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UFC on ESPN 11 ~ UFC APEX

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
First play...of many​
1902 Frank Camacho* -280 vs Justin Jaynes
3.5/1.25
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Damn Frank got spanked, UFC dogs on short notice (<10 days) were 6-33 going into this..now 7-33 :mad:


[0-1 -3.5]​
1802 Gillian Robertson -115 vs Cortney Casey
2.3/2

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I’m in....Looking to tail, she’s hot and the same name as my ex and she was nuts.....Let’s do it. Just got smoked on Rahskopf
 
[1-1 -1.5]​
  • 1701 Oskar Piechota +115 vs Marc-Andre Barriault
    4/4.6
  • 1729 Piechota wins by TKO/KO +410 vs Any other result
    .7/2.87
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Barriault gets tagged hard on the feet all the time, his TDD is crap, his head movement is near non-existent, he offers no subm threat, and he doesn't even seem to have one shot power (his TKOs before the UFC came from volume, because guys just stood there letting him tee off on them - Including letting him land clinch knees). He's also eaten A LOT of heavy shots on the regional scene alone, so you have to wonder how much is actually left of his chin. By contrast, Piechota has legit one shot power (he dropped Meerschaert when he was already proper fucked in the second round), he has a slippery ground game where if he loses position he's able to slide into a new dominant one, and you can see him get into strong positions in most of his fights. Honestly it feels like recency bias - Piechota was fighting scared against one of the best BJJ guys ever (Rodolfo Vieira), he got one shotted by a younger, faster Islander, and prior to that got choked out at the end of a back and forth war that he spent 1.5 rounds dominating (against a comeback specialist who does this pretty much every fight). Honestly I can't see where Barriault is better, or even a threat in any way?
 
[1-1 -1.5]​
  • 1701 Oskar Piechota +115 vs Marc-Andre Barriault
    4/4.6
  • 1729 Piechota wins by TKO/KO +410 vs Any other result
    .7/2.87
IDXu9OU.jpg


Barriault gets tagged hard on the feet all the time, his TDD is crap, his head movement is near non-existent, he offers no subm threat, and he doesn't even seem to have one shot power (his TKOs before the UFC came from volume, because guys just stood there letting him tee off on them - Including letting him land clinch knees). He's also eaten A LOT of heavy shots on the regional scene alone, so you have to wonder how much is actually left of his chin. By contrast, Piechota has legit one shot power (he dropped Meerschaert when he was already proper fucked in the second round), he has a slippery ground game where if he loses position he's able to slide into a new dominant one, and you can see him get into strong positions in most of his fights. Honestly it feels like recency bias - Piechota was fighting scared against one of the best BJJ guys ever (Rodolfo Vieira), he got one shotted by a younger, faster Islander, and prior to that got choked out at the end of a back and forth war that he spent 1.5 rounds dominating (against a comeback specialist who does this pretty much every fight). Honestly I can't see where Barriault is better, or even a threat in any way?

Sold me. In
 
Definitely not what I was expecting out of Piechota :enragedsmile:

[1-3 -6.2]
Tecia Torres VS Brianna Van Buren
Buren -214
7.28/3.4


Tecia may set a record here, first UFC fighter ever to lose 5 straight :shocked:

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Getting ugly fast and hard to come back strong when you like the favs
[1-4 -13.48]
next two...
  • 1502 Bobby Green -245 vs Clay Guida
    4.41/1.8
  • 1509 Green wins inside distance +190 vs Not Green inside distance
    1/1.9
  • 1402 Roosevelt Roberts -220 vs Jim Miller
    4.4/2
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[2-6 -17.08]
  • 1301 Lyman Good +100 vs Belal Muhammad
    5/5
  • 1301 Lyman Good/Belal Muhammad Over 2½ -172
    2.58
    /1.50
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Good +100... Another underdog bet for me. I love how Good matches up here, Belal is an exciting fighter but that’s also because he takes a lot of damage. This is the wrong guy for that as Good is a really good boxer and is a juicy beast. Ufc has high hopes for him, I believe he was even the favorite coming into that Maia fight, so the hype was there. This can be another KO, and as long as Good’s TDD holds up, he will win even by decision imo.
 
That was a shit decision imho :doh:

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[3-7 -20.58]

Marion Reneau VS Raquel Pennington
Pennington -210
9.45/4.5





Can you believe Marion Renneau is 42 years old? The # of fighters that win UFC fights after their 40th birthday is super low. Numbers and trends don't lie, so I am going to ride them here all the way to the bank. Another thing: Renneau was never an elite fighter for this division...not even in her prime. Pennington's peak was way better than Renneau's peak. Now we have an 11 years age difference between them, and Renneau in the twilight of her career? This is a no-brainer, in my opinion. Pennington is simply not allowed to lose this fight if she wants to remain relevant.
 
Rest of my cards. best of luck gents :cheers3:

[4-7 -16.08]

1009 Blaydes wins inside distance -240 vs Not Blaydes inside distance
3.6/1.5
1002 Curtis Blaydes -375 vs Alexander Volkov
15.75/4.2
1101 Josh Emmett +167 vs Shane Burgos
5.8/9.69

ltESeTD.jpg
 
Rest of my cards. best of luck gents :cheers3:

[4-7 -16.08]

1009 Blaydes wins inside distance -240 vs Not Blaydes inside distance
3.6/1.5
1002 Curtis Blaydes -375 vs Alexander Volkov
15.75/4.2
1101 Josh Emmett +167 vs Shane Burgos
5.8/9.69

ltESeTD.jpg
My goodness, her.
 
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