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April 2021

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Todays starters over last 2 years

1617279378008.png

and then, here;s a list of todays starters last 2 years including only the 1st 15 games per team

1617279529959.png

Fried seems a no-brainer but Alcantara & M Gonz may be worth a look as well as noticing some big names come out the gate slow (Nola, Greinke, Scherz, Bum, Darvish)

:confused3:
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Opening day is here...LFG​
  • 963 Atlanta Braves +102 vs Philadelphia Phillies
    4/4.08
  • 969 St. Louis Cardinals +103 vs Cincinnati Reds
    4/4.12
  • 983 Houston Astro* -105 vs Oakland Athletics
    4/3.82
  • 990 Seattle Mariners -101 vs San Francisco Giants
    4/3.96
  • 987 Tampa Bay Rays/Miami Marlins Under 7½ -118
    3/2.54

Short road dogs <=120 in first game of series in April are solid, bring 20% ROI last 7 years(when total as least 7 to rule out stud starters)

1617281244903.png

Even looking at all short road dogs <122 in the month of April, still returns 6.2% ROI :cowboy:

1617281491490.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Gonna throw a couple longshots out there with Ryu & Marquis
  • 968 Colorado Rockies +187 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
    2/3.74
  • 973 Toronto Blue Jays +158 vs New York Yankees
    2/3.16

I hope everyone is sensible with your plays and never bet money you can't afford to lose. I do this for entertainment mostly although of course I want to win. I play relatively small unit size and use multiple units to better track actual winning. I use to vary unit size and then you could lose awhile, loser unit value and win back to positive units but still be negative cash. Therefor I use around $20-$50 unit value and just play 2 or more units per play. My baseball unit is $25, hoops $40, puck $20, and so on. It varies by sport and sometimes the time of the season but I do not adjust unit size do to win/lose just units played. So I'm just a small player that has a lot of time on my hands since I'm retired.

:cheers3:

kdpv5t79xfq61.jpg
 

2daBank

VC's Valentine
Love the short road dogs, think those are often the games you get coin flips at plus money!! Gl this season.
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
EVERY GAME NO NO This is extremely profitable especially on rainy opening day. All the aces are on the mound and offenses usually start slow out the gate. Odds range from -140 to +135.
This was 11-3 last opening day last season.​
  1. 2964 ATL/PHI no score 1st inn -140
    1.4/1
  2. 2966 ARI/SDG no score 1st inn -120
    1.2/1
  3. 2968 LOS/COL no score 1st inn +135
    1/1.35
  4. 2970 STL/CIN no score 1st inn -140
    1.4/1
  5. 2974 TOR/NYY no score 1st inn -130
    1.3/1
  6. 2976 CLE/DET no score 1st inn -135
    1.35/1
  7. 2980 TEX/KAN no score 1st inn -125
    1.25/1
  8. 2982 CWS/LAA no score 1st inn -125
    1.25/1
  9. 2984 HOU/OAK no score 1st inn -130
    1.3/1
  10. 2986 MIN/MIL no score 1st inn -135
    1.35/1
  11. 2988 TAM/MIA no score 1st inn -140
    1.4/1
  12. 2990 SFO/SEA no score 1st inn -125
    1.25/1

 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Gonna throw a couple more darts out there :yesfistpump:
  • 962 Chicago Cubs -1½ +105 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    2/2.1
  • 976 Detroit Tigers +1½ +105 vs Cleveland Indians
    2/2.1
  • 988 Miami Marlins +1½ -135 vs Tampa Bay Rays
    2.7/2

Home teams in first game when total under 8 have returned 19.1% ROI on RL in last 7 years

1617288410719.png
 
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2daBank

VC's Valentine
I played a handful of FF unders, I never mess with the 1st inning yes/no but seems like a pretty good strategy for today. Bunch of cold temps and aces!
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
1617297617345.pngrandom thoughts...
  • Royos ...may be a good price to fade Texas..they could be really awful and it's just hard to see where the offense is going to come from. Brad Keller now has 3 years of being solidly above avg ERA and FIP, the K/BB isn't great but he limits major damage by keeping everything on the ground. Kyle Gibson hasn't been good the last 2 years.
  • Reds ...I took Cards but it was tough passing up Luis Castillo at this price. He's been excellent the last two years and added some velocity last season, cut down on homers and pushed his K% over 30. I like Jack Flaherty to bounce back, near his dominant 2019 form. Both offenses should improve from 2020, like Castillo but he's proven a slow starter over the last couple years.
  • Astros ...These teams will be close for the division title, but with Greinke on the hill continuing to put up strong numbers and Houston likely having the more potent lineup I think it's decent value. Chris Bassitt is good but maybe not 2.29 ERA good like we saw last year.
  • Rox/Doyers U5.5 FF ...betting an under at the Coors Field? DAMN RIGHT! With Marquez v. Kershaw, in cold weather on the Opening Day. Also have these new baseballs that I expect to facilitate lower totals. Look, Marquez is a beast. He had a great season last year at Coors Field. He gave up three runs or less in 3 of his 4 stars in this stadium. Those are very good numbers for a First 5 Innings under. Then you add Kershaw. He had a bad Spring Training by his standards, but with him I think we can call the Spring Training irrelevant. In his only appearance at Coors Field last year, Kershaw allowed only one run in 7 innings. I don't think this total goes over the projected number, at least while the aces are on the mound.
  • Reds/Cards U3.5 F5 ...a very low total, but we get Flaherty and Castillo on the mound, two of top RHP's in baseball, absolutely horrible weather and showers are likely for the start. With these conditions and at plus money, I'll probably roll with this, as I see a particularly lower scoring game today.
  • ChiSox ...Not sure if the Sox are still considered a dark horse for a deep playoff run this year, after they had a great season last year. I think this team is legit, and I would be very surprised if they won't smash on Opening Day. They had some impressive offensive numbers last year, and with Giolito on the mound, they should handle the Angles. Bundy isn't a bad pitcher, but I don't think he is good enough to limit the offense of the White Sox in this one. I am actually high on Angels this year and have a couple futures with their win total.

I have lots of action already but may hit the 2 FF unders at least
 

2daBank

VC's Valentine
I felt like whomever was plus money in cards/reds game was the right side. Getting Castillo or flaherty at plus money a good deal. I didn’t see open where apparently cards were favs so I bet cards +107, woulda bet reds at plus also. Hoping cards pen advantage shines thru, I don’t trust our offense but reds still gonna have to prove it as well!!
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
last 2...​
  • 967 Los Angeles Dodgers/Colorado Rockies Under 6 -105 for 1st 5 Innings
    2.1/2
  • 969 St. Louis Cardinals/Cincinnati Reds Under 3½ -105 for 1st 5 Innings
    2.1/2
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [17-10 +15.27u]​
  • 917 Los Angeles Dodgers -245 vs Colorado Rockies
    4.02/1.64
  • 921 Chicago White Sox +110 vs Los Angeles Angels
    4/4.4
  • 923 Houston Astros +1½ -155 vs Oakland Athletics
    4/2.58
  • 926 Miami Marlins +110 vs Tampa Bay Rays
    4/4.4
  • 927 San Francisco Giants +118 vs Seattle Mariners
    4/4.72

Had a nice opening day even after the No No's went 6-5 and lost about a unit. :clapping2:
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Todays starter in their teams first 10 games of the season over last 3 years

1617364746081.png

and todays starter last year

1617364844875.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Considering White Sox +106 ...as they MASH lefties...as in the best in the league. Last year they were .285/.364/.523 against lefties with a league high .887 OPS and were undefeated. Keuchel finished with a surprising 1.99 ERA (don’t really see that repeating) but he’s in a favorable matchup against Heaney. The Sox may not have Eloy Jiminez this year whose great against lefties, but this team no question still has the firepower to go off vs lefties, and Heaney isn’t the guy to slow them down. I only hesitate because I'm so high on the Angels. Thats why I stayed off sox yesterday, but today it's either sox or stand aside.

CHW over last 2 years is by far league best vs lefties at +26.3 units for +32.2% ROI

1617366721169.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adding...​
921 Chicago White Sox/Los Angeles Angels Over 8½ -113
3/2.66

randoms
  • Marlins +110 ...If yesterday's game showed anything, it's that Miami's pitching is legit. Even vs Glasnow, they kept it close and gave Alcantara the ND. Now they get Yarbrough who had an xFIP of 4.33 and is due for some regression. He won't go too deep into today but I think Miami has the opportunity to get to him. Tack on Pablo Lopez on the mound and I love this at current price. All we need is 6inn out of our boy and the Fish pen will bring us home.
  • White Sox/Angels over 8½ ...I don't know about you, but I was so back and forth on taking ChiSox or the over here. Decided on the over (which'll likely leads to a 5-3 CHW win). As noted before the Sox really mash lefties. Plain and simple...they had the highest slugging % against lefties since the Brooklyn Dodgers in 1955. Meanwhile Heaney has been largely mediocre and Keuchel's 3.89 xFIP is nearly two full runs higher than his ERA and his spring debut came two weeks ago. Thinking he has an short outing and I don't trust the Sox pen. LFG
o26nj6stpnq61.jpg
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [5-2 +6u]
SEASON [20-10 +28.09u]​
  • 951 Pittsburgh Pirates +153 vs Chicago Cubs
    3/4.59
  • 953 Atlanta Braves/Philadelphia Phillies Over 8 +100
    3/3
  • 957 St. Louis Cardinals +109 vs Cincinnati Reds
    4/4.36
  • 957 St. Louis Cardinals/Cincinnati Reds Over 9 -105
    3/2.86
  • 960 Colorado Rockies +205 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
    2/4.1
  • 961 Arizona Diamondbacks +181 vs San Diego Padres
    4/7.24
  • 961 Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres Under 8½ -105
    3/2.86
  • 963 Toronto Blue Jays/New York Yankees Over 9 -105
    3/2.86
  • 965 Cleveland Indians/Detroit Tigers Over 8½ -105
    3/2.86
  • 967 Baltimore Orioles/Boston Red Sox Over 10 -105
    3/2.86
  • 977 Minnesota Twins +113 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    4/4.52

Quite a nice start to the season, let's keep it rolling. Riding several overs today as the trend seems to see more scoring and the numbers are starting to adjust. 65% of games so far have went over and that was with some crappy cold weather. Probably still gonna take Cubs over as well. Kinda surprised we are getting such good numbers with the Twinks as I believe this team has potential to be very good.

Long, long season, but first 2 days all about road teams, overs and dogs!

1617450706692.png

 
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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adding a few more...​
  • 951 Pittsburgh Pirates +147 vs Chicago Cubs
    3/4.41
  • 953 Atlanta Braves -111 vs Philadelphia Phillies
    3.33/3
  • 976 Miami Marlins +102 vs Tampa Bay Rays
    3/3.06
  • 963 Toronto Blue Jays +144 vs New York Yankees
    3/4.32
  • 965 Cleveland Indians -½ -115 vs Detroit Tigers for 1st 5 Innings
    3/2.6
  • 967 Baltimore Orioles +152 vs Boston Red Sox
    3/4.56
  • 969 Texas Rangers +149 vs Kansas City Royals
    3/4.47

Lots of action today...

here's some random bs ;)
  • NYY/TOR o9 -105 ...This game is going to be the definition of a mess. Stripling had a 6.15 FIP last season, walked 3.28 batters per nine and gave up 2.37 HR/9! I mean talk about a down season where didn't move, he just got hit hard. Now he's playing in the Bronx in a small stadium against a home run-heavy team? Tack on Corey Kluber who has velocity issues coming off injury and has pitched in 8 games since 2019 and the Jays young core should get to him early. Yanks pen thin, Toronto front end of the pen isn't good...All the recipe for an over.
  • Braves-111 ...Wrong team wass favored earlier but has since flipped. Morton's velocity seems to be back where it was in 2019 — was slightly down last season — and suffered a career-worst .355 BABIP which will surely improve. Wheeler on the other hand is a good pitcher, but his 3.76 xFIP indicates he was a bit lucky in 2021. He's forcing more ground balls and less home runs, but I think this Braves offense is too talented to lay an egg after a dud of a performance on opening day.
  • Marlins +102 ...PAIN. Going back to the well here with Miami hoping they don't get swept. The wrong pitcher is favored here. Elisier Hernandez is slowly becoming a strong middle-of-the-rotation guy and I like his chances. Hill overperformed and his 4.93 xFIP was a whole 1.9 RUNS higher than his ERA. He was getting incredibly lucky in Minnesota and I think Miami will show it was a fluke of a season. Hopefully they get up by 8 so we don't have to sweat the pen in the ninth.
  • Indians FF -½ -115 ...Julio Teheran can prove me wrong here and go out and throw a gem, but I love Zach Plesac and think Teheran is toast. He walked 4.6 BB/9, gave up 3.45 HR/9, suffered a career-low K/9 (sub-6) and had a FIP of 8.32, xFIP of 6.35. I mean the numbers are very BAD...and this was over 10 games! Plesac doesn't walk a ton of batters and forces the opponents to beat him by pounding the strike zone. He's due for some slight regression, but it shouldn't come today.
imagejpg_a549dc7f-1cbe-4266-b192-9846d21cad6c_2048x.jpg
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Road dogs over +125 in game numbers 2 & 3 are 86-82 for 33.7% ROI in the history of SDQL :shocked:

...with 5 such going today

1617471007983.png
 

2daBank

VC's Valentine
Jays, O’s, and zona def worth plays at those prices. The more W’s these dogs keep stacking up the happier my life will be!! Lol. Gl today
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [5-13 -22.46u]
SEASON [25-23 +5.63u]​
  • 903 Atlanta Braves -115 vs Philadelphia Phillies
    3/2.6
  • 903 Atlanta Braves/Philadelphia Phillies Over 8 -105
    3/2.86
  • 905 St. Louis Cardinals -105 vs Cincinnati Reds
    3/2.86
  • 905 St. Louis Cardinals/Cincinnati Reds Over 9½ -110
    3/2.73
  • 907 Pittsburgh Pirates +159 vs Chicago Cubs
    3/4.77
  • 913 Toronto Blue Jays +152 vs New York Yankees
    3/4.56
  • 915 Cleveland Indians/Detroit Tigers Over 8½ -105
    3/2.86
  • 916 Detroit Tigers +117 vs Cleveland Indians
    3/3.51
  • 917 Baltimore Orioles +154 vs Boston Red Sox
    3/4.62
  • 917 Baltimore Orioles/Boston Red Sox Under 9½ -105
    3/2.86
  • 919 Texas Rangers +158 vs Kansas City Royals
    3/4.74
  • 921 Houston Astros +102 vs Oakland Athletics
    3/3.06
  • 923 Chicago White Sox +107 vs Los Angeles Angels
    3/3.21
  • 925 Minnesota Twins/Milwaukee Brewers Over 8 -110
    3/2.73

Tough day yesterday as I gave back most of the profits from first two days of the season. 1-6 on my overs yesterday was the killer, but I'm back with more overs today.
 

2daBank

VC's Valentine
I like the cardinals over again. Times gotta be changing cause I can’t recall last time I bet cards overs in b2b games! (I did get crushed playing Ff under in game one, the aces were not very ace like! lol). Like chi Sox also. Gl as always
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss

YESTERDAY [7-8 +0.21u]
SEASON [32-31 +5.84u]​
  • 953 St. Louis Cardinals +1½ -190 vs Miami Marlins
    3.8/2
  • 953 St. Louis Cardinals +105 vs Miami Marlins
    3/3.15
  • 953 St. Louis Cardinals/Miami Marlins Over 8 -115
    3.45/3
  • 956 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +130 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    3/3.9
  • 957 New York Mets -203 vs Philadelphia Phillies
    4.06/2
  • 957 New York Mets -1½ -120 vs Philadelphia Phillies
    3.6/3
  • 959 Milwaukee Brewers +101 vs Chicago Cubs
    3/3.03
  • 962 San Diego Padres -1½ +115 vs San Francisco Giants
    3/3.45
  • 963 Minnesota Twins -1½ +115 vs Detroit Tigers
    3/3.45
  • 965 Toronto Blue Jays -1½ +100 vs Texas Rangers
    3/3
  • 967 Kansas City Royals +113 vs Cleveland Indians
    3/3.39
  • 967 Kansas City Royals/Cleveland Indians Over 9 +105
    3/3.15
  • 970 New York Yankees -215 vs Baltimore Orioles
    4.3/2
  • 970 New York Yankees -1½ -120 vs Baltimore Orioles
    3.6/3
  • 973 Houston Astros +109 vs Los Angeles Angels
    3/3.27
  • 977 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +105 vs Oakland Athletics
    3/3.15

I've been trying to ride dogs...
But on Mondays during the first 10 games when line -200 or more the favorite is 18-1 last 10 years +35.3% ROI and 17-2 on RL for +68.2% ROI :haveanidea:

1617623825719.png

7jt06e7935r61.jpg
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [9-7 +3.93u]
SEASON [41-38 +9.77u]​
  • 901 Atlanta Braves +112 vs Washington Nationals
    4/4.48
  • 903 St. Louis Cardinals +110 vs Miami Marlins
    4/4.4
  • 903 St. Louis Cardinals/Miami Marlins Over 7½ -105
    4/3.82
  • 907 New York Mets -128 vs Philadelphia Phillies
    4.03/3.15
  • 911 Arizona Diamondbacks +110 vs Colorado Rockies
    4/4.4
  • 911 Arizona Diamondbacks/Colorado Rockies Under 10½ -102
    3/2.94
  • 913 San Francisco Giants +176 vs San Diego Padres
    4/7.04
  • 917 Houston Astros -107 vs Los Angeles Angels
    4/3.74
  • 917 Houston Astros/Los Angeles Angels Under 9 -105
    4/3.82
  • 920 New York Yankees -257 vs Baltimore Orioles
    4.03/1.57
  • 919 Baltimore Orioles/New York Yankees Under 8½ -114
    3.42/3
  • 921 Tampa Bay Rays -142 vs Boston Red Sox
    4/2.82
  • 924 Texas Rangers +124 vs Toronto Blue Jays
    4/4.96

Odd stat that doesn't come along often...teams in at least their 2nd game vs team playing their first game are 5-4 at avg +125 for 30% ROI

1617709368975.png

Double revenge: teams after losing last game to opponent as well as starter losing last time vs opponent when road favorite over 120 in the first 15 games of the season win nearly 80% for 32.7% ROI including 15-4 in most recent
1617710004692.png

1hyilawpdhr61.jpg
 

2daBank

VC's Valentine
I’m on the Ff under in Miami, I just don’t see many runs given up by the starters, neither these lineups very good. Cardinals has some potential but not exactly a murderers row! I don’t think the fish lineup is gonna produce many runs all year. Guys like de Leon last night and gant tonight who I think might struggle against some the tougher lineups in more hitter friendly parks I think can navigate this fish lineup with minimal damage. I freaking love alcontera, if he efficient he about as tough as it gets! When his command isn’t there he still difficult to hit, he just piles up the pitches and can’t go deep. For 5 innings I expect him to give up next to nothing. Who knows what happens when the pens come in tho??

I played a Ff under in Colorado over the weekend, freaking Gomber walked a butt load of guys but luckily settled in and with such high totals we def get a little leeway to play a coors under. Freaking scary with weaver on the bump! I thought he was a pitcher on the rise when we traded him, which I was fine with as you gotta give stuff up to get a guy like goldy (well unless you trade w Rockies, then you can get their star for next to nothing! Lol). He just hasn’t turned out to be anything close to what I thought he could be!! His stuff is there, he often comes out looking tough, but then he has a inning where he flat out implodes! That scary at coors where he got rocked last year!! He has had a few really good starts at coors prior to that hatchet job last year so could happen. Gl
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Everything says Miami wins this if you just look the pitchers...Alcantara the #1 against Gant who has been a reliever a few seasons. I’ll back the better lineup and my thinking that maybe Alcantara can't repeat his opening day performance. The under may well be the right side, at least for 5, but then again 7½ is a low # and since I played it early it's now moved to 7½ -20 so we shall see GL @2daBank it's always great to hear others opinions.

:cheers3:
 

2daBank

VC's Valentine
I think gant will be able to hold Marlins pretty weak lineup down. Just the Ff under for me. Gl buddy
 

2daBank

VC's Valentine
For some reasons cardinals just brought Webb into a 1 run game in 8th inning, freaking danger time. I’ll never understand why Shildt trust this bum so much???
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [7-6 +3.61u]
SEASON [48-44 +13.38u]​
  • 952 Cincinnati Reds -200 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    4/2
  • 953 Milwaukee Brewers +104 vs Chicago Cubs
    4/4.16
  • 957 New York Mets/Philadelphia Phillies Under 8 +100
    4/4
  • 961 San Francisco Giants +137 vs San Diego Padres
    4/5.48
  • 961 San Francisco Giants/San Diego Padres Over 7½ -105
    3/2.86
  • 963 Arizona Diamondbacks +103 vs Colorado Rockies
    4/4.12
  • 963 Arizona Diamondbacks/Colorado Rockies Over 11 -110
    4.1/3.73
  • 965 Minnesota Twins -1½ -105 vs Detroit Tigers
    4/3.82
  • 965 Minnesota Twins -165 vs Detroit Tigers
    3.96/2.4
  • 965 Minnesota Twins/Detroit Tigers Under 8 +100
    3/3
  • 967 Tampa Bay Rays +109 vs Boston Red Sox
    4/4.36
  • 971 Toronto Blue Jays -1½ -111 vs Texas Rangers
    4.11/3.7
  • 971 Toronto Blue Jays -176 vs Texas Rangers
    4/2.27
  • 971 Toronto Blue Jays/Texas Rangers Under 8½ +100
    4/4
  • 973 Chicago White Sox -1½ +105 vs Seattle Mariners
    4/4.2
  • 975 Baltimore Orioles +170 vs New York Yankees
    3/5.1
  • 977 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +100 vs Oakland Athletics
    4/4
  • 977 Los Angeles Dodgers/Oakland Athletics Under 8½ -110
    4.1/3.73

randoms...
  • Jays have their ace Ryu on the bump vs Kyle Gibson. This is starter mismatch! Gibson is definitely a below average pitcher and with this Blue Jays lineup having so much power I can see them lighting up Gibson. Ryu pitched a beauty of a game against the Yankees and their line up is stacked with power hitters, I don't see him having any issues against this Rangers lineup who haven't even seen Ryu before.
  • Cards go for the sweep today in Miami with their ace Jack Flaherty on the hill. Flaherty had a less than optimal opening day game giving up 6ER in 4 1/3 in Ciny. Not to concerned about this performance given that it was in a hitter friendly park and against an offense that has been hot so far in the year. Marlins offense has been dormant except for their 12 run final game on Saturday. For the fish we will be seeing Pablo Lopez who threw 5 shutout innings in his first start of the year. The key for the Cards offense will be getting Lopez’s pitch count up early and getting to the bullpen. Backing SL RL because the +155 value is great for a Cards team going for the sweep vs a sloppy Marlins team. May hit both RL and ML...still under consideration.
  • Pirates games have had runs in 1st inn every game since the season started. This is the final game of this series after the Reds dumped 14 runs on the Bucs last night, plus Cincy is currently top 5 in the league in runs scored. In game one of this series, Pirates scored 2 in the first. Luis Castillo, who is expected to start for the Reds, was also the starting pitcher on Opening Day when the Cardinals, scored 6 runs in the first.

If you throw out game one, short road dogs of 120 or less in games 2 through 11 are 9-5 this year and good for 12% ROI over 7 years
I'm playing all 3 today(MIL, TB, AZ) although not solely for this reason
1617797174816.png

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2daBank

VC's Valentine
I think a lot of flahertys issues in his 1st start was due to it being cold as shit in cincy that day, his velo was down several ticks, think it was just the cold. After all Castillo was even worse that day. We know something wrong if Jack don’t dominate this trash lineup! Think he will tho, crazy cheap to back cards. Think fish being overvalued based off last year.
 

ArtieWins

Well-Known Member
I’ve been to every fish game this year, they are pretty trash, and if they have a lead that roach bullpen will give it right back up. Alfaro is the worst catcher in the league and cannot hit to save his life
 

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2daBank

VC's Valentine
I’ve been to every fish game this year, they are pretty trash, and if they have a lead that roach bullpen will give it right back up. Alfaro is the worst catcher in the league and cannot hit to save his life

I love their young starting pitching but the lineup is seriously lacking. The amount of runners they stranded last night was insane! There were several times they had man on 3rd less than 2 outs and couldn’t get him home. They need to be good situational hitters cause it not like they have a bunch of power in the lineup. Believe it was 3rd inning they had bases juiced nobody out, heart of lineup coming up and they got nothing! Just bad, was great for Ff under tho! Lol.
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [9-11 -9.5u]
SEASON [57-55 +3.88u]​
  • 903 Chicago Cubs -1½ +120 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    4/4.8
  • 907 Milwaukee Brewers -1½ +130 vs St. Louis Cardinals
    4/5.2
  • 907 Milwaukee Brewers -128 vs St. Louis Cardinals
    4/3.13
  • 910 Baltimore Orioles +144 vs Boston Red Sox
    3/4.32
  • 909 Boston Red Sox/Baltimore Orioles Under 9 -114
    4/3.51
  • 911 Seattle Mariners/Minnesota Twins Under 8 -107
    4/3.75
  • 913 Kansas City Royals +148 vs Chicago White Sox
    3/4.44
  • 913 Kansas City Royals/Chicago White Sox Under 8½ -111
    4/3.60
  • 915 Los Angeles Angels +107 vs Toronto Blue Jays
    4/4.28
  • 917 Oakland Athletics +1½ -130 vs Houston Astros
    4/3.08
  • 917 Oakland Athletics/Houston Astros Under 10 -111
    4/3.6

I always try to put most of my plays in before 8am est since I get Nickle lines until then. When you play as much as me, and saved juice is a blessing. I'm not looking for the one super special game to pound but more or less trying to grind out a small profit with numbers. I expect to have losers but hopefully the winners outweigh them in the end. I lost quite a bit last year although I recouped most of it in the playoffs. I have shown profit overall in bases 3 of last 5 years.

Road favs over 120 after team and starter both lost last time vs current opponent in first month of season. I call it double revenge and it's 59-17 last 7 years for 30% ROI. I typically use 7 years as a timeframe to go back because I've read that baseball cycles typically run about that. Live ball era, Rox field, dominant pitching, etc... Don't remember the specifics but I read it years back and it stuck with me, so thats the reason I mostly use in the last 7 years which in since the 2014 season.

1617883261539.png

f4203lag4xr61.jpg
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [4-7 -9.74u]
SEASON [61-62 -5.86u]​
  • 951 Colorado Rockies +143 vs San Francisco Giants
    4/5.72
  • 954 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ -150 vs Washington Nationals
    4.5/3
  • 955 Philadelphia Phillies +116 vs Atlanta Braves
    4/4.64
  • 957 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +120 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    4/4.8
  • 959 New York Yankees -127 vs Tampa Bay Rays
    4.06/3.2

Reds 1½ +120 ...The Snakes (2-5) are coming off of a series loss to the Rox (3-4), getting outscored 15-3 in L2. In addition to highly questionable pitching and an inability to score runs, Arizona lost their best player, Ketel Marte, to a hamstring injury this Wednesday. The Reds (5-1) have been one of the leagues most impressive teams at the plate out the gate. Tyler Mahle threw well in his first start vs a strong Rangers lineup and will look to continue his success at Chase Field tonight.
1617966989001.png
Recent Trends

Cincinnati:
  • CIN are 8-1 in their last 9 Fri. games.
  • CIN are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 14-5-2 in CIN last 21 road games.
Arizona:
  • ARI are 2-6 in their last 8 games as an underdog.
1617967345124.png
trFKX2B.jpg
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [1-6 -23.07u]
SEASON [62-68 -28.93u]​
  • 903 Milwaukee Brewers +103 vs St. Louis Cardinals
    3/3.09
  • 903 Milwaukee Brewers/St. Louis Cardinals Over 8½ +100
    2/2
  • 905 Colorado Rockies/San Francisco Giants Over 8½ -105
    2.1/2
  • 906 San Francisco Giants -1½ +110 vs Colorado Rockies
    4/4.4
  • 906 San Francisco Giants -169 vs Colorado Rockies
    4.14/2.45
  • 907 Chicago Cubs -1½ +105 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    4/4.2
  • 907 Chicago Cubs/Pittsburgh Pirates Over 8½ -115
    2.3/2
  • 917 Seattle Mariners/Minnesota Twins Over 8 -105
    2.1/2
  • 919 Kansas City Royals/Chicago White Sox Over 9 +103
    2/2.06
  • 921 Los Angeles Angels +113 vs Toronto Blue Jays
    4/4.52
  • 923 Oakland Athletics/Houston Astros Over 9 -105
    2.1/2
  • 924 Houston Astros -1½ +120 vs Oakland Athletics
    4/4.8
  • 925 Detroit Tigers/Cleveland Indians Over 9½ +100
    2/2
  • 926 Cleveland Indians -1½ +110 vs Detroit Tigers
    4/4.4
  • 928 Baltimore Orioles +121 vs Boston Red Sox
    4/4.84
  • 929 San Diego Padres -1½ -110 vs Texas Rangers
    4.1/3.73
  • 929 San Diego Padres/Texas Rangers Over 9 +100
    2/2

randoms...

1618055562133.png

Trends
Colorado vs San Francisco
  • COL are 22-47 in their last 69 road games.
  • Under is 43-21-3 in COL last 67 Sat. games.
  • COL are 1-7 in Gonzalezs last 8 road starts.
  • SF are 9-4 in their last 13 home games.
NY Yankees vs Tampa Bay
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
  • Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Kansas City vs Chi White Sox
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
  • Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
  • Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Seattle vs Minnesota
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Seattle
  • Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland vs Houston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing Houston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
  • Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Colorado vs San Francisco
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
  • Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
  • San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
Detroit vs Cleveland
  • Cleveland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Detroit
Boston vs Baltimore
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
  • Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
  • Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
San Diego vs Texas
  • San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing San Diego
  • Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Angels vs Toronto
  • LA Angels is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
  • LA Angels is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games at home
Philadelphia vs Atlanta
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
  • Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Cincinnati vs Arizona
  • Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
  • Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Washington vs LA Dodgers
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
  • Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
  • LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
80e0lvy585s61.jpg
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [9-7 -0.53u]
SEASON [71-75 -29.46u]​
  • 955 Milwaukee Brewers +116 vs St. Louis Cardinals
    4/4.64
  • 957 Colorado Rockies +111 vs San Francisco Giants
    4/4.44
  • 959 Washington Nationals +158 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
    3/4.74
  • 963 Philadelphia Phillies +141 vs Atlanta Braves
    4/5.64
  • 975 Kansas City Royals +123 vs Chicago White Sox
    4/4.92
  • 975 Kansas City Royals/Chicago White Sox Over 9 +100
    3/3

RANDOMS..

1618142192358.png

TRENDS​

BOSTON @ BALTIMORE

BOSTON​

  • Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

BALTIMORE​

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Boston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games at home
CHI CUBS @ PITTSBURGH

CHI CUBS​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

PITTSBURGH​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home
LA ANGELS @ TORONTO

LA ANGELS​

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
  • LA Angels is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto

TORONTO​

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
DETROIT @ CLEVELAND

DETROIT​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games

CLEVELAND​

  • Cleveland is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit
  • Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
MIAMI @ NY METS

MIAMI​

  • Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
  • Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets

NY METS​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games
NY YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY

NY YANKEES​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 12 games on the road

TAMPA BAY​

  • Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
KANSAS CITY @ CHI WHITE SOX

KANSAS CITY​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox

CHI WHITE SOX​

  • Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
  • Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
SEATTLE @ MINNESOTA

SEATTLE​

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

MINNESOTA​

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Seattle
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
MILWAUKEE @ ST. LOUIS

MILWAUKEE​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 13 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

ST. LOUIS​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
SAN DIEGO @ TEXAS

SAN DIEGO​

  • San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games

TEXAS​

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games when playing San Diego
  • The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Texas's last 21 games when playing at home against San Diego
COLORADO @ SAN FRANCISCO

COLORADO​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games
  • Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

SAN FRANCISCO​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
  • San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
CINCINNATI @ ARIZONA

CINCINNATI​

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
  • Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

ARIZONA​

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
  • Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
WASHINGTON @ LA DODGERS

WASHINGTON​

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington's last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA

PHILADELPHIA​

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

ATLANTA​

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
  • Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


R5RumeD.jpg
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adding...

  • 965 Boston Red Sox -140 vs Baltimore Orioles
    4.9/3.5
  • 965 Boston Red Sox/Baltimore Orioles Under 9½ -107
    4/3.75
BAL atrocious at home in 1st 25 games of the year 2019-21 winning less that 20% SU and returning over 27% ROI
crazy.gif

Also the over has cashed an astounding 80% in these same games for nearly 50% ROI :shocked:

1618157102988.png


1618157536455.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
a few more...​
  • 957 Colorado Rockies/San Francisco Giants Over 7½ -112
    4/3.57
  • 959 Washington Nationals/Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7½ -117
    4/3.42
  • 967 Los Angeles Angels -119 vs Toronto Blue Jays
    4/3.36
  • 971 New York Yankees -143 vs Tampa Bay Rays
    4/2.8

Double revenge in the first month of the season: Road fav over 120 after team and starter losing last time vs current opponent cashing 75.6% over 7+ years for 27.2% ROI

1618158151766.png
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [6-5-1 +6.91u]
SEASON [77-80 -22.55u]​
  • 901 San Diego Padres -216 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    4/1.85
  • 901 San Diego Padres -1½ -140 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    3.92/2.8
  • 901 San Diego Padres/Pittsburgh Pirates Under 8 -112
    4.09/3.65
  • 903 Philadelphia Phillies +119 vs New York Mets
    4/4.76
  • 906 Atlanta Braves -145 vs Miami Marlins
    4/2.76
  • 906 Atlanta Braves -1½ +135 vs Miami Marlins
    4/5.4
  • 908 Milwaukee Brewers -1½ +155 vs Chicago Cubs
    4/6.2
  • 911 Cincinnati Reds +107 vs San Francisco Giants
    4/4.28
  • 911 Cincinnati Reds/San Francisco Giants Over 8½ -105
    4/3.82
  • 914 Minnesota Twins -1½ +125 vs Boston Red Sox
    4/5
  • 917 New York Yankees -1½ -120 vs Toronto Blue Jays
    4.2/3.5
  • 920 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ +100 vs Texas Rangers
    4/4
  • 921 Cleveland Indians +117 vs Chicago White Sox
    4/4.68
  • 923 Los Angeles Angels -107 vs Kansas City Royals
    4/3.75
  • 923 Los Angeles Angels -1½ +145 vs Kansas City Royals
    4/5.8

Well fuck, I had a good day that could have been much better except I clicked in 2 totals wrong. I really liked BOS over and ROX under but somehow clicked it in wrong and it figures I would have hit both wrong clicks :/ Should have made 20u but only netted 6.9

1618232557957.png

oh well...moving on

randoms

1618232699766.png

TRENDS​

BOSTON @ MINNESOTA

BOSTON​

  • Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

MINNESOTA​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Boston
  • Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
SAN DIEGO @ PITTSBURGH

SAN DIEGO​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 9 games
  • San Diego is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

PITTSBURGH​

  • Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
  • Pittsburgh is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing San Diego
SEATTLE @ BALTIMORE

SEATTLE​

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
  • Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore

BALTIMORE​

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
NY YANKEES @ TORONTO

NY YANKEES​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Toronto
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 13 games on the road

TORONTO​

  • Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
  • Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
PHILADELPHIA @ NY METS

PHILADELPHIA​

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Mets

NY METS​

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
TEXAS @ TAMPA BAY

TEXAS​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games

TAMPA BAY​

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
  • Tampa Bay is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
MIAMI @ ATLANTA

MIAMI​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

ATLANTA​

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
  • Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
CHI CUBS @ MILWAUKEE

CHI CUBS​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

MILWAUKEE​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
  • Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
WASHINGTON @ ST. LOUIS

WASHINGTON​

  • Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
  • Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis

ST. LOUIS​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home
CLEVELAND @ CHI WHITE SOX

CLEVELAND​

  • Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
  • Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

CHI WHITE SOX​

  • Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
  • Chi White Sox is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home
DETROIT @ HOUSTON

DETROIT​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

HOUSTON​

  • Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
LA ANGELS @ KANSAS CITY

LA ANGELS​

  • LA Angels is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Kansas City
  • LA Angels is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

KANSAS CITY​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
  • Kansas City is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
OAKLAND @ ARIZONA

OAKLAND​

  • Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Arizona

ARIZONA​

  • Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Oakland
CINCINNATI @ SAN FRANCISCO

CINCINNATI​

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing San Francisco
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

SAN FRANCISCO​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
click pic :bluehead:
 
Last edited:

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adds​
  • 914 Minnesota Twins -133 vs Boston Red Sox
    4/3.01
  • 915 Seattle Mariners/Baltimore Orioles Under 8½ -103
    4/3.89

twinks are 11-2 at home last 2+ years vs team off a win...+45% ROI
...even better on RL at 53% ROI :clapping2:

1618249283879.png
 

2daBank

VC's Valentine
Nothing worse than thinking you had a winner all day then realizing you made the wrong damn play. I’ve done it more times than I’m proud to admit! Usually happens when a lack of sleep combined with really good weed! Lol
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
gonna hit this under a bit too...

923 Los Angeles Angels/Kansas City Royals Under 9 -120
3/2.5

Chasing the line - This Year has been good, much better until last few days it went 7-9..see below
SU:22-16 (0.95, 57.9%) avg line: -127.0 / 110.8 on / against: +$485 / -$677 ROI: +8.7% / -14.3%
RL:22-16 (1.11, 57.9%) avg line: -130.6 / 111.0 on / against: +$130 / -$475 ROI: +2.6% / -11.7%
OU:16-22-0 (-0.45, 42.1%) avg total: 8.6 over / under: -$900 / +$475 ROI: -22.1% / +11.4%

1618261032579.png

In case you forgot, my chasing the line angle is when 2 teams play again at same site, with the same team favored but with at least a 20 cent difference in the line. Reasoning is if the book moves line one way they are trying to get you to bet other way, so when line lays more lay it and when you get less on dog take it...as long as it's at least 20 cents. Numbers above include everything after the 2014 season but if you omit games after August the results are dlightly better at 8.6% ROI, the difference is negligible. Plays today are Tigs & Pads
 

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
YESTERDAY [7-6-5 +5.17u]
SEASON [84-86 -17.38u]​
  • 952 Pittsburgh Pirates +1½ +120 vs San Diego Padres
    4/4.8
  • 956 Atlanta Braves -172 vs Miami Marlins
    4/2.33
  • 959 Washington Nationals +109 vs St. Louis Cardinals
    4/4.36
  • 959 Washington Nationals/St. Louis Cardinals Under 7 +105
    4/4.2
  • 961 Cincinnati Reds -102 vs San Francisco Giants
    4/3.92
  • 961 Cincinnati Reds/San Francisco Giants Under 7½ -107
    4/3.75
  • 963 Colorado Rockies +1½ +140 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
    4/5.6
  • 966 Minnesota Twins -142 vs Boston Red Sox
    4/2.82
  • 969 New York Yankees +108 vs Toronto Blue Jays
    4/4.32
  • 971 Texas Rangers +156 vs Tampa Bay Rays
    4/6.24
  • 971 Texas Rangers/Tampa Bay Rays Over 8 +102
    4/4.08
  • 977 Detroit Tigers +168 vs Houston Astros
    4/6.72

randoms...

1618314861544.png

TRENDS​

BOSTON @ MINNESOTA

BOSTON​

  • Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

MINNESOTA​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Boston
  • Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
OAKLAND @ ARIZONA

OAKLAND​

  • Oakland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
  • Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

ARIZONA​

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home
  • Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
SEATTLE @ BALTIMORE

SEATTLE​

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
  • Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore

BALTIMORE​

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
PHILADELPHIA @ NY METS

PHILADELPHIA​

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

NY METS​

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
SAN DIEGO @ PITTSBURGH

SAN DIEGO​

  • San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

PITTSBURGH​

  • Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
  • Pittsburgh is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing San Diego
SEATTLE @ BALTIMORE

SEATTLE​

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
  • Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore

BALTIMORE​

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
NY YANKEES @ TORONTO

NY YANKEES​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Toronto
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 12 games

TORONTO​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
TEXAS @ TAMPA BAY

TEXAS​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games

TAMPA BAY​

  • Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
MIAMI @ ATLANTA

MIAMI​

  • Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road

ATLANTA​

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home
  • Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
CHI CUBS @ MILWAUKEE

CHI CUBS​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games on the road

MILWAUKEE​

  • Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
PHILADELPHIA @ NY METS

PHILADELPHIA​

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

NY METS​

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
WASHINGTON @ ST. LOUIS

WASHINGTON​

  • Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
  • Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

ST. LOUIS​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games at home
CLEVELAND @ CHI WHITE SOX

CLEVELAND​

  • Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox

CHI WHITE SOX​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
  • Chi White Sox is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home
DETROIT @ HOUSTON

DETROIT​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games

HOUSTON​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games at home
  • Houston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
LA ANGELS @ KANSAS CITY

LA ANGELS​

  • LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
  • LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City

KANSAS CITY​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
  • Kansas City is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
CINCINNATI @ SAN FRANCISCO

CINCINNATI​

  • Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
  • Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

SAN FRANCISCO​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
COLORADO @ LA DODGERS

COLORADO​

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers

LA DODGERS​

  • LA Dodgers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
  • LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
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mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
adding...​
  • 2952 SDG/PIT no score 1st inn -130
    4/3.08
  • 951 San Diego Padres/Pittsburgh Pirates Under 8 -108
    4/3.7
 
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