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STEVE'S TEAM TOTALS/FUTURES AND WEEKLY PICKS

Steve0603

Well-Known Member
TEAM TOTALS:

Quarterback is a key position so usually I like to fade the worst in the divison

BEARS UNDER 7 +102 Worst qb in a strong QB division.. I have them favored in only 2-3 games. Why all the love?

CLEVELAND UNDER 6-128 I have them only favored in 1 game. The Jets . This team lost every game last yr and won only 1 in 2016 and now they are supposed to win 7? Not likely.

KANSAS CITY OVER 8 -135 Since Andy Reid has been in KC they have won at least 8 games every yr . Exceeding that total the last 4. Regular season 9,11,11,10. Worth a shot

CHARGERS UNDER 9.5 +100. The Chargers seems like a team on the rise but I think they come back to earth . They are among the most traveled teams in the league and in fact go 5 weeks without a real home game.. I think that takes it's toll

NEW ENGLAND OVER 10.5 -159 I make this bet every year and I am rarely disappointed. If Brady is healthy it is a no brainer. The rest of the division stinks You have Ryan Tannehill and 2 rookie QBS. Nondivision schedule is tough but I expect the Pats to be favored in every game.

NY GIANTS UNDER 7.5 -120 Eli is old an shell shocked. They wasted a lot of money on Beckham. He's immature and then they cut Davis Webb, the heir apparent to Eli and one of Beckhams best friends on the team. Very strange as the backup QBs are 2 undrafted and untested free agents

PITTSBURGH OVER 10-123 The Steelers will be favorites in probably every game but 3 NE, JAX and NO. A week division with or without Bell hard to see them tosing the 7 games you would need to lose this bet.

TENNESSEE UNDER 8 -115 Their division seems better this yr Especially if Luck and Watson are healthy, which will mean the QB will be outmatched most games. They also changed coaches despite finally making the playoffs very odd. Look for a regression.

2 QB PROPS I LOVE $200 EA

BRADY OVER 32.5 TD PASSES -130 Last year he had 40

WILSON OVER 25.5 TD PASSES Last yr he had 34 and this yr he figures to me trailing more often

Of course with over props you always have to be concerned with injuries

Good Luck Feel free to discuss and share your opinions

Very late here so checking out.I . post more future games tomorrow
 
Interesting thoughts thanks for sharing.

You think missing Edelman for a bit hurts Brady‘s touchdown total? How many fake pass interference calls will the refs have to make to help Brady get more touchdowns (sorry im a Jags fan couldn‘t resist)

Big fan of Cleveland under myself. You didn‘t even mention that their sos is much harder this year.

Bears got some nice receivers and defensive additions. You don‘t think that helps? But yea four games vs Pack and Vikes ouch

Same with Tennessee. Secondary looks massively retooled. Colts o-line and D still garbage I think Texans should be tougher but they seem to have Jax‘s number. I think this is boom or bust year for Mariota I wonder what he does. He‘s got some receivers around him it‘s no excuse for him now
 
Chargers go all season without a true home game so don’t really think it matters where they play., I could be wrong, they could certainly fall short, just don’t think they will feel homesick the weeks they away from that soccer stadium.. gl
 
You think steelers will be favs at baltimore? I’ll be loving the home dog there if so.
 
Thanks everyone. Will be replying and adding shortly. As for Pitt being favored@ Balt .Right now one of my future bets is Pitt-1 @ that game. I think that is a no brainer. If Big Ben is healthy I expect Pitt to be 6-1 or at worse 5-2 going into that game off a bye.They will probably be favored in every one of those 7 games. Given their difficult opening schedule I doubt the Ravens will even be 4-4. More like 3-5 or even 2-6 if they lose to Cincy next week like I expect. They will probably only be favored in 3 of those games and they come in off back to back games vs New Orleans and at Carolina. A division that they have never had much success against.
Even if you like the Ravens, grab Pitt now because that line will only go up. Of course when you bet futures you are always susceptible to injuries. Good luck whatever you decide.
ps I already prebet the Ravens +6.5 in their road game at Pittsburgh on sept 30th
 
"Bears got some nice receivers and defensive additions. You don‘t think that helps? But yea four games vs Pack and Vikes ouch"

They are also the Lions turkey Day opponent and I think they QB was a big reach last year. Like Allen for Buffalo this year
 
FUTURE GAMES All available at 5 Dimes sportsbook $100EA UNLESS NOTED

9/16
CINCY -1/BALT
GBAY -2.5/MINNY $200
SEAHAGS PK/BEARS

9/23
ARIZONA -1/BEARS

9/30
BALT +6.5/PITT

10/7
BALT -2.5/CLEVE
TENN -2.5/BUFFALO

10/14 PASS

10/18 THURSDAY
DEN-1/ARIZONA

10/21
RAMS PK/49ERS

10/28
CAROLINA -2.5/BALT $200
CINCY -1.5/TBAY
GBAY +3.5/RAMS $200
NE -7/BUFF MONDAY

11/4 PASS

11/8 THURSDAY
CAROLINA +6.5 /PITT

11/11
SEATTLE +6.5/RAMS

11/18
NYG-3/TBAY

11/22 THANKSGIVING
DETROIT-5 /CHICAGO

11/25
CAR-3/SEATTLE
HOUSTON -3.5/TENN

12/2
CAROLINA +2/TBAY
MIAMI-3 /BUFFALO $200

12/9
CINCY +7.5/LA CHARGERS
KC-2.5/BALT
RAMS -3/CHI

12/13 THURSDAY
KC-2.5/LA CHARGERS $200

12/16 $200EA
GBAY -3/BEARS
DEN-5.5/CLEVE

12/23
SF-6/BEARS

GOOD LUCK. EXPECT MANY OF THESE TO BE DIFFERENT BY GAME TIME WHEN THE CONTENDERS AND PRETENDERS ARE SEPERATED.ESP LATER IN THE YR
 
Completely agree w/ you here. I think the Titans are still figuring things out w/ Vrabel

Titans should win here. They were pretty vanilla in preseason. Look for them to lean heavily on Henry and Lewis while Mariota gets comfortable in the new offense. On D, LB is still a question mark, as to whether Evans can be that guy right out the gate, but if they can get any pass rush, that secondary is legit.
 
THANKS GUYS

usually I just play totals in week 1 along with a ML parlay and maybe a teaser. It's hard to tell the effective of gaining and losing free agents when the teams are so vanilla during the Exhibition season, but some games have just stood out for me

$100 ea

TONIGHT:

PHILLY ML -112 Just way too much money on the Atlanta. The books don't want to lose big opening night. a lot pof sharp players that bet this game down under the key # 3 are going to look for a middle. Interesting fact... prior to last yr the home team had won 14 straight Thursday night openers. Eagle D is tough at home.
PHILLY BY 6

PITT -4 If they need Bell to beat Cleveland they have bigger problems than thy thought
PITT BY 7

BALT -7 Given their QB situation, Buffalo may surplant Cleveland as the worst team in the league. He'll Baltimore's backup QBs are both better than Cleveland's starters
RAVENS BY 14

ARIZONA PK..Just a hunch .Grudens team do not do well with extra time. Zona doesn't realize how bad they are yet
ARIZONA BY 3

TOTALS: $200 EA

PITT/CLEVE UNDER 44
NYG/JAX UNDER 44
TBAY/SAINTS OVER 49
TENN/MIA UNDER 45

$100:
KC/CHARGERS OVER 48

5 TEAM ML PARLAY: $50 TO WIN $158 DON'T TRUST PITT
PITT -210
BALT -330
NO-450
GBAY -335
DET-275

When the first 4 win , you can take the Jets +7 and go for the middle
 
thanks B.A.R.

got an ASS SCREWING on the total in the Tenn/Miami game ..2 4th q Kickoffs returned for TDS and I lose by 2 points as ten kicks a field goal with 11 seconds left

9-4 +$763

Going to reinvest some of the winnings

$100:

JETS +7 -110

9/16 $100ea unless noted

BETS BEFORE SEASON STARTED..Now you can Seattle +3if intesrested
CINCY -1/BALT
GBAY -2.5/MINNY $200
SEAHAGS PK/BEARS
 
10-4 +863

$100:
JETS -3 +100

Not so much a reaction to last night as the fact that the Jets have really owned Miami lately even when the dolphins had the better team . Now that is not the case
 
SO FAR 10-4 +$863

$200:
GBAY -2.5
$100 :
CINCY -1
SEATTLE PK

ADDING:$200ea:
HOUSTON -1-125 Much better QB and much better team

KC/PITT UNDER 53.5 These 2 usually play to the under

PHILLY/TBAY OVER 44 TBAY offense has a lot of fire power and Philly D is usually not as strong on road as at home. In addition, the Bucs top 2 corners are out and you saw how easy Brees moved the team against the 2 rookie backups

$100 ea:
BUFFALO +7.5 should the Chargers be a 7 + point fav on the road? Buffalo will be the worst team in the league this yr, but if they have any pride they will make an effort this week. Also this is effectively a 10am start for the Chargers and Buffalo has a very strange turf that grass teams have problems with. Hopefully a field goal game.

JETS -2.5
JETS/MIAMI OVER 43This is not a reaction to Monday night. The Jets have owned Miami recently and those were much better Dolphin teams. I had this at 48 points

RAMS/ZONA UNDER 45.5 Both defenses did ok. I have this at 42

NENGLAND PK -117 will always take Brady at 3 or less

DENVER/OAKLAND UNDER 45.5 Denver d looks formidable with Miller and Chubb. I think Chucky tries to slow things down
 
Last weeks disaster 4-8 -$747.GBAY cost me $420 of it

ytd 14-12 +$116

LARGE CARD TODAY.Probably better sticking to totals

$100 ea..ALL @ 5 DIMES

SIDES
9/23
ARIZONA -1/BEARS, bet this at beginning of the yr.hard to believe this line has jumped a full TD. Arizona offense has been non existent but has the Bears been so good?
ARIZONA +6 -108

CAROLINA -2.5-115 2 weeks ago this line was 6 now its moved 3.5 pts? Who did Cincy beat? This is a step up in class for the Bengals and Carolina is a tough place to play

BALT -6 -105 Ravens had extra time and denvers first road game

SAN FRAN +5 +113 Sold a point..Under Andy Reid , the Chiefs have been terrible home favs. 2 weeks ago everyone loved Garoppolo and this line was 3. I think this ends on a FG

CHARGERS +7 PK 2weeks ago this was also +3-3.5 but because the Rams beat 2 nobodies its doubled up? Too many to give Rivers

DALLAS -1 +108 Sold 1 point..Just feel right now Dallas is the superior squad even though Seattle is super desperate

TOTALS:

JAX/TENN OVER 40. -107.Liked the under but just too many trends pointed to over

BALT/DEN OVER 45 -118..SAME AS ABOVE

GBAY/WASH O 45 -110 Packer defense has been crap and Wash games before te bye almost always go over

KC/SF UNDER 55-105 Neither team plays much defense and the over looks easy. Too easy. Chiefs play more unders at home

LA/LA O 48.5 -105 Looking for an old fashion shootout..had this at 52

CHICAGO/ARIZONA OVER 39 Call me crazy this should be a 17-13 game ..The under just looks to tempting..Its now or never for the Cards offense.
Have too much riding on this game for 2 teams that stink

SEATTLE/DALLAS UNDER 41 -105. Neither offense really clicking. dallas still trying to get an offensive flow without Whitten and Dez

5 team ML PARLAY $100 TO WIN $240

JAX -475
HOUST-250 If Dallas sacked Manning 6 times what will Watt and Clowney do? He may not finish the game. Giant OL really bad
BALT -250
MINNY -1450
NE -290

GOOD LUCK
 
9/30
BALT +6.5/PITT

NOT SURE WHY LINED MOVED A FULL 3 POINTS

$100 EA:

RAMS -7
RAMS/VIKES OVER 48.5
PITT/RAVENS UNDER 51
Will update later
 
last week 6-9 -$340
this week 1-0 +$100

ytd 21-21 -$124

ADDING $200:

OAKLAND -2.5 -125 Not sold on Mayfields play against an average Jets team that did not really blitz. Raiders need to find a way to stop blowing leads

$100 ea: Going to ML the dogs as well

TBAY +3
TBAY ML +143 Do not see how pathetic Bear offense can keep pace with Fitzmagic

DETROIT +3
DETROIT ML +132
DET/DALLAS OVER 44 Cowboys lost Whitten, Bryant and Fredricks. And now trhey lost Shawn lee for this game. Without him the defense gives up close to 10points more per game

INDY PK Luck has looked better than Watson and Luck always rebounds well off losses

PATRIOTS -6 -118 After 2 embarrassments in a row they usually come up big and they have owned the Dolphins in Foxborough

CINCY/ATLANTA O 53.Both offenses have been clicking and neither defense has done much. I have this in the 60s

NYG/SAINTS UNDER 51.5 Giants have not scored much this yr . Last time these 2 played in the Meadowlands (2016) they combined for 29.

PITT/RAVENS UNDER 50.5 Did not buy the 1/2 point . Hopefully does not come back to bite me. Neither defense great just feel like this will be a very hard fought division game

GOOD LUCK..MAY ADD A ML PARLAY TOMORROW..NOT THAT THEY EVER WIN
 
ADDING $100:

TENN/PHILLY UNDER 41.5

BUYING BACK

CHICAGO BEARS ML -140 2 MORE BUCS DBS hurting and may be limited

7 team 10 point teaser ties reduce $100 to win $310

CINCY/ATL O 42
JAX +2.5
GBAY PK
TBAY +12.5
ARIZ/SEATTLE UNDER 49.5
LACHARG -1.5
RAVENS +13

Enjoy the games
 
THANK YOU BAR..NOT BAD

THIS WEEK 11-6 ADDED $570

YTD NOW 31-27 +$346
Could have been a great week but the prevent defense prevented me from winning the under in Philly and the Ml in Detroit $453 difference but it also let me win Oakland $420 diff so pretty much a wash.

The odd play was Indy . Forget that they went for it.No problem playing to win there but Luck just threw his worst pass of the day on a 5 yd out. But it was the drop on the 11 that made Indy have to settle for 3 in Ot..Make Ot 15 minutes!

adding $100 each (going to reinvest the dividends)

DENVER +3 +105
KC/DENVER UNDER 54 -117 Bought 1/2 point
 
NO BASEBALL..On any given day any pitcher can be great or horrid. Prefer football

10/7
BALT -2.5/CLEVE
TENN -2.5/BUFFALO

very tight lines this week

adding:$100 EA

sides :

BUFFALO Will try to get a 6 at game time and shoot for a 3 or 4 point middle

KC -2.5 -120 Will ride until otherwise noted

PITT -3 2 Very desperate teams will take the home team and fade the dome team

GBAY PK .Too good to be true? Maybe but prefer Rodgers to Stafford

MIAMI +6 Line may rise.Just really seems like a FG game

OAKLAND +5.5 how can the Chargers be giving over a FG to anyone not named Buffalo or Arizona. ESp a division opponent. The Raiders have been in almost every game, at least for 3 quarters

SEATTLE +7.5 Glad to get the extra half. 2 teams going in different directions but this is a must win for Seattle otherwise they fall 3 games back and certainly one of if not the toughest places to play

totals:

PITT/ATL O 58 Neither team has shown any ability to play defense. Check the weather before game time

LAC/OAKLAND UNDER 53 Over seems popular with bettors but this division game usually trends under. look for a lot of Marshawn Lynch

RAMS/SEATTLE UNDER 50 The Seahawks will not be able to win a shootout so Carroll will try to slow the game down and milk the clock

NO/WASH OVER 52.5 Saints still have great offense and crappy defense I have this in the high 50s though Wash defense has been tough

3 team ML PARLAY: $100 to win $202

BALT -165
CAR-270
NO -270

Good Luck
 
Last edited:
JESUS MIAMI chokes away a 17 point lead. GBAY misses 5 kicks and CRABTREE drops a touchdown costing me a $722 swing.ASSHOLES!!!!!!!!!

7-7 -$60

YTD 39-35 +$286

$200 ATLANTA -3 As bad as they are TBAY defense is worse, I will look to play the Atlanta tt both first 1/2 and game , Given the lines in should be around 30-31/17

$100 EA:

THURSDAY
EAGLES -3 PK Why did the Giants resign Beckham "HAM" is right already being disruptive and throwing coaches and teammates under the bus. If he played on any of the teams I played on, he would have already gotten the shit beat out of him.

COLTS ML +120 LUCK VS DARNOLD really is there any comparison

CLEVE +1 Their last win before last week and the Jets earlier in the yr was against San Diego. They seem to have their number and the Chargers have to travel east for the early game

MIAMI +3 +100 one more shot with the dolphins . Bears have not been good coming off their bye week

PITT +2 This is a must game for the Steelers to get back into the division picture

RAMS -7 +100 Todd Gurley has to be wetting himself after seeing the Jets and their anemic attack run for over 300 yards against Denver last week. receiver concussions prevent this from being a $20 play

TOTALS:
SEATTLE /OAKLAND OVER 48.5 Did Dave Carr forget how to play or is he shell shocked? Give the people on the other side of the pond a show

BALT/TENN UNDER 41 TENN offense has been anemic yet they keep pn covering at home Ravens former Defensive coach now at Tenn. I'm sure he is sharing some secrets. may be rainy
$200
NE/KC OVER 59.5. you could have this at 70 and I would throw $100 on the over

AS ALWAYS CHEECK THE WEATHE RBEFORE PLACING YOUR WAGERS
 
$100 ea:

ATLANTA TT 30
ATLANTA TT 14.5 FOR THE FIRST 1/2

PITT +1.5 BUMPING IT UP TO A 2 U

TENN +2.5 They are strong at home

SEATTLE -3 OAKLAND LOOKS LOST

NE PATS -4 -102 I think they are sick of hearing about the Chiefs and put on a show tonight

MIAMI QB CHANGE.Too expensive to buy back

GOOD LUCK
 
As A Raider Fan, I Agree. Carr looks scared, and gets rid of the ball way too quickly. I think they can put points up today, but Seattle will just put up more. Like the Atl TT as well. GL Today Steve
 
Thank you Vap..will u follow them in vegas?

Maybe go there for a game

Chucky got a great deal.He will make a fortune on the buy out
 
Thank you Vap..will u follow them in vegas?

Maybe go there for a game

Chucky got a great deal.He will make a fortune on the buy out

I may go there for a game. At this point, see ya! I'm hoping the Oakland A's use the opportunity to build a new stadium where they are at now. The sooner Da Raiders leave, soon that could happen!
 
10/18 THURSDAY
DEN-1/ARIZONA

GOY WON
going to make some unpopular plays

$100 EA
TENN/SD UNDER 45 Tennessee offense has been non existent . Offensive line was a sieve last week


PATRIOTS -2.5 Is Tom Brady out? the Bears are the sexy pick as they have been fantastic at covering as home dogs, Yes the Patriots have lost both their road games but the difference at QB is so much and I still like Belichek against a young QB especially with a line of less than a FG

DETROIT -3 Another huge difference at QB. Can the Miami backup have 2 big games in a row against a Lions team that is rested and usually does well off a bye

SAINTS +2.5 -105 Certainly the Ravens have played the tougher schedule and many top touts and cappers favor them but I can't ignore that the Saints have had 2 weeks to get ready and 3 of the raven wins have come against teams with bad QBS and they lost to /Cleveland to another

DALLAS +1 They have owned the Redskins in recent yrs

CAROLINA +4.5 Carolina out gained Wash they just could not beat them do to turnovers . I expect a very close game

KC -6
KC/CINCY OVER 58 Chiefs games run to the under at home but I see very little defense being played here. KC has covered all 6 games and they have been dominate at home. They have almost gone 6-0 against a much tougher schedule than Cincy has and you can never trust Andy
Dalton on the road , though he has lucked out twice there. Unless there is a weather issue I see this at a minimum of 64 points

ML PARLAY $100 TO WIN $284

NE -145
INDY -320
RAMS -450
KC -240

GOOD LUCK
 
COULD HAVE SWEPT THE BOARD

REID DECIDES NOT TO SCORE AGTER WARE FALLS DOWN ON THE WAY TO THE ENDZONE UNBELIEVABLE
AND DALLAS GETS SCREWED BY THE REFS AFTER THAT ASSHOLE JASON GARRETT GOES CONSERVATIVE AGAIN. DOES HE HAVE PHOTOS OF JERRY JONES OR WHAT?
HOW THE HELL DOES HE STILL HAVE A FREAKING JOB?

GOYS 2-0 +$200
THE OTHERS 7-2 +$664

Total 9-2 +$864

ytd 58-44 +$1618
 
10/28
CAROLINA -2.5/BALT $200 now a pk em
CINCY -1.5/TBAY
GBAY +3.5/RAMS $200 now +10 ouch
NE -7/BUFF MONDAY now 14

adding$200

PHILLY -3 Difference at QB on neutral field
 
ADDING $100

ATLANTA -4 NYGIANTS are a real mess. Even though the Giants have owned this series, Atlanta really needs this game . Especially after Carolina and New Orleans had upset victories this week.

6 TEAM ML PARLAY $50 TO WIN $365

ATLANTA -200
HOUST/MIAMI UNDER 47 -140 Bought 1 1/2 points
PITT -360
KC-600
SAINTS -103 Big revenge game.. will hedge if first 4 hit
PATS -1000

GOOD LUCK
 
ADDING $100 ea

CINCY/TBAY OVER 54 POINTS
CINCY -3.5
AJ GREEN OVER 89.5 TBAY defense is poroius and now they lost their leader Kwon Alexander to an ACL. Hopefully the good Andy Dalton shows up

DENVER +10 Just too much for a rematch that was basically an even game

WASH -1 THIS LINE IS PERPLEXING maybe a trap but first against last and Giants traded 2 defensive starters including their run stopper

JETS +9.5 I just think Bears have a Patriot hangover

GBAY +9.5 I'll bite ..Rodgers plus a lot of points

MINNESOTA +2 -115

ML PARLAY $100 to win $297

PHILLY -195
PITT -420
CINCY -190
RAMS -360
NE -1250

6 team 10 point teaser ties reduce
$100 to win $235

CAROLINA +12.5
PITT PK
DENVER +20
WASH +10
BALT/CAROLINA OVER 33.5
NE -5
 
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