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Super Lig Weekend Picks Preview Article


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Top Super Lig Betting Picks For This Weekend

Kayserispor vs Fenerbahce

Friday, March 20, 2020 — 1 p.m. ET

While Fenerbahce has been down this season compared to the Fenerbahce of previous seasons, this is a squad that is still relatively strong at home.

Its home performances help explain why Fenerbahce has Turkey’s fourth-most dangerous offense in terms of goals scored.

It will score plenty of goals against a Kayserispor squad that has conceded a ridiculous 23 goals in its past six league away matches combined.

Kayserispor is worth fading as it has lost five of its last six league away matches. Each loss came by multiple goals and three of those losses came by four goals.

Overall, Kayserispor has the worst defense in Turkish top-flight football, having allowed at least 12 goals more than any other Super Lig squad.

Both teams are suffering some injuries.

Fenerbahce is missing players that it would gladly have in attack. In turn, Kayserispor is missing defenders like right-back Miguel Lopes who is a regular piece of the starting lineup.

Compared to Kayserispor, Fenerbahce has more depth with which to make up for its injuries.

One key player in attack, for Fenerbahce, will be Vedat Muriqi.

Muriqi is a player whose name has been linked with bigger European clubs.

Tottenham, for example, has expressed interest in him.

While Muriqi remains at Fenerbahce, he continues to construct a strong resume for himself.

He has produced 13 goals in 25 matches.

Best Bet: Fenerbahce -1.5, -2 (+112) with BetOnline

Antalyaspor vs Besiktas

Saturday, March 21, 2020 at 1 p.m. ET

Soccer oddsmakers have Besiktas favored so heavily that you’ll want to take either side with a handicap.

My side, for this match, is Antalyaspor +1, +1.5, available at BetOnline.

Antalyaspor is undefeated in its last four league matches on the road.

Conversely, Besiktas does not enjoy much of an advantage at home where it has won consecutive matches only once this season, back in November.

What has let Besiktas down, above all, is its defense. Besiktas has conceded at least one goal in each of its past six league matches at home.

Besiktas supporters would want to counter that Antalyaspor does not possess the most potent attack.

But, in a bevy of examples, the opposing quality of attack has not mattered.

For example, in its last home match, Besiktas allowed a goal to Ankaragucu, which has scored the second-fewest goals in the Super Lig, six fewer than Antalyaspor.

This is absolutely not to say that Antalyaspor is weak in attack.

During its four-match undefeated Super Lig road streak, Antalyaspor has produced at least one goal in every match, scoring a total of eight goals in those four matches.

Part of why Antalyaspor has been so consistent in attack is that it does not rely too heavily on one player to score.

One player who is making a difference is former German Star Lukas Podolski.

Podolski joined Antalyaspor towards the end of January and he is a factor that oddsmakers are still not fully accounting for.

He’s scored two goals in six league appearances so far.

Best Bet: Antalyaspor +1, +1.5 (-123) with BetOnline

Alanyaspor vs Basaksehir

Sunday, March 22, 2020 — noonET

Basaksehir enjoys a strong spot as it currently boasts a a five-match win streak in Super Lig matches at home.

This team scored at least three goals in four of those five matches, winning each of those four by two, three, or four goals.

On the other side, Alanyaspor has conceded at least one goal in each of its last five league road matches, failing to win each of its last three.

It will be tough for Alanyaspor to end its poor defensive streak against Basaksehir’s varied attack.

In the attack, Demba Ba has been a consistent force for Basaksehir.

No matter the venue, he is a consistent scoring threat for his club. He’s scored a combined total of nine goals in his squad’s last 10 Super Lig matches.

Still, Basaksehir enjoys other reliable guys in attack like Enzo Crevelli, who scored in his last appearance for the club, and Edin Visca, who enjoys similarly strong overall goal-scoring numbers and strong form.

Whereas guys like Demba Ba and Crevelli enjoy nice size, Visca and Eljero Elia vary Basaksehir’s attack with very good pace. Thus, Basaksehir never needs to rely too much on its aerial attack.

Best Bet: Basaksehir ML (-117) with 5Dimes