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15th week

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Monday - [1-1 -0.2u]
Week 14 - [14-19 -14.75U]
season - [129-152 -81,15U]​
  • 301 Los Angeles Chargers +3½ -107 vs Las Vegas Raiders
    3/2.8
  • 301 Los Angeles Chargers/Las Vegas Raiders Over 51½ -105
    3/2.86
  • 301 Los Angeles Chargers +½ -120 vs Las Vegas Raiders for 1st Quarter
    1./1.5

Over the lst 8+ years in prime time games when the line was under 4 and total >= 51, the away team cashed ATS 63.6% and the over cashed 62.5%

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Perfection???
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.
 
Rare 3-0 Thursday :claphands:

  • 345 Buffalo Bills Over 14 +101 vs Denver Broncos for 1st Half
    2/2.02
  • 345 Buffalo Bills -5½ -103 vs Denver Broncos
    2/1.94
  • 345 Buffalo Bills -230 vs Denver Broncos
    2.88/1.25
  • 343 Carolina Panthers/Green Bay Packers Over 52½ -103
    3/2.91


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Saturday - [3-1 +2.21u]
Week 15 - [6-1 +9.37u]
  • 341 Houston Texans +7½ -110 vs Indianapolis Colts
    3/2.73
  • 341 Houston Texans/Indianapolis Colts Over 51 -108
    3/2.78
  • 347 Detroit Lions/Tennessee Titans Over 53½ -103
    3/2.91
  • 350 Los Angeles Rams -17 -101 vs New York Jets
    3/2.97
  • 353 New England Patriots +1½ -106 vs Miami Dolphins
    3/2.83
  • 353 New England Patriots/Miami Dolphins Under 41½ -108
    3/2.78
  • 355 Seattle Seahawks/Washington Football Team Under 44 -105
    3/2.86
  • 357 Chicago Bears +3 -110 vs Minnesota Vikings
    3/2.73
  • 363 Philadelphia Eagles +6½ -106 vs Arizona Cardinals
    1.06/1
  • 365 Kansas City Chiefs/New Orleans Saints Over 52½ -109
    3/2.75
  • 368 Dallas Cowboys +3½ -108 vs San Francisco 49ers
    2.98/2.76
  • 368 Dallas Cowboys +170 vs San Francisco 49ers
    1/1.7

Hoping to see late line move(s) in ATL
  • Falcons +6.5 ...I took the Bucs last week and they got outplayed but with gifted 3 at the end of the half and Minny missing 3 kicks, still cashed that ticket. Brady does struggle with pressure, and the Falcons are 3rd in the league in pass rush win rate. Bucs also missing its starting LT. Falcons are playing good D recently, and Tampa is not good enough to be getting a TD or more
  • Falcons/Bucs U 49 ...The Falcons will likely stop the Bucs, but there it is self explanatory as to why the Bucs will stifle the Falcons. Tampa has the 5th ranked defense, Falcons with the 22nd ranked offense, and now they are missing Julio. ATL unders have been live since they fired Dan Quinn! I don't see either team breaking 24. Falcons sport the 2nd worse red zone% at 31st in the league. FGs will decide this one.
  • Footballs-Seahawks U 44 ...Sticking with the under theme here, as WAS has been an under machine in recent weeks. In the past 9 games, the total in WAS’s games have gone over 43 just once. Not much needs to be said about the Footballs defense, it is nasty. That front 7 will give Russ fits. Haskins is starting, which can only help the under. Much was made about Seattle's horrible defense, but it has steadily improved, especially against the run. 11th in run defense DVOA, (thanks to Jamal Adams) and the Footballs are the worst passing DVOA team in the league and now they have a Haskins lol.

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adds...​
  • 352 Atlanta Falcons +6 -108 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    3/2.78
  • 351 Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Atlanta Falcons Under 49½ -107
    3/2.8
  • 361 Cleveland Browns/New York Giants Under 44½ -101
    3/2.97
  • 365 Kansas City Chiefs -2½ -115 vs New Orleans Saints
    3/2.61
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  1. 363 Philadelphia Eagles +6 -104 vs Arizona Cardinals
    2/1.92
  2. 363 Philadelphia Eagles +235 vs Arizona Cardinals
    1.6/3.76
 
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