivated on Saturday.

Race Info

For Saturday's event, drivers must complete a total of 500 laps.

As has been the case for just about every race this season, there will be three stages for this event.

Stage 1 requires its drivers to complete 125 laps. Stage 2 finishes at lap 250. Lastly, stage 3 consists in the remaining 250 laps.

An entry list is always posted early in the week for the upcoming racing competition.

The entry list for this upcoming event lists 38 drivers/teams.

So, barring any unforeseen events, we already know who will compete in the race.

Meanwhile, the starting lineup gets published on Wednesday morning.

Because history has always allowed drivers to gain familiarity with the track at Bristol, there is no need for any practice or qualifying to take place.

Instead, as has typically been the case, the starting lineup will be set by a predetermined formula.

Track Info

Bristol Motor Speedway is a fan favorite for several reasons.

Because it is known for being very loud, it is nicknamed "Thunder Valley."

This track is 0.533-miles long to be exact. So in completing 500 laps, drivers will have accumulated 266.5 miles.

Because of its length and its reputation as a fast track, Bristol Motor Speedway is known as "The World's Fastest Half-Mile."

A big part of why this track is so fast is the uniquely high banking. High banking encourages higher speeds because drivers use banking to collect momentum for their cars.

The turns at this track are banked at between 22 and 24 degrees. The straights are banked at nine degrees.

Driver To Avoid

Be sure to avoid investing in Ryan Blaney.

Historically speaking, Blaney is awful at this track. Whereas his average starting position here is 8.7, his average finishing position at this track is 18.87.

This means that he regularly finishes 10 places behind his starting position.

This disparity between his average finishing and average starting positions are not explainable by one race along.

I dislike Blaney because he regularly struggles here. In 11 races, he has finished outside the top 30 in four of them.

My Guy

For this race, I like Joey Logano to finish ahead of Kevin Harvick.

Harvick may seem tempting to invest in because he won his last race at Bristol.

But that race took place last year when Harvick was a lot faster.

This year, Harvick is not remotely in the same stratosphere, in terms of his racing quality, as he was last year.

Before his last race at Bristol, he had finished 10th or worse four straight times.

Logano, however, looks promising today because he shows strong racing form, owns a driver rating at this track that is superior to Harvick's, and finished top 10 in three races at Bristol from 2018 to 2019.

Best Bet: Logano To Finish Ahead of Harvick at -130 with Bovada
 

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