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Week 0-1 ML Dogs

ProV1Colt

CTG Moderator
Staff member
It’s that time again!!!!

Let’s get this thread started and get ready for the ML Dog Contest.

If you’re new to the site. Each week we discuss potential upsets and hopefully find a few winners here and there.

Share your thoughts on teams that you think have a shot at hitting the ML as an Underdog.

Let’s get this the discussion going for Week 0-1
 

M.W.

Well-Known Member
Am I crazy to think Rice has a shot? Army has Michigan on deck, and -- as bad as Rice is -- the one thing that Rice does worst (stop the pass) is the one thing that Army can't take advantage of. Also, that DC who left for UNC was really good and will be missed.
 

JROCK1966

Well-Known Member
Am I crazy to think Rice has a shot? Army has Michigan on deck, and -- as bad as Rice is -- the one thing that Rice does worst (stop the pass) is the one thing that Army can't take advantage of. Also, that DC who left for UNC was really good and will be missed.
I just can't see Rice slowing down Army's offense....I like Army's chances the following week at Michigan.
 

ProV1Colt

CTG Moderator
Staff member
A few that catch my eye but I need to and will dig a little deeper into......

Boise St Vs FSU
NW Vs Stanford
Toledo Vs KentLucky
BYU Vs Utah
SMU Vs Ark St
FIU Vs Tulane
Ole Piss Vs MemFhis

These are Just at a quick glance......
 

M.W.

Well-Known Member
Dunno, two bad teams. but U M has new coach and will miss Isabella, their great receiver who made everything happen for them offensively last two years.
Good points, and Rutgers doesn't get many chances to take out their frustration on someone like this.
 

bull

Coattailing Cheerleader
UK and NW are on my list of possibilities as well. I'll have to look at SMU as well.
UK is favored , mr. clemson. .you mean Toledo, I’m guessing
Im considering NW and SMU as well
 
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gps_3

Well-Known Member
Thanks for getting this thread back going, a must read every week. I still haven't gone through the lines much, but after a quick glance, these caught my eye:

Utah St
BYU
Boise St
Northwestern
Pitt
Oregon

On a similar note, has the ACC (sans Clemson) become like the MAC where you can blindly bet the underdogs and turn a profit? I don't see a whole lot to distinguish from 2-14 at this point
 

bull

Coattailing Cheerleader
Fresno
Ole Miss
I’m liking Fresno but will likely take the points, Street and Smith tells me they are having to replace a star QB. I don’t know any different, but QB, Coach, and OL are the first on my look at list in opening games. Do you have any input on their QB ?
 

M.W.

Well-Known Member
I’m liking Fresno but will likely take the points, Street and Smith tells me they are having to replace a star QB. I don’t know any different, but QB, Coach, and OL are the first on my look at list in opening games. Do you have any input on their QB ?
Their fans like him. I'm looking at the ML because this seems like a game with great variability -- lots of unknowns, including the QB.
 

s--k

Well-Known Member
Look who’s back!
Enjoy your time off?
Super busy, not even remotely ready for the season.

Oregon St run D is the obvious biggest cause for concern. Unknown of how good Ok St is at QB. Will Ok St continue to disappoint as a favorite? No doubt Gundy & Co aren't happy how've they played last year and will want to atone.

I like the spot for Ore St, just have to hope they've addressed some of their issues on D. Beaver O I would think can do their part.
 

Two Utes

Well-Known Member
BYU/Utah usually comes down to the final minutes. Last year was the definition of a trap game with UW on deck on a short week. BYU was a meaningless game other than bragging rights and they were playing with backups at the two most important positions.

Utah is getting little respect locally and probably too much respect nationally. With Huntley and Moss back for this game I expect a Utah 10 point win.
 

s--k

Well-Known Member
I have another long shot I might throw a little on....not for those with weak stomachs....ECU.

New boss in Greenville as JMU HC Mike Houston. Just 3 years ago ECU beat NC State at home as a 6 pt dog. That ECU team finished the year losing 9 of their final 10, so history has shown that a bad ECU team can beat an instate P5 team when conditions are right. HC Houston's James Madison teams played NCSt week 1 2018 and was only outgained by 27 yards in a 13-24 defeat. It appears that JMU turned it over once in the RZ and kicked two extremely short FGs. Of course, it must be noted that NC St whipped the Pirates 58-3 last year, ah-hem. Well, this is a new year. NC St loses a 3 year starter at QB, top 2 WR, 2 of top 3 RBs and 3 AA or All-ACC OL. So this O might not be a well polished machine out the gates. NC St D on the other hand, is pretty well stocked, so not much of an angle on that side of the ball. ECU returns 2 QBs that got experience last year, assuming Ahlers is the starter he should be much improved in his second season. A couple of RBs return, 4 of top 6 receivers and 4 of 5 OL who are upperclassmen. ECU D does lose their best player (DE Harvey), but the front 7 doesn't look all that bad although the secondary is weak, but again, it isn't facing an experienced QB or proven WRs to exploit it either so it isn't quite the same liability faced last season vs a good O.

Might be interesting game for a new staff to prove something on. The fact ECU's very last opponent was NC St and they got their asses kicked and get to play them again first game this year can have a motivating effect for ECU players while it could lead to a little complacency with the NC St players since, after all, they just beat this team by 55 to close last season.

It might be noteworthy that ECU's RSW total has gone from 3.5 -170 to 4 -150 to 4.5 -190. That means absolutely nothing to their prospects of winning outright week 1, but it does speak to a general optimism that this program is poised for an uptick.
 

bull

Coattailing Cheerleader
I had noticed that mr. s. k. . Very interested in how that game turns out. I certainly don’t expect 58-3 this year.
 

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