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Tuesday Props Article

VirginiaCavs

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Take Advantage of Player and Manager Mistakes With Tuesday’s Prop Betting


Tuesday’s soccer betting slate features one team, Switzerland, dealing with key suspensions, and another, England, suffering from a manager who isn’t very bright. Sweden and Colombia promise to take advantage.


Tuesday World Cup Props



Sweden - Switzerland (10 a.m. ET)


With both teams in possession of exciting goal scorers, the key difference will be which defense more effectively limits the opposing attack. Switzerland defenders Fabian Schär and team captain Stephan Lichtsteiner will be suspended from this match due to having accumulated too many yellow cards. The absence of both means a significant loss of leadership and experience. Schär was strong in tackling and executing clearances while Lichsteiner, the future Arsenal man, is known for his passes and his vocal intensity. The full-back is featured in Switzerland’s style of attack, so Lichtsteiner will be missed in the offensive buld-up. Inevitably, the Swiss manager will miss chemistry by having to replace half of his defense.

Even with Schär and Lichtsteiner, the Swiss proved vulnerable against the aerial attack—with Serbia’s Aleksandar Mitrovic executing a header for their only goal against Switzerland— and against the counter and defense of crosses from the space outside the box, which Costa Rica took advantage of after doing nothing offensively in its first two games. So I expect Sweden to score with the proficiency in the counter that it showed against Germany. Swedish Midfielder Emil Forsberg is an explosive playmaker who is hard to contain. Striker Marcus Berg is known for his header ability in addition to his distance shooting and dribbling in key areas. He led Sweden in qualifiers with eight goals in 11 matches. You can bet on him to score at +260.

Switzerland’s top playmaker is Xherdan Shaqiri. He’s an emotional player who thrives in big moments. This intensity was evident when he competed against his personal rival Serbia. He has one goal and an assist so far and you can bet on him to score at +240. You can bet on both teams to score at +120.

So far in the knockout stage, teams have been coming out of their shell, if they have not done so already, and favoring a more open and high-tempo style of play. Both teams have proven to be willing participants of high-scoring affairs. Sweden evidently grew from its traumatizing experience against Germany, achieving the control over its final game against Mexico that it lacked against the more aggressive Germans. Possession should be pretty evenly distributed, with both teams seeing a lot of chances. You can bet on the team with the stronger defense, Sweden, to come out on top, and over 2.5 goals at +550. You can bet on Sweden to exploit an undermanned Swiss defense and score over 1.5 goals at +250.





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England - Colombia (2 p.m. ET)


On paper, English manager Gareth Southgate’s decision to rest his players against Belgium was an intelligent decision. His best players will be better-rested and should therefore perform better. But what disgusted me about England’s match against Belgium was its conservativeness and lack of urgency. It looked like a friendly match. Lack of intensity is exactly what the English needed for a physical advantage. But that extra bit of rest will only hurt England because of the mental disadvantage created by its strategy. The English won’t be sharp, they’ll be rusty, because they’ve removed all the momentum that they had built up for themselves.

Conversely, Colombia is looking more promising. They have yet to concede a goal in the World Cup with 11 men on the pitch. They lit Poland up 3-0 and shut out Senegal 1-0. In their last match, they had to play without injured star and team leader James Rodriguez. Of course, they looked lost without him because they weren’t prepared to have to play without him. If they do have to go without him, they’ll be more ready. But bettors should wait before betting Colombia until James’ injury status is announced. If he doesn’t play, Colombia will be a much sweeter underdog. If he does play, the star midfielder who has accumulated two assists so far will justify a larger wager on Colombia.

Because of Colombia’s strong defense and expected rust from England, i’m looking at ways to bet on a low-scoring affair. You can bet on Colombia and under 2.5 goals for +500, Colombia to achieve a third straight clean sheet at +240, and only Colombia to score at +450
 

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
lose-lose situation and while the 90' would have helped chemistry, i'm fine with the decisions he made
 

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