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Preakness 2016

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
#1
As the field whittles down, Nyquist’s chances of claiming the 141st Preakness Stakes continue to climb higher and higher. The 3-year-old Uncle Mo colt is now a 10/19 favorite to secure the second jewel of the Triple Crown after sitting at 3/5 five days ago, according to the latest odds from Sportsbook.ag.
Much of the rise can be attributed to Nyquist’s stellar run at the Kentucky Derby, the eighth straight victory of his career, but the betting public’s opinion as well as the diminishing field are also major factors.
Over the last few days four would-be contenders have been pulled from Saturday’s race at Pimlico to either focus on the Belmont Stakes or due to injury.
Originally, 17 thoroughbreds were angling for position in the 14-deep Preakness field, but now Dazzling Gem, Suddenbreakingnews, Brody’s Cause, and Cupid are currently off the racing form. At first a 35/1 longshot, Dazzling Gem will instead run the $100,000 Sir Barton Stakes in the Preakness undercard and trainer Brad Cox said the decision had a lot to do with Nyquist.
 

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
#2
“Nyquist isn’t in there," Cox told The Courier-Journal about the Sir Barton. "That has a lot to do with it.
“I think this will be a great stepping-stone to bigger and better things, hopefully, the rest of the year,” he added. “I think this is the most realistic spot for the horse and the best spot as far as moving forward.”
Meanwhile, both Suddenbreakingnews and Brody’s Cause will instead point to the Belmont. Trainer Dale Romans opted to keep Brody’s Cause out of the Preakness after a seventh-place showing at the Derby, while Suddenbreakingnews’ connections will save the late-charger for the Belmont. Sired by Mineshaft, Suddenbreaking news toiled in the first half-mile of the Derby but rallied to finish only 4 3/4 lengths behind Nyquist.
 

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
#3
And trainer Bob Baffert, who captured the Triple Crown with American Pharoah last year, may be pulling Cupid from the field altogether. Listed at 30/1 last week, Cupid sat out the Derby and was expected to point to the Preakness but is currently unlisted. He reportedly underwent surgery to fix an entrapped epiglottis last month, according to Paulick Report, and hasn’t raced since finishing 10th at the Arkansas Derby.
Otherwise, Nyquist’s long-standing threats Exaggerator and Stradivari are holding steady five days before the race. Exaggerator dipped ever so slightly from 7/2 to 15/4, while Stradivari ticked up from 7/1 to 13/2 odds.However, the odds could shift around much more following Wednesday evening’s post-position draw.
Odds To Win 141st Preakness Stakes
Nyquist 10/19
Exaggerator 15/4
Stradivari 13/2
Gun Runner 8/1
Collected 15/1
Cherry Wine 22/1
Uncle Lino 25/1
Creator 28/1
Fellowship 28/1
Awesome Speed 30/1
Lani 32/1
Laoban 32/1
Abiding Star 35/1
 

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
#6
Weather could factor in on Fri card, but even more likely to be an issue on Sat. Started looking at Sat card but wondering how far into it I want to get at this point.
 

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
#8
Hmmm, just when I wanted to avoid it, #5 for the Preakness could come into play yet
Yes sir, could also possibly move up #1...unless negative rail bias. Should be an honest pace as well with plenty of speed types and Nyquist behind the speeds but as long as no track bias against closers it could set up for 1 or 5.
 

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
#9
If R2 on Sat stays on turf and it's not a bog I have much interest in #1...was up against it in debut having to go 2 turns on turf as 1ster vs up on the lead repeat winner...Took $ in that debut which is a positive sign especially considering it was an 11 horse field...great blood lines being a half sis to 3 stakes winners including Keertana, who was 10 time turf winner and was also trained by Proctor...#3 was only a neck behind #1 in last and can also be used I guess but #1 has more room for improvement imo being a 2nd time starter.
 

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
#10
If R2 on Sat stays on turf and it's not a bog I have much interest in #1...was up against it in debut having to go 2 turns on turf as 1ster vs up on the lead repeat winner...Took $ in that debut which is a positive sign especially considering it was an 11 horse field...great blood lines being a half sis to 3 stakes winners including Keertana, who was 10 time turf winner and was also trained by Proctor...#3 was only a neck behind #1 in last and can also be used I guess but #1 has more room for improvement imo being a 2nd time starter.
7,8,11,12 seem to be the speeds so should be honest pace
 

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
#11
Saturday R5 initially looking to beat even money ML favorite #7 Salutos Amigos because he may not get a proper pace setup since 4 could get loose (maybe 6 can keep up?) but if it does rain like predicted, is 7 for 7 on off tracks.....thought 3 or 4 could beat 7 but also wonder if 1 takes another step forward 2nd off layoff and 2nd time Rudy.
 

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
#24
R11 Win #2
7-1 seems fair considering her throw out races...two on turf, two in slop...3rd to Songbird in BC Juvenile Fillies after being bumped at the start
 

ProV1Colt

CTG Elite Moderator
Staff member
#33
Well, I get to enjoy all of the f today's races in the backseat of my car. Driving to Florida. Currently in Birmngham, AL.
So I am gonna tail and make some bets to pass the time! Let's have some fun today!
 

Lloyd Braun

Well-Known Member
#48
So in Race 4 #8 Pramedya broke through the starting gate before the race and was reloaded, the horse suffered a catastrophic injury in the race and had to be euthanized. The eerie part is this is the 10 year anniversary of Barbaro breaking through the starting gate in the Preakness and then breaking his leg a few hundreds yards into the race and then dying from complications a few months later. The owners of Barbaro are the same owners of Pramedya
 
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