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Oakland vs. Colorado Preview Article

VirginiaCavs

Man Crush on Kyle Guy
Athletics vs. Rockies: MLB Best Bets




Oakland Athletics vs. Colorado Rockies
Wednesday, September 16, 2020 at 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado




Mike Fiers

Oakland starter Mike Fiers (5-2, 5.06 ERA) hopes to stop suffering one of the worst seasons in his career.

He’s walking almost more batters per nine innings than he ever has before.

Likewise, he’s allowing 1.50 home runs per nine innings, which is a scary figure for a pitcher to have when he heads into Colorado’s Coors Field.

Coors Field is notoriously the most home run-friendly ballpark in baseball due to Denver’s altitude.

Fiers’ Game Plan

Fiers is not going to blow batters away with higher velocity.

He also doesn’t have the quality of stuff that allows him to find success throwing his pitches in the more middle parts of the plate.

A look at his pitching chart shows that batters regularly punish him with high slugging rates when he does leave his pitches in poor locations.

So what Fiers wants to do is to compensate for his lack of velocity by injecting greater variety into his pitching repertoire in order to keep hitters off balance.

Also, he wants to make his pitches more difficult to hit by emphasizing the borders of the strike zone. Fiers requires precision.

Fiers In Coors Field

Obviously, one doesn’t want to place too much analytical emphasis on a game that took place in 2012.

In 2012, Fiers made his one and only career start in Denver. He allowed eight runs in only two innings.

Quite independently of that game long ago, I don’t like Fiers today because of his pitching style.

Due to the atmospheric forces in Colorado, pitches break and drop very differently than they do elsewhere.

So not only does a pitcher, as always, need to be precise in Colorado. But he also needs to adjust or recalibrate his method of being precise. He needs to re-aim his pitches.

One batter who looks to take advantage of Fiers’ weakness is Daniel Murphy. Murphy is already 2-for-5 (.400) with a homer in his career facing Fiers.

German Marquez

Marquez has matured from a young pitcher who is most committed to his fastball to a pitcher who combines a high-velocity fastball with other pitches.

He throws three different pitches with over 10 percent frequency in addition to his fastball, which he throws 38 percent of the time after throwing it with over 60 percent frequency as a rookie in 2016.

His increased comfort and increased usage of both his slider and curveball help him immensely. Both pitches combine for 43 percent of his arsenal and each pitch yields a BA of under .200.

Whereas Fiers, during his awful season, is leaving a greater percentage of his pitches down the middle, the three most frequent locations by percentage of Marquez’s strikes are in the lowest row of the strike zone.

Precision is sure to continue for Marquez because Coors Field has always been his home. He is used to pitching in Denver’s climate.

Form

I also expect Marquez’s precision to remain solid because of how well he is pitching at this moment.

His positive form is evident in the fact that he’s yielded two runs in seven innings in each of his last two starts.

Metrical measurements substantiate this surface-level evidence. For example, his FIP (like ERA, but factors out fielding) was 3.06 or lower in both of those starts.

In fact, his FIP is clearly lower in this entire season than his ERA — his FIP is 3.54 and his ERA is 4.35. So Marquez’s individual performance is significantly stronger than it seems.

Marquez vs. Oakland Batters

In contrast, form is not a positive feature of Oakland, which allowed Antonio Senzatela to go the distance yesterday when he allowed one run in nine innings.

Oakland’s difficult road trip has included four losses in its last six games with bad offense being a common feature of those games.

One may want to point out that Athletic batters collectively own strong numbers versus Marquez.

But these are highly misleading because Jake Lamb has almost half of his team’s at-bats against Marquez.

While Lamb hits him well, he is having a putrid season, which is why Arizona wanted to let him go. His current BA is .160.

Equally non-existent today will be the injured Matt Chapman. Oakland misses its top slugger.

Expect Marcus Semien to struggle. He’s 0-for-6 with two strikeouts against Marquez.

Bullpen

Because Senzatela pitched a complete game yesterday, Colorado has its best arms available.

ERA is relatively difficult to measure for a Rockies pitcher because most of his games take place in high-altitude Denver.

But they do have some guys who can reliably hold a lead. Yency Almonte and Daniel Bard are among team leaders in ERA — the former’s ERA is 3.04 and the latter’s is 3.60.

The Verdict

Colorado has the edge in pitching with the more comfortable, in-form, and stylistically better adapted Marquez starting. He’ll hand the baton off to a fresh bullpen which will be glad to face a slumping lineup like Oakland’s.

I also like the full-game wager because the run-line becomes more rewarding to hit. Due to the higher scores in Colorado, multi-run deficits are likelier. Eight of Colorado’s last 10 home wins have come by at least one run.

Best Bet: Rockies RL at +150 with BetOnline
 

2daBank

VC's Valentine
Small error at the end there pal, “8 of Rox last 10 home wins have come by at least one run”!! I willing to go out on a limb and say in fact all their wins by at least 1!!! Lol. Assuming you meant at least 2 runs?!
 

VirginiaCavs

Man Crush on Kyle Guy
Small error at the end there pal, “8 of Rox last 10 home wins have come by at least one run”!! I willing to go out on a limb and say in fact all their wins by at least 1!!! Lol. Assuming you meant at least 2 runs?!

Sleep is important. Thanks Bank
 

2daBank

VC's Valentine
Sleep is important. Thanks Bank
I find it to be overrated! I never been much a sleeper! I gotta do my best not to be resentful of the ladies I’m with, so many nights I lay there watching them sleep so peacefully and get so jelly that they can fall right asleep and I can’t!! When I’m really feeling like a ass I will start messing with them trying to wake them up!! Lol. I just want someone to play with!!

I think that a big part the reason I got into meth when I was a youngster, I mean the high was cool and all but more importantly it was nice to find other ppl that stayed up all night doing Things!! I’m pretty much a bad ass at any games like darts, pool, video games, chess, anything you can do in your home while staying up for days!! lol. I rarely do that anymore tho so now I’m back to simply watching my old lady sleep!! sports radio podcast have been helping, even when I’m wanting to listen to a topic I can’t make my way thru it, I keep waking up and rewinding but just happens again and again!!!


What really helps is zanny’s!
That always been best way for me to get some good sleep, unfortunately they harder to get for me these days and I have to hide them from woman cause unlike me who uses them to shut my mind off to get some wonderful sleep once she gets one or 2 in her she turns into a crazy person and eats half the bottle! She don’t usually pass out tho, she more out of it on her feet making up crazy stories and acting like a nut job!!! Lolz.
 
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