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June Bases

YTD [501-456 -1.6u] (8-3 on 2u plays)
Yesterday [5-10 -6.02U] (0-1 on 2u plays)


  • 952 Miami Marlins +126
  • 953 Atlanta Braves +100
  • 953 Atlanta Braves/New York Mets Over 9½ -105
  • 955 Chicago Cubs/Cincinnati Reds Over 9½ -105
  • 956 Cincinnati Reds -118
  • 957 Pittsburgh Pirates +194
  • 957 Pittsburgh Pirates/Milwaukee Brewers Over 9½ +105
  • 959 Los Angeles Dodgers -144
  • 959 Los Angeles Dodgers/Colorado Rockies Over 12½ +100
  • 961 Arizona Diamondbacks -130
  • 965 New York Yankees/Boston Red Sox Over 11½ +108
  • 967 Cleveland Indians -159
  • 967 Cleveland Indians/Baltimore Orioles Over 10 -105
  • 969 Kansas City Royals/Toronto Blue Jays Over 9 -105
  • 973 Minnesota Twins -154
  • 973 Minnesota Twins/Chicago White Sox Over 10½ -103
  • 975 Seattle Mariners +264
  • 975 Seattle Mariners/Houston Astros Over 9½ +105
  • 978 Los Angeles Angels -140
randoms...
1561809703889.png
1561809748556.png

 
few more
  • 965 New York Yankees -143
  • 978 Los Angeles Angels -1½ +135
  • 979 Washington Nationals/Detroit Tigers Over 11 -105
 
love spot with nats today..very close to 2u but playing both ML and RL
  • 979 Washington Nationals -190
  • 979 Washington Nationals -1½ -115
 
subpar night for model on Friday, but made a little on value plays as unexpected doggie braves won easily
all fade value today with kc, sea, pit

1561821652900.png
 
YTD [512-469 -4.26u] (8-3 on 2u plays)
Yesterday [11-13 -2.66u] (0-0 on 2u plays)

  • 901 Philadelphia Phillies -123
  • 904 Cincinnati Reds +110
  • 906 Milwaukee Brewers -151
  • 907 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ -110
  • 907 Los Angeles Dodgers -156 (2U)
  • 909 Arizona Diamondbacks -105
  • 912 San Diego Padres -109
  • 914 New York Mets -1½ +185
  • 918 Baltimore Orioles +210
  • 920 Toronto Blue Jays -129
  • 921 Texas Rangers +178
  • 923 Seattle Mariners +258
  • 927 Oakland Athletics +120
  • 929 Washington Nationals -1½ -185
also 8 overs
  • 903 Chicago Cubs/Cincinnati Reds Over 10½ -105
  • 905 Pittsburgh Pirates/Milwaukee Brewers Over 10½ +100
  • 907 Los Angeles Dodgers/Colorado Rockies Over 13½ -105
  • 917 Cleveland Indians/Baltimore Orioles Over 10½ +105
  • 919 Kansas City Royals/Toronto Blue Jays Over 9½ -105
  • 923 Seattle Mariners/Houston Astros Over 9 -105
  • 927 Oakland Athletics/Los Angeles Angels Over 10 -110
  • 929 Washington Nationals/Detroit Tigers Over 9 +100

1561894391588.png
1561894703959.png

1561895861318.png
 
trends

RAYS @HOME ON RL 70-51 58% AVG LINE +110 FOR 20% ROI since 2018
TB 25-14 RL ON SUNDAY SINCE 2018 FOR +29% ROI
ATL 29-9 SU ON SUNDAY SINCE 2018 FOR 46% ROI
LAD 31-11 SU ON SUNDAY SINCE 2018 FOR 21% ROI
LAD @HOME 34-9 79% THIS YEAR FOR 24% ROI
MIL 20-10 SU IN DAY GAMES THIS YEAR FOR 23.8% ROI
CIN 11-24 SU IN DAY GAMES THIS YEAR- FADE FOR 25.8% ROI
SEA 22-6 OV IN DAY GAMES THIS YEAR FOR 50.8% ROI
NYY 20-9 OV IN DAY GAMES THIS YEAR FOR 28.2% ROI
NYY 26-9 OV IN AWAY GAMES THIS YEAR FOR 41.2% ROI
MIA 16-8 UN IN DAY GAMES THIS YEAR FOR 42.2% ROI
SEA 10-32 SU vs teams with winning record this year - fade for +25% ROI
 
There has never been a total set at 15 in SDQL database history(since 2004)
highest and only once 14.5 in wrigley 4/30/10 and it went over
5 times it was 14 and the over cashed 4 times

so wtf...I'll try today

adding
  • 915 New York Yankees/Boston Red Sox* Over 15 +105
 
last 33 games with total 12 or more
home team won 69% but not sure how much you can really call BOS home today
the over cashed 63.6% for 24.3% ROI

1561901315434.png
 
another tough day for model lowering ROI under 3%. value plays went 0-3

today the model has value with TOR, TEX, BAL, SEA


1561901943615.png
 
Last edited:
There has never been a total set at 15 in SDQL database history(since 2004)
highest and only once 14.5 in wrigley 4/30/10 and it went over
5 times it was 14 and the over cashed 4 times

so wtf...I'll try today

adding
  • 915 New York Yankees/Boston Red Sox* Over 15 +105

Nice you got it at plus money
 
There has never been a total set at 15 in SDQL database history(since 2004)
highest and only once 14.5 in wrigley 4/30/10 and it went over
5 times it was 14 and the over cashed 4 times

so wtf...I'll try today

adding
  • 915 New York Yankees/Boston Red Sox* Over 15 +105
Good luck mrpickem!
I even went over 17 @+185

I think the stadium plays as yesterday.
 
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