Daytona Speedweeks Plays

[madshooter]

Bud Shootout 2010


Stewart @ +725 (the man in this race, love these odds on him, avg. finish here in this race of 4.1 with 5 top 4's in the last 5) .12 unit

Mcmurray @ +2500 (love him here + now in a DEI car, think he has a great speedweeks) .05 unit

Logano @ +3300 (just a feeling he runs well this time) .03 unit

Waltrip @ +5000 (multiple plate winner, running limited schedule now, figure he will be going for the win, not using this as a test run) .02 unit

Schrader @ +12500 (OK, a guy who has run well here before, in decent equipment(Red Bull Car), you never know, but at 125-1, worth a play).02 unit

Burton @ +1500 {bookmaker} (after watching the practices yesterday and hearing how happy he was with the car, decided i would jump on him now....price down to +1250 at dimes already, but the +1500 can still be had at bookmaker.) .05 unit

Jr to win @ +850 .12 unit

Jr over Kurt Busch -130 1 unit

McMurray over Edwards +100 1 unit

Johnson over Kurt Busch -115 1 unit


have played 3 matchups thus far, they are up at dimes, waiting to see matchups at bookmaker, may add another play or two.

[JumpOnBoard]

I'll be in this forum later tonight bro....look forward to breakin em down with ya this year....

Cars on the track in three hours is def exciting.

GL.

[madshooter]

well , what a wreck fest those 2 practices were. These guys clearly aren't used to the closing speed compared to what it was like last year....that is going to take some getting used to....think we see quite a few wrecks for Thursdays duels. Burton and Johnson seemed pretty happy with their shootout cars.....you can throw McMurray in there also, he said the backup car was handling better than his wrecked one. Shootout should be good come saturday nite.

[madshooter]

3 matchups so far


Jr over Kurt Busch -130

McMurray over Edwards +100

Johnson over Kurt Busch -115


also added Burton @ +1500 to win

[Indiana]

Good Luck, shooter. You are the man.

[madshooter]

added

Jr to win @ +850 .12 unit

[TexasKevin]

Originally Posted by madshooter

added

Jr to win @ +850 .12 unit

I'm not a fan of his, but he's my to win pick. If I had to predict.

[madshooter]

Shootout
Johnson over Kurt Busch -115 1 unit
McMurray over Edwards +100 1 unit
Jr over Kurt Busch -130 1 unit

(ALL TO Wins )
Jr to win @ +850 .12 unit
Burton to win @ +1500 .05 unit
Stewart @ +725 .12 unit
Mcmurray @ +2500 .05 unit
Logano @ +3300 .03 unit
Waltrip @ +5000 .02 unit
Schrader @ +12500 .02 unit





good start to speedweeks, picked up +2.59 units going 3-0 on matchups and just missing on the race winner, think that was Jamie's win if the caution doesn't come out.....but still a very exciting race, Harvick was a bit of a surprise for sure.

[madshooter]

Duels

1 matchup locked in so far Kahne over Truex -130
BTW, matchups are up at dimes for both races on thurs.

[madshooter]

Duel #1
McMurray over Harvick +115 1 unit

Johnson over martin -115 & +105 1 unit



Mcmurray to win @ +1250 & +1400 .10 unit

Gordon to win @ +850 & +600 .15 unit

Burton to win @ +1400 .05 unit

Duel #2

Kahne over Truex -130 1 unit

Logano over Keselowski +105 .50 unit

vickers over Reutti -130 .50 unit


Stewart to win @ +300 .20 unit

Kahne to win @+1000 .05 unit

Kurt Busch to win @ +1000 .05 unit

will see how race 1 goes, may add something for race 2, 1 more matchup i kinda like, GL today

[madshooter]

added another unit to

Johnson over martin @ +105 2 units total

[Cheesesteak]

GL Shooter really like tony in the 2nd duel

[madshooter]

QUOTE Originally Posted by madshooter:

Duel #1
McMurray over Harvick +115 1 unit

Johnson over martin -115 & +105 2 units

Mcmurray to win @ +1250 & +1400 .10 unit
Gordon to win @ +850 & +600 .15 unit
Burton to win @ +1400 .05 unit

Duel #2
Kahne over Truex -130 1 unit

Logano over Keselowski +105 .50 unit

vickers over Reutti -130 .50 unit

Stewart to win @ +300 .20 unit
Kahne to win @+1000 .05 unit
Kurt Busch to win @ +1000 .05 unit

will see how race 1 goes, may add something for race 2, 1 more matchup i kinda like, GL today




Was pretty much dead on the 2nd race, little off on the 1st. Hit 3 of 5 matchups and 1 race winner. Up +1.85 units on the day.

Total thus far +4.48 units

[madshooter]

Ind, cheesest, tex


locked in for tonights truck race Sadler to win @ +850

[madshooter]

nationwide
Harvick over jr -115 .50 unit

Harvick over Kyle +115 .50 unit

Vickers over Logano +115 .50 unit



Harvick to win @ +600 .12 unit

Field to win @+800 .08 unit

Terrible matchups out there today, going small on a few plays. Like harvick here, so hoping to see him win, field bet is always a good bet at a plate track where anything can happen. The 2 guys who have run the best here are Harvick and Stewart, Gl today

[madshooter]

just added

Daniaca finishes over 20 1/2 spot -120 .50 unit

[madshooter]

QUOTE Originally Posted by madshooter:

nationwide
Harvick over jr -115 .50 unit

Harvick over Kyle +115 .50 unit

Vickers over Logano +115 .50 unit

Daniaca finishes over 20 1/2 spot -120 .50 unit


Harvick to win @ +600 .12 unit

Field to win @+800 .08 unit


Terrible matchups out there today, going small on a few plays. Like harvick here, so hoping to see him win, field bet is always a good bet at a plate track where anything can happen. The 2 guys who have run the best here are Harvick and Stewart, Gl today




good start to the day, hit 3 of 3 on matchups and the 1 prop bet also, missed on the to win with Harvick finishing 3rd. Up 1.95 units on the race.

Total thus far +6.43 units

[Cheesesteak]

nicelly dont shooter..whats your thoughts for tomorrow?? Certainly one of the tougher races to really cap so wont be going overboard on research this week

[madshooter]

Originally Posted by Cheesesteak

nicelly dont shooter..whats your thoughts for tomorrow?? Certainly one of the tougher races to really cap so wont be going overboard on research this week

still looking over everything, i do like Kurt Busch tomm. have already played him , Stewart and Kahne for the win.....also have Mcmurray and 1 or 2 very long shots from early in the week. Still waiting on lines from dimes, have looked over the greek lines a little bit, hope to have everything pretty much done tonight or tomm. morning.

[madshooter]

Trucks

Almirola over Horny +125 .33 units

Almirola over Sauter +100 .33 units

Starr over Setzer -130 .33 units


Sadler to win @ +850 .12 units

Bodine to win @ +900 .08 unit (this is to close out a parlay, hence why the odds are so high)

think Todd pulls out another V tonight, he is bringing the same piece , same setup, and has loved the truck in the practices they have had. Really like Almirola tonight also, may add 1 more play, waiting to see if the line moves in my favor or not. Going small tonight, got to get the plays ready for tomm. Gl

[stltk]

good luck on your plays in the truck race. liek sadler and bodine

[madshooter]

QUOTE Originally Posted by madshooter:

Trucks

Almirola over Horny +125 .33 units

Almirola over Sauter +100 .33 units

Starr over Setzer -130 .33 units


Sadler to win @ +850 .12 units

Bodine to win @ +900 .08 unit (this is to close out a parlay, hence why the odds are so high)


think Todd pulls out another V tonight, he is bringing the same piece , same setup, and has loved the truck in the practices they have had. Really like Almirola tonight also, may add 1 more play, waiting to see if the line moves in my favor or not. Going small tonight, got to get the plays ready for tomm. Gl




wow, just missed having a very nice day, Todd just missed coming in there, if White doesn't go high, peters would have stayed with him, at least according to peters.. hit 2 of 3 matchups to end the day @ +.11 units to the good.

total thus far +6.54 units

[madshooter]

thanks stltk, just missed it with bodine

[JumpOnBoard]

tough break comin outta three....two races and two clusterfucks..

Makes me wanna sit out the 500 cause this is impossible with this many wrecks...

[madshooter]

Originally Posted by JumpOnBoard

tough break comin outta three....two races and two clusterfucks..

Makes me wanna sit out the 500 cause this is impossible with this many wrecks...

think we see some nice matchups to win some coin for tomm.

[madshooter]

Race Day

Biff over Truex -120 1 unit

Burton over Kenseth +150 1 unit

McMurray over Logano -115 1 unit

Kurt Busch over Johnson @ +115 1 unit

Kurt Busch over Hamlin @ -105 1 unit


Stewart top 3 @ +215 .15 unit

Kurt Busch top 3 @ +450 .15 unit

Kahne top 3 @ +585 .15 unit


Kurt Busch top 5 @ +200 .15 unit

Kahne top 5 @ +200 .12 unit

McMurray top 5 @ +410 .12 unit


Stewart to win @ +750 .20 units

Kurt Busch to win @ +1800 .12 unit

Kahne to win @+2200 .12 unit

McMurray to win @ +2500 & +3400 .10 units

Bowyer to win @ +2800 & +4000 .07 unit

Burton to win @ +3600 .05 unit

Sadler to win @+6600 & +11000 .03 unit


Prop
Hendricks wins the 500 @ +250 .10 unit (why not, since I am pretty much fading them today)


finally , the 1st big race of the year, although we get to the real racing next week in Cali.....really have had a good feeling about Kurt today, don't know why, considering how I faded him earlier in speedweeks, but i see him running well today and contending for the win....Everyone is on Smoke, will this be the time for his 1st 500 win, should be a great race as all of speedweeks has been awesome so far. GL today,

[stltk]

gl mad
like the mcmurray and kurt over hamlin match ups
hard to bet against johnson on your kurt and johnson match up

[madshooter]

gl today stltk, hope we see a great race

[madshooter]

QUOTE Originally Posted by madshooter:

Race Day
Biff over Truex -120 1 unit
Burton over Kenseth +150 1 unit
McMurray over Logano -115 1 unit
Kurt Busch over Johnson @ +115 1 unit
Kurt Busch over Hamlin @ -105 1 unit

Stewart top 3 @ +215 .15 unit
Kurt Busch top 3 @ +450 .15 unit
Kahne top 3 @ +585 .15 unit

Kurt Busch top 5 @ +200 .15 unit
Kahne top 5 @ +200 .12 unit
McMurray top 5 @ +410 .12 unit

Stewart to win @ +750 .20 units
Kurt Busch to win @ +1800 .12 unit
Kahne to win @+2200 .12 unit
McMurray to win @ +2500 & +3400 .10 units
Bowyer to win @ +2800 & +4000 .07 unit
Burton to win @ +3600 .05 unit
Sadler to win @+6600 & +11000 .03 unit

Prop
Hendricks wins the 500 @ +250 .10 unit (why not, since I am pretty much fading them today)

finally , the 1st big race of the year, although we get to the real racing next week in Cali.....really have had a good feeling about Kurt today, don't know why, considering how I faded him earlier in speedweeks, but i see him running well today and contending for the win....Everyone is on Smoke, will this be the time for his 1st 500 win, should be a great race as all of speedweeks has been awesome so far. GL today,




hell yah, nice job jamie, had him as soon as the lines came out, for once it works out well... Hit 3 of 5 matchups, 0-3 on top 3's, 1 -3 on top 5's and the big one being the race winner. Up +6.14 units on the day.

Total for Daytona Speedweeks 2010 +10.68 Units

[Dwight Schrute]

Nice work shooter

[madshooter]

thanks dwight, nice start to the year for sure

[stltk]

great work mad
much better then i faired
on to cali

[JimmyHoffa]

Nice work; I caught it early and later when it went up as well. Jamie is becoming quite the superspeedway specialist. I doubt we will catch him this low again. 33-1 made my weekend on the books and as a McMurray fan.

[Fondybadger]

Congrats on the race weekend, very nice way to start...

[madshooter]

Stltk , thanks , cali up next

Jimmy, thanks , i really think we still see some nice odds on Jamie, he was 40-1 for his dega win, the books really didn't make too much of an adjustment this time around... It is his 3rd Plate win in the last few years also. I see a line of around 20-1 at least when they hit dega in april on Jamie, especially if he struggles here the next few weeks.

Fondy, thanks buddy, hope to keep em coming all year