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World Cup picks

RetroVK

The Fun Police
#7
Sport is a little too easy to handicap to be interesting....

Belgium -280 1-0 plus 1.0
South Korea +475 1-1 0.0
South Korea/Mexico over 2 -120 2-1 1.0
Germany -175 2 units 3-1 3.0
Belgium/Tunisia over 2.5 -105 4-1 4.0
Germany/Sweden over 2.5 -110 (Half unit) 5-1 4.5
 

RetroVK

The Fun Police
#15
5-1-0 +4.5

Japan/Senegal DRAW +220 6-1 6.70
Poland/Colombia DRAW +240 6-2 5.70

I was just hoping for a split when the day started. I'll take it. Poland just not competitive. Had some bad Baklava or something.
 

RetroVK

The Fun Police
#37
I think they are the better defensive side and I think I am getting value, considerable value, compared to a couple weeks ago. Croats can be had.

Given my liking them is defensive based, the to advance is appealing too but this jumped off the board at me (no idea what I am doing caveat).
 

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
#45
i like what i've seen from ENG, but this draw makes it really tough to see them catching any portion of a goal until they meet ESP so i'm probably not going to be able to back them
 

RetroVK

The Fun Police
#46
Soccer is a funny sport. Better side did not advance in either game. I had some pretty questionable bets that cashed and a good bet today that didn't. I guess that is just the nature of such a low scoring sport
 

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
#47
was rooting for ya, sorry it didn't come through, but I am curious about your "the nuts" statement in the in-game. Since I back underdogs overwhelmingly with only a rare favorite here and there, I would normally agree that your side was the one I would have wanted, but I'm not sure I agree with you when there's a three-way line.

With the 1' goal, agreed you had the best option with a 1-0 DEN lead, but as soon as CRO equalized three minutes later I would think that draw would actually be the nuts. I also think that draw starts as the best option until a goal is scored, then it becomes next best option in the three-way besides the team leading.

I don't mean to resurface any bad feelings because you were very close to having a large dog come through and i'm sure it stings, but since DEN closed +0.5 I think you could have gotten draw = no bet at nearly 2/1.

This is mainly in response to the i don't know what i'm doing caveat, so would you stick with the DEN ML next time because of the additional 2x price?
 

RetroVK

The Fun Police
#48
When I said it was the nuts, I expected Croatia to win. I meant the nuts in value. Maybe draw was better (maybe from the get go).

I liked my value better, I think. Tough to say in retrospect when I know what happened. I also liked it to be defensive and thought my main concern was the final touch ability of the Danes ...which is an argument against the 3 way line for that bet. But really ...I had a 400 dog who outplayed the fave in the 2h of a 1 to 1 game. I cannot beat myself up too much on that one. Though, I am a novice at soccer betting so maybe I screwed the pooch not doing the goal line or the to advance.

Shrug. Not sure is my answer. Just happy I made a good bet and sad I am poorer for it but smart enough to know I have caught more luck than not this WC. Meaning, I don't deserve current good results.
 
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